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Actuate Therapeutics Announces Nature Medicine Publication of Clinical Trial Results Showing Doubling of the Rate of Survival with Elraglusib Plus Chemotherapy in Previously Untreated Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

(Neutral)

Actuate Therapeutics (NASDAQ: ACTU) reported Nature Medicine publication of randomized Phase 2 results showing elraglusib plus gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel improved median overall survival to 10.1 months versus 7.2 months with chemotherapy alone (HR 0.62; p=0.01).

One-year survival doubled to 44.1% vs 22.3%; exploratory biomarker data showed 7–40X increases in tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic immune cells. Safety was generally manageable; most common ≥Grade 3 events included neutropenia, anemia, and fatigue.

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Positive

  • Median OS improved 2.9 months to 10.1 months
  • Risk of death reduced 38% (HR 0.62; p=0.01)
  • 1‑year survival doubled to 44.1% from 22.3%
  • Immune infiltration increased 7–40X in tumors

Negative

  • Neutropenia ≥Grade 3 higher at 52.3% vs 30.8%
  • Fatigue ≥Grade 3 higher at 16.8% vs 5.1%

News Market Reaction – ACTU

+14.29% 3.1x vol
17 alerts
+14.29% Session close to close
+32.5% Peak Tracked
-14.9% Trough Tracked
$60.94M Market Cap
3.1x Rel. Volume

In the Apr 14 session, ACTU gained 14.29%, reflecting a significant positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +32.5% during that session. Argus tracked a trough of -14.9% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 17 alerts that day, indicating notable trading interest and price volatility. Trading volume was very high at 3.1x the daily average, suggesting strong buying interest.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The stock surged +14.3% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with t...
Analysis

The stock surged +14.3% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with the statistically significant Phase 2 survival benefit, where elraglusib plus GnP achieved median OS of 10.1 vs 7.2 months and a hazard ratio of 0.62. Historically, clinical-trial news for ACTU produced an average move of -0.47%, with both rallies and selloffs, so a +5.81% move stood out versus prior mixed reactions and may have reflected renewed focus from the high-profile Nature Medicine publication.

Key Figures

Median OS (combo): 10.1 months Median OS (control): 7.2 months Hazard ratio: HR 0.62; p=0.01 +5 more
8 metrics
Median OS (combo) 10.1 months Elraglusib plus GnP arm, metastatic PDAC Phase 2
Median OS (control) 7.2 months GnP alone arm, metastatic PDAC Phase 2
Hazard ratio HR 0.62; p=0.01 Risk of death, elraglusib/GnP vs GnP
1-year survival 44.1% vs 22.3% Elraglusib/GnP vs GnP in Phase 2 PDAC
18 & 24-month survival 20.5% & 13.2% vs 4.4% & 0% Elraglusib/GnP vs GnP, landmark survival
Patients analyzed 155 combo; 78 control Modified intent‑to‑treat Phase 2 population
Immune cell increase 7–40X Increases in intratumoral CD8⁺ T, granzyme‑B⁺, CD56⁺ NK cells
Grade ≥3 neutropenia 52.3% vs 30.8% Elraglusib/GnP vs GnP safety profile

Previous Clinical trial Reports

5 past events · Latest: Jan 21 (Positive)
Same Type Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Jan 21 Pipeline expansion plan Positive +5.4% Planned Phase 1/2 oral elraglusib trial in refractory cancers with prior IV data.
Jan 12 Phase 2 pancreatic data Positive -6.3% Randomized Phase 2 elraglusib plus GnP met primary endpoint with OS benefit.
Jan 06 Pediatric Phase 1 update Positive +5.0% Phase 1 pediatric elraglusib trial showed clinical responses and CRs in rare cancers.
Dec 18 ASCO GI selection Positive +2.3% Phase 2 pancreatic data selected for oral and poster presentations at ASCO GI 2026.
Dec 15 Salivary cancer Phase II Positive -8.8% Phase II elraglusib combo in salivary gland carcinoma showed prolonged survival and tolerability.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Clinical trial announcements have produced mixed reactions, with three positive and two negative moves despite generally positive data.

Recent Company History

Over the last several months, Actuate has repeatedly highlighted elraglusib’s clinical profile across indications. Prior clinical-trial updates included salivary gland carcinoma data with median OS of 18.6 months, pediatric responses with FDA Rare Pediatric Designations, and pancreatic Phase 2 results showing improved survival with elraglusib plus GnP. Some of these clinical updates led to gains (e.g., +5.4%, +5.05%), while others saw declines (down to -8.78%). Today’s Nature Medicine publication extends the same pancreatic dataset already previewed at ASCO GI 2026.

