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Adecoagro S.A.: Strategic acquisition of Profertil drives pro forma results. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $276.7 million in 2025, $467.2 million pro forma.

(Neutral)

Adecoagro (NYSE: AGRO) reported 2025 results reflecting lower commodity prices, mixed productivity and higher US dollar costs. Adjusted EBITDA was $276.7M in 2025 and $467.2M pro forma. In December 2025 Adecoagro acquired 90% of Profertil for ~$1.1B, financed with cash, debt, seller financing and a $300M equity raise.

The company now reports three segments: Sugar, Ethanol & Energy, Fertilizers and Food & Agriculture, and expects Fertilizers recovery in 2026 after 91 downtime days in 2025.

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Positive

  • Adjusted EBITDA pro forma of $467.2M
  • Acquisition of Profertil for ~$1.1B expands scale
  • Equity raise of $300M (42M shares at $7.25)
  • Profertil supplies ~60% of Argentine urea demand

Negative

  • 2025 Adjusted EBITDA fell to $276.7M
  • Fertilizer plant had 91 days without operations in 2025
  • Farming Adjusted EBITDA declined 82.7% year-over-year
  • Sugar crushing down 4.8% in 2025

News Market Reaction – AGRO

+14.22% 2.9x vol
35 alerts
+14.22% Session close to close
+11.6% Peak in 4 hr 27 min
$1.82B Market Cap
2.9x Rel. Volume

In the Mar 17 session, AGRO gained 14.22%, reflecting a significant positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +11.6% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 35 alerts that day, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility. Trading volume was elevated at 2.9x the daily average, suggesting notable buying interest.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The stock surged +14.2% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with t...
Analysis

The stock surged +14.2% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with the market’s prior interest in Adecoagro’s Profertil strategy, which previously saw a 6.45% jump on deal completion. However, 2025 results showed weaker underlying EBITDA of $276.7M and a net loss of $6.8M, alongside net debt of $1.12B. Sustainability of any surge could depend on how quickly pro forma EBITDA of $467.2M translates into improved leverage metrics.

Key Figures

Adjusted EBITDA 2025: $276.7M Pro forma Adj. EBITDA 2025: $467.2M Profertil purchase price: $1.1B +5 more
8 metrics
Adjusted EBITDA 2025 $276.7M Consolidated 2025 results under IFRS, excluding non-IFRS adjustments
Pro forma Adj. EBITDA 2025 $467.2M 2025 pro forma including Profertil for full year
Profertil purchase price $1.1B Payment for 90% equity stake in Profertil S.A.
Equity issuance proceeds $300M 42M-share offering at $7.25 to help finance Profertil deal
Revenue 2025 $1.43B Full-year 2025 revenue reported in 6-K filing
Net income 2025 -$6.8M Net loss in 2025 vs prior-year profit
Net debt post-deal $1.12B Net debt after Profertil acquisition; roughly $1.5B incl. deferred
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy EBITDA $291.5M 2025 Adjusted EBITDA, down 19.9% year over year

Previous Acquisition Reports

3 past events · Latest: Dec 15 (Positive)
Same Type Pattern 3 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Dec 15 Acquisition completion Positive +6.5% Closed purchase of YPF’s 50% stake, taking 90% control of Profertil.
Dec 01 Binding offer Positive +0.8% Submitted binding offer to acquire YPF’s remaining 50% stake in Profertil.
Sep 08 Acquisition announcement Positive -3.1% Announced deal to buy Nutrien’s 50% in Profertil, expanding fertilizer footprint.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Acquisition-related headlines for AGRO have typically produced modest single-day moves, with an average reaction of 1.35% and a mix of positive and negative responses.

Recent Company History

Over the last six months, Adecoagro has focused on acquiring Profertil, a major urea producer. Initial announcements in Sep 2025 and a binding offer in Dec 2025 outlined purchase terms near $600 million per 50% stake. Completion of the 90% acquisition on Dec 15, 2025 coincided with a 6.45% gain, contrasting with a prior -3.14% reaction to the earlier deal announcement. Today’s earnings and pro forma figures extend that acquisition narrative into reported results.

