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SunCar Forecasting Preliminary Unaudited 2025 Revenue of $498 million, Strong Q4 Growth of 24%, Second Half 2025 Profitability, and 20% Revenue Growth in 2026

(Very Positive)
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SunCar Technology Group (NASDAQ: SDA) forecasted 2025 revenue of $498 million, up 13% from 2024, with preliminary unaudited Q4 2025 revenue of $160 million (+24% YoY). The company expects to be profitable in H2 2025 and forecasts 2026 revenue of $600 million (~20% growth).

SunCar cites momentum from EV insurance partnerships, countrywide auto services wins, and integration of ByteDance DouBao AI to drive revenue growth and cost reductions.

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Positive

  • Full-year 2025 revenue forecast of $498 million (+13% YoY)
  • Q4 2025 preliminary revenue of $160 million (+24% YoY)
  • Forecasted 2026 revenue of $600 million (~20% growth)
  • Company expects profitability in the second half of 2025
  • AI integration with ByteDance DouBao driving revenue and cost reduction

Negative

  • 2025 revenue growth modest at 13% versus potential higher expectations
  • 2025 figures described as preliminary unaudited forecasts

News Market Reaction – SDA

+22.34%
29 alerts
+22.34% Session close to close
+22.1% Peak in 6 hr 27 min
$238.65M Market Cap
0.9x Rel. Volume

In the Mar 6 session, SDA gained 22.34%, reflecting a significant positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +22.1% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 29 alerts that day, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The stock surged +22.3% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with p...
Analysis

The stock surged +22.3% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with prior earnings-related moves, where SDA’s average shift around such events was 4.68%. The market has previously rewarded clear revenue growth and improving profitability. However, strong moves can be sensitive to changing expectations around the 2025 $498M and 2026 $600M forecasts or any future revisions to the expected second-half 2025 profitability.

Key Figures

2025 revenue forecast: $498M 9M 2025 revenue: $338M Q4 2025 revenue: $160M +2 more
5 metrics
2025 revenue forecast $498M Company forecast for full-year 2025, +13% vs 2024
9M 2025 revenue $338M First three quarters 2025, +8% vs prior-year period
Q4 2025 revenue $160M Preliminary unaudited, +24% vs Q4 2024
2026 revenue forecast $600M Full-year 2026 forecast, ~20% above 2025 forecast
Second-half 2025 profitability Profitable Company expects to be profitable in H2 2025

Previous Earnings Reports

3 past events · Latest: Dec 18 (Positive)
Same Type Pattern 3 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Dec 18 Q3 2025 earnings Positive +3.5% Revenue growth, swing to net income, and stronger adjusted EBITDA.
Oct 27 H1 2025 results Positive +11.2% Higher revenue with sharply narrowed net loss and improving EBITDA.
May 19 Q1 2025 earnings Positive -0.7% 20% revenue growth, improved operating loss, and full-year guidance.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Earnings-related releases have generally been received positively, with two prior earnings reports seeing upward price moves and one showing a mild negative reaction, for an average move of about 4.68% around such events.

Recent Company History

Over recent quarters, SunCar has reported steady revenue growth and improving profitability. Q1 2025 revenue rose 20% to $102.6M with an operating loss that narrowed versus 2024. First-half 2025 revenue reached $222.3M, with net loss improving to $5.5M. By Q3 2025, revenue was $115.8M and net income turned positive at $1.4M. Today’s 2025–2026 revenue forecasts and profitability outlook build on this trajectory of scaling revenue while tightening losses.

Key Terms

ai
1 terms
ai technical
"The Company’s further integration of ByteDance DouBao’s AI into its platform is contributing"
Artificial intelligence (AI) is technology that enables machines to mimic human thinking and learning, allowing them to analyze information, recognize patterns, and make decisions. For investors, AI matters because it can improve how businesses operate, create new products, or identify opportunities faster and more accurately than humans alone, potentially impacting company success and market trends.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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NEW YORK, March 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SunCar Technology Group Inc. (the "Company" or "SunCar") (NASDAQ: SDA), a leader in digitalizing auto insurance in China, is forecasting revenue of $498 million for 2025, a 13% increase from 2024.