Key Terms

median overall survival, phase 2, hazard ratio, modified intent‑to‑treat, +4 more
8 terms
median overall survival medical
"Median overall survival increased by >40% in elraglusib arm compared to the control"
Median overall survival is the middle point of how long patients live after starting treatment, meaning half live longer and half live shorter. It helps doctors understand how effective a treatment is and gives patients an idea of what to expect about their future.
phase 2 medical
"randomized phase 2 clinical trial (NCT03678883) evaluating elraglusib in combination"
Phase 2 is the mid-stage clinical trial where a new drug or treatment is tested in a larger group of patients to see if it works and to keep checking safety after initial human testing. Think of it as a field test that proves whether a product actually delivers its promised benefit. Investors watch Phase 2 closely because its results strongly influence a medicine’s chances of reaching the market, the size of its potential sales, and the company’s valuation.
hazard ratio medical
"reduced the risk of death by 38% (HR 0.62; p=0.01), with one‑year survival rates"
A hazard ratio is a way scientists compare the chance of something happening over time between two groups, like patients taking different medicines. If the ratio is high, it means one group is more likely to experience the event sooner or more often, which helps determine how effective a treatment is or how risky a situation might be.
modified intent‑to‑treat medical
"78 patients receiving GnP alone in the modified intent‑to‑treat population"
A modified intent-to-treat (mITT) population is the group of participants a clinical study uses for its main analysis after excluding a small, predefined subset of randomized patients (for example, those who never received the treatment or lacked key baseline data). For investors, mITT matters because it can affect reported effectiveness and safety results—like comparing a guest list to the actual attendees, it changes the sample used to draw conclusions and can influence how reliable or optimistic the trial findings appear.
grade ≥3 adverse events medical
"The most common Grade ≥3 adverse events including neutropenia, anemia, and fatigue."
Grade ≥3 adverse events are medical problems observed during clinical trials that a standard severity scale classifies as severe, life‑threatening, or resulting in hospitalization or death. They matter to investors because high rates of these serious side effects can stop a drug’s development, delay or block regulatory approval, require warning labels or additional studies, and materially reduce a product’s commercial prospects—like finding a critical safety flaw that limits a product’s marketability.
tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic immune cells medical
"7–40X increases in tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic immune cells and biomarker signals"
Tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic immune cells are immune cells that have moved into a tumor and have the ability to directly kill cancer cells. Think of them as security guards who have entered a building to confront intruders; their presence often signals an active immune response and can predict how well a cancer drug—especially immunotherapies—will work. For investors, levels of these cells can affect trial outcomes, drug approval chances, and a therapy’s commercial prospects.
biomarker medical
"biomarker signals in the elraglusib arm reflect immunomodulatory mechanisms of action"
A biomarker is a measurable indicator found in the body, such as in blood or tissues, that provides information about health, disease, or how the body responds to treatment. For investors, biomarkers can signal the potential success or risk of medical products or therapies, influencing the value of related companies and industry trends. They act like signals or clues that help assess the progress of medical advancements and their market impact.
cytokine medical
"Exploratory analyses identified cytokine biomarkers and immune‑cell changes consistent"
Small proteins produced by cells that act as chemical messengers to coordinate immune and inflammatory responses, like text messages or traffic signals telling cells when to activate, calm down, or move. Investors care because cytokines are common drug targets and biomarkers; changes in cytokine activity can determine a therapy’s effectiveness, safety, regulatory approval, and market potential, so trial results or safety signals tied to cytokines often drive stock moves.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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  • Median overall survival increased by >40% in elraglusib arm compared to the control arm, with a 1-year survival rate of 44% in the elraglusib arm versus 22% in the control arm 
  • 18-month survival rate >20% in elraglusib arm compared to 4% in control arm
  • Consistent survival benefit observed across the poorest prognosis patient subgroups, including those with liver metastases and high disease burden
  • 7-40X increases in tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic immune cells and biomarker signals in the elraglusib arm reflect immunomodulatory mechanisms of action

CHICAGO and FORT WORTH, Texas, April 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: ACTU) (“Actuate” or the “Company”), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for the treatment of high-impact, difficult-to-treat cancers through the inhibition of glycogen synthase kinase-3 beta (GSK-3β), today announced the publication of new data in Nature Medicine from a randomized phase 2 clinical trial (NCT03678883) evaluating elraglusib in combination with the gemcitabine-Nab-paclitaxel (GnP) chemotherapy compared to GnP alone in patients with previously untreated metastatic pancreatic cancer. The peer-reviewed paper (DOI: 10.1038/s41591-026-04327-4), entitled “Elraglusib and Chemotherapy in Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Randomized Controlled Phase 2 Trial” is available here.

