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Nexxen’s 2026 World Cup Forecast Helps Advertisers Plan for Fragmented TV Landscape

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Nexxen (NEXN) released a 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions report using proprietary data and a 2025 U.S. consumer survey of 1,000+ adults to forecast viewing behavior for the expanded, North America-hosted tournament.

Key findings: U.S. soccer interest +48%, 43% plan to watch via streaming/vMVPDs (a 14% increase vs 2022), 87% would watch on free ad-supported streaming (FAST) if available, and 90% of intended viewers misidentify at least one platform carrying matches. Nexxen positions its SSP/DSP and Nexxen Sports to help advertisers reach fragmented audiences across screens.

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Positive

  • U.S. interest in soccer up 48%
  • Streaming viewership share at 43% (up 14% vs 2022)
  • 87% of fans would use free ad-supported streaming (FAST)

Negative

  • 90% of viewers incorrectly identify at least one match platform
  • Viewing is splintering faster than ever across streaming and linear
  • Free-streaming availability could rapidly shift audience distribution

Key Figures

U.S. soccer interest increase 48% Increase in U.S. interest in soccer with North America hosting 2026 World Cup
Streaming viewing share 43% Fans planning to watch via streaming/apps and vMVPDs
Streaming growth since 2022 14% Increase in fans planning to watch via streaming vs 2022
FAST interest 87% Fans saying they would watch matches on a FAST service if available
Platform confusion 90% Intended viewers incorrectly naming at least one platform they think will carry matches
Survey sample size 1,000+ adults 2025 consumer survey of U.S. adults intending to watch the tournament
World Cup teams 48 teams Expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament field
Pre-news share price $6.04 Price before World Cup forecast article; 1.63% down on the day

Market Reality Check

$5.90 Last Close
Volume Volume 482,630 is 17% above the 20-day average of 412,559, showing elevated interest pre-release. normal
Technical Shares at $6.04 are trading below the 200-day MA of $9.06 and 72.39% under the 52-week high.

Peers on Argus

While NEXN was down 1.63%, key peers were mostly positive: ADV up 8.98%, QNST up 4.73%, CRTO up 3.76%, CCO up 1.42%, with only ANTE down 4.92%, suggesting a stock-specific move.

Historical Context

Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Jan 02 Share repurchase update Positive -3.4% December 2025 buybacks and approval of new $40M repurchase program.
Dec 29 AGM postponement Neutral +0.8% Rescheduling 2025 AGM to Jan 6, 2026 and extending voting deadline.
Dec 26 AGM proposal updates Neutral +0.6% Supplemental proxy updating board and compensation proposals before AGM.
Dec 11 Product feature launch Positive -0.1% New Auto Allocate and measurement features added to Nexxen Health DSP.
Dec 09 Sports platform launch Positive +2.0% Launch of Nexxen Sports targeting highly engaged live sports audiences.
Pattern Detected

Recent Nexxen news has produced modest price moves, with one notable divergence where buyback news saw a negative reaction despite its typically supportive signal.

Recent Company History

Over the past month, Nexxen announced a $40 million new share repurchase program and detailed December 2025 buybacks, yet the stock fell 3.36% after that update. Governance and AGM-related disclosures around Dec 30, 2025 led to small positive moves under 1%. Product launches like Nexxen Health optimization and Nexxen Sports, tied to live sports and the FIFA 2026 World Cup, generated minor reactions between about -0.15% and +1.99%. Today’s World Cup viewing forecast builds on this sports-focused positioning.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement showcases Nexxen’s data-driven approach to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, quantifying shifts toward streaming, FAST services and a fragmented TV landscape. It builds on earlier launches like Nexxen Sports that target live sports viewers. Investors may watch how effectively the company converts these insights into advertiser demand, campaign budgets, and usage across its unified SSP/DSP stack as the tournament approaches.

Key Terms

virtual multichannel video programming distributors technical
"watch via streaming/apps and virtual multichannel video programming distributors"
Virtual multichannel video programming distributors are companies that deliver bundles of live TV channels and on-demand shows over the internet instead of through traditional cable or satellite. They matter to investors because they can change how viewers pay for and access content, shifting revenue from legacy systems to subscription fees, advertising, and licensing—similar to how online grocery delivery reshapes shopping habits and earnings for stores and suppliers.
free ad-supported streaming technical
"watch matches on a free ad-supported streaming (“FAST”) service"
Free ad-supported streaming is an internet-based service that delivers video or audio content to users at no subscription cost, with the service paid for by advertising shown during playback—think of it like a free television channel or newspaper supported by ads. It matters to investors because it can grow large audiences quickly without asking for payments, so revenue, profitability and company value hinge on how well viewers can be converted into ad impressions and how strong ad prices are.
supply-side platform financial
"unified platform – spanning a supply-side platform (“SSP”) and demand-side platform"
A supply-side platform is an online tool publishers use to sell their digital advertising space automatically to the highest bidders across many ad networks and buyers. For investors, an SSP matters because it determines how efficiently publishers convert audience attention into revenue, influences ad pricing and margins, and signals competitive strength or risk in companies that depend on programmatic advertising — like the marketplace software that matches supply with demand.
demand-side platform financial
"spanning a supply-side platform (“SSP”) and demand-side platform (“DSP”)"
A demand-side platform is an automated tool advertisers use to buy digital ad space across many websites and apps in real time, combining audience data, budgets and bidding rules to decide where and when ads appear. It matters to investors because DSPs make ad spending more efficient and measurable—improving targeting, lowering wasted spend and enabling faster scaling—so businesses that operate or rely on them can show stronger revenue efficiency and more predictable marketing returns.
DSP financial
"demand-side platform (“DSP”), with the Nexxen Data Platform at its core"
A demand-side platform (DSP) is software that automates buying digital advertising space across websites, apps and video, letting marketers bid for and place ads in real time. Think of it as a smart shopper that compares many stores at once to find the best price and audience for each ad. Investors watch DSPs because their reach, pricing efficiency, data access and compliance with privacy rules directly affect revenue growth, margins and competitive position in ad-driven businesses.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

