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Housing Sales Projected to Remain Steady Through 2025

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Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) has released its August 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook, projecting stable housing market conditions through 2025. The ESR Group forecasts total home sales of 4.74 million units for 2025, slightly lower than last month's projection of 4.85 million units.

The forecast includes 4.09 million existing home sales in 2025, showing a modest increase from 4.06 million units in 2024. Mortgage rates are expected to reach 6.5% by end-2025 and 6.1% by end-2026, reflecting slight upward revisions from July's forecast.

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Negative

  • Total home sales forecast revised down to 4.74M units from previous 4.85M projection
  • Mortgage rate projections revised upward compared to July forecast

News Market Reaction 1 Alert

-3.04% News Effect

On the day this news was published, FNMA declined 3.04%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

WASHINGTON, Aug. 19, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Total home sales are forecast at 4.74 million units for 2025, relatively steady compared to last month's forecast of 4.85 million units, according to the August 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook from the Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. The ESR Group projects existing home sales to total 4.09 million units in 2025, compared to the 4.06 million units recorded in 2024. Mortgage rates are expected to end 2025 and 2026 at 6.5 percent and 6.1 percent, respectively, modest upward revisions compared to the July forecast.

Visit Fannie Mae's Data and Insights page to read the full August 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook, including the Economic Developments Commentary, Economic Forecast, and Housing Forecast. To receive email updates with other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, please click here.

Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR Group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current, or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views published by the ESR Group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.

About the ESR Group
Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, led by Chief Economist Mark Palim, studies current data, analyzes historical and emerging trends, and conducts surveys of consumers and mortgage lenders to inform forecasts and analyses on the economy, housing, and mortgage markets.

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SOURCE Fannie Mae

FAQ

What is Fannie Mae's home sales forecast for 2025?

Fannie Mae projects total home sales of 4.74 million units for 2025, with existing home sales accounting for 4.09 million units.

What are FNMA's mortgage rate predictions for 2025-2026?

Fannie Mae forecasts mortgage rates to reach 6.5% by the end of 2025 and decline to 6.1% by the end of 2026.

How do Fannie Mae's August 2025 housing projections compare to previous forecasts?

The August forecast shows a slight decrease from July's projection of 4.85 million units to 4.74 million units, with mortgage rate predictions revised modestly upward.

What is the projected growth in existing home sales from 2024 to 2025?

Fannie Mae forecasts existing home sales to increase from 4.06 million units in 2024 to 4.09 million units in 2025, showing modest growth.
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