Key Terms

adjusted EBITDA, IFRS, hedged, non-gaap financial measures
4 terms
adjusted EBITDA financial
"Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $276.7 million in 2025."
Adjusted EBITDA is a way companies measure how much money they make from their core operations, like running a business, by removing certain costs or income that aren’t part of regular business activities. It helps investors see how well a company is doing without distractions from unusual expenses or gains, making it easier to compare companies or track performance over time.
IFRS regulatory
"prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) except for Non - IFRS measures."
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of common accounting rules used by many companies worldwide to prepare financial statements, so numbers like revenue, profit and assets are measured in the same way across borders. For investors, IFRS matters because it makes it easier to compare the financial health and performance of different companies—like using the same ruler to measure different objects—reducing surprises and helping informed investment decisions.
hedged financial
"we have 49% of our 2026 sugar production hedged at an average price of 15.7 cts/lb."
A hedged position is an investment that has been paired with another asset or strategy designed to reduce the risk of loss if the market moves the wrong way. Think of it like buying insurance for a car: the hedge won’t prevent every setback, but it can limit how much you lose and make returns more predictable, which matters to investors balancing growth and protection.
non-gaap financial measures financial
"Non-Gaap Financial Measures: For a full reconciliation of non-gaap financial measures..."
Non-GAAP financial measures are numbers companies use to show their financial performance that exclude certain expenses or income. They help investors see how the company might perform without one-time costs or other unusual items, giving a different perspective from official reports. However, since they can be adjusted, they don’t always tell the full story and should be looked at alongside standard financial figures.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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LUXEMBOURG, March 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE: AGRO, Bloomberg: AGRO US, Reuters: AGRO.K), a leading sustainable production company in South America, announced today its results for the fiscal year 2025 ended on December 31, 2025. The financial information contained in this press release is based on consolidated financial statements presented in US dollars and prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) except for Non - IFRS measures. Please refer to page 13 for a definition and reconciliation to IFRS of the Non - IFRS measures used in the earnings release.

Main highlights for the period:

  • Full year results were pressured by lower commodities prices, mixed productivity and higher costs in U.S. dollar terms.
  • In mid-December we completed the acquisition of Profertil, a transformational step that significantly increases our scale and explains the year-over-year rise in expansion capex and leverage.
  • Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $276.7 million in 2025. On a pro forma basis, Adjusted EBITDA was $467.2 million, below 2024 reflecting AGRO's weaker performance and 91 days without operations at the fertilizer plant.

Profertil's acquisition: A transformational investment driving long-term value

  • In December 2025, we acquired Profertil S.A., paying approximately $1.1 billion for a 90% equity stake (the 10% balance is held by Asociación de Cooperativas Argentinas - "ACA"). We believe Profertil is a best-in-class, low-cost producer of granular urea, uniquely positioned as the sole producer in Argentina and one of the largest and most efficient in South America. With 1.3 million tons of installed capacity, the company supplies ~60% of domestic demand and benefits from access to competitively priced natural gas, the main input in urea production, resulting in consistent cash generation over the years.
  • The acquisition was financed through a combination of existing cash, new long-term debt, equity issuance and seller financing. Adecoagro returned to the public market for the first time since its IPO (2011) with an issuance of 42 million shares (equivalent to 42% of the outstanding shares at that time) at a price of $7.25 per share, raising approximately $300 million. The equity offering was anchored by Tether, our controlling shareholder, who purchased $220 million of shares, together with Adecoagro's Management and Friends & Family, who purchased an additional $26 million of shares.
  • Following the completion of the acquisition of Profertil S.A., the consolidated interim financial statements of the Company incorporate Profertil's income statement for a 13-day period under a new business unit named "Fertilizers", which mainly includes the manufacturing and commercialization of fertilizers. Furthermore, we provide a pro forma comparison to reflect Profertil's acquisition on a yearly basis, as if such event had occurred on January 1, 2024.
  • Profertil's fertilizer plant underwent 91 days without operations in 2025, including a 60-day scheduled maintenance which concluded in mid-December, when the Company assumed control of the operations. We expect in 2026 a recovery in results driven by a full year of operations versus 2025.
  • As a result of the acquisition, the Company reassessed and updated the Group's internal organizational and management structure and beginning in January 2026, the Company operates in three reportable segments: 'Sugar, Ethanol and Energy,' 'Fertilizers', and 'Food & Agriculture'. The latter now reflects an integrated business focused on agricultural and food production that were previously managed and presented through separate verticals, including Crops, Rice and Dairy. Accounting rules will require us to restate our historical financial statements as well to reflect the new segments.

