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Redfin (NYSE:RKT) reports a significant shift in the U.S. housing market dynamics, with both buyers and sellers retreating. The market has lost approximately 14,000 home sellers in the past two months, with total sellers declining to 1.95 million in July from 1.96 million in May - the first decline since July 2023.
Despite this decrease, sellers still outnumber buyers by 519,000, the widest margin since 2013. The estimated 1.43 million homebuyers in July marked the lowest level on record outside of the pandemic period. The median home sale price increased 1.4% year-over-year to $434,189 in July, the highest July level on record.
Geographically, Miami and Fort Lauderdale emerge as the strongest buyer's markets, while Newark and Nassau County remain the strongest seller's markets. Among the 50 most populous metros, 35 are buyer's markets, 10 are balanced, and 5 are seller's markets.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) reports that the mortgage spread—the difference between 10-year treasury yields and mortgage rates—has reached its lowest level in over three years at 2.26 percentage points as of August 22, down from 2.5 at summer's start and 2.68 a year ago.
This narrowing spread signals potential benefits for homebuyers and refinancers, as it can lead to lower mortgage rates independent of Federal Reserve actions. A homebuyer with a $3,000 monthly budget can now afford a $439,000 home at the current 6.55% rate, representing a $20,000 increase in purchasing power since May's peak rate of 7.08%.
The spread remains above typical levels of 1.5-2 percentage points, suggesting further potential for mortgage rate decreases.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) released a comprehensive survey revealing significant housing affordability challenges, particularly among younger generations. The study, conducted by Ipsos in May 2025, found that 70% of Gen Z and millennial renters struggle with housing payments, compared to 41% of homeowners in the same age group.
To afford housing, young renters are making significant sacrifices: 40% reduced restaurant visits, 32% cut vacations, 27% borrowed money, and notably, 22% skipped meals. The survey of over 4,000 U.S. residents shows housing costs have outpaced wage growth, with median home prices up 40% since pre-pandemic levels while wages only increased 28%.
However, there are positive signs in the market: mortgage rates have reached a 10-month low, and affordability has improved in 11 major metro areas. The current buyer's market offers more negotiating power, with builders providing incentives and sellers showing flexibility due to increased supply.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) released a comprehensive survey revealing significant impacts of job security concerns on major purchasing decisions. The study, conducted by Ipsos in August 2025, found that 44% of American workers are postponing or canceling major purchases like homes or cars due to job security concerns, while 30% are accelerating their purchase plans.
The survey of 1,142 employed U.S. residents showed that 66% of workers feel confident about their job security, while 31% express concerns. Notably, 37% of workers report increased job security concerns compared to six months ago. Among concerned workers, 32% cite company performance as the primary reason, followed by tariffs (17%) and AI impact (16%).
The study also revealed that 36% of American workers lack an emergency fund for housing payments, with significant disparities across income levels and age groups. Only 9% of those aged 18-34 have more than 12 months of housing payments saved, compared to 38% of those 55 and older.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) released a comprehensive survey revealing significant impacts of job security concerns on major purchase decisions. The study, conducted by Ipsos in August 2025, found that 42% of American workers are delaying or canceling major purchases like homes or cars due to job security concerns.
While 66% of workers express confidence in their job security, 31% report concerns, with 37% feeling more concerned than six months ago. The survey highlighted disparities across income levels, with 53% of households earning under $50,000 delaying purchases, compared to 34% for those earning $100,000+. Notably, 36% of workers lack emergency funds for housing payments, with significant variations across demographic groups.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) reports that home purchase cancellations reached a record high in July 2025, with 15.3% of contracts (approximately 58,000) being canceled, up from 14.5% a year earlier. This represents the highest July cancellation rate since records began in 2017.
The analysis reveals that Texas and Florida experienced the highest cancellation rates, with San Antonio leading at 22.7%, followed by Fort Lauderdale (21.3%) and Jacksonville (19.9%). Conversely, Nassau County, NY recorded the lowest rate at 5.1%. Virginia Beach saw the largest year-over-year increase in cancellations, rising by 3.6 percentage points to 16.1%.
The surge in cancellations is attributed to high home prices, elevated mortgage rates, and economic uncertainty, giving buyers more negotiating power in many markets.
Redfin's latest housing market report reveals that typical homebuyer monthly mortgage payments have decreased to $2,614, marking the lowest level since January and a $224 drop from May's peak. This reduction is primarily attributed to mortgage rates falling to a 10-month low of 6.58%, following weak July jobs data and neutral inflation reports.
The median U.S. home sale price reached $394,498 during the four weeks ending August 17, showing a 1.9% year-over-year increase. Despite lower payments, market activity remains subdued with homes typically spending 42 days on market, the longest duration for this time of year since 2019. New listings are up marginally by 0.5% year-over-year, while total inventory shows a 10.7% increase, the smallest gain in nearly 18 months.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) reports that U.S. home prices decreased 0.1% in July 2025, marking the third consecutive month of price declines. The year-over-year price growth slowed to 2.9%, the lowest rate since 2012 according to the Redfin Home Price Index (RHPI).
Home prices declined in 39 of the 50 largest U.S. metro areas, with West Palm Beach (-2.6%), San Diego (-2.2%), and Austin (-1.9%) experiencing the steepest monthly drops. The slowdown is attributed to housing inventory returning to pre-pandemic levels while buyer demand has fallen to a decade-low. New York led yearly gains with 11.8% growth, while Austin saw the largest annual decline at -4.5%.
Redfin (NYSE:RKT) reports significant slowdown in the U.S. housing market, with homes taking 43 days to sell in July 2025—the longest for any July since 2015. The median home sale price increased 1.4% year-over-year to $443,867, marking the highest July level on record.
Key market indicators show cooling demand: pending home sales dropped 1.1% month-over-month to 470,474 units, while existing-home sales decreased to 4.15 million annually. Active listings fell 1.1% month-over-month, the largest drop in two years, as sellers withdraw from the market. About 15.3% of home-purchase agreements were canceled in July—the highest July rate since 2017.
Rocket Companies (NYSE:RKT) announced the early tender results for its cash tender offers and consent solicitations for Nationstar Mortgage Holdings' senior notes. The tender offers target 5.125% Senior Notes due 2030 and 5.750% Senior Notes due 2031, with 88.33% and 89.13% of the outstanding principal amounts tendered respectively.
The tender offers are part of Rocket Companies' pending acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group. Holders of early tender notes will receive $1,012.50 per $1,000 principal amount, which includes a $50.00 early tender payment. The company received requisite consents to amend the notes' indentures, eliminating change of control requirements and most restrictive covenants.
The tender offers will expire on September 2, 2025, though the company anticipates extending this deadline to align with the Mr. Cooper acquisition closing.