AEP Reports Third-Quarter 2024 Earnings, Introduces New Growth Rate and Capital Plan
Rhea-AI Summary
American Electric Power (AEP) reported third-quarter 2024 operating earnings of $985.4 million or $1.85 per share, up from $923.8 million or $1.77 per share in Q3 2023. Revenue increased to $5.4 billion from $5.3 billion. The company narrowed its 2024 operating earnings guidance to $5.58-$5.68 per share, maintaining the $5.63 midpoint. AEP announced a new long-term growth rate of 6-8% and expanded its five-year capital plan to $54 billion. Commercial load increased over 10% year-over-year, with projections showing 20% annual growth over the next three years. The company has secured agreements for 20 gigawatts of commercial and industrial load additions through 2030.
Positive
- Q3 2024 operating earnings increased to $985.4M from $923.8M YoY
- Revenue grew to $5.4B from $5.3B in Q3 2023
- Commercial load increased over 10% year-over-year
- Secured agreements for 20 gigawatts of load additions through 2030
- Announced $54B five-year capital investment plan
- New long-term growth rate of 6-8% established
Negative
- GAAP EPS decreased to $1.80 from $1.83 in Q3 2023
- Reduced scope of activities in Generation & Marketing segment
- Generation & Marketing earnings declined by $37.4M YoY
News Market Reaction – AEP
On the day this news was published, AEP declined 4.13%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
- Third-quarter 2024 GAAP earnings of
$1.80 $1.85 - Narrows 2024 operating earnings (non-GAAP) guidance to
$5.58 $5.68 $5.63 - Announces new long-term growth rate of
6% to8% based off of 2025 operating earnings guidance of$5.75 $5.95 - Expands five-year capital plan to
$54 billion
AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER | ||||||||
Preliminary, unaudited results | ||||||||
Third Quarter ended September 30 | Year-to-date ended September 30 | |||||||
2024 | 2023 | Change | 2024 | 2023 | Change | |||
Revenue ($ in billions): | 5.4 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 15.0 | 14.4 | 0.6 | ||
Earnings ($ in millions): | ||||||||
GAAP | 959.6 | 953.7 | 5.9 | 2,303.0 | 1,871.9 | 431.1 | ||
Operating (non-GAAP) | 985.4 | 923.8 | 61.6 | 2,317.8 | 2,077.6 | 240.2 | ||
EPS ($): | ||||||||
GAAP | 1.80 | 1.83 | (0.03) | 4.35 | 3.62 | 0.73 | ||
Operating (non-GAAP) | 1.85 | 1.77 | 0.08 | 4.38 | 4.02 | 0.36 | ||
EPS based on 532 million shares 3Q 2024, 520 million shares 3Q 2023, 529 million shares YTD 2024 and 517 million shares YTD 2023 | ||||||||
Operating earnings is a non-GAAP measure representing GAAP earnings excluding special items. On a year-to-date basis, the variance between GAAP and operating earnings is
"Our results this quarter were driven by our continued investments to improve service and enhance the energy system to meet the needs of our customers and communities. Based on our progress so far this year, we are tightening our 2024 earnings guidance range and maintaining the
"We are committed to providing best-in-class service, driving operational excellence and exercising financial discipline to improve results and create more value for our customers, investors and all stakeholders. AEP has a strong foundation and significant growth opportunities ahead, and we are confident in our ability to execute our strategy and deliver on our promises. This confidence is reflected in our new
"The foundation of our 2025 earnings guidance range is based on robust growth in our regulated businesses as we invest in a reliable, resilient grid and new generation opportunities to serve unprecedented load growth. The range also reflects lower contributions from our Generation & Marketing segment due to the reduced scope of activities in this segment going forward," Fehrman said.
"Commercial load has increased more than
"We continue to work with our regulators to ensure costs are fairly allocated so we can keep customer rates affordable and make sure all customers benefit from the investments needed to support the growth of data processors and other economic development projects," he said.
