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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC, guaranteed by Morgan Stanley, is marketing SX5E Dual Directional Buffered PLUS notes maturing 1 August 2030 (pricing 28 July 2025, CUSIP 61778K7E1). The unsecured notes are linked solely to the EURO STOXX 50 Index (SX5E) and have a face amount of $1,000. The bank’s internal models place the estimated value at $920.20 (±$55), indicating an embedded cost of roughly 8 cts on the dollar.
The structure is dual-directional: (i) if SX5E ends above the initial level, investors receive the positive index return multiplied by a leverage factor of 157%–172% (exact rate set on pricing); (ii) if SX5E ends below the initial level but by no more than 15%, investors earn a 100% “absolute return” on that decline, turning a moderate loss in the index into a gain on the note; (iii) once the index falls beyond the 15% buffer, principal is exposed one-for-one, creating a maximum loss of 85%. The note pays no periodic coupon and redemption depends exclusively on the single observation date of 29 July 2030.
Key risks highlighted include credit exposure to Morgan Stanley, the absence of exchange listing or guaranteed liquidity, model-based valuation that is below issue price, potential adverse hedging impacts by affiliates, and uncertain U.S. tax treatment. The securities suit investors comfortable with MSCI Europe exposure, long holding periods and the possibility of substantial capital loss in exchange for leveraged upside and limited downside protection.
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