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GRI Bio Delivers Compelling New Phase 2a Gene Expression Data Demonstrating Improvements in Key Drivers of Fibrosis and Lung Repair in IPF

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GRI Bio (NASDAQ: GRI) reported new Phase 2a RNA‑sequencing data for GRI-0621 in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) showing significant differential gene expression across pathways linked to lung injury, myofibroblast activation, extracellular matrix deposition, and alveolar basement membrane and epithelial repair versus placebo.

These gene expression changes align with earlier biomarker and immune phenotype signals—reduced neutrophil activity, increased fibrillar collagen degradation, and lower pro‑fibrotic cytokines—and support a mechanism consistent with fibrosis resolution and alveolar regeneration. The study met its primary safety endpoint, showed multiple secondary signs of disease‑modifying activity, and reported exploratory FVC benefit at 12 weeks.

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Positive

  • Primary endpoint met for safety and tolerability in Phase 2a
  • Multiple secondary endpoints showed disease‑modifying activity
  • Gene expression changes support basement membrane repair and AT2‑to‑AT1 transition
  • Exploratory FVC signal: 2x more treated subjects with no decline at 12 weeks

Negative

  • Phase 2a results are early‑stage and limited to 12‑week observations
  • No quantified long‑term efficacy or clinical endpoint data beyond exploratory FVC reported

News Market Reaction

-22.74% 55.3x vol
41 alerts
-22.74% News Effect
+127.3% Peak Tracked
-34.7% Trough Tracked
-$840K Valuation Impact
$3M Market Cap
55.3x Rel. Volume

On the day this news was published, GRI declined 22.74%, reflecting a significant negative market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +127.3% during that session. Argus tracked a trough of -34.7% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 41 alerts that day, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility. This price movement removed approximately $840K from the company's valuation, bringing the market cap to $3M at that time. Trading volume was exceptionally heavy at 55.3x the daily average, suggesting significant selling pressure.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Key Figures

Phase 2a duration: 12 weeks Current price: $5.32 52-week high: $333.20 +3 more
6 metrics
Phase 2a duration 12 weeks Forced vital capacity (FVC) assessed over 12 weeks in Phase 2a IPF study
Current price $5.32 Price before publication of new Phase 2a gene expression data
52-week high $333.20 Pre-news 52-week high level
52-week low $4.96 Pre-news 52-week low level
Market cap $2,976,471 Pre-news market capitalization
Daily change -4.14% Price change in the 24 hours before this news

Market Reality Check

Price: $3.26 Vol: Volume 403,111 is 1.77x t...
high vol
$3.26 Last Close
Volume Volume 403,111 is 1.77x the 20-day average of 227,904, indicating elevated trading interest ahead of/around the data. high
Technical Shares at $5.32, trading below the 200-day moving average of $40.58 and 98.4% below the 52-week high.

Peers on Argus

GRI fell 4.14% while 3 biotech peers (OGEN, ONCO, SXTP) also moved down (median ...
3 Down

GRI fell 4.14% while 3 biotech peers (OGEN, ONCO, SXTP) also moved down (median about -4.8%). Broader small-cap biotech weakness appears to be influencing trading alongside company-specific news.

Common Catalyst Broad biotech risk-off trading with no same-day peer news, suggesting sector sentiment rather than a trial-specific read-through.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jan 26 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Jan 26 IP patent issuance Positive -1.5% New U.S. composition-of-matter patent expanding proprietary compound estate.
Jan 21 Reverse stock split Negative -4.2% 1-for-28 reverse split to regain Nasdaq bid price compliance.
Jan 08 Phase 2a IPF data Positive -4.7% Positive Phase 2a flow cytometry and biomarker results for GRI-0621 in IPF.
Dec 12 Public offering close Negative -10.0% Closing of $8.0M equity offering with Series F warrants and dilution.
Dec 11 Public offering pricing Negative -56.5% Pricing of $8.0M equity offering of shares, pre-funded and Series F warrants.
Pattern Detected

Recent history shows that both positive clinical/IP news and dilutive financings have frequently been followed by share price declines.