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy business:

  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $73.1 million during 4Q25, marking a 30.6% year-over-year decrease, while in 2025 it amounted to $291.5 million, 19.9% lower than the previous year.

(-) Annual crushing was down by 4.8%, totaling 12.1 million tons, driven by a lower quarterly crushing (2.3 million tons; 8.8% below 4Q24) on less effective milling days given rainy weather.
(+) Greater expected productivity favored by rainfall.
(+) Ethanol maximization (72% in 4Q25 / 58% in 2025) on greater margins compared to sugar.
(+/-) Higher net sales in 4Q25 on higher ethanol revenues. In 2025, despite the outperformance of ethanol, annual sales were down due to the decline in sugar prices and volumes sold.
(+) Cash cost totaled 12.8 cts/lb, in line with 2024, despite lower cost dilution on lower production.

Outlook
(+) Cane productivity has significantly recovered and thanks to our continuous harvest model, we are currently crushing cane -during Brazil's interharvest period- and maximizing ethanol production.
(+) Assuming normal weather, we foresee low-double-digit growth in 2026's crushing volume.
(-/+) As of this date, we have 49% of our 2026 sugar production hedged at an average price of 15.7 cts/lb. In terms of ethanol, we are selling our daily production and carry-over stocks to profit from the current price scenario while clearing out our tanks to have the optionality to store production, when needed.

Fertilizers business:

  • Since the acquisition of Profertil on December 18, 2025, Adjusted EBITDA totaled $6.1 million. On an annual pro forma basis, 2025 Adjusted EBITDA reached $196.5 million compared to $279.6 million in 2024, primarily reflecting fewer operating days during the year, mainly impacted by planned downtime.

Outlook
(+) Adjusted EBITDA recovery driven by normalized operations due to a full year of activity in 2026.
(+) Sharp increase in urea prices due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, ~85% of our estimated sale volume remains open to market prices. Gas supply is secured while prices, which represent 60% of production costs, are fixed through medium-term contracts, positioning the business for margin expansion.

Farming business:

  • Adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.4 million in 4Q25, down 136.1% versus the same period of last year, whereas on a full year basis it reached $17.8 million, marking a 82.7% year-over-year decline. Excluding the sale of La Pecuaria farm in April 2024, annual Adjusted EBITDA was down $70.1 million versus 2024. 

(-) Mixed productivity. Record rice yields but below-average crop production.
(-) Lower commodity prices (between 15% to 45% depending on the product).
(-) Higher costs in US dollar terms.
(+) Higher volumes sold (8% above the prior year).

Outlook
(-/+) We implemented cost initiatives to improve margins, including a 22% year-over-year reduction in total planted area by not renewing leases on farms that did not meet the required return thresholds. In addition, we increased the share of rice specialties vs. commodities due to better margins; and continue to leverage our production flexibility to produce dairy products for domestic and export markets.

Non-Gaap Financial Measures: For a full reconciliation of non-gaap financial measures please refer to page 13 of our 2025 Earnings Release found on Adecoagro's website (ir.adecoagro.com)

Forward-Looking Statements: This press release contains forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about us and our industry. These forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as "anticipate," "forecast", "believe," "continue," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "is/are likely to," "may," "plan," "should," "would," or other similar expressions.

