STOCK TITAN

[SC 14D9/A] POTBELLY CORP Amended Tender Offer Recommendation

Filing Impact
(Low)
Filing Sentiment
(Neutral)
Form Type
SC 14D9/A

Potbelly Corporation filed voluntary supplemental disclosures to its previously submitted Schedule 14D-9 to address complaints and demand letters challenging a proposed transaction. The company states it believes the allegations are without merit but is providing extra detail to reduce the risk that litigation will delay or increase the cost of the Transactions. Management and its advisor included multi-year financial projections showing revenue rising from $487.1M (2025E) to $725.4M (2029E), and free cash flow forecasts that shift from a ($2.4M) figure to positive figures through the period. Valuation tables show the offer price context: a closing share price of $49.69, fully diluted equity of $1,660M and enterprise value of $2,410M with an implied EV/EBITDA of 12.2% for CY2025E and 11.0% for CY2026E. The filing includes a comparable transactions list with enterprise values and EV/LTM EBITDA multiples for industry precedent transactions.

Potbelly Corporation ha presentato disclosure supplementari volontari rispetto al Schedule 14D-9 già depositato per affrontare le lamentele e le lettere di richiesta che contestano una transazione proposta. L'azienda afferma di ritenere infondate le accuse ma fornisce ulteriori dettagli per ridurre il rischio che una controversia ritardi o aumenti i costi delle Transazioni. La direzione e il suo consulente hanno incluso proiezioni finanziarie pluriennali che mostrano i ricavi in aumento da $487.1M (2025E) a $725.4M (2029E), e previsioni di flusso di cassa libero che passano da una cifra di ($2.4M) a valori positivi nel periodo. Le tabelle di valutazione mostrano il contesto del prezzo di offerta: un prezzo di chiusura delle azioni di $49.69, equity interamente diluita di $1,660M e valore d'impresa di $2,410M con un EV/EBITDA implicito di 12.2% per CY2025E e 11.0% per CY2026E. La filing include un elenco di transazioni comparabili con valori d'impresa e multipli EV/LTM EBITDA per transazioni precedenti nel settore.

Potbelly Corporation presentó divulgaciones suplementarias voluntarias a su Schedule 14D-9 previamente presentada para abordar quejas y cartas de demanda que desafían una transacción propuesta. La empresa afirma que cree que las acusaciones carecen de mérito, pero está proporcionando detalles adicionales para reducir el riesgo de que la litigación retrase o aumente el costo de las Transacciones. La dirección y su asesor incluyeron proyecciones financieras multianuales que muestran ingresos que van de $487.1M (2025E) a $725.4M (2029E), y previsiones de flujo de caja libre que pasan de una cifra de ($2.4M) a cifras positivas durante el periodo. Las tablas de valoración muestran el contexto del precio de oferta: un precio de cierre de las acciones de $49.69, patrimonio total diluido de $1,660M y valor de empresa de $2,410M con un EV/EBITDA implícito de 12.2% para CY2025E y 11.0% para CY2026E. El archivo incluye una lista de transacciones comparables con valores de empresa y múltiplos EV/LTM EBITDA para transacciones paradigmáticas del sector.

Potbelly Corporation 는 제안된 거래에 도전하는 불만 및 청구서 편지에 대응하기 위해 이전에 제출된 Schedule 14D-9에 자발적 보충 공시를 제출했습니다. 회사는 주장들이 타당하지 않다고 믿지만 소송이 거래를 지연시키거나 비용을 증가시킬 위험을 줄이기 위해 추가 세부 정보를 제공합니다. 경영진과 자문사는 다년간의 재무 예측을 포함해 매출이 $487.1M에서 (2025E) $725.4M (2029E)로 상승하는 것을 보여주고, 자유 현금 흐름 전망은 ($2.4M)에서 기간 동안 양의 수치로 변합니다. 평가 표는 오퍼 가격 맥락을 보여줍니다: 종가 주가 $49.69, 완전 희석된 자본 $1,660M, 기업 가치 $2,410M 그리고 CY2025E EV/EBITDA가 12.2%, CY2026E가 11.0% 입니다. 제출물에는 업계 선례 거래의 기업 가치 및 EV/LTM EBITDA 배수의 비교 거래 목록이 포함됩니다.

Potbelly Corporation a déposé des disclosures supplémetaires volontaires à son Schedule 14D-9 précédemment soumis afin de répondre aux plaintes et lettres de mise en demeure remettant en cause une transaction proposée. L'entreprise déclare estimer les allégations sans fondement mais fournit des détails supplémentaires pour réduire le risque que un litige retard ou augmente le coût des Transactions. La direction et son conseiller incluent des projections financières pluriannuelles montrant des revenus passant de $487.1M (2025E) à $725.4M (2029E), et des prévisions de flux de trésorerie libre qui passent de ($2.4M) à des chiffres positifs au cours de la période. Les tableaux d'évaluation montrent le contexte du prix d'offre : un cours de clôture des actions de $49.69, une equity pleinement diluée de $1,660M et une valeur d'entreprise de $2,410M avec un EV/EBITDA implicite de 12.2% pour CY2025E et 11.0% pour CY2026E. Le dossier comprend une liste de transactions comparables avec des valeurs d'entreprise et des multiples EV/LTM EBITDA pour des transactions de référence du secteur.

