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Rising oil prices boost Trillion Energy (CSE: TCF) M47 project backdrop

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(Neutral)
Form Type
6-K

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

Trillion Energy International uses this update to link a sharp increase in global oil prices to the potential value of its M47 oil exploration project in Southeastern Türkiye. The company highlights an estimated loss of 9.1 million barrels per day of global supply, Brent crude trading above US$100 per barrel, and inventories moving toward all-time lows.

For M47, an independent evaluation effective December 31, 2025 assumed a 2026 Brent price of US$63.68 per barrel and yielded an unrisked NPV-10 of US$733.5 million net to Trillion’s 29% working interest. Management notes that M47’s 32.4° API light oil is priced near Brent, so current prices are supportive of project economics, and confirms US$15 million of earn-in spending commitments across 2026 and 2027.

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Insights

Rising oil prices make Trillion’s M47 economics look stronger on paper, but risks remain.

Trillion emphasizes an historic supply disruption of about 9.1 million barrels per day and Brent prices above US$100 to frame its M47 project. The independent NPV-10 of US$733.5 million was based on a far lower 2026 Brent price of US$63.68 per barrel, so current prices improve the backdrop.

The project’s 32.4° API light oil, priced near Brent, aligns with this environment, and Trillion has committed US$15 million across 2026 and 2027 to meet earn-in work obligations. However, the release also lists key uncertainties such as commodity prices, drilling and operational risk, Turkish regulatory risk, joint operating committee approvals, access to capital, and currency exposure, all of which could materially affect outcomes.

Supply disruption 9.1 million barrels per day Estimated global oil supply removed via Strait of Hormuz disruption
Brent crude price Above US$100 per barrel Recent trading level cited as prices rise amid disruption
M47 NPV-10 (unrisked) US$733.5 million Net to Trillion’s 29% working interest, based on 2026 Brent US$63.68
Brent price assumption US$63.68 per barrel Near-term 2026 Brent price used in M47 evaluation
Working interest 29% Trillion’s planned interest in the M47 oil exploration block
Earn-in commitments US$15 million Funding obligations across 2026 and 2027 for M47 work programme
Global oil demand Near 100 million barrels per day Stated current global oil demand level with no structural decline
Regional production uplift 0 to +80,000 barrels per day Increase in regional oil production from Cudi-Gabar discoveries
NPV-10 financial
"The evaluated NPV-10 of US$733.5 million (unrisked, net to Trillion’s 29% working interest)"
working interest financial
"unrisked, net to Trillion’s 29% working interest"
The working interest is the percentage ownership one party holds in an oil or gas lease that gives them the right to a share of production and also the obligation to pay a proportional share of exploration, development and operating costs. Think of it like owning a slice of a cake but also agreeing to pay part of the bill to bake it: a larger working interest means bigger potential revenue when wells produce, but also larger exposure to costs and liabilities if things go wrong.
earn-in obligations financial
"The Company’s earn-in obligations are actively underway, with US$15 million committed across 2026 and 2027"
forward-looking information regulatory
"This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws"
Forward-looking information are predictions, plans, estimates or expectations about a company’s future performance, results or events, such as sales forecasts, project timelines, or anticipated costs. It matters to investors because these statements guide expectations but rely on assumptions and uncertain factors—like a weather forecast for a business—so investors should treat them as informed guesses rather than guarantees and consider the risks and possible changes behind the numbers.
petroleum province technical
"the M47 oil exploration block (C3 and C4 licences) located in the Cudi-Gabar petroleum province of Southeastern Türkiye"

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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FAQ

How do rising oil prices affect Trillion Energy (TRLED) and the M47 project?

Higher oil prices support Trillion Energy’s M47 economics. The project’s 32.4° API light oil is priced near Brent, and an earlier NPV-10 of US$733.5 million assumed just US$63.68 Brent for 2026, well below recent price levels.

What is the estimated value of Trillion Energy’s M47 interest mentioned in the 6-K?

An independent evaluation calculated an unrisked NPV-10 of US$733.5 million for M47, net to Trillion’s 29% working interest. This valuation used a 2026 Brent price assumption of US$63.68 per barrel, lower than current market prices.

What spending commitments has Trillion Energy (TRLED) made for the M47 earn-in?

Trillion Energy has committed US$15 million across 2026 and 2027 to fund its earn-in obligations on the M47 block. These funds will support the work programme, including exploration drilling and related activities in the Cudi-Gabar petroleum province in Türkiye.

How severe is the oil supply disruption described by Trillion Energy?

The company describes the situation as the largest supply disruption in oil market history. It cites restricted flows through the Strait of Hormuz removing an estimated 9.1 million barrels per day from global supply, with spare capacity sidelined and inventories trending toward all-time lows.

What working interest does Trillion Energy hold in the M47 block?

Trillion Energy has an agreement to earn a 29% working interest in the M47 oil exploration block in Southeastern Türkiye. This interest is tied to funding US$15 million of work commitments during 2026 and 2027 under its earn-in obligations.

What risks and assumptions does Trillion Energy highlight in this 6-K update?

Trillion notes assumptions about oil prices, exchange rates, capital access, partner approvals, and service availability. It flags risks including commodity price volatility, drilling and operational challenges, Turkish regulatory risk, joint operating partner risk, financing access, and currency fluctuations potentially affecting results.

