Ryerson and Olympic Steel (ZEUS) detail Q4 miss, Q1 outlook and merger impact
Rhea-AI Filing Summary
Ryerson Holding Corporation reported preliminary fourth quarter 2025 results showing revenue of $1.10 billion but a net loss of $37.9 million, or $1.18 per diluted share, significantly wider than its expected net loss range of $7 million to $9 million. Tons shipped fell 4.9% sequentially while average selling prices were essentially flat, and gross margin compressed from 17.2% to 15.3% as material costs rose faster than anticipated and resale prices held steady. LIFO expense was $22.5 million versus guidance of $10 million to $14 million, driving Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO down to $20.4 million, below the $33 million to $37 million guidance range.
Despite the loss, Ryerson generated $112.7 million of operating cash flow, reducing outstanding debt to $463 million and lowering its leverage ratio from 3.7x to 3.1x. For the first quarter of 2026, it expects volume to increase 13% to 15% over the fourth quarter, net sales of $1.26 billion to $1.30 billion, net income of $10 million to $12 million before merger-related fees, and Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $51 million to $54 million. If the planned merger with Olympic Steel closes during the quarter, Ryerson estimates adding $260 million to $280 million of revenue and $12 million to $13 million of incremental Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO.
Ryerson and Olympic are proceeding toward shareholder votes on February 12, 2026, and have received shareholder demand letters and two New York state court complaints challenging disclosures in their joint proxy statement/prospectus. While both companies deny any deficiencies or legal violations, they are voluntarily providing supplemental valuation and transaction analysis details from their financial advisors to reduce litigation risk and avoid potential delays to the merger.
Positive
- None.
Negative
- Q4 2025 earnings miss and margin compression: Net loss of $37.9 million versus an expected $7–$9 million loss, gross margin decline from 17.2% to 15.3%, and Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $20.4 million below the $33–$37 million guidance range signal weaker-than-anticipated profitability.
Insights
Ryerson missed Q4 guidance but guides to stronger Q1 and merger uplift.
Ryerson delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $1.10 billion but reported a net loss of $37.9 million, far worse than its expected $7 million to $9 million loss. Gross margin fell from 17.2% to 15.3%, and LIFO expense of $22.5 million pushed Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO down to $20.4 million, below the $33 million to $37 million guidance range.
Operationally, the company still generated $112.7 million in operating cash flow and cut net debt to $436 million, lowering its leverage ratio from 3.7x to 3.1x. That indicates working capital release and some balance sheet progress despite weak profitability, though the reliance on seasonal cash benefits limits how much comfort investors may take.
For Q1 2026, management guides to volume growth of 13%–15% over Q4, net sales of $1.26 billion to $1.30 billion, and net income of $10 million to $12 million before merger fees, with Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $51 million to $54 million. On top, giving effect to an Olympic Steel closing in the last six weeks of the quarter, Ryerson estimates combined revenue of $1.52 billion to $1.58 billion and Adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $63 million to $67 million. The overall picture is a near‑term earnings disappointment offset by guidance that anticipates recovery and merger-related scale benefits.
FAQ
How did Ryerson Holding Corporation perform in Q4 2025?
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What shareholder litigation has arisen around the Ryerson–Olympic Steel merger?
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