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Forrester: Global Tech Spend To Grow 5.3% In 2024, Reaching $4.7 Trillion

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Forrester's Global Tech Market Forecast for 2023 to 2027 predicts a 5.3% growth in technology spend in 2024, primarily driven by increased spending on software and IT services, especially generative AI, cloud, security, and digital, and economic growth in the Asia Pacific region. By 2027, software and IT services are expected to capture 69% of global tech spend, with investments in generative AI software predicted to reach $227 billion by 2030 at a 36% compound annual growth rate. Asian countries, including India, the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and China, are forecasted to have the fastest tech spend growth in 2024. The global tech spend is projected to reach $4.7 trillion in 2024, with growth across all regions, including 5.7% in Asia Pacific, 5.4% in North America, and 5.1% in Europe. India is expected to become one of the largest exporters of technology services, with IT exports reaching $194 billion in 2023, and total technology and service industry revenues potentially reaching $350 billion by 2025. Financial services and healthcare will see the fastest tech spend growth in 2024, with strong demand for cloud and AI across all regions.
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The projected increase in technology spending, particularly the 5.3% growth in 2024, is indicative of a broader digital transformation trend. This uptick is significant as it suggests a rebound from slower growth rates in 2023. The emphasis on software and IT services, which are expected to dominate global tech spending by capturing 69% of the market, demonstrates a shift in business priorities towards digital infrastructure, cloud computing and cybersecurity.

From a market research perspective, the compound annual growth rate of 36% for genAI software by 2030 is a strong indicator of the technology's disruptive potential. Investors and businesses should monitor the development of genAI closely, as it may lead to new business models and revenue streams. The Asia Pacific region's rapid growth, especially in the six countries mentioned, suggests a reallocation of global tech investment focus, with potential implications for supply chains and global market strategies.

India's IT export market, forecasted to reach $194 billion in 2023, is a critical element to consider for investors examining the tech sector. The substantial revenues from technology services underscore the country's role as a significant global player in the industry. Additionally, the expected growth across all regions, including a 5.7% increase in the Asia Pacific, 5.4% in North America and 5.1% in Europe, indicates a healthy expansion rate that could have positive effects on related stocks and sectors.

Investors should note the varying growth rates across different industries, such as financial services and healthcare, which may offer targeted investment opportunities. The influence of government initiatives, like the CHIPS and Science Act in the US and the EU's Coordinated Plan on AI, could also serve as catalysts for sector-specific growth and are worth tracking for their impact on market valuations and investor sentiment.

The correlation between economic growth in the Asia Pacific region and increased tech spending is noteworthy. It highlights the role of technological advancement as a driver of GDP growth. The focus on emerging technologies like genAI and cloud services suggests that economies investing heavily in these areas could experience accelerated growth and increased competitiveness on the global stage.

Long-term, the shift towards software and IT services could lead to job market transformations and require a reevaluation of economic policies to support this sector's growth. The data points to a potential reshaping of global economic dynamics, with Asia Pacific countries positioning themselves as leaders in tech innovation and exports. The ripple effects of this shift could influence trade balances, currency valuations and international relations.

The Asia Pacific region will see the fastest growth; six countries forecasted to have the largest GDP growth are in Asia

CAMBRIDGE, Mass.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Forrester’s (Nasdaq: FORR) Global Tech Market Forecast, 2023 To 2027, reveals that as economic conditions continue to improve, technology spend will grow 5.3% in 2024 — up from 3.5% in 2023. Two factors will primarily contribute to this growth: Increased spending on software and IT services, including generative AI (genAI), cloud, security, and digital, and economic growth in Asia Pacific. By 2027, software and IT services will capture 69% of global tech spend, with investments in genAI software predicted to reach $227 billion by 2030 at a 36% compound annual growth rate. Asian countries, especially India, the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and China, will see the fastest tech spend growth in 2024.

Global tech spend is expected to reach $4.7 trillion in 2024, with growth occurring across all regions:

  • Asia Pacific will grow 5.7%. India is one of the largest exporters of technology services: IT exports will reach $194 billion in 2023, and total technology and service industry revenues could reach $350 billion by 2025.
  • North America will grow 5.4%. Software and IT services will capture 60% of US tech spend in 2027, up from 53% in 2018. Financial services and healthcare will see the fastest tech spend growth in 2024, with more modest growth in retail, manufacturing, transportation, and logistics.
  • Europe will grow 5.1%. After a challenging 2023, the European economy will recover in 2024 to grow almost double the rate compared to the previous year. Longer term, European tech spend will see 5.1% to 5.7% growth from 2024 to 2027, driven by higher enterprise digital maturity and more advanced cybersecurity adoption.

“Technology companies faced significant economic headwinds this past year, but 2024 promises a better outlook,” said Michael O’Grady, principal forecast analyst at Forrester. “Asia will see the fastest economic growth due to India’s growing IT export market as well as significant investments in tech innovation. Similarly, in the US, heavy investments in emerging technologies through the development of three primary CHIPS and Science Act agencies will fuel tech spend growth. In Europe, greater investment in cybersecurity and the EU’s Coordinated Plan on AI will help the region bounce back. Demand for cloud and AI is strong across all regions, with genAI expected to boost the tech market over the next three years.”

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About Forrester

Forrester (Nasdaq: FORR) is one of the most influential research and advisory firms in the world. We help leaders across technology, customer experience, digital, marketing, sales, and product functions use customer obsession to accelerate growth. Through Forrester’s proprietary research, consulting, and events, leaders from around the globe are empowered to be bold at work — to navigate change and put their customers at the center of their leadership, strategy, and operations. Our unique insights are grounded in annual surveys of more than 700,000 consumers, business leaders, and technology leaders worldwide; rigorous and objective research methodologies, including Forrester Wave™ evaluations; 100 million real-time feedback votes; and the shared wisdom of our clients. To learn more, visit Forrester.com.

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Hannah Segvich

hsegvich@forrester.com

Source: Forrester

FAQ

What is Forrester's ticker symbol?

Forrester's ticker symbol is FORR.

What is the predicted compound annual growth rate for generative AI software investments?

The predicted compound annual growth rate for generative AI software investments is 36%.

Which region is expected to have the fastest tech spend growth in 2024?

The Asia Pacific region is expected to have the fastest tech spend growth in 2024.

What are the forecasted countries with the largest GDP growth in Asia?

The forecasted countries with the largest GDP growth in Asia are India, the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and China.

What is the projected global tech spend for 2024?

The projected global tech spend for 2024 is $4.7 trillion.

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forrester research is one of the most influential research and advisory firms in the world. we work with business and technology leaders to develop customer-obsessed strategies that drive growth. forrester’s unique insights are grounded in annual surveys of more than 500,000 consumers and business leaders worldwide, rigorous and objective methodologies, and the shared wisdom of our most innovative clients. through proprietary research, data, custom consulting, exclusive executive peer groups, and events, the forrester experience is about a singular and powerful purpose: to challenge the thinking of our clients to help them lead change in their organizations. for more information, visit forrester.com.