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New apartment supply and rise of 'accidental landlords' help cool rent growth nationwide

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Zillow (NYSE: Z) reports U.S. asking rent growth slowed to 1.9% year‑over‑year in February, the slowest pace since December 2020, with the typical asking rent at $1,895. Nearly 39.2% of listings offered concessions as rising apartment completions and “accidental landlords” expand supply.

Multifamily rent growth eased to 1.4% annually from peaks near 16% in 2022; Zillow forecasts modest 2026 gains: single‑family +1.8% and multifamily +0.9% by December 2026.

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Positive

  • National rent growth slowed to 1.9% YoY, easing price pressure
  • 39.2% of listings offered concessions, indicating stronger renter bargaining power
  • Typical asking rent reported at $1,895, a clear market benchmark

Negative

  • Multifamily rent growth down to 1.4% annually, sharply below 2022 peak (~16%)
  • Household needs about $76,000 annually to afford the typical rent, 35% higher than pre-pandemic
  • Several large metros show year‑over‑year rent declines (Austin -2.4%, San Antonio -1.6%, Tampa -1.4%, Denver -1.0%)

News Market Reaction – ZG

-1.79%
-1.79% Session close to close

In the Mar 19 session, ZG declined 1.79%, reflecting a mild negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

This announcement details a marked slowdown in U.S. rent growth, with the typical rent at $1,895 and...
Analysis

This announcement details a marked slowdown in U.S. rent growth, with the typical rent at $1,895 and year-over-year gains of just 1.9%. Elevated concessions, at 39.2% of listings, and modestly improved affordability frame a market where renters gain leverage while landlords compete on price and incentives. For Zillow, such reports reinforce its role as a key data source; observers may watch future updates to see how sustained supply, vacancy and single-family trends evolve across metros.

Key Figures

U.S. rent YoY change: 1.9% Typical U.S. rent: $1,895 Multifamily rent growth: 1.4% annually +5 more
8 metrics
U.S. rent YoY change 1.9% Year-over-year increase in typical U.S. asking rent in February
Typical U.S. rent $1,895 Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), national level
Multifamily rent growth 1.4% annually Annual multifamily rent growth amid higher vacancy rates
Single-family rent growth 2.6% YoY Single-family rents year-over-year in February
Pre-pandemic SF rent growth 4.4% annually Average single-family rent growth before the pandemic
Income to afford rent $76,000 annually Household income needed to afford typical U.S. rental
Income share on rent 26.3% Median renter household income share spent on typical U.S. rent
Listings with concessions 39.2% Share of U.S. rental listings on Zillow offering a concession

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Mar 17 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Mar 17 Product launch Positive +6.6% Launch of Zillow Preview pre-market listing option with major brokerage partners.
Mar 11 Market trends update Positive +1.5% Report on rise in unsold homes becoming rentals and geographic trend details.
Mar 05 Share repurchase Positive +2.0% Authorization of additional $1.25B buyback, lifting remaining capacity to about $1.3B.
Mar 04 Housing report Positive +1.3% February market report showing modest home value gains and improved mortgage affordability.
Feb 23 Investor event Positive +2.4% Announcement of AI Summit for investors showcasing integrated AI across real estate journey.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent Zillow news, including product launches, market reports and capital return actions, has consistently been followed by positive price reactions, indicating a pattern of constructive investor response to company and macro-housing updates.

Recent Company History

Over the past month, Zillow has released several housing-market data reports and strategic updates. On Feb 23, it announced an AI Summit for investors. On Mar 4 and Mar 11, it highlighted market and “accidental landlord” trends, followed by a major $1.25B buyback authorization on Mar 5. Most recently, on Mar 17 it launched Zillow Preview for pre-market listings. Each event saw a positive next-day move, and today’s national rent report fits this pattern of data-driven updates.

