Graphic Packaging Holding Company Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
Rhea-AI Summary
Graphic Packaging (NYSE: GPK) reported 2025 net sales of $8.62 billion and net income of $444 million (diluted EPS $1.48), down from $8.81 billion and $658 million in 2024. Fourth-quarter adjusted net income was $85 million (EPS $0.29).
EBITDA fell to $1.34 billion; company affirms 2026 adjusted free cash flow target of $700–$800 million and expects 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $1.05–$1.25 billion.
Positive
- 2025 Innovation Sales Growth of $213 million for the year
- Waco recycled paperboard facility substantially complete after $1.58 billion spent through 2025
- Returned approximately $281 million to shareholders in 2025 via dividends and repurchases
- Affirmed 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow target of $700–$800 million
Negative
- Full-year Adjusted EBITDA declined by $287 million versus 2024
- Net leverage increased to 3.8x from 3.0x in 2024
- 2025 Net Income fell ~33% year-over-year to $444 million
- 2026 guidance assumes a $130 million EBITDA hit from inventory-reduction actions
News Market Reaction
On the day this news was published, GPK declined 15.97%, reflecting a significant negative market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +2.1% during that session. Argus tracked a trough of -13.7% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 98 alerts that day, indicating high trading interest and price volatility. This price movement removed approximately $829M from the company's valuation, bringing the market cap to $4.36B at that time. Trading volume was very high at 5.0x the daily average, suggesting heavy selling pressure.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
Key Figures
Market Reality Check
Peers on Argus
GPK gained 0.89% with heavy volume while key peers showed modest, mixed moves (e.g., SLGN +0.54%, SON +0.84%, REYN -0.43%) and no momentum scanner signals, pointing to stock-specific focus on these results.
Historical Context
| Date | Event | Sentiment | Move | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 05 | Earnings call notice | Neutral | +2.0% | Announced date and access details for Q4 and full-year 2025 call. |
| Dec 22 | Activist letter | Negative | -1.4% | Eminence Capital criticized board communications in open letter to shareholders. |
| Dec 19 | Strategy update | Positive | +0.0% | Company reiterated Vision 2030 and cost/optimization plan and confirmed new CEO. |
| Dec 19 | CEO dispute | Negative | +0.0% | Eminence Capital sought immediate reinstatement of prior CEO in board letter. |
| Dec 08 | Leadership transition | Negative | -2.6% | Announced CEO transition effective Jan 1, 2026 and updated guidance/free cash flow focus. |
Recent moves have been driven by governance and leadership headlines, with the stock often aligning with the tone of activist or transition news, while strategic reassurance pieces have seen muted impact.
Over the past two months, GPK’s news flow has centered on governance, leadership, and shareholder engagement. A Dec 8, 2025 leadership transition announcement and revised 2025 guidance coincided with a -2.56% move. Subsequent activist letters on Dec 19 and Dec 22 highlighted board and CEO disputes, with modest to flat reactions. An earnings-call scheduling release on Jan 5, 2026 saw a 1.98% gain. Today’s 2025 results and 2026 outlook follow this governance-heavy backdrop, adding concrete financial performance and guidance to earlier strategic messaging.
Market Pulse Summary
The stock dropped -16.0% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite the reaffirmed 2026 free cash flow target would fit concerns around earnings compression and leverage. 2025 Net Sales fell to $8.617 billion and Adjusted EBITDA to $1,395 million, while Net Debt reached $5,331 million and the Net Leverage Ratio rose to 3.8x. Past news on leadership changes and activist pressure also coincided with downside, suggesting investors were sensitive to execution and balance sheet risk around large projects like Waco.
Key Terms
ebitda financial
adjusted ebitda financial
adjusted net income financial
adjusted free cash flow financial
net leverage ratio financial
net debt financial
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
2025 Net Sales
2025 Net Income
Affirming 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow target of
Initiated comprehensive review of operations and footprint, and selective review of portfolio
Net Income in fourth quarter 2025 was
Net Income for full-year 2025 was
Robbert Rietbroek, the Company's President and CEO said, "Consumer affordability created a challenging market for our customers and competitive pressure remains a near-term headwind. As we move into 2026, our priorities are clear: drive operational excellence; deliver exceptional customer service; improve our cost structure; and drive substantial free cash flow to strengthen the balance sheet and return capital to shareholders. I have initiated a comprehensive review of our organization structure, operations, and footprint, and a selective review of our portfolio to ensure that our resources are focused where we can create the greatest value for our shareholders."