Potbelly Corporation hat freiwillige ergänzende Offenlegungen zu seinem zuvor eingereichten Schedule 14D-9 eingereicht, um Beschwerden und Aufforderungsschreiben zu behandeln, die eine vorgeschlagene Transaktion in Frage stellen. Das Unternehmen erklärt, es halte die Behauptungen für unbegründet, gebe aber zusätzliche Details, um das Risiko zu verringern, dass Rechtsstreitigkeiten die Transaktionen verzögern oder verteuern. Management und sein Berater haben mehrjährige Finanzprognosen beigefügt, die zeigen, dass der Umsatz von $487.1M (2025E) auf $725.4M (2029E) steigt, und Forecasts des freien Cashflows, die sich von einer Zahl von ($2.4M) zu positiven Werten im Zeitraum entwickeln. Bewertungs tabellen zeigen den Angebotskontext: ein Schlusskurs der Aktie von $49.69, vollständig verwässertes Eigenkapital von $1,660M und Unternehmenswert von $2,410M mit einem impliziten EV/EBITDA von 12.2% für CY2025E und 11.0% für CY2026E. Die Einreichung enthält eine Liste vergleichbarer Transaktionen mit Unternehmenswerten und EV/LTM EBITDA-Multiplikatoren für Branchenvorläufertransaktionen.

Potbelly Corporation تقدمت بإفصاحات تكميلية اختيارية على Schedule 14D-9 الذي قدمته سابقاً لمعالجة الشكاوى وخطابات المطالبة التي تتحدى صفقة مقترحة. وتذكر الشركة أنها تعتقد بأن الادعاءات بلا merit ولكنها تقدم تفاصيل إضافية لتقليل المخاطر بأن الدعوى القضائية ستؤخر أو تزيد من تكلفة المعاملات. وقد أدرجت الإدارة ومستشارها توقعات مالية متعددة السنوات تظهر الإيرادات ترتفع من $487.1M (2025E) إلى $725.4M (2029E)، وخطط التدفقات النقدية الحرة التي تنتقل من رقم ($2.4M) إلى أرقام موجبة خلال الفترة. جداول التقييم تبين سياق سعر العرض: سعر إغلاق للسهم $49.69، وحقوق الملكية المخفّضة بالكامل $1,660M وقيمة الشركة $2,410M مع قيمة EV/EBITDA ضمني 12.2% لـ CY2025E و 11.0% لـ CY2026E. يتضمن الملف قائمة معاملات قابلة للمقارنة بقيم الشركات ومضاعفات EV/LTM EBITDA لصفقات الصناعة القياسية.

Potbelly Corporation 已就先前提交的 Schedule 14D-9 提交自愿补充披露,以处理对拟议交易的投诉和催促信。公司表示相信指控没有根据,但提供额外细节以降低诉讼延迟或增加交易成本的风险。管理层及其顾问包括多年的财务预测,显示收入从 $487.1M(2025E)增至 $725.4M(2029E),自由现金流预测从 ($2.4M) 转向该期间的正值。估值表显示要约价格的背景:收盘股价为 $49.69、充分摊薄后的股本为 $1,660M、企业价值为 $2,410M,隐含 EV/EBITDA 为 CY2025E 的 12.2%、CY2026E 的 11.0%。 filing 包含具有行业先例交易的企业价值和 EV/LTM EBITDA 倍数的可比交易清单。

Positive
  • Voluntary supplemental disclosure to reduce litigation delay and defense expense
  • Projected revenue growth from $487.1M to $725.4M (2025E–2029E)
  • Free cash flow turns positive in the later projection years after early negative figure of ($2.4M)
  • Valuation context provided showing implied EV/EBITDA ~12.2 for CY2025E
Negative
  • Active complaints and demand letters allege disclosure issues that could trigger litigation
  • Near-term non-cash charges and negative cash flow in certain periods (e.g., ($2.4M))
  • Projections reliant on assumptions that, if missed, could weaken the presented valuation support

Insights

TL;DR: Supplemental disclosures aim to neutralize litigation risk and preserve deal timing.

The company expressly states it regards the complaints and demand letters as without merit but has voluntarily provided additional disclosures to minimize the risk that such actions will delay the Transactions or increase defense costs. This is a common defensive measure to reduce the chance that plaintiffs can obtain injunctive relief based on alleged disclosure deficiencies.

Primary dependencies are whether plaintiffs introduce materially new allegations and whether courts view the supplements as adequate. Expect near-term effects tied to any filed suits and potential injunction motions; if no new material claims arise, the supplements are intended to narrow grounds for emergency relief.

TL;DR: Projections show revenue growth and improving cash generation supporting the deal valuation.

Management projections show revenue rising from $487.1M to $725.4M (2025E–2029E) with corresponding improvements in free cash flow from a ($2.4M) figure to positive cash generation in later years, which underpins the presented valuation metrics. The filing also provides an illustrative trading context with a closing share price of $49.69, equity of $1,660M, enterprise value $2,410M and implied EV/EBITDA near 12.2 for CY2025E.

Key risks include the accuracy of the projections and sensitivity to non-cash charges and working capital assumptions; comparables show a wide range of EV/EBITDA multiples, so pay attention to realized operating performance versus the stated projections over the next 12–24 months.

Potbelly Corporation ha presentato disclosure supplementari volontari rispetto al Schedule 14D-9 già depositato per affrontare le lamentele e le lettere di richiesta che contestano una transazione proposta. L'azienda afferma di ritenere infondate le accuse ma fornisce ulteriori dettagli per ridurre il rischio che una controversia ritardi o aumenti i costi delle Transazioni. La direzione e il suo consulente hanno incluso proiezioni finanziarie pluriennali che mostrano i ricavi in aumento da $487.1M (2025E) a $725.4M (2029E), e previsioni di flusso di cassa libero che passano da una cifra di ($2.4M) a valori positivi nel periodo. Le tabelle di valutazione mostrano il contesto del prezzo di offerta: un prezzo di chiusura delle azioni di $49.69, equity interamente diluita di $1,660M e valore d'impresa di $2,410M con un EV/EBITDA implicito di 12.2% per CY2025E e 11.0% per CY2026E. La filing include un elenco di transazioni comparabili con valori d'impresa e multipli EV/LTM EBITDA per transazioni precedenti nel settore.

