A. O. Smith Reports Record 2025 Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $3.85 and Introduces 2026 Guidance
Rhea-AI Summary
A. O. Smith (NYSE: AOS) reported 2025 net sales of $3.83 billion, net earnings of $546.2 million and record diluted EPS of $3.85 (up 6% YoY). Free cash flow was $546.0 million, and the company returned $597 million to shareholders.
2026 guidance projects sales of $3.90–4.02 billion and EPS of $3.85–4.15, including Leonard Valve sales of about $70 million.
Positive
- Record diluted EPS of $3.85, up 6% year-over-year
- Free cash flow of $546.0 million, equal to 100% of net earnings
- Returned $597 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks in 2025
- Operating margin improvement of 80 basis points year-over-year
Negative
- China third-party sales declined 12% in 2025
- Rest of World sales decreased 4%, driven by lower China volumes
- 2026 guidance low-end EPS of $3.85 equals 2025 EPS, implying limited downside cushion
News Market Reaction
On the day this news was published, AOS gained 5.30%, reflecting a notable positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +2.4% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 32 alerts that day, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility. This price movement added approximately $522M to the company's valuation, bringing the market cap to $10.36B at that time. Trading volume was elevated at 2.7x the daily average, suggesting notable buying interest.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
Key Figures
Market Reality Check
Peers on Argus
AOS was down 1.63% while peers were mixed: CR -1.51%, GGG -1.06%, NDSN -0.22% contrasted with GNRC +2.15% and IEX +1.05%. This pattern points to stock-specific dynamics rather than a broad sector move.
Historical Context
| Date | Event | Sentiment | Move | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15 | Dividend declaration | Positive | +0.7% | Announced regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.36 per share. |
| Jan 07 | Earnings call notice | Neutral | -2.2% | Scheduled fourth quarter 2025 results release and investor conference call. |
| Jan 06 | Portfolio company sale | Positive | -2.2% | Bessemer announced sale of Leonard Valve to A. O. Smith with strategic growth background. |
| Jan 06 | Acquisition close | Positive | -2.2% | Completed $470M all-cash acquisition of Leonard Valve funded via new credit agreement. |
| Nov 12 | Acquisition agreement | Positive | +0.9% | Signed definitive agreement to acquire Leonard Valve, expected EPS accretion in 2026. |
Recent acquisition headlines around Leonard Valve showed mixed reactions, with one positive move and a notable negative reaction despite strategic framing.
Over the last few months, A. O. Smith’s news flow has centered on capital returns, strategic M&A, and communications around earnings. A dividend announcement on Jan 15, 2026 coincided with a modest gain. Multiple items on Jan 6, 2026 detailed the completion and background of the Leonard Valve acquisition, yet the stock moved lower on that day. The original acquisition agreement on Nov 12, 2025 saw a small positive reaction. Against this backdrop, the current report of record 2025 EPS and 2026 guidance builds on a theme of earnings growth plus portfolio expansion.
Market Pulse Summary
The stock moved +5.3% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with the company’s report of record $3.85 diluted EPS for 2025, solid free cash flow of $546M, and shareholder returns of $597M. Historical data show generally constructive responses to earnings and acquisition news, though the Leonard Valve closing on Jan 6, 2026 coincided with weakness, underscoring that strategic deals are not always rewarded immediately. Investors could weigh the sustainability of guidance at $3.85–$4.15 EPS and ongoing China softness.
