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Perpetuals.com Ltd. Can Now Prevent 92% of Losing Retail Trades with NVIDIA AI Superchip

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Perpetuals.com (Nasdaq:PDC) completed a BayesShield™ AI pilot that, on backtesting to one year of real retail BTC perpetual-futures trades, would have filtered 92% of losing retail trades. The company began full-scale development on NVIDIA hardware using >11.7 billion trades and >1 million user histories, and plans a wider commercial rollout in H2.

Integration with EarlyWorks consolidated the tech stack and the redesigned site now centralizes the Kronos X exchange suite, custody and tokenization services.

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Positive

  • BayesShield™ backtest filtered 92% of losing retail BTC perpetual trades
  • Training dataset exceeds 11.7 billion trades and 1 million user histories
  • Full-scale development on NVIDIA hardware for production deployment
  • Planned commercial rollout across regulated infrastructure in H2

Negative

  • Pilot results based on backtesting; live-market performance and real-time efficacy remain unproven
  • Broad deployment could face regulatory scrutiny given algorithmic trade blocking in retail markets
  • Commercial rollout timing vague beyond 'second half of the year', creating execution uncertainty

Key Figures

Losing trades filtered: 92% Backtest period: 12 months Retail trades analyzed: Over 11.7 billion +1 more
4 metrics
Losing trades filtered 92% Proportion of losing retail BTC-USD-PERP trades the AI would have blocked
Backtest period 12 months Historical retail trading data used for BayesShield backtesting
Retail trades analyzed Over 11.7 billion Individual retail trades in training dataset spanning multiple years
User trading histories More than 1 million Unique retail user trading histories used for behavioral patterns

Market Reality Check

Price: $4.05 Vol: Volume 70,007 is about 0....
low vol
$4.05 Last Close
Volume Volume 70,007 is about 0.24x the 20-day average of 294,018, indicating muted trading interest. low
Technical Shares trade below the 200-day MA, with price at $4.51 versus MA(200) at $5.89 and 43.34% below the 52-week high.

Previous AI Reports

1 past event · Latest: Jan 22 (Positive)
Same Type Pattern 1 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Jan 22 AI platform coverage Positive +4.7% Media feature on AI-powered derivatives platform and expansion plans.
Pattern Detected

The prior AI-tagged news saw a positive price reaction, while this AI update coincides with a double-digit decline, hinting at inconsistent responses to similar themes.

Recent Company History

Recent news for PDC has focused on technology and platform build-out. On Jan 20, the Earlyworks acquisition and rebrand to Perpetuals.com targeted global derivatives markets. An AI-driven derivatives platform feature on Jan 22 was followed by a positive move of 4.68%. Quantum-Resilient Vaults were then introduced on Jan 27, with a 6.86% gain. Today’s BayesShield™ AI pilot results extend the AI theme but coincide with a 10.52% decline.

Historical Comparison

AI
+4.7 %
Average Historical Move
Historical Analysis

Past AI-tagged news for PDC (1 event) saw an average move of +4.68%. Today’s -10.52% reaction to another AI-focused update contrasts with that prior positive response.

Typical Pattern

Earlier AI coverage highlighted the overall derivatives platform, while the latest news reports specific BayesShield™ pilot performance and NVIDIA-based scaling on large trade datasets.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement details BayesShield™ AI’s pilot, which reportedly would have blocked 92% of losing...
Analysis

This announcement details BayesShield™ AI’s pilot, which reportedly would have blocked 92% of losing retail trades using more than 11.7 billion trades and over 1 million user histories. It extends a recent pattern of AI-focused initiatives for Perpetuals.com and follows the platform’s rebrand and custody technology launches. Investors may watch for concrete deployment across regulated venues, integration with existing products, and any follow-up metrics on real-world performance and adoption.