The forward-looking statements included in this press release relate to, among others: (i) our business prospects and future results of operations; (ii) weather and other natural phenomena; (iii) developments in, or changes to, the laws, regulations and governmental policies governing our business, including limitations on ownership of farmland by foreign entities in certain jurisdictions in which we operate, environmental laws and regulations; (iv) the implementation of our business strategy; (v) the correlation between petroleum, ethanol and sugar prices; (vi) our plans relating to acquisitions, joint ventures, strategic alliances or divestitures, and to consolidate our position in different businesses; (vii) the efficiencies, cost savings and competitive advantages resulting from acquisitions; (viii) the implementation of our financing strategy, capital expenditure plan and expected shareholder distributions; (ix) the maintenance of our relationships with customers; (x) the competitive nature of the industries in which we operate; (xi) the cost and availability of financing; (xii) future demand for the commodities we produce; (xiii) international prices for commodities; (xiv) the condition of our land holdings; (xv) the development of the logistics and infrastructure for transportation of our products in the countries where we operate; (xvi) the performance of the South American and world economies; and (xvii) the relative value of the Brazilian Reais, the Argentine Peso, and the Uruguayan Peso compared to other currencies.

These forward-looking statements involve various risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that our expectations expressed in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, our expectations may turn out to be incorrect. Our actual results could be materially different from our expectations. In light of the risks and uncertainties described above, the estimates and forward-looking statements discussed in this press release might not occur, and our future results and our performance may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements due to, inclusive, but not limited to, the factors mentioned above. Because of these uncertainties, you should not make any investment decision based on these estimates and forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements made in this press release relate only to events or information as of the date on which the statements are made in this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the statements are made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

To read the full 2025 earnings release, please access ir.adecoagro.com. A conference call to discuss 2025 results will be held on March 17, 2026, with a live webcast through the internet:

Conference Call
March 17, 2026
10 a.m. US EST
11 a.m. Buenos Aires
11 a.m. São Paulo
3 p.m. Luxembourg
To participate, please register at the link

Investor Relations Department
Emilio Gnecco
CFO
Victoria Cabello
IRO
Email: ir@adecoagro.com

About Adecoagro:
Adecoagro is a leading sustainable production company in South America. Adecoagro owns 210.4 thousand hectares of farmland and several industrial facilities spread across the most productive regions of Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay, where it produces 1.3 million tons of fertilizers, 3.1 million tons of agricultural products and over 1 million MWh of renewable electricity. 

Cision View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/adecoagro-sa-strategic-acquisition-of-profertil-drives-pro-forma-results-adjusted-ebitda-stood-at-276-7-million-in-2025--467-2-million-pro-forma-302715004.html

SOURCE Adecoagro S.A.

FAQ

What did Adecoagro (AGRO) report for 2025 Adjusted EBITDA?

Adjusted EBITDA was $276.7 million for 2025. According to the company, the pro forma Adjusted EBITDA including Profertil was $467.2 million, reflecting the acquisition and 91 days of fertilizer downtime in 2025.

How much did Adecoagro pay to acquire Profertil and how was it financed?

Adecoagro acquired 90% of Profertil for approximately $1.1 billion. According to the company, financing combined existing cash, new long-term debt, seller financing and a $300 million equity raise via 42 million shares.

Why did Profertil EBITDA fall in 2025 and what is the 2026 outlook for AGRO?

Profertil's 2025 pro forma Adjusted EBITDA fell due to fewer operating days and planned downtime. According to the company, 2026 outlook expects recovery from a full year of operations and margin upside from fixed gas contracts.

What drove Adecoagro's Sugar, Ethanol & Energy performance in 2025?

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Adjusted EBITDA declined due to lower sugar prices and reduced crushing. According to the company, ethanol maximization and improved rainfall-supported productivity partially offset weaker sugar volumes and prices.

How did Adecoagro fund its return to the public market in December 2025?

Adecoagro issued 42 million shares at $7.25, raising about $300 million. According to the company, the offering was anchored by controlling shareholder Tether and included management and friends & family participation.