New research and proprietary insights reveal where fans will watch, and how quickly audiences may shift if streaming access expands

NEW YORK, Jan. 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) --  Nexxen, a global, flexible advertising technology platform with deep expertise in data and advanced TV, today launched a new predictions report on the 2026 FIFA World Cup, leveraging Nexxen’s proprietary data and resources to track past, present and future audience behavior. Through data-driven forecasts based on historical trends and current analysis, the report offers advertisers directional insights into how, and where, fans will be watching and engaging, helping them guide planning,

With the tournament coming to North America and expanding to 48 teams, Nexxen’s report highlights a key reality for marketers: World Cup audiences are growing, but viewing is splintering faster than ever across streaming and linear environments.

Specifically, it reveals several shifts for which advertisers should be planning, including:

  • U.S. interest in soccer is up by 48% – North America hosting has emerged as a top driver of increased interest
  • Streaming has become the default for a significant share of fans, with 43% planning to watch via streaming/apps and virtual multichannel video programming distributors (“vMVPDs”), reflecting a 14% jump from 2022
  • If free streaming options appear, as they did just before the Super Bowl in 2025, fans will move fast — 87% say they would watch matches on a free ad-supported streaming (“FAST”) service, if it becomes available
  • “Where to watch” confusion is widespread, with 90% of intended viewers incorrectly naming at least one platform they believe will carry matches

Through Nexxen’s unified platform – spanning a supply-side platform (“SSP”) and demand-side platform (“DSP”), with the Nexxen Data Platform at its core – as well as solutions like the recently launched Nexxen Sports, advertisers can activate these insights to reach and engage fans across screens, even as viewing shifts.

The report combines data from Nexxen Discovery, the company’s proprietary planning and insights tool that tracks audience behaviour across screens, with analysis of historical viewing patterns and a 2025 consumer survey of 1,000+ U.S. adults (English- and Spanish-speaking) intending to watch the tournament.

Nexxen's full 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions report is available now.

About Nexxen
Nexxen empowers advertisers, agencies, publishers and broadcasters around the world to utilize data and advanced TV in the ways that are most meaningful to them. Our flexible and unified technology stack comprises a demand-side platform (DSP) and supply-side platform (SSP), with the Nexxen Data Platform at its core. With streaming in our DNA, Nexxen’s robust capabilities span discovery, planning, activation, monetization, measurement and optimization – available individually or in combination – all designed to enable our partners to achieve their goals, no matter how far-reaching or hyper niche they may be.

Nexxen is headquartered in Israel and maintains offices throughout the United States, Canada, Europe and Asia-Pacific, and is traded on the Nasdaq (NEXN). For more information, visit www.nexxen.com

Forward-Looking Statements   
This press release contains forward-looking statements, including forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the United States Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements are identified by words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “intends,” “may,” “can,” “will,” “estimates,” and other similar expressions. However, these words are not the only way Nexxen identifies forward-looking statements. All statements contained in this press release that do not relate to matters of historical fact should be considered forward-looking statements, including without limitation statements regarding any of Nexxen’s offerings and products and platforms including the Nexxen AI capabilities, Discovery Tool, cross-screen measurement tools, Data Platform and CTV offering. These statements are neither promises nor guarantees but involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause Nexxen’s actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from its expectations expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, the following: negative global economic conditions; ,including risks related to tariff impacts or policy shifts that could materially affect market sentiment, consumer behavior and advertising demand; global conflicts and war, including the current terrorist attacks by Hamas, and the war and hostilities between Israel and Hamas and Israel and Hezbollah, and how those conditions may adversely impact Nexxen’s business, customers, and the markets in which Nexxen competes. Nexxen cautions you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. For a more detailed discussion of these factors, and other factors that could cause actual results to vary materially, interested parties should review the risk factors listed in the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (www.sec.gov) on March 5, 2025. Any forward-looking statements made by Nexxen in this press release speak only as of the date of this press release, and Nexxen does not intend to update these forward-looking statements after the date of this press release, except as required by law. 

For more information, please contact:
Genevieve Wheeler
Communications Director
gwheeler@nexxen.com


FAQ

What did Nexxen (NEXN) report about U.S. interest in the 2026 World Cup on Jan 7, 2026?

Nexxen reported U.S. interest in soccer is up 48%, tied to North America hosting and tournament expansion.

How much of the 2026 World Cup audience does Nexxen predict will watch via streaming for NEXN advertisers?

The report shows 43% plan to watch via streaming/apps and vMVPDs, a 14% jump from 2022.

What percentage of fans would switch to free ad-supported streaming (FAST) according to Nexxen (NEXN)?

Nexxen's survey found 87% of fans would watch matches on a FAST service if it became available.

How does Nexxen (NEXN) say advertisers should respond to fragmented World Cup viewing?

Nexxen recommends using its unified SSP/DSP, Nexxen Data Platform, and Nexxen Sports to reach audiences across screens as viewing shifts.

What viewer confusion metric did Nexxen (NEXN) find for the 2026 World Cup?

The report found 90% of intended viewers incorrectly named at least one platform they believe will carry matches.

Where can advertisers access Nexxen's 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions report (NEXN)?

Nexxen's full 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions report is available now from the company for advertisers and partners.
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