Key Terms
free cash flow financial
segment margin financial
leverage ratio financial
capital expenditures financial
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
2025 Highlights
(Comparisons are year-over-year ("YoY"), unless otherwise noted)
- Sales of
; net earnings increased$3.8 billion 2% to and diluted EPS increased$546.2 million 6% to a record 1$3.85 - Strong execution led to 80 basis points of operating margin improvement
- Free cash flow (FCF) of
,$546 million 100% FCF to net earnings - Returned
of capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases$597 million - Leonard Valve acquisition closed in January 2026 and advances a broader water management platform
1 | 2024 net earnings and EPS included pre-tax restructuring and impairment expenses of |
Key Financial Metrics
Full Year
(in millions, except per share amounts)
2025 | 2024 | % Change YoY | |
Net sales | - | ||
Net earnings | 2 % | ||
Adjusted earnings | | - | |
Diluted earnings per share | $ 3.85 | $ 3.63 | 6 % |
Adjusted earnings per share | $ 3.85 | $ 3.732 | 3 % |
Fourth Quarter
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Q4 2025 | Q4 2024 | % Change YoY | |
Net sales | - | ||
Net earnings | 14 % | ||
Adjusted earnings | $ 125.4 | | 1 % |
Diluted earnings per share | $ 0.90 | $ 0.75 | 20 % |
Adjusted earnings per share | $ 0.90 | $ 0.85 2 | 6 % |
2 | Excludes restructuring and impairment expenses. See accompanying GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliations |
"I am pleased with the resilience and focus our team showed through the fourth quarter. The continued improvement in profitability and strength in the commercial water heater and boiler markets helped contribute to our record EPS in 2025," noted Steve Shafer, chief executive officer. "Our China margins expanded despite continued pressure on our volumes driven by the challenging market conditions, and the assessment of our
Segment-level Performance
Full Year 2025
2025 sales of
Segment earnings were
Fourth Quarter 2025
Fourth quarter sales of
Segment earnings were
Rest of World
Full Year 2025
Rest of World sales of
Segment earnings were
Fourth Quarter 2025
Rest of World sales of
Segment earnings were
Balance Sheet, Liquidity and Capital Allocation
As of December 31, 2025, cash and marketable securities balances totaled
Cash provided by operations was
As part of its commitment to return capital to shareholders, the Company repurchased 5.9 million shares at a cost of
On January 15, 2026, the Company's board of directors approved a
Outlook
2026 Outlook
(in millions, except per share amounts)
2025 | 2026 Outlook | |||
Actual | Low End | High End | ||
Net sales | ||||
Diluted earnings per share | $ 3.85 | $ 3.85 | $ 4.15 | |
"Our outlook for 2026, which includes Leonard Valve sales of approximately
"We believe our strong balance sheet and free cash flow give us the flexibility to support organic growth, dividends and share repurchases while continuing to pursue strategic acquisitions to support our focus on portfolio management."
The Company's guidance excludes the potential impacts from future acquisitions, any potential outcomes of the assessment of its
A. O. Smith will host a webcasted conference call at 10:00 a.m. (Eastern Standard Time) today. The call can be heard live on the Company's website click here. An audio replay of the call will be available on the Company's website after the live event. To access the archived audio replay, go to the "Investors" page and select the Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call link.
To provide improved transparency into the operating results of its business, the Company is providing non-GAAP measures. Free cash flow is defined as cash provided by operations less capital expenditures. Adjusted earnings, adjusted EPS and adjusted segment earnings exclude the impact of restructuring and impairment charges. Reconciliations from GAAP measures to non-GAAP measures are provided in the financial information included in this news release.
Forward-looking Statements
This release contains statements that the Company believes are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of words such as "may," "will," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "anticipate," "believe," "forecast," "continue," "guidance," "outlook" or words of similar meaning. All forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these expectations include, among other things, the following: further weakening in North American residential or commercial construction or instability in the Company's replacement markets; failure to realize the expected benefits of acquisitions or expected synergies; difficulties in predicting results of operations of an acquired business; negative impact to the Company's businesses from international tariffs, including any new or increased tariffs that could also trigger retaliatory responses from other countries, as well as trade disputes and geopolitical differences, including the conflicts in