Key Terms

perpetual futures, backtesting, multilateral trading facility, mifid ii
4 terms
perpetual futures financial
"in the BTC-USD-PERP perpetual futures market, based on backtesting"
Perpetual futures are contracts that let investors bet on an asset’s price without a set expiration date, combining the ability to use borrowed funds with a recurring small payment or receipt that keeps the contract price close to the actual market price. They matter because they offer continuous, high-leverage exposure and deep liquidity—useful for quick trading and price discovery—but also raise the risk of forced exits and amplified losses, so they change how investors manage risk.
backtesting technical
"based on backtesting against a full year of actual retail trading data"
Backtesting is the practice of applying an investment strategy or trading rule to historical market data to see how it would have performed. It matters to investors because it helps reveal strengths, weaknesses, and potential risks of a strategy before real money is at stake—like replaying past games to refine tactics—while remembering that past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
multilateral trading facility regulatory
"a third-party, CySEC-authorized MiFID II-licensed Multilateral Trading Facility"
A multilateral trading facility (MTF) is an organized electronic venue where multiple buyers and sellers can trade financial instruments like stocks, bonds or derivatives, run by a firm other than a national stock exchange. Think of it as an alternative marketplace or online auction house that matches orders from many participants; it matters to investors because MTFs can offer different pricing, faster execution, lower costs or access to trading hours and instruments that traditional exchanges may not provide.
mifid ii regulatory
"a third-party, CySEC-authorized MiFID II-licensed Multilateral Trading Facility"
MiFID II is a set of rules in Europe that aims to make financial markets more transparent and fair. It requires banks and investment firms to clearly explain their services and costs to clients, helping people make better-informed decisions when investing their money.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

TOKYO, JP / ACCESS Newswire / February 3, 2026 / Perpetuals.com Ltd. (Nasdaq:PDC) ("Perpetuals.com" or the "Company"), a regulated financial technology company combining blockchain infrastructure and artificial intelligence to transform digital asset trading, today announced the successful completion of a BayesShield AI pilot program(the "BayesShield AI Pilot Program"). The pilot has demonstrated the system's ability to filter out 92% of losing retail trades in the BTC-USD-PERP perpetual futures market, based on backtesting against a full year of actual retail trading data.

The BayesShield AI Pilot Program validated the Company's proprietary machine learning models by analyzing historical retail trading behavior in the Bitcoin perpetual futures market. When applied to 12 months of real retail trade data, the AI system successfully identified and would have filtered 92% of trades that ultimately resulted in losses for retail participants.

"These pilot results exceed our expectations and validate years of research into retail trading behavior," said Patrick Gruhn ("Mr. Gruhn"), the CEO and the founder of Perpetuals.com. "The data show that the vast majority of retail losses in leveraged derivatives markets are predictable and preventable. BayesShield represents a paradigm shift in how trading platforms can protect their users while maintaining market integrity."

Amid the current downturn in cryptocurrency prices, which has tested trader resilience across the board with sharp price corrections, the BayesShield AI Pilot Program demonstrates exceptional real-world utility. For example, its predictive intelligence identifies and blocks the majority of losing trades before execution, providing critical protection in turbulent markets while reinforcing crypto's fundamental robustness and long-term growth potential.

The BayesShield AI Pilot Program analyzes the specific profit and loss profiles of individual traders, identifying patterns in collective market sentiment to calculate win/loss probability in real-time. The system is designed to help product issuers-such as options writers, market makers, and derivatives platforms-optimize hedging strategies while providing enhanced protection for retail participants.

"The retail derivatives market has historically operated on a model where the majority of participants lose money," continued Mr.Gruhn. "BayesShield fundamentally changes this dynamic. By predicting which trades are likely to fail before they execute, we can create trading environments that are both more ethical and more sustainable for all participants."

Building on the pilot's success, Perpetuals.com has commenced full-scale development of the BayesShield AI Pilot Platform. The production system is being trained on NVIDIA hardware on one of the largest retail trading datasets ever assembled:

  • Over 11.7 billion individual retail trades spanning multiple years of market activity

  • More than 1 million unique user trading histories providing statistically significant behavioral patterns

  • Cryptocurrency spot markets including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins

  • Cryptocurrency derivatives, including perpetual futures, options, and leveraged products

  • Traditional stock markets, enabling cross-asset pattern recognition and model validation

Protecting Retail Traders Through Predictive Intelligence

The announcement coincides with the successful completion of the Company's technical integration following its business combination with EarlyWorks Co., Ltd. This integration consolidated technology stacks, operational infrastructure, and data systems into a unified platform. The redesigned website at perpetuals.com now serves as the central hub for all products and services, including the Kronos X®exchange suite, Perpetuals Vault custody solutions, Ledgera cross-chain infrastructure, PerpetualPay.net, and tokenization services, reflecting the Company's expanded capabilities and unified brand identity.