Operating Results
Net Sales
Fourth quarter 2025 Net Sales were basically flat at
Full-year 2025 Net Sales decreased
EBITDA
Fourth quarter EBITDA decreased
Full-year EBITDA decreased
Other Results
Total Debt (Long-Term, Short-Term and Current Portion) was
Capital expenditures in fourth quarter 2025 were
The Company returned approximately
2026 Annual Guidance and Commentary
The Company currently expects 2026 Net Sales, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EPS of
The Company continues to expect 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of
Innovation Sales Growth, Net Performance and Non-GAAP Reconciliations
We define Innovation Sales Growth as incremental sales of a product that delivers a significant change in materials used, package functionality or design to a new or existing customer. We define Net Performance as the impact of cost and productivity initiatives, production efficiencies and/or disruptions, and other operating impacts. A tabular reconciliation of EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EPS, Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, Adjusted Cash Flow, Net Debt and Net Leverage is attached to this release.
Earnings Call
The Company will host a conference call at 10:00 a.m. ET today (February 3, 2026) to discuss the results of fourth quarter and full-year 2025. The conference call will be webcast and can be accessed from the Investors website at https://investors.graphicpkg.com. Participants may also listen via telephone by using the following dial-in numbers:
Toll-Free: 888-506-0062
International: 973-528-0011
Participant Access Code: 492614
Investors: Investor.Relations@graphicpkg.com
Media: Comms@graphicpkg.com
Forward Looking Statements
Any statements of the Company's expectations in this press release, including, but not limited to volume and cash generation increases, 2026 Net Sales, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share guidance, impact of actions taken to reduce inventory and generate free cash flow, 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow and capital spending, constitute "forward-looking statements" as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based on currently available operating, financial and competitive information and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company's historical experience and its present expectations. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, inflation of and volatility in raw material and energy costs, changes in consumer buying habits and product preferences, competition with other paperboard manufacturers and product substitution, the Company's ability to implement its business strategies, including strategic acquisitions, productivity initiatives, cost reduction plans and integration activities, as well as the Company's debt level, currency movements and other risks of conducting business internationally, the impact of regulatory and litigation matters, including the continued availability of the Company's
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK), headquartered in
Graphic Packaging Holding Company | ||||
Three Months Ended December 31, | Twelve Months Ended December 31, | |||
In millions, except per share amounts | 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 |
Net Sales | $ 2,103 | $ 2,095 | $ 8,617 | $ 8,807 |
Cost of Sales | 1,800 | 1,642 | 7,015 | 6,845 |
Selling, General and Administrative | 141 | 171 | 704 | 774 |
Other Expense, Net | 12 | 15 | 53 | 64 |
Business Combinations, Exit Activities and Other Special Items, | (6) | 28 | 41 | 5 |
Income from Operations | 156 | 239 | 804 | 1,119 |
Nonoperating Pension and Postretirement Benefit Expense | (1) | (1) | (2) | (3) |
Interest Expense, Net | (63) | (53) | (220) | (230) |
Income before Income Taxes and Equity Income of | 92 | 185 | 582 | 886 |
Income Tax Expense | (21) | (47) | (139) | (229) |
Income before Equity Income of Unconsolidated Entity | 71 | 138 | 443 | 657 |
Equity Income of Unconsolidated Entity | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Net Income | $ 71 | $ 138 | $ 444 | $ 658 |
Net Income Per Share - Basic | $ 0.24 | $ 0.46 | $ 1.48 | $ 2.16 |
Net Income Per Share - Diluted | $ 0.24 | $ 0.46 | $ 1.48 | $ 2.16 |
Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding - Basic | 296.6 | 301.5 | 299.3 | 304.0 |
Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding - Diluted | 296.9 | 302.7 | 299.8 | 305.1 |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company | ||
In millions, except share and per share amounts | December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 |
Assets | ||
Current Assets: | ||
Cash and Cash Equivalents | $ 261 | $ 157 |
Receivables, Net | 760 | 759 |
Inventories, Net | 1,753 | 1,754 |
Assets Held for Sale | 10 | 15 |
Other Current Assets | 126 | 99 |
Total Current Assets | 2,910 | 2,784 |
Property, Plant and Equipment, Net | 5,682 | 5,258 |
Goodwill | 2,065 | 1,993 |
Intangible Assets, Net | 670 | 667 |