Potbelly Corporation presentó divulgaciones suplementarias voluntarias a su Schedule 14D-9 previamente presentada para abordar quejas y cartas de demanda que desafían una transacción propuesta. La empresa afirma que cree que las acusaciones carecen de mérito, pero está proporcionando detalles adicionales para reducir el riesgo de que la litigación retrase o aumente el costo de las Transacciones. La dirección y su asesor incluyeron proyecciones financieras multianuales que muestran ingresos que van de $487.1M (2025E) a $725.4M (2029E), y previsiones de flujo de caja libre que pasan de una cifra de ($2.4M) a cifras positivas durante el periodo. Las tablas de valoración muestran el contexto del precio de oferta: un precio de cierre de las acciones de $49.69, patrimonio total diluido de $1,660M y valor de empresa de $2,410M con un EV/EBITDA implícito de 12.2% para CY2025E y 11.0% para CY2026E. El archivo incluye una lista de transacciones comparables con valores de empresa y múltiplos EV/LTM EBITDA para transacciones paradigmáticas del sector.

Potbelly Corporation 는 제안된 거래에 도전하는 불만 및 청구서 편지에 대응하기 위해 이전에 제출된 Schedule 14D-9에 자발적 보충 공시를 제출했습니다. 회사는 주장들이 타당하지 않다고 믿지만 소송이 거래를 지연시키거나 비용을 증가시킬 위험을 줄이기 위해 추가 세부 정보를 제공합니다. 경영진과 자문사는 다년간의 재무 예측을 포함해 매출이 $487.1M에서 (2025E) $725.4M (2029E)로 상승하는 것을 보여주고, 자유 현금 흐름 전망은 ($2.4M)에서 기간 동안 양의 수치로 변합니다. 평가 표는 오퍼 가격 맥락을 보여줍니다: 종가 주가 $49.69, 완전 희석된 자본 $1,660M, 기업 가치 $2,410M 그리고 CY2025E EV/EBITDA가 12.2%, CY2026E가 11.0% 입니다. 제출물에는 업계 선례 거래의 기업 가치 및 EV/LTM EBITDA 배수의 비교 거래 목록이 포함됩니다.

Potbelly Corporation a déposé des disclosures supplémetaires volontaires à son Schedule 14D-9 précédemment soumis afin de répondre aux plaintes et lettres de mise en demeure remettant en cause une transaction proposée. L'entreprise déclare estimer les allégations sans fondement mais fournit des détails supplémentaires pour réduire le risque que un litige retard ou augmente le coût des Transactions. La direction et son conseiller incluent des projections financières pluriannuelles montrant des revenus passant de $487.1M (2025E) à $725.4M (2029E), et des prévisions de flux de trésorerie libre qui passent de ($2.4M) à des chiffres positifs au cours de la période. Les tableaux d'évaluation montrent le contexte du prix d'offre : un cours de clôture des actions de $49.69, une equity pleinement diluée de $1,660M et une valeur d'entreprise de $2,410M avec un EV/EBITDA implicite de 12.2% pour CY2025E et 11.0% pour CY2026E. Le dossier comprend une liste de transactions comparables avec des valeurs d'entreprise et des multiples EV/LTM EBITDA pour des transactions de référence du secteur.

Potbelly Corporation hat freiwillige ergänzende Offenlegungen zu seinem zuvor eingereichten Schedule 14D-9 eingereicht, um Beschwerden und Aufforderungsschreiben zu behandeln, die eine vorgeschlagene Transaktion in Frage stellen. Das Unternehmen erklärt, es halte die Behauptungen für unbegründet, gebe aber zusätzliche Details, um das Risiko zu verringern, dass Rechtsstreitigkeiten die Transaktionen verzögern oder verteuern. Management und sein Berater haben mehrjährige Finanzprognosen beigefügt, die zeigen, dass der Umsatz von $487.1M (2025E) auf $725.4M (2029E) steigt, und Forecasts des freien Cashflows, die sich von einer Zahl von ($2.4M) zu positiven Werten im Zeitraum entwickeln. Bewertungs tabellen zeigen den Angebotskontext: ein Schlusskurs der Aktie von $49.69, vollständig verwässertes Eigenkapital von $1,660M und Unternehmenswert von $2,410M mit einem impliziten EV/EBITDA von 12.2% für CY2025E und 11.0% für CY2026E. Die Einreichung enthält eine Liste vergleichbarer Transaktionen mit Unternehmenswerten und EV/LTM EBITDA-Multiplikatoren für Branchenvorläufertransaktionen.

 
 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

SCHEDULE 14D-9

(Rule 14d-101)

Solicitation/Recommendation Statement

Under Section 14(d)(4) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

(Amendment No. 1)

 

 

POTBELLY CORPORATION

(Name of Subject Company)

 

 

POTBELLY CORPORATION

(Name of Person Filing Statement)

 

 

Common Stock, $0.01 par value

(Title of Class of Securities)

73754Y 100

(CUSIP Number of Class of Securities)

Adiya Dixon

Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary

500 W Madison St. Suite 1000

Chicago, Illinois 60661

(312) 951-0600

(Name, Address and Telephone Number of Person Authorized to Receive Notices and Communications

on Behalf of the Person Filing Statement)

With copies to:

Robert M. Hayward, P.C.

Ashley Sinclair

Kirkland & Ellis LLP

333 West Wolf Point Plaza

Chicago, Illinois 60654

(312) 862-2000

 

 

 

 

Check the box if the filing relates solely to preliminary communications made before the commencement of a tender offer.

 

 
 


This Amendment No. 1 (this “Amendment No. 1”) amends and supplements the Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 (as further amended or supplemented from time to time, the “Schedule 14D-9”) previously filed by Potbelly Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on September 23, 2025.