 

 

 

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 6-K

 

REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16

UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the month of April 27, 2026

 

Commission File Number: 000-55539

 

TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC.

(Translation of registrant’s name into English)

 

Suite 700, 838 West Hastings Street

Vancouver, BC, V6C 0A6

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F ☐ Form 40-F

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1): ☐

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7): ☐

 

On April 27, 2026, Trillion Energy International Inc. issued the news release filed herewith as Exhibit 99.1, in which the company comments on recent and current global oil price movement.

 

 

 

 
 

 

Exhibit No.    
99.1  

News Release April 27, 2026 – Trillion Energy Comments on Rising Oil Prices

 

-2-
 

 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC.  
   
/s/ David Thompson  
David Thompson  
Director, Audit Committee Chair  
   
May 11, 2026  

 

-3-

 

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

 

Trillion Energy Comments on Rising Oil Prices

 

April 27, 2026 – Vancouver, B.C. – Trillion Energy International Inc. (“Trillion” or the “Company”) (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) (Frankfurt: Z62) wishes to comment on the current global oil price environment and its implications for the Company’s M47 oil exploration programme in Southeastern Türkiye.

 

Market Context

 

The global oil market is experiencing the largest supply disruption on record. Restricted flows through the Strait of Hormuz have removed an estimated 9.1 million barrels per day from global supply, a level that dwarfs prior shocks, including the Gulf War. Brent crude has traded above US$100 per barrel, with physical spot grades rising materially as cargoes become scarce.

 

The world’s spare production capacity, concentrated almost entirely in the Gulf states, has now been effectively sidelined.

Global oil inventories are tracking toward all-time lows. Much of what appears to be falling demand is not buyers pulling back on price; it is forced consumption loss because supply cannot physically reach them. Prices must rise further to ration available barrels, not merely to reflect a geopolitical premium that could reverse overnight.

 

A decade of underinvestment in new oil production has left the industry poorly positioned to absorb shocks of this scale. With global demand still near 100 million barrels per day and no structural decline in sight, the case for higher oil prices over the coming years is stronger than it has been in a generation.

 

 

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA); International Energy Agency (IEA). Estimated peak daily supply volumes removed during major disruption events.

 

 

 

 

 

 

What This Means for M47

 

The independent resource evaluation of Block M47, completed by Chapman Hydrogen and Petroleum Engineering Ltd., effective December 31, 2025, used a near-term Brent price of US$63.68 per barrel for 2026, well below today’s Brent price. The evaluated NPV-10 of US$733.5 million (unrisked, net to Trillion’s 29% working interest) was calculated at prices the market has already significantly exceeded. Trillion’s M47 target is 32.4° API light oil, premium-grade crude priced at or near the Brent benchmark, making the current environment directly accretive to project economics.

 

Trillion is not a passive observer of this environment. The Company’s earn-in obligations are actively underway, with US$15 million committed across 2026 and 2027 to advance the M47 work programme, including exploration drilling on a block where the geology is a cluster of major discoveries, increasing the region’s oil production from 0 to +80,000 barrels of oil a day.

 


Management Comment

“This is the largest supply disruption in the history of the oil market, and inventories are heading toward all-time lows. The consensus is still treating this as a temporary spike. We don’t see it that way. A decade of underinvestment doesn’t unwind in a quarter. The world still needs 100 million barrels a day; that number isn’t going backwards, and the easy barrels are getting harder to find. Türkiye imports much of its crude oil. When Brent trades above $100, that dependency is felt directly in energy costs, supply security, and policy. Domestic onshore production of the kind we are developing at M47 becomes exactly what Türkiye needs. The Cudi-Gabar province is a cluster of major discoveries, a proven petroleum system with an established regional production base. We are building a company around that reality, and our timing, we believe, is right.” – Scott Lower, President of Trillion Energy

About Trillion Energy International Inc.

 

Trillion Energy International Inc. is a Canadian oil exploration company focused on Türkiye. The Company has an agreement to earn a 29% working interest in the M47 oil exploration block (C3 and C4 licences) located in the Cudi-Gabar petroleum province of Southeastern Türkiye. The earn-in includes funding a total of US$15 million for 2026 and 2027 work commitments. More information may be found on www.sedarplus.ca and on the Company’s website at www.trillionenergy.com.

 

Requests for further information should be directed to:

Scott Lower, President

Brian Park, Vice President of Finance

Trillion Energy International Inc.

Suite 700, 838 West Hastings Street

Vancouver, B.C., V6C 0A6

Corporate offices: 1-778-819-1585

e-mail: info@trillionenergy.com

Website: www.trillionenergy.com

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

 

This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws, including but not limited to: statements regarding the bell-ringing ceremony date, time and format; the Company’s strategic direction and focus on the M47 Concession; the Company’s earn-in obligations and work program commitments; and the business and affairs of the Company generally. Forward-looking information is based on a number of assumptions including, without limitation: the availability of the CSE venue and livestream; JOC partner approvals; prevailing oil prices and foreign exchange rates; access to capital; and the availability of required services and equipment. Forward-looking information is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the Company’s control, that may cause actual results to differ materially, including: commodity price risk; drilling and operational risk; regulatory risk in Türkiye; JOC partner risk; access to financing; and currency risk. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and the Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise, except as expressly required by applicable securities law.

 

*Neither the Canadian Securities Exchange nor its regulation services provider accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.*

 

 

Filing Exhibits & Attachments

3 documents