Industry Research Signals Strong Demand Cycle Ahead as Capstone Enters 2026 with Expanded Scale and Margin Strength

Rhea-AI Summary

Capstone Holding Corp (NASDAQ:CAPS) highlighted industry research from Zonda and Bain showing a multi-year exterior and outdoor remodeling demand cycle entering 2026. Zonda projects +5.8% repair and remodeling growth in 2026 and +8.9% in 2027, led by large exterior and professional projects that align with Capstone's categories. The company said it has expanded across 32 states, strengthened margins, and improved operating leverage. Capstone expects its second-half acquisitions to add $26 million of revenue and reaffirmed a $100 million run-rate revenue target for early 2026, citing record year-over-year growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA.

Positive

• Zonda: remodeling growth +5.8% in 2026
• Zonda: remodeling growth +8.9% in 2027
• Second-half acquisitions to add $26 million revenue
• Platform scaled across 32 states
• Reaffirmed $100 million run-rate target for early 2026

Negative

• None.

Insights

Strategic Equity Analyst

Capstone cites industry data and recent acquisitions to reaffirm a early 2026 $100 million run-rate; the news signals positive operational gearing into a forecasted remodeling upswing.

Business mechanism: The company highlights research from Zonda and Bain showing a multi-year remodeling cycle with projected +5.8% growth in 2026 and +8.9% in 2027, and reports acquisitions and organic expansion that add $26 million of revenue and extend distribution across 32 states. If realized, higher scale and a strengthened margin profile increase operating leverage and allow fixed-cost dilution as volumes rise.

Dependencies and risks: The asserted benefits rest strictly on three facts disclosed here: the third‑party demand projections, the recently completed acquisitions quantified at $26 million of revenue, and the company’s reaffirmed run‑rate target for early 2026. The outcome depends on conversion of deferred projects into actual spend and on successful integration of acquisitions; the release does not provide timing, acquisition economics, or near‑term profitability details.

Concrete items to watch (near term): monitor reported revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA in the next formal earnings release for confirmation of the claimed record year‑over‑year gains and the progress toward the $100 million run‑rate by early 2026; also watch integration metrics for the acquisitions adding $26 million in revenue over the next four fiscal quarters.

Market data from Zonda and Bain forecasts accelerated remodeling growth and consolidation favoring multi-regional platforms like Capstone.

NEW YORK, NY / ACCESS Newswire / November 24, 2025 / Capstone Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:CAPS), a national building products distribution platform, today highlighted industry data from Zonda and Bain & Company showing that deferred exterior and outdoor remodeling demand is building into a multi-year demand cycle. Scaled distributors like Capstone are positioned to capture an outsized share.^[1]

"There is a sizable backlog of postponed exterior and outdoor projects, and Capstone is uniquely positioned to capture it," said Matthew Lipman, Chief Executive Officer. "We used the last year to expand our platform, strengthen our margin profile, and scale our capabilities across 32 states. That work prepared the Company to outperform as the next demand cycle accelerates."

Key Highlights:

• Remodeling Growth to Accelerate in 2026-2027: Zonda projects +5.8% repair and remodeling growth in 2026 and +8.9% in 2027. Large exterior and professional projects are expected to lead the rebound, directly aligning with Capstone's category strengths.

• Structural Tailwinds in Exterior & Outdoor Categories: Long-term trends show homeowners allocating more budget to outdoor upgrades and planned communities driving elevated year-round project activity. These developments support sustained demand in Capstone's core categories.

• Rebound Exceeding Prior Cycles: Zonda data indicates that current demand deferral is expected to convert into a sharper-than-historical surge in remodeling activity, supported by favorable housing-stock fundamentals and a significant exterior-project backlog.

• Stronger Scale and Margins: Capstone has successfully expanded its platform, strengthened its margin profile, and scaled its capabilities across 32 states. The Company enters the next demand cycle with greater operating leverage, broader category coverage, and a more efficient distribution model.

• Consolidation Around Scaled Platforms: Bain & Company's research shows value concentrating around scaled, multi-regional operators. Capstone is one of the few platforms with the reach and category depth to compete at national scale.^[2]

"We continue to execute on disciplined acquisitions and organic growth," said Lipman. "Our second-half acquisitions are expected to add $26 million of revenue and accelerate our path to a $100 million run-rate. The industry research confirms the other half of the story: the market is entering a new demand cycle, and Capstone is positioned to win it.

Capstone reaffirms its $100 million run-rate revenue target for early 2026, supported by record year-over-year growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. Further information is available in the Company's earnings presentation and transcript.

About Capstone Holding Corp.
Capstone Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: CAPS) is a diversified platform of building products businesses focused on distribution, brand ownership, and acquisition. Through its Instone subsidiary, Capstone serves 32 U.S. states, offering proprietary stone veneer, hardscape materials, and modular masonry systems. The company's strategy combines disciplined M&A, operational efficiency, and a growing portfolio of owned brands to build a scalable and durable platform.

Investor Contact:
Investor Relations
Capstone Holding Corp.
investors@capstoneholdingcorp.com
www.capstoneholdingcorp.com

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and performance, including guidance regarding revenue and EBITDA targets, M&A strategy, use of capital, and operating outlook. Actual results may differ materially from those projected due to a range of factors, including but not limited to acquisition timing, macroeconomic conditions, and execution risks. Please review the Company's filings with the SEC for a full discussion of risk factors. Capstone undertakes no obligation to revise forward-looking statements except as required by law.

^[1]https://zondahome.com/data-solutions/research/building-products-outlook/
^[2]https://www.bain.com/insights/building-products-m-and-a-report-2024/

SOURCE: Capstone Holding Corp.

View the original press release on ACCESS Newswire

FAQ

What growth does Zonda forecast for remodeling in 2026 and 2027 for CAPS?

Zonda projects +5.8% remodeling growth in 2026 and +8.9% in 2027.

How much revenue do Capstone's second-half acquisitions add according to the November 24, 2025 announcement?

The company expects those acquisitions to add $26 million of revenue.

What revenue milestone did Capstone reaffirm for early 2026 for CAPS?

Capstone reaffirmed a target of a $100 million revenue run-rate for early 2026.

How many states does Capstone report operating in as of November 24, 2025?

Capstone reports scaled capabilities across 32 states.

What research does Capstone cite to support consolidation benefiting multi-regional platforms like CAPS?

Capstone cites Bain & Company research showing value concentrating around scaled, multi-regional operators.

Did Capstone report changes in profit metrics in the November 24, 2025 release for CAPS?

The company reported record year-over-year growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA but did not disclose specific figures in the release.