The Schedule 14D-9 relates to the tender offer by Hero Sub Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Purchaser”) and a wholly owned subsidiary of RaceTrac, Inc., a Georgia corporation (“Parent” or “RaceTrac”), to purchase, subject to certain conditions, any and all of the outstanding Shares at a price of $17.12 per Share, without interest (the “Offer Price”), net to the seller in cash, less any applicable withholding taxes, upon the terms and subject to the conditions set forth in the Offer to Purchase, dated September 23, 2025 (as it may be amended or supplemented from time to time, the “Offer to Purchase”), and in the related Letter of Transmittal (as it may be amended or supplemented from time to time, the “Letter of Transmittal” and, together with the Offer to Purchase, the “Offer”). The Offer is described in the Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO filed with the SEC on September 23, 2025, by Purchaser and Parent (together with any amendments and supplements thereto). The Offer is being made pursuant to an Agreement and Plan of Merger, dated as of September 9, 2025 (the “Merger Agreement”), by and among the Company, Parent and Purchaser. The Merger Agreement provides, among other things, that following the consummation of the Offer and subject to the satisfaction or waiver of the applicable conditions set forth in the Merger Agreement, including the Minimum Condition, Purchaser will be merged with and into the Company, with the Company surviving as a wholly owned subsidiary of Parent.

Capitalized terms used but not otherwise defined in this Amendment No. 1 shall have the meanings ascribed to such terms in the Schedule 14D-9. The information in the Schedule 14D-9 is incorporated into this Amendment No. 1 by reference to all applicable items in the Schedule 14D-9, except that such information is hereby amended and supplemented to the extent specifically provided herein. Except as otherwise set forth in this Amendment, the information set forth in the Schedule 14D-9 remains unchanged and is incorporated herein by reference to the extent relevant to the items in this Amendment.

Explanatory Note:

As described further below, in connection with the Offer and the Merger Agreement, two complaints have been filed as individual actions by purported stockholders of the Company in the Supreme Court of the State of New York, County of New York, alleging, among other things, that the defendants (the Company and the Board) omitted and/or misrepresented certain material facts relating to the transaction contemplated by the Merger Agreement in the Schedule 14D-9 filed by the Company on September 23, 2025. Certain demand letters have also been sent to the Company by purported stockholders making similar allegations. The Company believes that the allegations in such complaints and demand letters are without merit. The Company believes that no supplemental disclosure is required under applicable laws and that the Schedule 14D-9, as originally filed on September 23, 2025, disclosed all material information required to be disclosed therein. However, to avoid the risk that lawsuits may delay or otherwise adversely affect the Transactions, and to minimize the expense of defending such actions, the Company wishes to make voluntarily certain supplemental disclosures related to the Transactions for the purposes of mooting the allegations in any complaints related to the Transactions, all of which are set forth below and should be read in conjunction with the Schedule 14D-9 in its entirety. Nothing in these supplemental disclosures shall be deemed an admission of the legal necessity or materiality under applicable laws of any of the disclosures set forth herein.

Item 3. Past Contacts, Transactions, Negotiations and Agreements.

Item 3 of the Schedule 14D-9 is hereby amended and supplemented as follows:

 

  1.

By adding the below paragraph after the first full paragraph under the section titled “Conflicts of Interest” on page 4 as follows:

Additionally, other than discussions or negotiations with respect to employment-related or compensation-related matters already disclosed in this Schedule 14D-9, prior to the execution of the Merger Agreement, there were no discussions or negotiations that occurred between Parent, Purchaser or their respective affiliates and any of the Company’s management, executive officers or directors with respect to post-closing employment, compensation or benefits.


Item 4. The Solicitation or Recommendation.

Item 4 of the Schedule 14D-9 is hereby amended and supplemented as follows:

 

1.

By adding the bold text to the below paragraphs under the section titled “Background of the Offer and Merger” on page 12 as follows:

On March 14, 2025, Company management sent RaceTrac a draft confidentiality agreement (the “Transaction Confidentiality Agreement”). On March 18, 2025, the Company entered into the Transaction Confidentiality Agreement with RaceTrac, which contained customary nondisclosure and nonuse provisions, as well as a customary standstill provision containing standard fall-away rights that permitted RaceTrac to make acquisition proposals at any time after the Company entered into a definitive agreement with a third party providing for a change of control transaction of the Company. Following execution of the Transaction Confidentiality Agreement, on March 19, 2025, representatives of RaceTrac sent to Mr. Wright and Mr. Cirulis a priority due diligence request list in order to facilitate RaceTrac’s preparation of a proposal for a potential transaction with the Company.

 

2.

By adding the bold text to the below paragraph under the section titled “Background of the Offer and Merger” on page 14 as follows:

On May 15, 2025, representatives of BofA sent representatives of Piper Sandler a preliminary, non-binding proposal to acquire all Shares for $13.50 per share in cash (the “May Offer”). The May Offer was subject to an eight-week exclusivity period, requested a six-week timeline for RaceTrac to complete its due diligence review of the Company and indicated that there would be no financing contingency in the definitive transaction agreement as the acquisition would be funded using cash on hand and existing debt facilities. The May Offer did not include reference to any post-closing arrangement, treatment of Company equity awards or other employment or retention matters with respect to the Company’s employees. Representatives of Piper Sandler promptly shared the May Offer with senior management of the Company, who subsequently shared the May Offer with the Board of Directors.

 

3.

By adding the bold text to the below paragraph under the section titled “Background of the Offer and Merger” on page 15 as follows:

On July 17, 2025, representatives of BofA sent representatives of Piper Sandler a revised non-binding proposal to acquire all Shares for $16.35 per share in cash (the “July 17 Offer”). The July 17 Offer was subject to a six-week exclusivity period, requested a six-week timeline for RaceTrac to complete its due diligence review of the Company and reiterated that there would be no financing contingency in the definitive transaction agreement as the acquisition would be funded using cash on hand and existing debt facilities. The July 17 Offer did not include reference to any post-closing arrangement, treatment of Company equity awards or other employment or retention matters with respect to the Company’s employees. Representatives of Piper Sandler promptly shared the July 17 Offer with senior management of the Company, who subsequently shared the July 17 Offer with the Board of Directors.