"We recently implemented leadership and alignment changes to streamline our corporate structure, move decision making closer to customers and ensure the businesses that drive our revenue have the support they need to improve performance. We also continue to engage our employees to identify process improvements and efficiencies that will reposition the company to support sustainable growth and customer affordability," Fehrman added.
SUMMARY OF RESULTS BY SEGMENT | ||||||
$ in millions | ||||||
GAAP Earnings | 3Q 24 | 3Q 23 | Change | YTD 24 | YTD 23 | Change |
Vertically Integrated Utilities (a) | 571.5 | 512.5 | 59.0 | 1,198.0 | 1,051.6 | 146.4 |
Transmission & Distribution Utilities (b) | 245.2 | 206.0 | 39.2 | 542.3 | 508.4 | 33.9 |
AEP Transmission Holdco (c) | 214.7 | 202.9 | 11.8 | 624.1 | 580.8 | 43.3 |
Generation & Marketing (d) | 93.3 | 130.7 | (37.4) | 226.1 | (59.3) | 285.4 |
All Other | (165.1) | (98.4) | (66.7) | (287.5) | (209.6) | (77.9) |
Total GAAP Earnings (Loss) | 959.6 | 953.7 | 5.9 | 2,303.0 | 1,871.9 | 431.1 |
Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) | 3Q 24 | 3Q 23 | Change | YTD 24 | YTD 23 | Change |
Vertically Integrated Utilities (a) | 572.4 | 520.0 | 52.4 | 1,117.5 | 1,045.6 | 71.9 |
Transmission & Distribution Utilities (b) | 245.2 | 206.0 | 39.2 | 610.8 | 488.2 | 122.6 |
AEP Transmission Holdco (c) | 214.7 | 202.9 | 11.8 | 632.3 | 580.9 | 51.4 |
Generation & Marketing (d) | 99.2 | 92.8 | 6.4 | 225.6 | 204.1 | 21.5 |
All Other | (146.1) | (97.9) | (48.2) | (268.4) | (241.2) | (27.2) |
Total Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) | 985.4 | 923.8 | 61.6 | 2,317.8 | 2,077.6 | 240.2 |
A full reconciliation of GAAP earnings with operating earnings is included in tables at the end of this news release. | |
a. | Includes AEP Generating Co., Appalachian Power, Indiana Michigan Power, Kentucky Power, Kingsport Power, Public Service Co. of |
b. | Includes Ohio Power and AEP Texas |
c. | Includes wholly-owned transmission-only subsidiaries and transmission-only joint ventures |
d. | Includes AEP OnSite Partners, AEP Renewables, competitive generation in ERCOT and PJM as well as marketing, risk management and retail activities in ERCOT, PJM and MISO |
EARNINGS GUIDANCE
AEP narrowed its 2024 operating earnings guidance range to
Reflecting special items recorded through the third quarter, the estimated earnings per share on a GAAP basis would be
2024 EPS Guidance Reconciliation | |||
Estimated EPS on a GAAP basis | to | ||
Mark-to-market impact of commodity hedging activities | (0.09) | ||
Remeasurement of Excess ADIT Regulatory Liability | (0.09) | ||
Impact of NOLC on Retail Rate Making | (0.50) | ||
Disallowance - Dolet Hills Power Station | 0.02 | ||
Provision for Refund - Turk Plant | 0.24 | ||
Sale of AEP OnSite Partners | 0.02 | ||
Severance Charges | 0.18 | ||
Federal EPA Coal Combustion Residuals Rule | 0.21 | ||
SEC Matter Loss Contingency | 0.04 | ||
Operating EPS Guidance | to | ||
WEBCAST
AEP's quarterly discussion with financial analysts and investors will be broadcast live over the internet at 9 a.m. Eastern today at http://www.aep.com/webcasts. The webcast will include audio of the discussion and visuals of charts and graphics referred to by AEP management. The charts and graphics will be available for download at http://www.aep.com/webcasts.
