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Immunovia announces positive results from the model-development study for its next-generation pancreatic cancer detection test

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Immunovia's advancement from IMMray PanCan-d to its next-generation pancreatic cancer detection test holds substantial promise, particularly given the reported specificity of 98% and sensitivity of 75% for early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The enhancement in performance metrics not only signifies a potential breakthrough in oncology diagnostics but could also have meaningful implications for the company's market position. The inclusion of high-performing protein biomarkers that reduce reliance on CA19-9 is a strategic development, considering the limitations faced by a subset of patients unable to produce this biomarker.

From an investor's perspective, this innovation might translate into an increased addressable market and potential revenue growth. Moreover, the absence of indeterminate results could bolster the test's clinical utility and adoption rate. As Immunovia moves closer to potential commercialization, it’s important for investors to consider the regulatory pathways and insurance reimbursements, which serve as critical factors for market penetration and ultimately impact the stock's performance.

The next-generation test's ability to detect early-stage PDAC with such precision is a laudable milestone in oncological care. Sensitivity and specificity are cornerstone parameters in the effectiveness of any diagnostic tool. With a 75% sensitivity, the test is indicative of robust early-detection capabilities, which might lead to timelier interventions and potentially improve patient survival rates. This development is particularly significant for those with genetic predispositions or belonging to demographics traditionally challenged by existing tests, such as patients of African ancestry.

Equipping clinicians with this test could reshape the diagnostic landscape for pancreatic cancer, traditionally fraught with late detection. As understanding deepens about the economic burden of late-stage cancer care versus early intervention, the value proposition of such a test can extend beyond patient outcomes and influence healthcare cost dynamics. This potential paradigm shift could be a pivotal consideration for investors gauging the long-term trajectory of Immunovia's stock.

Immunovia's announcement is indicative of a strategic move that could disrupt the current standard of care for pancreatic cancer and create a significant market opportunity. Beyond the biomedical implications, the financials of the diagnostics market are driven by product adoption, competitive advantage and the reimbursement environment.

Investors should monitor the company's pipeline progress, engagement with the FDA for approval and strategies for health insurance coverage. These factors will influence the time-to-market and the financial impact. Typically, a product that addresses unmet medical needs and shows superiority over existing options, like the traditional CA19-9, tends to be well-positioned for market adoption, which could positively influence the company's valuation. While early in its commercialization journey, this product could be a catalyst for future earnings inflections, particularly if adoption rates and pricing strategies align with market expectations.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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LUND, Sweden, April 22, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Immunovia (NASDAQ Stockholm: IMMNOV), the diagnostics company with the mission to increase pancreatic cancer survival through early detection, today announces its next-generation pancreatic cancer test achieved both the primary and secondary endpoints in a model-development study. 

In the study, Immunovia's next-generation test demonstrated specificity of 98 percent and sensitivity of 75 percent in detecting early stage (1 and 2) pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), a very aggressive and the most common form of pancreatic cancer. The Immunovia test was also significantly more accurate than CA19-9, the biomarker commonly used to detect pancreatic cancer. 

Importantly, these results confirm the technical advancement of the next-generation test over Immunovia's first-generation test, IMMray PanCan-d. The next-generation test includes high-performing protein biomarkers, making the test less reliant on CA19-9. This is a major achievement as around 10 percent of patients, including many patients of African ancestry, do not produce CA19-9, so the IMMray PanCan-d test could not be used in those patients. The results with the new test were achieved including PDAC patients with low CA19-9 values.  

Furthermore, the new test does not provide indeterminate or "borderline" results; all patients are classified as positive or negative for pancreatic cancer. With the first-generation Immunovia test, IMMray PanCan-d, about 10 percent of patients received a test result of "borderline", creating indecision for clinicians.  

The next-generation test is now established on a broadly used ELISA platform, resulting in more precise protein measurement, faster testing, and lower cost of goods sold. 

"Pancreatic cancer is a brutal and lethal cancer. People at risk for pancreatic cancer need a simple, fast, and easy blood test to detect cancer early. We are very excited about the potential of our test to meet this need and increase survival rates for these patients," says Jeff Borcherding, CEO and President of Immunovia. 

The model development study was designed to select the highest performing biomarkers to include in the next-generation test, to define the algorithm to produce a diagnostic result, and to provide an initial assessment of the test's clinical performance. The study included 481 blood samples from the U.S. and Europe. Of these, 133 were samples from patients with stage 1 or 2 PDAC. The 348 control samples represented a wide range of subjects, including people at high-risk for hereditary and familial pancreatic cancer, diabetics, patients with benign pancreatic lesions worrisome for PDAC, and healthy individuals. 

Immunovia will now move to a second phase of the model development study, expected to be completed in 6 - 8 weeks, in which it will conduct additional statistical analyses to refine and assess the robustness of the test model. In addition, test performance will be evaluated in a more selective cohort of patients at high risk for pancreatic cancer.  

In the second and third quarters of 2024, Immunovia will perform several analytical validation steps to verify the accuracy and reproducibility of the protein biomarker measurements. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the company will conduct a large clinical validation study to confirm the performance of the next-generation test, setting the stage for a U.S. launch in 2025.

Immunovia estimates that there are at least 600,000 individuals in the U.S. at high risk of pancreatic cancer due to family history and genetic mutations. Many more are at risk due to other factors. The current standard of care for surveillance is annual imaging using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) or endoscopic ultrasound (EUS). High-risk individuals and clinicians at leading high-risk pancreatic cancer surveillance centers have expressed a very strong desire for a simple blood test to make surveillance faster, more convenient, and less invasive. 

For more information, please contact:

Jeff Borcherding 
CEO and President 
jeff.borcherding@immunovia.com  

Karin Almqvist Liwendahl
Chief Financial Officer
karin.almqvist.liwendahl@immunovia.com
+46 709 11 56 08

The information in this report is information that Immunovia AB is obliged to make public pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation. The information was submitted for publication, through the agency of the contact person set out above, at 08:30 am CET on April 22, 2024.

Immunovia in brief 

Immunovia AB is a diagnostic company whose mission is to increase survival rates for patients with pancreatic cancer through early detection. Immunovia is focused on the development and commercialization of simple blood-based testing to detect proteins and antibodies that indicate a high-risk individual has developed pancreatic cancer. 

Immunovia collaborates and engages with healthcare providers, leading experts and patient advocacy groups to make its test available to individuals at increased risk for pancreatic cancer. 

USA is the world's largest market for detection of pancreatic cancer. The company estimates that in the USA, 1.8 million individuals are at high-risk for pancreatic cancer and could benefit from annual surveillance testing. 

Immunovia's shares (IMMNOV) are listed on Nasdaq Stockholm. For more information, please visit www.immunovia.com 

This information was brought to you by Cision http://news.cision.com

https://news.cision.com/immunovia-ab/r/immunovia-announces-positive-results-from-the-model-development-study-for-its-next-generation-pancre,c3964866

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https://mb.cision.com/Main/13121/3964866/2747211.pdf

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Cision View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/immunovia-announces-positive-results-from-the-model-development-study-for-its-next-generation-pancreatic-cancer-detection-test-302123062.html

SOURCE Immunovia AB

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