T-Mobile boosts long-term broadband and cash flow outlook
T-Mobile US, Inc. updated its multi-year plan during its fourth quarter 2025 earnings call and Capital Markets Day Update, raising its long-term growth outlook.
Rhea-AI Filing Summary
T-Mobile US, Inc. updated its multi-year plan during its fourth quarter 2025 earnings call and Capital Markets Day Update, raising its long-term growth outlook. The company now targets 18–19 million total broadband customers by 2030, including 15 million 5G broadband and 3–4 million T-Fiber customers.
T-Mobile expects a nearly $3 billion incremental contribution to Core Adjusted EBITDA from digitalization and AI by the end of 2027 relative to 2025, while maintaining an industry-leading Adjusted Free Cash Flow margin. From 2023 to 2025, Net income grew at a 15.0% CAGR and Core Adjusted EBITDA grew at a 7.9% CAGR, supported by rising Adjusted Free Cash Flow and improving cash flow margins.
Positive
- Raised multi-year growth outlook: T-Mobile increased its long-term targets, including 18–19 million total broadband customers by 2030 and higher 2026–2027 Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance, supported by strong historical Net income and Core Adjusted EBITDA CAGRs.
- AI and digitalization-driven profit uplift: The company expects nearly $3 billion of incremental Core Adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2027 relative to 2025 from digitalization and AI initiatives, while maintaining an industry-leading Adjusted Free Cash Flow margin.
Negative
- None.
Insights
T-Mobile raised long-term broadband, profit and cash flow targets, signaling confidence in sustained growth.
T-Mobile raised its multi-year outlook, aiming for 18–19 million broadband customers by 2030, including 15 million 5G broadband and 3–4 million T-Fiber customers. This underscores a strategy to expand both fixed wireless and fiber offerings alongside its core wireless business.
The company also highlighted a nearly $3 billion incremental contribution to Core Adjusted EBITDA from digitalization and AI by the end of 2027 versus 2025, while keeping an industry-leading Adjusted Free Cash Flow margin. Historical results show Net income CAGR of 15.0% and Core Adjusted EBITDA CAGR of 7.9% from 2023–2025, with rising Adjusted Free Cash Flow and margins.
Guidance for 2026–2027 calls for Net cash provided by operating activities of $28,000–$28,700 million in 2026 and $28,500–$30,500 million in 2027, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $18,000–$18,700 million in 2026 and $19,500–$20,500 million in 2027. These targets, along with projected Adjusted Free Cash Flow margins in the mid‑20% range, indicate a focus on strong cash generation to support the company’s long-term plan.
8-K Event Classification
FAQ
What did T-Mobile (TMUS) announce in its latest Capital Markets Day Update?
What is T-Mobile’s new broadband customer target by 2030 for TMUS investors?
How much incremental Core Adjusted EBITDA does T-Mobile expect from AI and digitalization?
How have T-Mobile’s Net income and Core Adjusted EBITDA grown from 2023 to 2025?
What Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance did T-Mobile provide for 2026 and 2027?
What operating cash flow targets did T-Mobile (TMUS) set for 2026 and 2027?
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
