[424B2] Inverse VIX Short-Term Futures ETNs due March 22, 2045 Prospectus Supplement
JPMorgan Chase Financial Company LLC, fully guaranteed by JPMorgan Chase & Co., intends to issue Uncapped Accelerated Barrier Notes (the “notes”) linked individually—rather than as a basket—to the common stocks of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) and Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). The preliminary pricing supplement (Rule 424(b)(2) filing) is dated June 25, 2025 and foresees pricing on or about July 2, 2025 with settlement on or about July 8, 2025. Minimum denomination is $1,000 and the CUSIP is 48136E5S0.
Return profile: At maturity (July 8, 2030) investors receive:
- Upside: If the Final Value of each Reference Stock exceeds its Initial Value, payment equals $1,000 + ($1,000 × Least Performing Stock Return × Upside Leverage Factor). The Upside Leverage Factor will be ≥ 4.93, producing an uncapped leveraged gain—e.g., a 10% rise in the worst-performing stock would deliver a 49.3% note gain ($1,493).
- Par redemption: If any stock finishes at or below its Initial Value but all three remain ≥ 50% of Initial Value (the Barrier Amount), principal is repaid in full.
- Downside: If any stock closes below the 50 % barrier, investors incur a 1-for-1 loss on the Least Performing Stock Return, exposing principal to losses of > 50 % and up to 100 %.
Economic terms:
- Estimated value today ≈ $882.20 per $1,000 note (final estimate to be ≥ $870.00) indicating built-in fees/hedging costs.
- Selling commissions paid by J.P. Morgan Securities LLC will not exceed $41.25 per $1,000 note.
- The notes are senior, unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of the issuer and are not FDIC-insured.
Key risks disclosed:
- Principal risk: No principal protection below the 50 % barrier; worst-stock performance drives repayment.
- Credit risk: Payment depends on the creditworthiness of JPMorgan Financial and JPMorgan Chase & Co.
- No income: Investors forgo dividends on the three stocks and receive no periodic coupons.
- Valuation/market risk: Secondary market may be illiquid and prices will reflect issuer credit spreads, hedging costs and dealer mark-ups.
- Structural complexity: Individual-stock, worst-of design increases downside probability relative to a basket.
Illustrative payout table (assumes Initial Value = $100, Barrier = $50, Leverage = 4.93): gains range from 24.65 % for a 5 % underlying rise to 320.45 % for a 65 % rise, while a 60 % drop results in a 60 % principal loss ($400 return).
These terms target investors seeking leveraged equity upside without a hard cap, who can tolerate credit exposure to JPMorgan and the risk of substantial principal loss if any of the three high-volatility technology stocks falls more than 50 % over the five-year term.
- Upside Leverage Factor of at least 4.93 provides amplified gains if all three stocks rise.
- Uncapped payoff allows unlimited participation in appreciation of the worst-performing stock.
- Full principal repayment if each stock remains above the 50 % barrier, even if they decline within that range.
- Obligations guaranteed by JPMorgan Chase & Co., a high-grade credit issuer.
- No principal protection below 50 % barrier; a single stock falling more than 50 % triggers proportional loss up to 100 %.
- Estimated value only $882.20 per $1,000, implying roughly 11.8 % in embedded costs.
- Credit exposure to JPMorgan Financial and JPMorgan Chase & Co. could impair repayment in default scenarios.
- No dividends or coupons; opportunity cost versus holding underlying equities.
- Complex worst-of structure magnifies downside probability relative to basket designs.
Insights
TL;DR: Leverages worst-of tech stocks 4.93×, uncapped upside, 50 % barrier—high return potential but large tail risk and issuer credit exposure.
The note offers an attractive headline multiplier and no upside cap, appealing amid equity bull scenarios. Using three highly volatile semiconductor/data-analytics names amplifies both opportunity and risk; worst-of construction historically drags performance. The 50 % barrier is typical for 5-year terms, yet tech volatility means breach probability is material. The estimated value at 88.2 % of par reveals ~11.8 % in fees/hedging, so break-even on a mark-to-market basis requires an underlying gain of roughly 2.4 % (2.4 % × 4.93 ≈ 12 %). For sophisticated investors comfortable with credit risk and long-dated illiquidity, the structure can complement an equity portfolio as a leveraged satellite position, but prudent sizing is essential.
TL;DR: Worst-of feature plus 50 % barrier equals high probability of drawdown; credit & liquidity risks compound, making payoff asymmetric against investors.
From a risk-control lens, the note embeds several stacked exposures: (1) correlated downside to three momentum-heavy tech stocks, (2) 5-year horizon with no interim protection, and (3) unsecured credit to JPMorgan entities. Historical drawdowns for NVDA, MRVL and PLTR have exceeded 50 % multiple times in the last decade; thus barrier breach risk is non-trivial. The uncapped upside is enticing but statistically less likely than large losses under fat-tailed tech distributions. The 11–13 % discount to par and selling commissions reduce secondary liquidity. For most diversified portfolios, outright equity or shorter-dated options may provide cleaner risk-return. I assign a negative impact for conservative investors.