AEP's earnings are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in
ABOUT AEP
Our team at American Electric Power is committed to improving our customers' lives with reliable, affordable power. We are investing
WEBSITE DISCLOSURE
AEP may use its website as a distribution channel for material company information. Financial and other important information regarding AEP is routinely posted on and accessible through AEP's website at https://www.aep.com/investors/. In addition, you may automatically receive email alerts and other information about AEP when you enroll your email address by visiting the "Email Alerts" section at https://www.aep.com/investors/.
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This report made by American Electric Power and its Registrant Subsidiaries contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Although AEP and each of its Registrant Subsidiaries believe that their expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such statements may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different from those projected. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are: changes in economic conditions, electric market demand and demographic patterns in AEP service territories; the economic impact of increased global conflicts and trade tensions and the adoption or expansion of economic sanctions, tariffs or trade restrictions; inflationary or deflationary interest rate trends; volatility and disruptions in the financial markets precipitated by any cause, including turmoil related to federal budget or debt ceiling matters or instability in the banking industry, particularly developments affecting the availability or cost of capital to finance new capital projects and refinance existing debt; the availability and cost of funds to finance working capital and capital needs, particularly if expected sources of capital such as proceeds from the sale of assets, subsidiaries and tax credits, and anticipated securitizations, do not materialize or do not materialize at the level anticipated, and during periods when the time lag between incurring costs and recovery is long and the costs are material; shifting demand for electricity; the impact of extreme weather conditions, natural disasters and catastrophic events such as storms, drought conditions and wildfires that pose significant risks including potential litigation and the inability to recover significant damages and restoration costs incurred; limitations or restrictions on the amounts and types of insurance available to cover losses that might arise in connection with natural disasters or operations; the cost of fuel and its transportation, the creditworthiness and performance of parties who supply and transport fuel and the cost of storing and disposing of used fuel, including coal ash and spent nuclear fuel; the availability of fuel and necessary generation capacity and the performance of generation plants; AEP's ability to recover fuel and other energy costs through regulated or competitive electric rates; the ability to build or acquire generation (including from renewable sources), transmission lines and facilities (including the ability to obtain any necessary regulatory approvals and permits) to meet the demand for electricity at acceptable prices and terms, including favorable tax treatment, cost caps imposed by regulators and other operational commitments to regulatory commissions and customers for generation projects, and to recover all related costs; the disruption of AEP's business operations due to impacts on economic or market conditions, costs of compliance with potential government regulations, electricity usage, supply chain issues, customers, service providers, vendors and suppliers caused by pandemics, natural disasters or other events; new legislation, litigation and government regulation, including changes to tax laws and regulations, oversight of nuclear generation, energy commodity trading and new or heightened requirements for reduced emissions of sulfur, nitrogen, mercury, carbon, soot or particulate matter and other substances that could impact the continued operation, cost recovery, and/or profitability of generation plants and related assets; the impact of federal tax legislation on results of operations, financial condition, cash flows or credit ratings; the risks associated with fuels used before, during and after the generation of electricity and the byproducts and wastes of such fuels, including coal ash and spent nuclear fuel; timing and resolution of pending and future rate cases, negotiations and other regulatory decisions, including rate or other recovery of new investments in generation, distribution and transmission service and environmental compliance; resolution of litigation or regulatory proceedings or investigations; the ability to efficiently manage operation and maintenance costs; prices and demand for power generated and sold at wholesale; changes in technology, particularly with respect to energy storage and new, developing, alternative or distributed sources of generation; AEP's ability to recover through rates any remaining unrecovered investment in generation units that may be retired before the end of their previously projected useful lives; volatility and changes in markets for coal and other energy-related commodities, particularly changes in the price of natural gas; the impact of changing expectations and demands of customers, regulators, investors and stakeholders, including evolving expectations related to environmental, social and governance concerns; changes in utility regulation and the allocation of costs within regional transmission organizations, including ERCOT, PJM and SPP; changes in the creditworthiness of the counterparties with contractual arrangements, including participants in the energy trading market; actions of rating agencies, including changes in the ratings of debt; the impact of volatility in the capital markets on the value of the investments held by AEP's pension, other postretirement benefit plans, captive insurance entity and nuclear decommissioning trust and the impact of such volatility on future funding requirements; accounting standards periodically issued by accounting standard-setting bodies; other risks and unforeseen events, including wars and military conflicts, the effects of terrorism (including increased security costs), embargoes, cyber security threats, labor strikes impacting material supply chains, global information technology disruptions and other catastrophic events; and the ability to attract and retain the requisite work force and key personnel.