4.

By adding the bold text to the below paragraph under the section titled “Background of the Offer and Merger” on page 16 as follows:

On July 30, 2025, representatives of BofA sent representatives of Piper Sandler a revised non-binding proposal to acquire all Shares for $17.12 per share in cash (the “July 30 Offer”). BofA indicated that the July 30 Offer was RaceTrac’s “best and final” offer. The July 30 Offer was subject to a five-week exclusivity period, requested a five-week timeline for RaceTrac to complete its due diligence review of the Company, reiterated that there would be no financing contingency in the definitive transaction agreement, and included a requirement that the Company agree to include a non-solicitation provision, subject to a customary fiduciary exception, with a Company termination fee equal to 3.5% of the transaction’s equity value in the definitive agreement providing for a transaction. The July 30 Offer expressly rejected the Company’s request for expense reimbursement in the July Counterproposal. The July 30 Offer did not include reference to any post-closing arrangement, treatment of Company equity awards or other employment or retention matters with respect to the Company’s employees. Representatives of Piper Sandler promptly shared the July 30 Offer with senior management of the Company, who subsequently shared the July 30 Offer with the Board of Directors.

 

5.

By adding the bold text to the below tables under the section titled “Certain Unaudited Prospective Financial Information” on page 27 as follows:

In March 2025, the Company’s management provided the Board of Directors and Piper with prospective financial projections covering the Company’s preliminary actual financial results through the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025 and estimates of management’s expectations for the second through fourth fiscal quarters of fiscal year 2025 and each fiscal year from 2026 through 2029 (the “Preliminary Projections”). The Preliminary Projections were subsequently provided to RaceTrac in April 2025 in connection with its due diligence review of a potential transaction with the Company. The Preliminary Projections are summarized below:

 

($ in millions)

   2025E     2026E     2027E      2028E      2029E  

Total Revenue

   $ 487.1     $ 527.1     $ 584.6      $ 652.7      $ 725.4  

Shop-level operating expenses(4)

   $ 392.5     $ 418.9     $ 455.0      $ 497.0      $ 540.7  

General and administrative expenses

   $ 64.2     $ 70.6     $ 80.4      $ 91.6      $ 102.4  

Pre-opening costs

   $ 0.2     $ 0.4     $ 0.5      $ 0.5      $ 0.5  

Non-controlling interest

   $ 1.2     $ 1.2     $ 1.2      $ 1.2      $ 1.2  

Adjusted EBITDA(1)

   $ 28.9     $ 36.0     $ 47.6      $ 62.4      $ 80.5  

Depreciation and amortization

   $ 11.2     $ 15.3     $ 17.6      $ 20.0      $ 22.4  

Impairments, disposals and closures

   $ 2.0     $ 2.0     $ 2.0      $ 2.1      $ 2.1  

Adjusted Operating Income(2)

   $ 15.7     $ 18.7     $ 27.9      $ 40.4      $ 56.0  

Free Cash Flow(3)

   $ (2.4   $ (0.4   $ 12.1      $ 23.9      $ 32.2  

 

(1)

“Adjusted EBITDA” is defined as net income attributable to Potbelly Corporation plus income tax (benefit) expense, plus interest expense, plus depreciation expense, and plus impairment, loss on disposal of property and equipment and shop closures, plus loss (gain) on franchise growth acceleration initiatives activities, plus legal settlements, and plus strategic initiative costs.

(2)

“Adjusted Operating Income” represents Adjusted EBITDA less depreciation and amortization expense and less impairment, loss on disposal of property and equipment and shop closures.

(3)

“Free Cash Flow” represents Adjusted EBITDA less dark rent expense and shop closure costs, less income taxes, add non-cash rent, less net capital expenditures and less the change in net working capital. Free Cash Flow was calculated by the Company’s financial advisor based on the Projections provided by the Company’s management.

(4)

Shop-level operating expenses consist of food, beverage and packaging costs, labor and related expenses, occupancy expenses, other operating expenses, and excludes depreciation expense.

Following the end of the Company’s second fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025, the Company provided the Board of Directors, Piper Sandler and RaceTrac in August 2025 with updated prospective financial projections, which incorporated the Company’s actual financial results through the second fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025 and updated estimates of management’s expectations for the third and fourth fiscal quarters of fiscal year 2025, as well as revised estimates of management’s expectations for each fiscal year from 2026 through 2029 (the “Updated Projections”). As directed by the Board of Directors, Piper Sandler used the Updated Projections in connection with its financial analyses and opinion. The Updated Projections are summarized below:


($ in millions)

   LTM Q2
2025A
     2025E     2026E     2027E      2028E      2029E  

Total Revenue

   $ 469.1      $ 483.1     $ 522.5     $ 580.7      $ 648.5      $ 720.7  

Shop-level operating expenses(4)

   $ 380.8      $ 387.9     $ 414.0     $ 450.7      $ 492.5      $ 536.0  

Adjusted general and administrative expenses(5)

   $ 59.1      $ 64.3     $ 70.9     $ 80.6      $ 91.8      $ 102.6  

Pre-opening costs

   $ 0.3      $ 0.4     $ 0.5     $ 0.6      $ 0.6      $ 0.6  

Non-controlling interest

   $ 1.3      $ 1.3     $ 1.3     $ 1.3      $ 1.3      $ 1.3  

Adjusted EBITDA(1)

