Annual Report 2025 |
Risk, capital, liquidity and funding, and balance sheet | Risk management and control
88
Risk management and control
In the initial phases of the integration of Credit Suisse, the risk management focus was on the alignment of governance
structures and frameworks, including the harmonization of Credit
Suisse policies with UBS standards. In 2025,
with the
exposure
reductions
in
Non-core
and
Legacy
and
the
significant
achievements
made
with
respect
to
client
account
migrations (as part of the overall integration), we have substantially reduced
the proportion of risks managed on legacy
Credit Suisse platforms. We also transitioned to a single model risk management framework.
Top and emerging risks
An overview
of our
top and
emerging risks,
from a
risk management
perspective, is
disclosed below.
Investors should
also carefully review all information set out
in the “Risk factors” section
of this report, where we discuss these and
other
material
risks
that
could
have
an
effect
on
our
ability
to
execute
our
strategy
and
may
affect
our
business activities,
financial condition, results of operations and business prospects.
Top and emerging risk
Description
Geopolitical uncertainty
We remain watchful of a broad range of geopolitical developments and political changes in a number of countries,
including intensifying rivalries among major powers, the re-emergence of regional spheres of influence and continued
stress on multi-lateral economic and security institutions. Global trade relations remain fragile, as tariff-related policies
persist. In addition, structural challenges in the US–China relationship remain significant. In parallel, the reshaping of
international trade relationships is driving significant changes in global supply chains, adding further uncertainty and
potential disruption to cross-border trade flows.
Macroeconomic risks
We are exposed to a number of macroeconomic risks, as well as general market conditions. As noted in “Market,
credit and macroeconomic risks” in the “Risk factors” section of this report, these external pressures may have a
significant adverse effect on our business activities and related financial results, primarily through reduced margins and
revenues, asset impairments and other valuation adjustments. Accordingly,
these macroeconomic factors are
considered in the development of stress-testing scenarios for our ongoing risk management activities.
Inflation has remained broadly stable in major Western economies, though there are still concerns that inflation could
return, including upward pressure on interest rates. Central banks’ monetary policies therefore continue to be a key
driver of financial market conditions. In parallel, concerns around developed market sovereign debt sustainability have
heightened, with fiscal deterioration in several advanced economies contributing to volatility in long-term bond yields.
We are closely monitoring foreign exchange volatility and currency valuations, including the weakening of the US
dollar and the appreciation of the Swiss franc against other major currencies.
Elevated valuations across various assets classes, alongside accelerated capital flows into artificial intelligence (AI)- and
technology-related equities, present the risk of a potential bubble, particularly if adoption trends in these areas slow or
macroeconomic conditions weaken.
Non-bank financial institutions
and private markets
Non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) and private markets, in particular, have come further into focus in 2025,
expanding their role in credit provision, liquidity transformation and risk transfer across the financial system. We
remain watchful of the growing systemic and economic relevance of this sector,
especially as its interconnectedness
with the financial sector has further deepened through funding relationships, derivatives exposures and the collateral
channel, heightening the potential for spillovers under stress.
Limited transparency around leverage, asset valuations and liquidity profiles may further obscure underlying risk
dynamics and complicate a comprehensive assessment of sector-wide vulnerabilities. These developments reinforce
the
importance of disciplined monitoring and proactive risk management of exposures and concentrations, and the
channels through which stress in NBFIs or private markets could transmit to the broader financial system.
Regulatory and legal risks
We are exposed to substantial changes in the regulation of our businesses that could have a material adverse effect on
our business, as discussed in the “Regulatory and legal developments” section of this report and in “Regulatory and
legal risks” in the “Risk factors” section of this report.
As a global financial services firm, we are subject to many different legal, tax and regulatory regimes and extensive
regulatory oversight. We are exposed to the risk that regulatory requirements across
different jurisdictions impose
inconsistent or conflicting requirements, or may do so in the future. We are also exposed to significant liability risk, and
we are subject to various claims, disputes, legal proceedings and government investigations, as noted in “Regulatory
and legal risks” in the “Risk factors” section of this report. Information about litigation, regulatory and similar matters
we consider significant is disclosed in “Note 17 Provisions and contingent liabilities” in the “Consolidated financial
statements” section of this report.
Cyber risks, third-party risks and
operational resilience
Global geopolitical trends increase the likelihood of external state-driven cyber activity. Combined with a broader shift
toward more sophisticated forms of ransomware and other cyber threats, there is a risk of operational disruption to
business activities at our locations and those of third-party suppliers, including potential corruption or loss of data. At
the same time, the dynamic and material nature of recent geopolitical and environmental events, combined with the
operational complexity of all our businesses, leads to the risk of disruption through operational resilience scenarios,
such as system failures or loss of third-party services.
›
Refer to “Non-financial risk” and “Cybersecurity and information security” in this section for more
information