Other Assets | 448 | 442 |
Total Assets | $ 11,775 | $ 11,144 |
Liabilities | ||
Current Liabilities: | ||
Short-Term Debt and Current Portion of Long-Term Debt | $ 549 | $ 39 |
Accounts Payable | 1,027 | 1,116 |
Other Accrued Liabilities | 665 | 748 |
Total Current Liabilities | 2,241 | 1,903 |
Long-Term Debt | 5,022 | 5,145 |
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities | 688 | 613 |
Other Noncurrent Liabilities | 487 | 470 |
Shareholders' Equity | ||
Preferred Stock, par value | — | — |
Common Stock, par value | 3 | 3 |
Capital in Excess of Par Value | 1,981 | 2,054 |
Retained Earnings | 1,614 | 1,410 |
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss | (262) | (455) |
Total Graphic Packaging Holding Company Shareholders' Equity | 3,336 | 3,012 |
Noncontrolling Interest | 1 | 1 |
Total Equity | 3,337 | 3,013 |
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity | $ 11,775 | $ 11,144 |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company | ||
Twelve Months Ended December 31, | ||
In millions | 2025 | 2024 |
Cash Flows from Operating Activities: | ||
Net Income | $ 444 | $ 658 |
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Operating Activities: | ||
Depreciation and Amortization | 536 | 557 |
Amortization of Deferred Debt Issuance Costs | 6 | 6 |
Deferred Income Taxes | 107 | (119) |
Amount of Postretirement Expense Less Than Funding | (5) | (3) |
Gain on Disposal of Business | — | (75) |
Share-Based Compensation Expense | 2 | 62 |
Other, Net | (36) | 23 |
Changes in Operating Assets and Liabilities | (200) | (269) |
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities | 854 | 840 |
Cash Flows from Investing Activities: | ||
Capital Spending | (935) | (1,203) |
Acquisition of Businesses | (29) | — |
Proceeds from the Sale of Business and Properties | 45 | 711 |
Beneficial Interest on Sold Receivables | 275 | 250 |
Beneficial Interest Obtained in Exchange for Proceeds | (104) | (98) |
Other, Net | 3 | (2) |
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities | (745) | (342) |
Cash Flows from Financing Activities: | ||
Repurchase of Common Stock | (150) | (200) |
Payments on Debt | (14) | (23) |
Proceeds from Issuance of Debt | 99 | 750 |
Retirement of Long-Term debt | — | (700) |
Borrowings under Revolving Credit Facilities | 3,397 | 4,584 |
Payments on Revolving Credit Facilities | (3,171) | (4,747) |
Debt Issuance Costs | (2) | (9) |
Repurchase of Common Stock related to Share-Based Payments | (34) | (25) |
Dividends Paid | (128) | (122) |
Other, Net | (15) | 3 |
Net Cash Used in Financing Activities | (18) | (489) |
Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents, including cash classified within assets held for sale | 91 | 9 |
Less: Cash reclassified to Assets Held for Sale | — | 1 |
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash | 13 | (15) |
Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents | 104 | (5) |
Cash and Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Year | 157 | 162 |
Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Year | $ 261 | $ 157 |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The tables below set forth the calculation of the Company's earnings before interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, including pension amortization ("EBITDA"), Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings Per Share, Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, Adjusted Cash Flow, Net Leverage Ratio, and Total Net Debt. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income exclude charges associated with: the Company's business combinations, facility shutdowns, non-recurring and other special items. The Company's management believes that the presentation of EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings Per Share, Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, Adjusted Cash Flow, and Net Leverage Ratio provides useful information to investors because these measures are regularly used by management in assessing the Company's performance. EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings Per Share, Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, Adjusted Cash Flow, and Net Leverage Ratio, are financial measures not calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in
EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings Per Share, Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, Adjusted Cash Flow, and Net Leverage Ratio should be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP, but should not be considered substitutes for or superior to GAAP results. In addition, our EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings Per Share, Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, Adjusted Cash Flow, and Net Leverage Ratio may not be comparable to Adjusted EBITDA or similarly titled measures utilized by other companies since such other companies may not calculate such measures in the same manner as we do.