   $ 27.6      $ 29.2     $ 35.9     $ 47.6      $ 62.4      $ 80.4  

Depreciation and amortization

   $ 14.3      $ 15.6     $ 18.7     $ 20.0      $ 21.3      $ 22.6  

Impairments, disposals and closures

   $ 0.9      $ 1.3     $ 2.0     $ 2.0      $ 2.1      $ 2.1  

Adjusted Operating Income(2)

   $ 12.4      $ 12.3     $ 15.2     $ 25.6      $ 39.1      $ 55.6  

Free Cash Flow(3)

   $ 1.5      $ (1.6   $ (1.5   $ 12.3      $ 25.8      $ 32.2  

 

(1)

“Adjusted EBITDA” is defined as net income attributable to Potbelly Corporation plus income tax (benefit) expense, plus interest expense, plus depreciation expense, and plus impairment, loss on disposal of property and equipment and shop closures, plus loss (gain) on franchise growth acceleration initiatives activities, plus legal settlements, and plus strategic initiative costs.

(2)

“Adjusted Operating Income” represents Adjusted EBITDA less depreciation and amortization expense and less impairment, loss on disposal of property and equipment and shop closures.

(3)

“Free Cash Flow” represents Adjusted EBITDA less dark rent expense and shop closure costs, less income taxes, add non-cash rent, less net capital expenditures and less the change in net working capital. Free Cash Flow was calculated by the Company’s financial advisor based on the Projections provided by the Company’s management.

(4)

Shop-level operating expenses consist of food, beverage and packaging costs, labor and related expenses, occupancy expenses, other operating expenses, and excludes depreciation expense.

(5)

General and administrative expenses adjusted for legal settlements and strategic initiatives costs.

 

6.

By adding the bold text and deleting the strikethrough text to the below paragraphs under the section titled “Selected Public Companies Analysis” on pages 32-33 as follows:

Piper Sandler reviewed certain publicly available financial, operating and stock market information of the Company and the following selected U.S. publicly traded companies in the limited service restaurant industry that Piper Sandler deemed relevant. Piper Sandler selected companies based on information obtained by searching SEC filings, publicly available disclosures and company presentations, press releases, and other sources and by applying the following criteria:

 

   

companies that have a market capitalization greater than $100.0 million

 

   

companies that have estimated calendar year 2025 EBITDA less than $300.0 million; and

 

   

companies that have estimated calendar year 2025 year-over-year unit growth rates less than 15.0%.

Based on these criteria, Piper Sandler identified and analyzed the following five selected companies and corresponding financial data:

 

 

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

 

 

Jack in the Box Inc.

 

 

Krispy Kreme, Inc.

 

 

Papa John’s International, Inc.

 

 

Portillo’s Inc.

 


$ in millions, except per share data    Closing
Share Price
09/08/25
     Fully Diluted                
    

Equity

Value

 

 

    

Enterprise

Value

 

 

     EV / EBITDA (1)  

Company

     CY 2025E (2)        CY 2026E (2)  

Papa John’s International, Inc.

   $ 49.69      $ 1,660      $ 2,410        12.2x        11.0x  

Krispy Kreme, Inc.

   $ 3.15      $ 566      $ 1,527        14.8x        12.0x  

Portillo’s Inc.

   $ 6.60      $ 512      $ 841        9.0x        8.3x  

Jack in the Box Inc.

   $ 19.85      $ 387      $ 2,047        7.8x        7.6x  

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

   $ 10.51      $ 324      $ 385        6.7x        6.4x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 

Minimum

              6.7x        6.4x  

Quartile 1

              7.8x        7.6x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 

Mean

              10.1x        9.0x  

Median

              9.0x        8.3x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 

Quartile 3

              12.2x        11.0x  

Maximum

              14.8x        12.0x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 
 
(1)

Represents EBITDA adjusted for certain non-recurring items and shown burdened for stock based compensation

(2)

Per Wall Street Consensus estimates

 

7.

By adding the bold text and deleting the strikethrough text to the below paragraphs under the section titled “Selected Precedent Transactions Analysis” on pages 33-34 as follows:

Piper Sandler reviewed precedent transactions involving target companies in the U.S. limited service restaurant industry that Piper Sandler deemed relevant. Piper Sandler selected these transactions based on information obtained by searching SEC filings, publicly available disclosures and company presentations, press releases, and other sources and by applying the following criteria:

 

   

transactions in which the acquiring company purchased a controlling interest of the target;

 

   

transactions that were announced or completed between January 1, 2015 and the date of Piper Sandler’s opinion and subsequently closed or were in process of closing;

 

   

targets with transaction enterprise values greater than $100.0 million;

 

   

targets with LTM EBITDA less than $300.0 million; and

 

   

targets that have year-over-year unit growth rates less than 15.0% at the time of transaction.

Based on these criteria, Piper Sandler identified and analyzed the following 18 selected transactions ordered by recency:

 

Target

  

Acquiror

Philz Coffee    Freeman Spogli & Co.
Fiesta Restaurant Group    Authentic Restaurant Brands
Del Taco Restaurants    Jack in the Box
Firehouse Restaurant Group    Restaurant Brands International
The Habit Restaurants    Yum! Brands
Papa Murphy’s Holdings    MTY Food Group
Global Franchise Group    Lion Capital, Serruya Private Equity
Bojangles’    Durational Capital, The Jordan Company
Sonic Corp.    Inspire Brands
Zoe’s Kitchen    CAVA Group
Jamba    FOCUS Brands
Qdoba Restaurant Corporation    Apollo Global Management
Cafe Rio Mexican Grill    Freeman Spogli & Co.
Checkers & Rally’s Restaurants    Oak Hill Capital Partners


Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen    Restaurant Brands International
Kahala Brands    MTY Food Group
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts    JAB Holding Company
Del Taco Holdings    Levy Acquisition Corp

 