American Electric Power | |||||||||||||||
Financial Results for the Third Quarter of 2024 | |||||||||||||||
Reconciliation of GAAP to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) | |||||||||||||||
2024 | |||||||||||||||
Vertically | Transmission | AEP | Generation | Corporate | Total | EPS (a) | |||||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||
GAAP Earnings (Loss) | 571.5 | 245.2 | 214.7 | 93.3 | (165.1) | 959.6 | $ 1.80 | ||||||||
Special Items (b) | |||||||||||||||
Mark-to-Market Impact of Commodity Hedging Activities | (c) | 0.9 | — | — | 5.9 | — | 6.8 | 0.01 | |||||||
SEC Matter Loss Contingency | (d) | — | — | — | — | 19.0 | 19.0 | 0.04 | |||||||
Total Special Items | 0.9 | — | — | 5.9 | 19.0 | 25.8 | $ 0.05 | ||||||||
Operating Earnings (Loss) (non-GAAP) | 572.4 | 245.2 | 214.7 | 99.2 | (146.1) | 985.4 | $ 1.85 | ||||||||
Financial Results for the Third Quarter of 2023 | |||||||||||||||
Reconciliation of GAAP to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) | |||||||||||||||
2023 | |||||||||||||||
Vertically | Transmission | AEP | Generation | Corporate | Total | EPS (a) | |||||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||
GAAP Earnings (Loss) | 512.5 | 206.0 | 202.9 | 130.7 | (98.4) | 953.7 | $ 1.83 | ||||||||
Special Items (b) | |||||||||||||||
Mark-to-Market Impact of Commodity Hedging Activities | (c) | 7.5 | — | — | (37.9) | — | (30.4) | (0.06) | |||||||
Sale of Unregulated Renewables | (e) | — | — | — | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | |||||||
Total Special Items | 7.5 | — | — | (37.9) | 0.5 | (29.9) | $ (0.06) | ||||||||
Operating Earnings (Loss) (non-GAAP) | 520.0 | 206.0 | 202.9 | 92.8 | (97.9) | 923.8 | $ 1.77 | ||||||||
(a) | Per share amounts are divided by Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding – Basic |
(b) | Excluding tax related adjustments, all items presented in the table are tax adjusted at the statutory rate unless otherwise noted |
(c) | Represents the impact of mark-to-market economic hedging activities |
(d) | Represents an estimated loss contingency related to a previously disclosed SEC investigation |
(e) | Represents third-party transaction costs related to the sale of the Competitive Contracted Renewable Portfolio |
American Electric Power | ||||||
Summary of Selected Sales Data | ||||||
Regulated Connected Load | ||||||
(Data based on preliminary, unaudited results) | ||||||
Three Months Ended September 30 | ||||||
ENERGY & DELIVERY SUMMARY | 2024 | 2023 | Change | |||
Vertically Integrated Utilities | ||||||
Retail Electric (in millions of kWh): | ||||||
Residential | 8,959 | 8,975 | (0.2) % | |||
Commercial | 6,910 | 6,686 | 3.4 % | |||
Industrial | 8,562 | 8,731 | (1.9) % | |||
Miscellaneous | 612 | 618 | (1.0) % | |||
Total Retail | 25,043 | 25,010 | 0.1 % | |||
Wholesale Electric (in millions of kWh): (a) | 3,559 | 3,876 | (8.2) % | |||
Total KWHs | 28,602 | 28,886 | (1.0) % | |||
Transmission & Distribution Utilities | ||||||
Retail Electric (in millions of kWh): | ||||||
Residential | 8,206 | 8,442 | (2.8) % | |||
Commercial | 9,671 | 8,574 | 12.8 % | |||
