UBS Group (NYSE: UBS) faces $42B extra CET1 need while launching $2B buyback
UBS Group AG filed its 30 June 2025 Pillar 3 report, updating investors on capital, leverage, liquidity and evolving Basel III rules under new Swiss disclosure standards. Common equity tier 1 capital rose to USD 72.7bn with a CET1 ratio of 14.41%, while total risk‑weighted assets increased to USD 504.5bn. Tier 1 capital reached USD 91.7bn and the Basel III leverage ratio was 5.53%. Total loss‑absorbing capacity stood at USD 191.2bn, about 37.9% of RWA.
The Swiss Federal Council’s Financial Stability Proposals could, on a pro‑forma basis, require around USD 24bn of additional CET1 at UBS AG, mainly from fully deducting foreign subsidiaries, on top of around USD 18bn already expected after the Credit Suisse acquisition, for a total of about USD 42bn extra CET1 over time. UBS highlights transition timelines stretching toward 2028 and beyond.
Liquidity remained strong, with a quarterly average LCR of 182.3% and an NSFR of 122.4%. UBS also launched a new share repurchase program of up to USD 2bn from 1 July 2025, after buying USD 1bn of shares in the first half, while keeping a CET1 ratio target of around 14% and medium‑term goals for roughly 15% underlying return on CET1 and a cost/income ratio below 70% by the end of 2026.
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Insights
UBS shows solid capital and liquidity, but faces sizable long‑dated CET1 demands from Swiss stability reforms.
UBS reports strong regulatory metrics under the new Swiss Basel III framework, with a CET1 ratio of 14.41%, TLAC of USD 191.2bn and a leverage ratio of 5.53%. Risk‑weighted assets rose to USD 504.5bn, mainly from credit and counterparty credit risk, but tier 1 capital growth kept headline ratios broadly stable.
The Financial Stability Proposals in Switzerland are the main structural development. Based on Q1 2025 data and a CET1 target range of 12.5–13% at UBS AG, the bank estimates around USD 24bn additional CET1 would ultimately be needed, largely from fully deducting foreign subsidiaries. This would come on top of roughly USD 18bn of extra CET1 tied to the Credit Suisse acquisition, for a total of about USD 42bn over time.
Implementation is spread over consultation rounds through 2027 and expected entry into force from 2028 with multi‑year phase‑ins, so the impact is long‑dated and still subject to legislative decisions. In the nearer term, UBS continues share buybacks—up to USD 2bn in the second half of 2025—while stating these remain conditional on keeping a CET1 ratio around 14% and meeting return and cost targets.
FAQ
What are the key capital ratios UBS (UBS) reported in its 30 June 2025 Pillar 3 update?
UBS reported common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital of USD 72.7bn, a CET1 ratio of 14.41%, tier 1 capital of USD 91.7bn and a Basel III leverage ratio of 5.53%. Total risk‑weighted assets were USD 504.5bn, and total capital and tier 1 ratios were both 18.18%.
How much additional CET1 capital could Swiss Financial Stability Proposals require from UBS (UBS)?
Based on first‑quarter 2025 figures and a UBS AG CET1 ratio target of 12.5–13%, UBS estimates it would need around USD 24bn of additional CET1 at UBS AG if the proposals were implemented as described. This is mainly due to fully deducting investments in foreign subsidiaries from CET1 and would come on top of about USD 18bn previously communicated in connection with the Credit Suisse acquisition, for a total of roughly USD 42bn additional CET1 over time.
What did UBS (UBS) say about the timing of the new Swiss capital and liquidity rules?
UBS stated that legislative proposals on foreign subsidiary capital requirements are expected to be submitted to the Swiss Parliament in the first half of 2026, with entry into force in 2028 at the earliest and a phase‑in over at least six to eight years. Ordinance‑level measures, including the treatment of capitalized software and deferred tax assets, are in consultation until September 2025, with possible effectiveness from January 2027 at the earliest.
What share buyback plans and capital return targets did UBS (UBS) outline?
UBS launched a new program on 1 July 2025 to repurchase up to USD 2bn of shares and plans to complete up to USD 2bn of buybacks in the second half of 2025. In the first half of 2025 it repurchased USD 1bn of shares, and its 2024 program totaling USD 2bn was completed in May 2025. The bank reiterated targets for an underlying return on CET1 capital of around 15% and an underlying cost/income ratio of less than 70% by the end of 2026, subject to its CET1 ratio target of around 14%.
How strong are UBS’s (UBS) liquidity metrics in this report?
For the second quarter of 2025, UBS reported a quarterly average liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 182.3%, supported by high‑quality liquid assets of USD 358.8bn. The net stable funding ratio (NSFR) was 122.4%, with available stable funding of USD 904.7bn and required stable funding of USD 738.9bn, all above FINMA’s prudential requirements.
What total loss‑absorbing capacity (TLAC) did UBS (UBS) report at the group resolution level?
UBS reported TLAC available of USD 191.2bn at the UBS Group AG consolidated (resolution group) level as of 30 June 2025. This corresponded to 37.89% of risk‑weighted assets of USD 504.5bn and 11.53% of the leverage ratio exposure measure of USD 1,658.1bn.