Key Terms

zillow observed rent index (zori), vacancy rates, multifamily
3 terms
zillow observed rent index (zori) technical
"The typical asking rent now stands at $1,895, according to the Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)."
The Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) is a regularly updated measure of rent changes based on actual rental listings and transactions gathered from a large online housing platform. It shows how asking and achieved rents are rising or falling across cities and regions. Investors use it like a thermometer for the rental market: shifts in ZORI signal potential impacts on property owners’ income, housing-related companies, consumer spending, and inflation expectations.
vacancy rates technical
"A boom in apartment construction has pushed vacancy rates higher and slowed multifamily rent growth..."
Vacancy rates measure the share of rentable space — apartments, offices, or retail units — that is unoccupied during a given period, usually shown as a percentage. Investors watch them because empty units are like empty seats in a restaurant: they reduce rental income, raise the cost per occupied unit, and signal whether demand for the property type is strengthening or weakening, which directly affects cash flow and valuation.
multifamily technical
"…pushed vacancy rates higher and slowed multifamily rent growth to 1.4% annually…"
Multifamily describes residential properties that contain multiple separate living units under one ownership, such as apartment buildings, duplexes, triplexes or condo complexes. Investors care because a single property can produce income from many tenants at once, smoothing cash flow much like a small rental fleet rather than one standalone house, and offering scale benefits, diversified tenant risk, and sensitivity to rental market trends that affect returns and asset value.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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Rent growth slows to 1.9% amid persistent supply glut, giving renters more leverage after years of rapid rent increases

  • The year-over-year increase in the typical U.S. asking rent eased to 1.9% in February, according to the Zillow Observed Rent Index.
  • Nearly 40% of rental listings on Zillow offered concessions, such as free rent or waived fees, in February.
  • While affordability is improving, a household needs to earn about $76,000 a year to afford the typical rent — nearly $20K more than before the pandemic.

SEATTLE, March 19, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The rental market is recalibrating following years of rapid growth. In February, rents nationwide were up 1.9% from a year earlier, Zillow's latest Rental Market Report shows. This is the slowest pace of annual growth since December 2020. The typical asking rent now stands at $1,895, according to the Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI).

The moderation is being driven by expanding supply. A boom in apartment construction has pushed vacancy rates higher and slowed multifamily rent growth to 1.4% annually, down from nearly 16% at the height of the 2022 rental frenzy.

Cooling conditions in the for-sale market are also contributing to rental supply. Late last year, a near-record number of homeowners who were unable to sell chose to rent out their properties instead. These "accidental landlords" are adding single-family homes to the rental pool. Single-family rents rose 2.6% year over year in February, the slowest annual growth in Zillow's records dating back to 2015. For comparison, single-family rent growth averaged about 4.4% annually before the pandemic.

"Renters are gaining leverage, and that advantage is expected to continue as new supply comes online," said Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow®. "An increase in both apartment buildings and single-family rentals means landlords must continue to compete more on price and incentives."

Affordability improves, but pressures persist
As incomes have grown slightly faster than rents over the past year, affordability for new renters has modestly improved. A renter household that earns the median household income now spends 26.3% of its income on rent, down slightly from a year ago. Still, a household needs to earn about $76,000 annually to comfortably afford the typical rental, which is 35% higher than the income required before the pandemic.

The good news for renters: More rental options have boosted bargaining power and helped cool rent growth. Concessions remain common as well, with 39.2% of listings on Zillow offering incentives, such as free rent or waived fees. While that share is down slightly from a year ago, by historical standards, it remains elevated.

Local markets move at different speeds
In February, the pace of annual rent increases decelerated in 34 markets when compared to the previous month.

Rents fell on a year-over-year basis in eight of the 50 largest U.S. markets, typically those that have absorbed large volumes of new supply. These include Austin (-2.4%), San Antonio (-1.6%), Tampa (-1.4%) and Denver (-1%). Some tighter markets are posting stronger gains. San Francisco leads with rents up 6.3% year over year, followed by Virginia Beach (5.7%) and Chicago (5.5%).

Among the 50 largest markets, Austin, San Antonio, Jacksonville, and Tampa had the highest vacancy rates at the end of 2025. Hartford, Boston, Denver, San Jose, and Providence had the lowest vacancy rates.