Industrial | 6,725 | 6,601 | 1.9 % | |||
Miscellaneous | 213 | 220 | (3.2) % | |||
Total Retail (b) | 24,815 | 23,837 | 4.1 % | |||
Wholesale Electric (in millions of kWh): (a) | 504 | 485 | 3.9 % | |||
Total KWHs | 25,319 | 24,322 | 4.1 % | |||
(a) | Includes off-system sales, municipalities and cooperatives, unit power and other wholesale customers |
(b) | Represents energy delivered to distribution customers |
American Electric Power | |||||||||||||||
Financial Results for Year-to-Date 2024 | |||||||||||||||
Reconciliation of GAAP to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) | |||||||||||||||
2024 | |||||||||||||||
Vertically | Transmission | AEP | Generation | Corporate | Total | EPS (a) | |||||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||
GAAP Earnings (Loss) | 1,198.0 | 542.3 | 624.1 | 226.1 | (287.5) | 2,303.0 | $ 4.35 | ||||||||
Special Items (b) | |||||||||||||||
Mark-to-Market Impact of Commodity Hedging Activities | (c) | 17.9 | — | — | (70.1) | — | (52.2) | (0.09) | |||||||
Remeasurement of Excess ADIT Regulatory Liability | (d) | (44.6) | — | — | — | — | (44.6) | (0.09) | |||||||
Impact of NOLC on Retail Rate Making | (e) | (259.6) | — | — | — | — | (259.6) | (0.50) | |||||||
Disallowance - Dolet Hills Power Station | (f) | 11.1 | — | — | — | — | 11.1 | 0.02 | |||||||
Provision for Refund - Turk Plant | (g) | 126.4 | — | — | — | — | 126.4 | 0.24 | |||||||
Sale of AEP OnSite Partners | (h) | — | — | — | 10.4 | — | 10.4 | 0.02 | |||||||
Severance Charges | (i) | 57.7 | 27.2 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 93.6 | 0.18 | |||||||
Federal EPA Coal Combustion Residuals Rule | (j) | 10.6 | 41.3 | — | 58.8 | — | 110.7 | 0.21 | |||||||
SEC Matter Loss Contingency | (k) | — | — | — | — | 19.0 | 19.0 | 0.04 | |||||||
Total Special Items | (80.5) | 68.5 | 8.2 | (0.5) | 19.1 | 14.8 | $ 0.03 | ||||||||
Operating Earnings (Loss) (non-GAAP) | 1,117.5 | 610.8 | 632.3 | 225.6 | (268.4) | 2,317.8 | $ 4.38 | ||||||||
Financial Results for Year-to-Date 2023 | |||||||||||||||
Reconciliation of GAAP to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) | |||||||||||||||
2023 | |||||||||||||||
Vertically | Transmission | AEP | Generation | Corporate | Total | EPS (a) | |||||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||
GAAP Earnings (Loss) | 1,051.6 | 508.4 | 580.8 | (59.3) | (209.6) | 1,871.9 | $ 3.62 | ||||||||
Special Items (b) | |||||||||||||||
Mark-to-Market Impact of Commodity Hedging Activities | (c) | (1.7) | — | — | 174.9 | — | 173.2 | 0.34 | |||||||
Termination of the Sale of Kentucky Operations | (l) | — | — | — | — | (33.7) | (33.7) | (0.06) | |||||||
Sale of Unregulated Renewables | (m) | — | — | — | 88.5 | 2.1 | 90.6 | 0.17 | |||||||
Change in Texas Legislation | (n) | (4.3) | (20.2) | 0.1 | — | — | (24.4) | (0.05) | |||||||
Total Special Items | (6.0) | (20.2) | 0.1 | 263.4 | (31.6) | 205.7 | $ 0.40 | ||||||||
Operating Earnings (Loss) (non-GAAP) | 1,045.6 | 488.2 | 580.9 | 204.1 | (241.2) | 2,077.6 | $ 4.02 | ||||||||
(a) | Per share amounts are divided by Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding – Basic |