For the first three quarters of 2025, SunCar’s revenues were $338 million, an 8% increase from the previous year period.

In the fourth quarter of 2025, SunCar had its strongest quarter with preliminary unaudited revenue forecasted to be $160 million, a 24% increase from the same quarter in 2024. The Company expects to be profitable for the second half of 2025.

SunCar’s revenue forecast for the full-year 2026 is $600 million, an approximate increase of 20% from its forecasted unaudited 2025 revenue of $498 million.

The Company is enjoying strong momentum in the insurance segment from its EV partnerships. In auto services, SunCar is winning an unprecedented number of countrywide bids as well as seeing increased synergies with its insurance business. The Company’s further integration of ByteDance DouBao’s AI into its platform is contributing to both revenue growth and cost reduction.

SunCar’s CEO and Chairman, Zaichang Ye commented, “SunCar’s team worked hard to achieve profitability for the second half of 2025 while still registering strong growth. We are excited about the evolution of our EV manufacturer partnerships in the insurance segment. Our industry-specific AI technology plays a large part in increasing SunCar’s value proposition to these partners. In auto services’ business, we are winning larger contracts and seeing increased synergies with the insurance segment because of AI and the increasing digitalization of our customers.”

Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains information about the Company’s view of its future expectations, plans, and prospects that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from historical results or those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors including, but not limited to, risks and uncertainties associated with its ability to raise additional funding, its ability to maintain and grow its business, variability of operating results, its ability to maintain and enhance its brand, its development and introduction of new products and services, the successful integration of acquired companies, technologies and assets into its portfolio of products and services, marketing and other business development initiatives, competition in the industry, general government regulation, economic conditions, dependence on key personnel, the ability to attract, hire and retain personnel who possess the technical skills and experience necessary to meet the requirements of its clients, and its ability to protect its intellectual property. Forward-looking statements in this release include statements regarding the planned launch of AI-powered services, expected improvements in customer experience, potential cost reductions, and the development of SaaS solutions. These statements involve risks including technology development challenges, market acceptance, regulatory approval requirements, and the ability to scale AI implementations. For a detailed discussion of these risks, please refer to the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, except as required by law.

Contact Information:

SunCar:

Investor Relations: Mr. Breaux Walker
Email: IR@suncartech.com

Legal: Ms. Li Chen
Email: chenli@suncartech.com

SOURCE SunCar Technology Group Inc.


FAQ

What is SunCar's (SDA) 2025 revenue forecast announced March 6, 2026?

SunCar forecasted $498 million in revenue for 2025, a 13% increase from 2024. According to the company, this includes preliminary unaudited Q4 revenue of $160 million, up 24% year-over-year.

When did SunCar (SDA) say it expects to reach profitability in 2025?

SunCar expects to be profitable in the second half of 2025. According to the company, H2 profitability follows stronger Q4 performance and operational cost reductions from AI integration.

What revenue guidance did SunCar (SDA) give for 2026 on March 6, 2026?

SunCar forecasted $600 million revenue for 2026, about a 20% increase from its 2025 forecast. According to the company, growth is driven by EV insurance partnerships and expanded auto services contracts.

How did SunCar (SDA) describe Q4 2025 performance in its March 6, 2026 update?

SunCar reported Q4 2025 as its strongest quarter with preliminary unaudited revenue of $160 million (+24% YoY). According to the company, Q4 strength supports H2 profitability and full-year guidance.

What role does AI play in SunCar's (SDA) growth according to the March 6, 2026 release?

SunCar says integration of ByteDance DouBao AI contributes to both revenue growth and cost reduction. According to the company, AI improves value to EV insurer partners and creates synergies between insurance and auto services.