About A. O. Smith
A. O. Smith Corporation, with headquarters in
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||||||||
Three Months Ended | Twelve Months Ended | ||||||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | ||||||||||
2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||
Net sales | $ | 912.5 | $ | 912.4 | $ | 3,830.2 | $ | 3,818.1 | |||
Cost of products sold | 562.1 | 574.3 | 2,342.8 | 2,362.0 | |||||||
Gross profit | 350.4 | 338.1 | 1,487.4 | 1,456.1 | |||||||
Selling, general and administrative expenses | 186.6 | 182.0 | 759.4 | 739.3 | |||||||
Restructuring and impairment expenses | — | 17.6 | — | 17.6 | |||||||
Interest expense | 2.4 | 2.4 | 13.5 | 6.7 | |||||||
Other expense (income) | 0.8 | (9.0) | (0.6) | (8.5) | |||||||
Earnings before provision for income taxes | 160.6 | 145.1 | 715.1 | 701.0 | |||||||
Provision for income taxes | 35.2 | 35.4 | 168.9 | 167.4 | |||||||
Net earnings | $ | 125.4 | $ | 109.7 | $ | 546.2 | $ | 533.6 | |||
Diluted earnings per share of common stock(1) | $ | 0.90 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 3.85 | $ | 3.63 | |||
Average common shares outstanding (000's omitted) | 139,933 | 145,758 | 141,915 | 147,084 | |||||||
(1) Earnings per share amounts are calculated discretely and, therefore, may not add up to the total due to rounding. |
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||
(Unaudited) | December 31, | ||||
ASSETS: | |||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 174.5 | $ | 239.6 | |
Marketable securities | 18.7 | 36.5 | |||
Receivables | 582.3 | 541.4 | |||
Inventories | 479.3 | 532.1 | |||
Other current assets | 36.7 | 43.3 | |||
Total Current Assets | 1,291.5 | 1,392.9 | |||
Net property, plant and equipment | 635.1 | 628.7 | |||
Goodwill and other intangibles | 1,072.9 | 1,082.8 | |||
Operating lease assets | 46.3 | 32.8 | |||
Other assets | 97.0 | 102.8 | |||
Total Assets | $ | 3,142.8 | $ | 3,240.0 | |
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY: | |||||
Trade payables | $ | 504.1 | $ | 588.7 | |
Accrued payroll and benefits | 93.6 | 78.5 | |||
Accrued liabilities | 147.5 | 153.0 | |||
Product warranties | 75.0 | 67.0 | |||
Debt due within one year | 42.3 | 10.0 | |||
Total Current Liabilities | 862.5 | 897.2 | |||
Long-term debt | 112.7 | 183.2 | |||
Pension liabilities | 7.4 | 11.0 | |||
Operating lease liabilities | 37.1 | 23.5 | |||
Other liabilities | 265.1 | 241.6 | |||
Stockholders' equity | 1,858.0 | 1,883.5 | |||
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity | $ | 3,142.8 | $ | 3,240.0 | |
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||
Twelve Months Ended | |||||
(unaudited) | |||||
2025 | 2024 | ||||
Operating Activities | |||||
Net earnings | $ | 546.2 | $ | 533.6 | |
Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided by (used in) operating | |||||
Depreciation & amortization | 85.1 | 78.8 | |||
Stock based compensation expense | 13.8 | 14.9 | |||
Deferred income taxes | 8.9 | (4.6) | |||
Non-cash impairments | — | 4.7 | |||
Net changes in operating assets and liabilities: | |||||
Current assets and liabilities | (55.7) | (22.6) | |||
Noncurrent assets and liabilities | 18.5 | (23.0) | |||
Cash Provided by Operating Activities | 616.8 | 581.8 | |||
Investing Activities | |||||
Capital expenditures | (70.8) | (108.0) | |||
Acquisitions | — | (145.9) | |||
Investment in marketable securities | (42.7) | (73.7) | |||
Net proceeds from sale of marketable securities | 60.5 | 60.5 | |||
Cash Used in Investing Activities | (53.0) | (267.1) | |||
Financing Activities | |||||
Proceeds from debt | 1,087.3 | 1,100.1 | |||
Repayments of debt | (1,124.9) | (1,030.4) | |||
Common stock repurchases | (400.8) | (305.8) | |||
Net proceeds from stock option activity | 1.0 | 18.1 | |||
Dividends paid | (195.7) | (190.4) | |||
Cash Used In Financing Activities | (633.1) | (408.4) | |||
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | 4.2 | (6.6) | |||
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | (65.1) | (100.3) | |||
Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period | 239.6 | 339.9 | |||
Cash and Cash Equivalents - End of Period | $ | 174.5 | $ | 239.6 | |
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||||||||
Three Months Ended | Twelve Months Ended | ||||||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | ||||||||||
2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||
Net sales | |||||||||||
$ | 713.7 | $ | 689.8 | $ | 2,984.2 | $ | 2,950.1 | ||||
Rest of World | 205.7 | 236.6 | 880.4 | 918.6 | |||||||
Inter-segment sales | (6.9) | (14.0) | (34.4) | (50.6) | |||||||
$ | 912.5 | $ | 912.4 | $ | 3,830.2 | $ | 3,818.1 | ||||
Earnings | |||||||||||
$ | 164.9 | $ | 147.9 | $ | 727.9 | $ | 707.5 | ||||
Rest of World (2) | 16.0 | 7.8 | 76.4 | 64.5 | |||||||
Inter-segment earnings elimination | — | — | (0.2) | (0.4) | |||||||
180.9 | 155.7 | 804.1 | 771.6 | ||||||||
Corporate expense | (17.9) | (8.2) | (75.5) | (63.9) | |||||||
Interest expense | (2.4) | (2.4) | (13.5) | (6.7) | |||||||
Earnings before income taxes | 160.6 | 145.1 | 715.1 | 701.0 | |||||||
Provision for income taxes | 35.2 | 35.4 | 168.9 | 167.4 | |||||||
Net earnings | $ | 125.4 | $ | 109.7 | $ | 546.2 | $ | 533.6 | |||
Additional Information | |||||||||||
(1) | |||||||||||
includes restructuring and impairment expense of: | — | 6.3 | — | 6.3 | |||||||
(2) Rest of World | |||||||||||
includes restructuring and impairment expense of: | — | 11.3 | — | 11.3 | |||||||
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||||||||
The following is a reconciliation of net earnings and diluted earnings per share to adjusted earnings (non-GAAP) and adjusted | |||||||||||
Three Months Ended | Twelve Months Ended | ||||||||||
2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||
Net Earnings (GAAP) | $ | 125.4 | $ | 109.7 | $ | 546.2 | $ | 533.6 | |||
Restructuring and impairment expenses, before tax | — | 17.6 | — | 17.6 | |||||||
Tax effect on above items | — | (3.2) | — | (3.2) | |||||||
Adjusted Earnings (non-GAAP) | $ | 125.4 | $ | 124.1 | $ | 546.2 | $ | 548.0 | |||
Diluted Earnings Per Share (GAAP)(1) | $ | 0.90 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 3.85 | $ | 3.63 | |||
Restructuring and impairment expenses, per diluted | — | 0.12 | — | 0.12 | |||||||
Tax effect on above items per diluted share | — | (0.02) | — | (0.02) | |||||||
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (non-GAAP)(1) | $ | 0.90 | $ | 0.85 | $ | 3.85 | $ | 3.73 | |||
(1) Earnings per share amounts are calculated discretely and, therefore, may not add up to the total due to rounding. |
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||||||||
The following is a reconciliation of reported earnings before provision for income taxes to total segment earnings (non-GAAP) | |||||||||||
Three Months Ended | Twelve Months Ended | ||||||||||
2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||
Earnings Before Provision for Income Taxes (GAAP) | $ | 160.6 | $ | 145.1 | $ | 715.1 | $ | 701.0 | |||
Add: Corporate expense | 17.9 | 8.2 | 75.5 | 63.9 | |||||||
Add: Interest expense | 2.4 | 2.4 | 13.5 | 6.7 | |||||||
Total Segment Earnings (non-GAAP) | $ | 180.9 | $ | 155.7 | $ | 804.1 | $ | 771.6 | |||
$ | 164.9 | $ | 147.9 | $ | 727.9 | $ | 707.5 | ||||
Rest of World(2) | 16.0 | 7.8 | 76.4 | 64.5 | |||||||
Inter-segment earnings elimination | — | — | (0.2) | (0.4) | |||||||
Total Segment Earnings (non-GAAP) | $ | 180.9 | $ | 155.7 | $ | 804.1 | $ | 771.6 | |||
Additional Information | |||||||||||
(1) | $ | 164.9 | $ | 147.9 | $ | 727.9 | $ | 707.5 | |||
Restructuring and impairment expenses, before tax | — | 6.3 | — | 6.3 | |||||||
Adjusted | $ | 164.9 | $ | 154.2 | $ | 727.9 | $ | 713.8 | |||
(2)Rest of World | $ | 16.0 | $ | 7.8 | $ | 76.4 | $ | 64.5 | |||
Restructuring and impairment expenses, before tax | — | 11.3 | — | 11.3 | |||||||
Adjusted Rest of World (non-GAAP) | $ | 16.0 | $ | 19.1 | $ | 76.4 | $ | 75.8 | |||
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | |||||
The following is a reconciliation of reported cash flow from operating activities to free cash flow (non-GAAP): | |||||
Twelve Months Ended | |||||
2025 | 2024 | ||||
Cash provided by operating activities (GAAP) | $ | 616.8 | $ | 581.8 | |
Less: Capital expenditures | (70.8) | (108.0) | |||
Free cash flow (non-GAAP) | $ | 546.0 | $ | 473.8 | |
A. O. SMITH CORPORATION | ||||||
2026 | 2025 | |||||
Diluted EPS (GAAP) | $ | 3.85 - 4.15 | $ | 3.85 | ||
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SOURCE A. O. Smith Corporation