(b) | Excluding tax related adjustments, all items presented in the table are tax adjusted at the statutory rate unless otherwise noted |
(c) | Represents the impact of mark-to-market economic hedging activities |
(d) | Represents the impact of the remeasurement of excess accumulated deferred income taxes in |
(e) | Represents the impact of receiving IRS PLRs related to NOLCs in retail rate making (I&M, PSO and SWEPCo). Amount includes a reduction in excess accumulated deferred income taxes and activity related to prior periods |
(f) | Represents the impact of a disallowance recorded at SWEPCo on the remaining net book value of the Dolet Hills Power Station as a result of an LPSC approved settlement agreement in April 2024 |
(g) | Represents a provision for revenue refunds on certain capitalized costs associated with the Turk Plant |
(h) | Represents the loss on the sale of AEP OnSite Partners |
(i) | Represents the impact of AEP's recent workforce reduction program |
(j) | Represents the impact of the Federal EPA Revised Coal Combustion Residuals Rule |
(k) | Represents an estimated loss contingency related to a previously disclosed SEC investigation |
(l) | Represents an adjustment to the loss on the expected sale of the Kentucky Operations which was terminated in April 2023 and other related third-party transaction costs |
(m) | Represents the loss on the sale of the Competitive Contracted Renewable Portfolio and other related third-party transaction costs |
(n) | Represents the impact of recent legislation in |
American Electric Power | ||||||
Summary of Selected Sales Data | ||||||
Regulated Connected Load | ||||||
(Data based on preliminary, unaudited results) | ||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30 | ||||||
ENERGY & DELIVERY SUMMARY | 2024 | 2023 | Change | |||
Vertically Integrated Utilities | ||||||
Retail Electric (in millions of kWh): | ||||||
Residential | 24,191 | 23,406 | 3.4 % | |||
Commercial | 18,763 | 17,781 | 5.5 % | |||
Industrial | 25,563 | 25,686 | (0.5) % | |||
Miscellaneous | 1,718 | 1,684 | 2.0 % | |||
Total Retail | 70,235 | 68,557 | 2.4 % | |||
Wholesale Electric (in millions of kWh): (a) | 10,498 | 10,620 | (1.1) % | |||
Total KWHs | 80,733 | 79,177 | 2.0 % | |||
Transmission & Distribution Utilities | ||||||
Retail Electric (in millions of kWh): | ||||||
Residential | 21,079 | 20,618 | 2.2 % | |||
Commercial | 26,871 | 22,711 | 18.3 % | |||
Industrial | 20,363 | 19,800 | 2.8 % | |||
Miscellaneous | 573 | 565 | 1.4 % | |||
Total Retail (b) | 68,886 | 63,694 | 8.2 % | |||
Wholesale Electric (in millions of kWh): (a) | 1,347 | 1,366 | (1.4) % | |||
Total KWHs | 70,233 | 65,060 | 8.0 % | |||
(a) | Includes off-system sales, municipalities and cooperatives, unit power and other wholesale customers |
(b) | Represents energy delivered to distribution customers |
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SOURCE American Electric Power
FAQ
What were AEP's Q3 2024 earnings per share?
What is AEP's new earnings guidance for 2024?
How much is AEP's new five-year capital investment plan?
What is AEP's projected commercial load growth rate?