Recent Company History

Over the past two months, GRI Bio has combined financing and listing-compliance actions with scientific and IP progress. December 2025 public offerings around $8.0M and related warrants coincided with sharp negative price reactions. In early January 2026, positive Phase 2a IPF data for GRI-0621 and a new U.S. composition-of-matter patent also saw shares trade lower. Today’s additional Phase 2a gene expression data continues that pattern of constructive clinical and IP updates against a weak trading backdrop.

Market Pulse Summary

The stock dropped -22.7% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite positive Ph...
Analysis

The stock dropped -22.7% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite positive Phase 2a data fits the company’s recent pattern, where constructive clinical and IP updates have coincided with share price weakness. Prior dilutive offerings, a reverse split, and listing-compliance concerns may have weighed on sentiment. In such a backdrop, sector-wide biotech pressure and existing overhangs could have amplified downside even when trial readouts and mechanistic data appeared encouraging.

Key Terms

rna-sequencing, differential gene expression, myofibroblast, extracellular matrix, +4 more
8 terms
rna-sequencing medical
"Newly reported RNA-sequencing differential gene expression data demonstrate that..."
RNA sequencing is a laboratory method that reads which genes are active in cells by measuring their RNA messages, like listening to the passages a cell is reading from its instruction manual. For investors, it matters because the technique helps companies discover drug targets, develop diagnostics, select patients for trials, and show biological proof that a therapy is working — all factors that can speed development, reduce risk, and affect a biotech company's value.
differential gene expression medical
"Newly reported RNA-sequencing differential gene expression data demonstrate..."
Differential gene expression measures which genes are more or less active in one biological sample versus another — for example, diseased tissue compared with healthy tissue — by comparing the amounts of gene-produced material. Think of genes as factory machines: differential expression shows which machines are working harder or slower under different conditions. For investors, these patterns help identify promising drug targets, biomarkers, and risks or opportunities in research and development that can affect a biotech company’s value.
myofibroblast medical
"genes associated with lung injury, myofibroblast activation, extracellular matrix..."
A myofibroblast is a type of cell that acts like a repair worker in tissue: it pulls wound edges together and lays down the material that becomes scar tissue. It matters to investors because these cells drive healing but can also cause harmful, long-term scarring in organs, making them a key target for drugs and diagnostics aimed at treating chronic fibrotic diseases and reducing long-term healthcare costs.
extracellular matrix medical
"myofibroblast activation, extracellular matrix deposition, fibrosis progression..."
A network of proteins and other molecules that sits outside cells and gives tissues their shape, strength and a medium for cells to send signals and move — like the scaffolding and wiring inside a building. Investors care because changes to this matrix play a major role in diseases, wound healing and tissue repair, making it a common target for drugs, medical devices and diagnostics that can drive regulatory decisions and commercial value.
cytokines medical
"Lower levels of pro-fibrotic cytokines (IL-4, IL-13 and TGF-β1)"
Small proteins produced by immune and other cells that act as on/off signals or “text messages,” telling cells to ramp up, calm down, grow, or move during infection, injury, or disease. Investors watch cytokines because they are common drug targets and biomarkers—changes in cytokine activity can make a therapy work, cause serious side effects, or determine clinical trial and regulatory outcomes, all of which affect a company’s value.
idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis medical
"Phase 2a clinical study of GRI-0621 in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (“IPF”)"
Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a chronic lung disease in which the air‑carrying tissue becomes progressively thickened and scarred for no identifiable reason, making the lungs stiff and less able to move oxygen—similar to a sponge that hardens and loses its pores. It matters to investors because it is life‑limiting with limited effective treatments, so clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, pricing and reimbursement decisions can strongly affect the commercial value of therapies and the financial prospects of companies developing treatments.
forced vital capacity (fvc) medical
"exploratory endpoint of forced vital capacity (FVC), with twice as many..."
Forced vital capacity (FVC) is the total amount of air a person can forcefully exhale after taking the deepest breath possible, measured during a simple breathing test. Investors care because changes in FVC are a common, straightforward measure used in clinical trials and regulatory evaluations for respiratory drugs and devices, acting like a yardstick that shows whether a treatment is improving lung capacity or slowing disease progression.
epithelial cell transition medical
"support basement membrane repair and AT2-to-AT1 epithelial cell transition..."
Epithelial cell transition is a biological process in which normally stationary, tightly packed surface cells change into a different, more flexible and mobile state or vice versa; imagine a neat brick wall where some bricks loosen and start moving. Investors should care because this switch plays a central role in disease progression, wound healing and how drugs work or fail, so it can determine clinical outcomes, regulatory decisions and the commercial value of therapies.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Multiple Independent Molecular Signals Converge to Validate GRI-0621 as a Potential Disease-Modifying Therapy