What's ahead
Rent growth is projected to remain modest in 2026, with single-family rents forecast to rise 1.8% and multifamily rents 0.9% by December 2026. Elevated vacancy, continued apartment completions and more single-family homes entering the rental market are expected to keep national rent growth in check, although local conditions will vary.

For renters, more supply may mean greater negotiating power. Zillow connects renters to apartments, single-family homes and rooms for rent — all in one place — and the rent affordability calculator helps ensure the match fits the budget. For property managers, it means pricing competitively and utilizing the right tools to make their listings stand out.

Metro Area

Typical Rent,
Zillow
Observed Rent
Index (ZORI)

Typical Rent,
Month-over-
Month Change

Typical Rent,
Year-over-Year
Change

Renter
Affordability
(Share of Median
Income Spent on
Typical Rent)

Share of Rental
Listings on
Zillow Offering a
Concession

United States

$1,895

0.4 %

1.9 %

26.3 %

39.2 %

New York, NY

$3,258

0.5 %

4.2 %

37.1 %

19.0 %

Los Angeles, CA

$2,884

0.2 %

1.1 %

33.9 %

30.0 %

Chicago, IL

$2,132

0.9 %

5.5 %

26.8 %

22.0 %

Dallas, TX

$1,630

0.3 %

0.2 %

19.9 %

61.8 %

Houston, TX

$1,620

-0.1 %

-0.4 %

22.7 %

51.1 %

Washington, DC

$2,331

0.5 %

0.2 %

21.1 %

56.1 %

Philadelphia, PA

$1,859

0.6 %

3.1 %

23.3 %

32.9 %

Miami, FL

$2,654

0.2 %

0.5 %

37.3 %

27.9 %

Atlanta, GA

$1,808

0.2 %

1.6 %

22.3 %

56.2 %

Boston, MA

$3,098

0.6 %

1.9 %

29.7 %

32.1 %

Phoenix, AZ

$1,724

0.4 %

-0.7 %

21.8 %

57.6 %

San Francisco, CA

$3,103

1.1 %

6.3 %

25.9 %

30.4 %

Riverside, CA

$2,478

0.4 %

1.7 %

30.9 %

28.1 %

Detroit, MI

$1,461

0.2 %

2.4 %

21.8 %

27.0 %

Seattle, WA

$2,181

0.2 %

1.8 %

22.2 %

53.9 %

Minneapolis, MN

$1,664

0.6 %

4.0 %

19.4 %

40.7 %

San Diego, CA

$2,871

0.5 %

1.6 %

29.8 %

36.5 %

Tampa, FL

$1,976

0.3 %

-1.4 %

28.6 %

49.9 %

Denver, CO

$1,844

0.3 %

-1.0 %

19.4 %

68.6 %

Baltimore, MD

$1,857

0.3 %

2.5 %

21.5 %

39.3 %

St. Louis, MO

$1,395

0.2 %

3.5 %

19.5 %

26.4 %

Orlando, FL

$1,922

0.3 %

0.2 %

27.0 %

51.1 %

Charlotte, NC

$1,716

0.3 %

0.5 %

22.6 %

64.1 %

San Antonio, TX

$1,392

0.2 %

-1.6 %

20.2 %

54.8 %

Portland, OR

$1,779

0.3 %

0.9 %

20.4 %

49.6 %

Sacramento, CA

$2,211

0.2 %

2.1 %

25.4 %

31.6 %

Pittsburgh, PA

$1,446

0.2 %

3.8 %

21.1 %

26.9 %

Cincinnati, OH

$1,536

0.7 %

3.5 %

21.5 %

24.2 %

Austin, TX

$1,563

0.5 %

-2.4 %

17.9 %

63.6 %

Las Vegas, NV

$1,720

0.4 %

-0.1 %

24.5 %

52.9 %

Kansas City, MO

$1,481

0.4 %

3.5 %

20.1 %

37.1 %

Columbus, OH

$1,484

0.5 %

1.7 %

20.3 %

45.3 %

Indianapolis, IN

$1,486

0.1 %

2.6 %

21.3 %

44.2 %

Cleveland, OH

$1,394

0.8 %

5.0 %

22.6 %

27.8 %

San Jose, CA

$3,431

0.7 %

5.1 %

23.2 %

34.6 %

Nashville, TN

$1,777

0.2 %

0.2 %

22.8 %

62.1 %

Virginia Beach, VA

$1,787

0.5 %

5.7 %

24.6 %

27.6 %

Providence, RI

$2,095

0.7 %

4.8 %

29.1 %

13.2 %

Jacksonville, FL

$1,666

0.5 %

0.7 %

23.1 %

47.3 %

Milwaukee, WI

$1,484

0.2 %

3.5 %

21.8 %

29.5 %

Oklahoma City, OK