$ in millions                               

Date

    

Acquiror

  

Target

   Enterprise
Value
     Enterprise
Value /

LTM EBITDA (1)
 

Announced

   Effective  

08/04/25

     08/06/25      Freeman Spogli & Co.    Philz Coffee (2)    $ 145     

08/07/23

     10/30/23      Authentic Restaurant Brands    Fiesta Restaurant Group    $ 193        8.3x  

12/06/21

     03/08/22      Jack in the Box    Del Taco Restaurants    $ 573        11.0x  

11/15/21

     12/15/21      Restaurant Brands International    Firehouse Restaurant Group    $ 1,000        20.0x  

01/06/20

     03/18/20      Yum! Brands    The Habit Restaurants    $ 385        11.8x  

04/11/19

     05/23/19      MTY Food Group    Papa Murphy’s Holdings    $ 186        8.4x  

11/20/18

     11/20/18      Lion Capital, Serruya Private Equity    Global Franchise Group    $ 400        8.6x  

11/06/18

     01/28/19      Durational Capital, The Jordan Company    Bojangles’    $ 754        11.1x  

09/25/18

     12/07/18      Inspire Brands    Sonic Corp.    $ 2,307        16.1x  

08/16/18

     11/21/18      CAVA Group    Zoe’s Kitchen    $ 298        16.3x  

08/02/18

     09/13/18      FOCUS Brands    Jamba    $ 203        15.1x  

12/19/17

     03/21/18      Apollo Global Management    Qdoba Restaurant Corporation    $ 305        5.3x  

09/07/17

     09/07/17      Freeman Spogli & Co.    Cafe Rio Mexican Grill    $ 280        13.2x  

03/23/17

     04/25/17      Oak Hill Capital Partners    Checkers & Rally’s Restaurants    $ 525        11.0x  

02/21/17

     03/27/17      Restaurant Brands International    Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen    $ 1,814        20.9x  

05/25/16

     07/26/16      MTY Food Group    Kahala Brands    $ 327        10.5x  

05/09/16

     07/27/16      JAB Holding Company    Krispy Kreme Doughnuts    $ 1,306        16.9x  

03/12/15

     06/30/15      Levy Acquisition Corp.    Del Taco Holdings    $ 500        8.2x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 

Minimum

            $ 145        5.3x  

Quartile 1

            $ 285        9.1x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 

Mean

            $ 639        12.5x  

Median

            $ 392        11.3x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 

Quartile 3

            $ 709        15.8x  

Maximum

            $ 2,307        20.9x  
           

 

 

    

 

 

 
 
(1)

Represents EBITDA adjusted for disclosed non-recurring items and burdened for stock based compensation 

(2)

Represents proprietary multiple 

 

8.

By adding the bold text and deleting the strikethrough text to the below paragraphs under the section titled “Discounted Cash Flow Analysis” on page 34 as follows:

Using a discounted cash flows analysis, Piper Sandler calculated an estimated range of theoretical values for the Company based on the net present value of (i) projected unlevered free cash flows from second half of fiscal 2025 (consisting of the third and fourth fiscal quarters of fiscal 2025) to fiscal year 2029, discounted back to June 29, 2025 (the end of the Company’s second fiscal quarter 2025), based on the Updated Projections furnished to Piper Sandler by the Company, and (ii) a terminal value at fiscal year 2029 based upon EBITDA exit multiples, discounted back to June 29, 2025. The unlevered free cash flows for each year were calculated from the Updated Projections as indicated in the table below: adjusted EBITDA less dark rent expense and shop closure costs, less income taxes, add non-cash rent, less net capital expenditures and less the change in net working capital.


$ and shares in millions, except per share data                               
     Projected (1)(2)  

Fiscal Year Ending December

   2H 2025     2026     2027     2028     2029  

Public Company Adj. EBITDA (3)

   $ 17.4     $ 35.9     $ 47.6     $ 62.4     $ 80.4  

Dark Rent Expense & Shop Closure Costs

     (0.5     (0.9     (0.9     (0.7     (0.4

D&A Expense & Other Non-Cash Charges (4)

     (8.7     (20.4     (21.8     (23.1     (24.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Operating Income

     8.2       14.5       24.9       38.6       55.5  

Income Taxes (5)

     (0.3     (0.7     (1.2     (1.9     (13.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After-Tax Operating Income

     8.0       13.8       23.7       36.8       42.3  

Non-Cash Rent

     (0.5     (1.0     (1.0     (1.0     (1.0

D&A Expense & Other Non-Cash Charges (4)

     8.7       20.4       21.8       23.1       24.4  

Net Capital Expenditures

     (14.7     (36.1     (33.7     (34.4     (35.0

(Inc.) / Dec. in Working Capital

     0.4       1.3       1.4       1.4       1.5  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Free Cash Flow

     1.9       (1.5     12.3       25.8       32.2  

Terminal Value of Future Cash Flows

     —        —        —        —        911.7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Cash Flow

   $ 1.9     ($ 1.5   $ 12.3     $ 25.8     $ 943.9  
 
(1)

Projected financial data prepared by Company management

(2)

6-month stub period ending December, all years discounted back to 06/29/25 using a mid-period convention

(3)

Represents EBITDA adjusted for certain non-recurring items and burdened for stock based compensation

(4)

Inclusive of impairments and gain/loss on asset disposals

(5)

Assumes a 24.0% effective tax rate less use of $72.0M federal & state net operating loss balance as of FYE 2024 per Company management

 

9.