The BayesShield AI Pilot Program positions Perpetuals.com to address systemic inefficiencies and ethical concerns in retail derivatives trading-a segment that has faced increasing regulatory scrutiny globally due to high retail loss rates.

The Company plans to deploy the BayesShield AI Pilot Program across its regulated trading infrastructure, including to a third-party, CySEC-authorized MiFID II-licensed Multilateral Trading Facility, with a broader commercial rollout planned for the second half of the year. Institutional partners, trading platforms, and product issuers interested in early access or integration discussions can contact the Company through perpetuals.com.

About Perpetuals.com Ltd.

Perpetuals.com (NASDAQ:PDC) is a financial technology company that combines blockchain infrastructure and artificial intelligence to transform digital asset trading. The Company develops and operates Kronos X®, a proprietary, multi-asset exchange platform and blockchain-based settlement solution fully compliant with European regulations, including MiCA, DORA, and EMIR. The Company provides financial market infrastructure as a service from Equinix FR2 in Frankfurt, Germany, alongside Eurex and Xetra, enabling clients to operate 24/7 trading of crypto spot, derivatives, tokenized securities, and structured products.

The Perpetuals.com team pioneered regulated tokenized financial products, including Pre-IPO contracts for Coinbase, Airbnb, and Robinhood-as reported by Forbes-as well as tokenized stocks traded on major exchanges. Building on machine-learning analysis of millions of retail trade transactions, the Company has developed AI-powered risk intelligence designed to analyze trading patterns in real-time.

For more information, visit perpetuals.com.

Trademark Information: Kronos X® is a registered trademark in the European Union under filing number 019097099 and a pending trademark registration in the United States. Perpetuals.com is the subject of a pending trademark application in the European Union under filing number 019186468. Ledgera™ is pending trademark registration in the United States and Europe. PerpetualsPay.Net is a registered trademark in the European Union and the United Kingdom. BayesShield is a pending trademark registration in the European Union and the United States.

Forward-Looking Statements: This press release contains forward-looking statements as defined within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to, statements set forth in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Words such as "expect", "will", "positions", "advancing", "aligning", and other similar expressions may indicate forward-looking statements, though not all forward-looking statements contain such words. These statements reflect the Company's current view with respect to future events, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including regulatory approvals, completion of the announced transaction, market conditions, and risks detailed in the Company's SEC filings, and are necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by the Company, are inherently subject to significant business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties, and contingencies. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should the assumptions set out by the Company underlying those forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described herein. Individuals are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and accordingly investors are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this press release and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

Media Contact

Perpetuals.com Ltd.
Email: press@perpetuals.com
Website: www.perpetuals.com

Investor Relations Contact

ir@perpetuals.com

SOURCE: Perpetuals.com



View the original press release on ACCESS Newswire

FAQ

What did Perpetuals.com (PDC) report about the BayesShield™ AI pilot on February 3, 2026?

Perpetuals.com reported the BayesShield™ pilot would have filtered 92% of losing retail BTC perpetual trades in backtesting. According to Perpetuals.com, the result derives from analysis of a full year of actual retail trade data.

How large is the dataset Perpetuals.com is using to train BayesShield™ for production?

The company is training models on a dataset of over 11.7 billion retail trades and more than 1 million user histories. According to Perpetuals.com, this spans crypto derivatives, spot markets, and traditional equities for cross-asset validation.

When will Perpetuals.com (PDC) roll out BayesShield™ commercially?

Perpetuals.com plans a broader commercial rollout in the second half of 2026. According to Perpetuals.com, initial deployment targets regulated trading infrastructure including a CySEC-authorized MiFID II multilateral trading facility.

What platform and hardware is Perpetuals.com using to build the BayesShield™ production system?

Perpetuals.com is developing the production BayesShield™ on NVIDIA hardware to scale model training and inference. According to Perpetuals.com, the integration follows consolidation of technology stacks after its business combination with EarlyWorks.

How might BayesShield™ affect retail traders and derivatives platforms for PDC shareholders?

BayesShield™ is designed to identify high-probability losing trades and block them pre-execution, potentially reducing retail losses. According to Perpetuals.com, the system also aims to help product issuers optimize hedging and support market integrity.
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