$1,359

0.4 %

2.6 %

21.1 %

29.7 %

Raleigh, NC

$1,651

0.4 %

0.2 %

18.4 %

62.8 %

Memphis, TN

$1,421

-0.2 %

1.2 %

23.8 %

38.8 %

Richmond, VA

$1,658

0.7 %

3.9 %

22.8 %

45.7 %

Louisville, KY

$1,361

0.0 %

1.9 %

20.9 %

41.1 %

New Orleans, LA

$1,577

0.3 %

0.2 %

28.8 %

16.1 %

Salt Lake City, UT

$1,599

0.1 %

-0.7 %

18.1 %

67.6 %

Hartford, CT

$1,886

-0.1 %

2.5 %

22.8 %

24.1 %

Buffalo, NY

$1,374

0.5 %

3.6 %

21.7 %

9.5 %

Birmingham, AL

$1,406

0.2 %

1.6 %

21.1 %

40.8 %

*Table ordered by market size

About Zillow Group:

Zillow Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: Z and ZG) is reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people.

As the most visited real estate app and website in the United States, Zillow connects hundreds of millions of consumers with innovative technology, trusted agents and loan officers, and seamless digital solutions. With industry-leading tools and resources, Zillow supercharges real estate professionals so they can grow their businesses and deliver exceptional client experiences. For renters and housing providers, Zillow offers not only a robust marketplace but a set of end-to-end products and services to streamline applications, leases, payments and more.

Zillow's ecosystem spans the entire home journey — from dreaming and shopping to renting, buying, selling and financing.

Zillow Group's affiliates, subsidiaries and brands include Zillow®, Zillow Premier Agent®, Zillow Home Loans®, Zillow Rentals®, Zillow® New Construction, Trulia®, StreetEasy®, Out East®, HotPads®, Follow Up Boss®, ShowingTime®, dotloop® and Zillow® Closing.

All marks herein are owned by MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate. Zillow Home Loans, LLC is an Equal Housing Lender, NMLS #10287 (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org). © 2026 MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate.

(ZFIN)

 

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-apartment-supply-and-rise-of-accidental-landlords-help-cool-rent-growth-nationwide-302718272.html

SOURCE Zillow

FAQ

What did Zillow report about U.S. rent growth on March 19, 2026 (Z)?

Rent growth slowed to 1.9% year‑over‑year in February 2026. According to Zillow, this is the slowest annual pace since December 2020, with the typical asking rent at $1,895.

How common were rent concessions in Zillow listings in February 2026 (Z)?

About 39.2% of Zillow rental listings offered concessions in February 2026. According to Zillow, common incentives included free rent or waived fees, reflecting increased landlord competition.

How much income is needed to afford the typical rent according to Zillow (Z)?

A household needs about $76,000 annually to comfortably afford the typical rent. According to Zillow, this required income is roughly 35% higher than the pre‑pandemic level.

Which large U.S. metros saw year‑over‑year rent declines in February 2026 (Z)?

Some large metros recorded YoY rent declines, including Austin -2.4%, San Antonio -1.6%, Tampa -1.4%, and Denver -1.0%. According to Zillow, these markets absorbed large volumes of new supply.