Three Months Ended December 31, | Twelve Months Ended December 31, | |||
In millions, except per share amounts | 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 |
Net Income | $ 71 | $ 138 | $ 444 | $ 658 |
Add (Subtract): | ||||
Income Tax Expense | 21 | 47 | 139 | 229 |
Equity Income of Unconsolidated Entity | — | — | (1) | (1) |
Interest Expense, Net | 63 | 53 | 220 | 230 |
Depreciation and Amortization | 150 | 138 | 540 | 561 |
EBITDA | 305 | 376 | 1,342 | 1,677 |
(Gains) Charges Associated with Business Combinations, Exit | (6) | 28 | 41 | 5 |
Other Non-Recurring Items(a) | 12 | — | 12 | — |
Adjusted EBITDA | $ 311 | $ 404 | $ 1,395 | $ 1,682 |
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (Adjusted EBITDA/Net Sales) | 14.8 % | 19.3 % | 16.2 % | 19.1 % |
Net Income | $ 71 | $ 138 | $ 444 | $ 658 |
(Gains) Charges Associated with Business Combinations, Exit | (6) | 28 | 41 | 5 |
Other Non-Recurring Items(a) | 12 | — | 12 | — |
Accelerated Depreciation Related to Exit Activities | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 |
Amortization Related to Purchased Intangible Assets | 16 | 21 | 66 | 82 |
Tax Impact of Adjustments | (10) | (11) | (35) | (6) |
Adjusted Net Income | $ 85 | $ 179 | $ 539 | $ 759 |
Adjusted Earnings Per Share - Basic | $ 0.29 | $ 0.59 | $ 1.80 | $ 2.50 |
Adjusted Earnings Per Share - Diluted | $ 0.29 | $ 0.59 | $ 1.80 | $ 2.49 |
(a) | Represents items management believes are not indicative of ongoing operating performance, including CEO severance expense and one-time charges for software licenses related to reduction in usage tied to cost optimization initiatives and write-offs of implementation costs related to software that is no longer in use. |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company | |||
Twelve Months Ended | |||
In millions | December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 |
Net Income | $ 444 | $ 658 | $ 723 |
Add (Subtract): | |||
Income Tax Expense | 139 | 229 | 210 |
Equity Income of Unconsolidated Entity | (1) | (1) | (1) |
Interest Expense, Net | 220 | 230 | 239 |
Depreciation and Amortization | 540 | 561 | 624 |
EBITDA | 1,342 | 1,677 | 1,795 |
Charges Associated with Business Combinations, Exit Activities and Other | 41 | 5 | 81 |
Other Non-Recurring Items (a) | 12 | — | — |
Adjusted EBITDA | $ 1,395 | $ 1,682 | $ 1,876 |
Calculation of Net Debt: | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
Short-Term Debt and Current Portion of Long-Term Debt | $ 549 | $ 39 | $ 764 |
Long-Term Debt (b) | 5,043 | 5,170 | 4,632 |
Less: | |||
Cash and Cash Equivalents | (261) | (157) | (162) |
Net Debt | $ 5,331 | $ 5,052 | $ 5,234 |
Net Leverage Ratio (Total Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA) | 3.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
(a) | Represents items management believes are not indicative of ongoing operating performance, including CEO severance expense and one-time charges for software licenses related to reduction in usage tied to cost optimization initiatives and write-offs of implementation costs related to software that is no longer in use. |
(b) | Excludes unamortized deferred debt issue costs. |
Twelve Months Ended December 31, | ||
In millions | 2025 | 2024 |
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities | $ 854 | $ 840 |
Net Cash Receipts from Receivables Sold included in Investing Activities | 171 | 152 |
Cash Payments Associated with Business Combinations, Exit Activities and Other Special Items, | 79 | 184 |
Adjusted Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities | $ 1,104 | $ 1,176 |
Capital Spending | (935) | (1,203) |
Adjusted Cash Flow | $ 169 | $ (27) |
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SOURCE Graphic Packaging Holding Company