“These Phase 2 results continue to reinforce elraglusib’s potential as a combination-ready, first-line therapy with the ability to enhance the activity of standard of care chemotherapeutic backbones,” said Daniel Schmitt, Chief Executive Officer of Actuate. “The significant improvement in overall survival with an acceptable safety profile marks an important milestone for patients facing metastatic pancreatic cancer, historically one of the most difficult to treat diseases. The elraglusib containing regimen delivered a 40% improvement in median overall survival, a 38% lower risk of death, and doubled the survival rate at one year compared to the current first-line chemotherapy regimen of GnP alone.

By targeting a central signaling node such as GSK-3β, elraglusib may modulate tumor cell survival, reshape tumor microenvironment, and suppress adaptive resistance pathways, enabling a broader biological impact across a broad range of cancers. Importantly, we are also advancing our research focused on exploring the expected synergistic potential of elraglusib in combination with RAS and MEK/RAF inhibitors, with the goal of further enhancing anti-tumor activity and broadening elraglusib’s therapeutic potential for patients. We remain deeply committed to advancing treatments that can improve patients’ lives and are grateful to the investigators and families who made this study possible.”

Pancreatic cancer remains one of the deadliest malignancies worldwide. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), which accounts for the majority of cases, is often diagnosed at a metastatic stage, where survival outcomes remain poor. For these patients, GnP is a commonly used first‑line regimen, yet median overall survival typically remains limited to approximately seven to ten months. Despite advances in understanding the molecular drivers of pancreatic cancer, meaningful therapeutic progress has been scarce, and immunotherapies successful in other solid tumors have not delivered similar benefits in PDAC, highlighting the urgent need for novel treatment approaches.

Elraglusib (9‑ING‑41), a first‑in‑class GSK‑3β inhibitor, was evaluated in combination with GnP in a global, open‑label, phase 2 study in previously untreated metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Patients were randomized 2:1 to receive elraglusib plus GnP or GnP alone. The combination improved median overall survival to 10.1 months versus 7.2 months and reduced the risk of death by 38% (HR 0.62; p=0.01), with one‑year survival rates of 44.1% and 22.3%, respectively. Safety was generally manageable in the elraglusib/GnP combination, with the most common Grade ≥3 adverse events including neutropenia, anemia, and fatigue. Exploratory analyses identified cytokine biomarkers and immune‑cell changes consistent with the immunomodulatory effect of elraglusib.

Key Highlights and Readouts:

  • Among the 286 patients enrolled across 60 global sites, efficacy analyses focused on 155 patients treated with once‑weekly elraglusib plus GnP and 78 patients receiving GnP alone in the modified intent‑to‑treat population, the study’s prespecified population for efficacy and safety analyses.
  • Median overall survival (OS) was 10.1 months in the elraglusib/GnP arm (95% CI, 7.7–12.5) vs 7.2 months on the GnP arm (95% CI, 5.7–9.0), corresponding to a 2.9‑month improvement and a 38% reduction in risk of death (HR 0.62; p=0.01).
  • A 1-year survival rate of 44.1% was observed in patients receiving elraglusib/GnP compared with 22.3% treated with GnP alone; at 18 and 24 months, landmark survival rates were 20.5% and 13.2% vs 4.4% and 0%, respectively.
  • Survival benefits were consistent across poor prognosis subgroups; in patients with liver metastases, median OS was 8.3 vs 6.6 months (HR 0.62; p=0.008), and 1‑year survival rates were 39.2% vs 15.2%.
  • Exploratory immunophenotyping demonstrated 7–40X increases in intratumoral CD8⁺ T cells, granzyme‑B⁺ cells, and CD56⁺ NK cells following elraglusib/GnP, with no comparable increases observed with GnP alone.
  • High pre‑dose cytokine levels correlated with improved survival only in the elraglusib/GnP arm, indicating emerging predictive biomarker associations.
  • The combination was well tolerated; the most common ≥Grade 3 TEAEs with elraglusib/GnP vs GnP were neutropenia (52.3% vs 30.8%), anemia (25.2% vs 29.5%), and fatigue (16.8% vs 5.1%). The mild to moderate visual changes observed in the elraglusib arm were transient and reversible.

“Metastatic pancreatic cancer remains one of the most therapeutically challenging solid tumors, with few interventions demonstrating meaningful improvements in survival,” said Dr. Devalingam Mahalingam, MD, PhD, lead author of the manuscript. “The 2.9-month improvement in median overall survival observed with elraglusib plus gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel, together with early and sustained signals of benefit across poor-prognosis subgroups, is encouraging and supports further clinical evaluation. The observed increases in tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic immune cells provide preliminary biologic context for the clinical findings and raise the possibility of an immunomodulatory effect, although these exploratory observations will require confirmation in future studies. Collectively, these results provide a rationale for continued investigation of elraglusib-based combinations in pancreatic cancer and potentially other difficult-to-treat malignancies.”