By adding the bold text and deleting the strikethrough text to the below paragraphs under the section titled “Information About Piper Sandler” on page 38 as follows:

Piper Sandler acted as a financial advisor to the Company in connection with the Merger and will receive a fee, currently estimated to be approximately $6.9 million from the Company. A significant portion of Piper Sandler’s fee (approximately $5.9 million) is contingent upon consummation of the Merger, and $1.0 million of such fee has been earned by Piper Sandler for rendering its fairness opinion and an additional $50,000 was earned by Piper Sandler in the form of a non-refundable retainer fee, both of such amounts have been paid by the Company to Piper Sandler and is are creditable against the total fee. The opinion fee was not contingent upon the consummation of the Merger or the conclusions reached in Piper Sandler’s opinion. The Company has also agreed to indemnify Piper Sandler against certain liabilities and reimburse Piper Sandler for certain expenses in connection with its services. Other than as described above, within the past three years, Piper Sandler has not performed any investment banking services or received investment banking fees from the Company, RaceTrac or Purchaser. Piper Sandler is currently engaged as financial advisor for the Company and the Board of Directors in connection with the Company’s review of strategic alternatives. In addition, in the ordinary course of its business, Piper Sandler and its affiliates may actively trade securities of the Company for its own account or the account of its customers and, accordingly, may at any time hold a long or short position in such securities. Piper Sandler may also, in the future, provide investment banking and financial advisory services to the Company or the Parent or entities that are affiliated with the Company or the Parent, for which Piper Sandler would expect to receive compensation.


Item 8.

Additional Information.

Item 8 of the Schedule 14D-9 is hereby amended and supplemented as follows:

 

1.

By deleting the sentence under the section titled “Legal Proceedings” on page 45 and replacing it with the following paragraphs:

In connection with the Offer and Merger Agreement, two complaints have been filed as individual actions in the Supreme Court of the State of New York, County of New York and are captioned Eric Miller v. Potbelly Corporation, et. al., Index No. 655857/2025 (filed October 1, 2025) (the “Miller Complaint”) and Thomas Lewis vs. Potbelly Corporation, et. al., Index 655886/2025 (filed October 2, 2025) (the “Lewis Complaint” and, together with the Miller Complaint, the “Complaints”). The Complaints allege, among other things, that the defendants (the Company and the Board) omitted and/or misrepresented certain material facts relating to the transaction contemplated by the Merger Agreement from the Schedule 14D-9 filed by the Company on September 23, 2025. The Complaints seek, among other relief, (i) injunctive relief preventing the consummation of the Merger, (ii) recission of the Merger Agreement or punitive damages and (iii) an award of plaintiff’s fees and expenses of the action, including reasonable attorneys’ and expert fees and expenses. Certain demand letters have also been sent to the Company by purported stockholders making similar allegations.

The outcome of the matters described above cannot be predicted with certainty. However, the Company believes that the allegations in the Complaints lack merit. Additional complaints or demand letters may be filed against or received by the Company, the Board, Parent and/or Purchaser in connection with the Transactions, the Schedule TO and the Schedule 14D-9. If additional similar complaints are filed or demand letters received, absent new or different allegations that are material, the Company, Purchaser or Parent will not necessarily announce such additional complaints or demand letters.

 

2.

By deleting the second and third paragraphs under the section titled “Antitrust Compliance” on page 46 in their entirety and replacing them with the following paragraph:

Each of the Company and Parent filed a Notification and Report Form under the HSR Act with respect to the Transactions with the Antitrust Division and the FTC on September 26, 2025. The waiting period under the HSR Act will expire on October 14, 2025, at 11:59 p.m., New York City time and the Company and RaceTrac have requested “early termination” of such waiting period. This period may be shortened if the reviewing agency grants “early termination” of the waiting period, or lengthened if Parent voluntarily withdraws and refiles to allow a second 15-day waiting period, or if the reviewing agency issues to Parent a formal request for additional information and documentary material, in which case the waiting period expires ten days after the date when Parent has certified its substantial compliance with such request. The Antitrust Division and the FTC assess the legality under the antitrust laws of transactions such as the acquisition of Shares by Purchaser pursuant to the Offer. At any time before or after the consummation of any such transactions, the Antitrust Division or the FTC could take such action under the antitrust laws of the United States as it deems necessary or desirable in the public interest, including seeking to enjoin the purchase of Shares pursuant to the Offer or seeking divestiture of Shares so acquired or divestiture of substantial assets of the Company and/or RaceTrac. Private parties (as well as individual states of the United States) may also bring legal actions under the antitrust laws of the United States or state antitrust laws. There can be no assurance that a challenge to the Offer and the Merger on antitrust grounds will not be made or, if such a challenge is made, the result thereof.


SIGNATURE

After due inquiry and to the best of my knowledge and belief, I certify that the information set forth in this statement is true, complete and correct.

 

   

POTBELLY CORPORATION

    By:   /s/ Steven Cirulis
    Name:   Steven Cirulis
    Title:   Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Strategy Officer
Dated: October 10, 2025      

FAQ

What did Potbelly (PBPB) disclose in the SC 14D9/A supplemental filing?

The company provided voluntary supplemental disclosures to its Schedule 14D-9 to address complaints and demand letters and included multi-year financial projections and valuation tables.

What revenue does the filing project for Potbelly (PBPB) through 2029?

The projections show revenue rising from $487.1M in 2025E to $725.4M in 2029E.

How does the filing present valuation metrics for Potbelly (PBPB)?

The filing shows a closing share price of $49.69, fully diluted equity of $1,660M, enterprise value of $2,410M, and an implied EV/EBITDA of 12.2x for CY2025E.

Does the company admit wrongdoing in the supplemental disclosure?

No. The company states it believes the allegations are without merit and that the supplemental disclosures are voluntary and not an admission of legal necessity or materiality.

Are there comparable transactions provided in the filing and why matter?

Yes. The filing lists industry precedent transactions with enterprise values and EV/LTM EBITDA multiples to contextualize the proposed transaction pricing.
Potbelly Corpora

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516.75M
26.82M
16.18%
82.42%
3.87%
Restaurants
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