About Actuate Therapeutics, Inc.

Actuate is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for the treatment of high-impact, difficult-to-treat cancers. Actuate’s lead investigational drug, elraglusib (a novel GSK-3β inhibitor), targets molecular pathways in cancer that are involved in promoting tumor growth and resistance to conventional cancer drugs such as chemotherapy through the inhibition of nuclear factor kappa-light-chain-enhancer of activated B cells (NF-kB) and DNA Damage Response (DDR). Elraglusib may also mediate anti-tumor immunity through the regulation of multiple immune checkpoints and immune cell function. For additional information, please visit the Company’s website at www.actuatetherapeutics.com or follow us on LinkedInX, and Facebook.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements about us, including our and other parties’ clinical trials and development plans, and our industry. The words “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “might,” “ongoing,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “should,” “target,” “will,” “would,” or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. All statements, other than statements related to present facts or current conditions or of historical facts, contained in this press release are forward-looking statements. Accordingly, these statements involve estimates, assumptions, substantial risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them, including but not limited to that preliminary and unpublished data may be subject to change and further interpretation following the availability of more data or following a more comprehensive review of the data and should not be relied upon as a final analysis; clinical and preclinical drug development involves a lengthy and expensive process with uncertain timelines and outcomes, results of prior preclinical studies, early clinical trials and sub-group studies are not necessarily predictive of future results and may not correlate with improved responses, and elraglusib may not achieve positive clinical results or favorable preclinical results or receive regulatory approval on a timely basis, if at all; we may not successfully enroll additional patients or establish or advance plans for further development, including through conversations with the FDA or EMA and the standards such bodies may impose for such development; elraglusib could be associated with side effects, adverse events or other properties or safety risks, which could delay or preclude regulatory approval, cause us to suspend or discontinue clinical trials or result in other negative consequences; our reliance on third parties to conduct our non-clinical studies and our clinical trials; our reliance on third-party licensors and ability to preserve and protect our intellectual property rights; we face significant competition from other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies; our ability to fund development activities, including because our financial condition raises substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern and we require additional capital to finance our operations beyond July 2026, and a failure to obtain this necessary capital in the near term on acceptable terms, or at all, could force us to delay, limit, reduce or terminate our development programs, commercialization efforts or other operations. In addition, any forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the factors discussed under the heading “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 26, 2026, and our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and other filings with the SEC. Because the risk factors referred to above could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements made by us or on our behalf, you should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Further, any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict which factors will arise. In addition, we cannot assess the impact of each factor on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements. Unless legally required, we do not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to such forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Investor Contact
Mike Moyer
Managing Director
LifeSci Advisors, LLC
mmoyer@lifesciadvisors.com

Media Contact
Ignacio Guerrero-Ros, Ph.D.
Russo Partners, LLC
Ignacio.guerrero-ros@russopartnersllc.com
(858) 717-2310


FAQ

What overall survival benefit did ACTU announce on April 14, 2026 for elraglusib in metastatic pancreatic cancer?

Elraglusib plus GnP improved median overall survival to 10.1 months, a 2.9-month gain. According to the company, the hazard ratio was 0.62 (p=0.01), indicating a 38% reduced risk of death versus GnP alone in the Phase 2 study.

How did one-year survival rates compare for ACTU's elraglusib plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone?

One-year survival was 44.1% with elraglusib/GnP versus 22.3% with GnP alone. According to the company, this represents a doubling of the one-year survival rate in the modified intent-to-treat population.

What safety concerns should investors note from ACTU's Phase 2 elraglusib trial results?

The combination was generally manageable but showed higher Grade ≥3 neutropenia at 52.3%. According to the company, other common ≥Grade 3 events included anemia and fatigue, with transient, reversible visual changes reported.

What biomarker or immune changes were reported with elraglusib in ACTU's Nature Medicine publication?

Exploratory analyses showed 7–40X increases in intratumoral CD8+, granzyme-B+, and CD56+ NK cells. According to the company, these immunophenotyping signals suggest a potential immunomodulatory mechanism needing confirmation in future studies.

How many patients and sites were included in the Phase 2 trial ACTU disclosed on April 14, 2026?

The trial enrolled 286 patients across 60 global sites, with efficacy focused on 155 patients on elraglusib/GnP and 78 on GnP alone. According to the company, the modified intent-to-treat population was the prespecified efficacy cohort.