LA JOLLA, CA, Jan. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- GRI Bio, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRI) (“GRI Bio” or the “Company”), a biotechnology company advancing an innovative pipeline of immune cell modulators for the treatment of inflammatory, fibrotic and autoimmune diseases, today announced additional positive data from its recently completed Phase 2a clinical study of GRI-0621 in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (“IPF”), further strengthening potential clinical proof-of-concept and reinforcing the therapeutic differentiation of GRI-0621.

Newly reported RNA-sequencing differential gene expression data demonstrate that treatment with GRI-0621 resulted in significant improvement across genes associated with lung injury, myofibroblast activation, extracellular matrix deposition, fibrosis progression, and alveolar basement membrane and epithelial repair compared to placebo. These findings represent a potential powerful and independent validation of previously reported biomarker, functional and clinical signals from the Phase 2a study.

Gene Expression Data Show Direct Impact on the Core Biology of IPF

IPF is driven by ongoing epithelial injury, unchecked fibroblast activation and irreversible scarring of lung tissue. In the Phase 2a study, subjects treated with GRI-0621 demonstrated clear and significant differentially expressed genes (“DEGs”) linked to key drivers of disease, supporting a mechanism consistent with fibrosis resolution and active tissue repair rather than symptomatic management.

Importantly, DEGs associated with lung injury, myofibroblast activation and excessive extracellular matrix (ECM) deposition were also favorably modulated, aligning with earlier biomarker data showing:

  • Decreased neutrophil activity (CPa9-HNE)
  • Increased degradation and reduced synthesis of fibrillar collagens (Type III and Type VI)
  • Lower levels of pro-fibrotic cytokines (IL-4, IL-13 and TGF-β1)

This convergence across gene expression, serum biomarkers, and immune phenotypes provides multi-layered evidence that GRI-0621 directly targets the biological drivers of fibrosis.

Data Support Regeneration of Lung Architecture — Not Just Slowing Disease

Loss of type I alveolar epithelial (“AT1”) cells and destruction of the alveolar basement membrane are central, irreversible features of IPF. Repair of the basement membrane is widely recognized as a critical bottleneck in restoring lung function.

Earlier Phase 2a data showed changes in type IV collagen serum biomarkers, a major structural component of the basement membrane, suggestive of an alveolar repair mechanism. The newly reported gene expression data now directly support basement membrane repair and AT2-to-AT1 epithelial cell transition in GRI-0621-treated subjects versus placebo, representing key hallmarks of true lung regeneration. The Company plans to submit these new gene expression findings for presentation at a major medical conference.

Consistent Signals Across the Entire Phase 2a Dataset

Taken together, these new results reinforce and extend previously announced topline data, in which GRI-0621 treatment was observed to:

  • Reduce lung injury and fibrosis progression
  • Suppress pro-fibrotic immune phenotypes
  • Increase markers of fibrosis resolution
  • Activate molecular pathways consistent with lung repair and regeneration

Crucially, these effects were observed alongside a well-tolerated safety profile, differentiating GRI-0621 from existing treatment options that primarily slow decline while carrying significant side-effect burdens.

“The data from the Phase 2a study exceed our expectations,” said Marc Hertz, PhD, Chief Executive Officer of GRI Bio. “Across gene expression, serum biomarkers, immune profiles and lung function, we see a remarkably consistent picture emerge. GRI-0621 appears to suppress ongoing injury, reduce fibrosis, and activate mechanisms associated with rebuilding damaged lung tissue. The totality of data generated in this Phase 2a study suggests that GRI-0621 may represent a fundamentally different approach, with the potential to alter the trajectory of disease by promoting repair of damaged lung tissue.”

Phase 2a Study Demonstrated Safety, Differentiation and Signs of Functional Benefit

As previously announced, the Phase 2a IPF study:

  • Met its primary endpoint, demonstrating favorable safety and tolerability
  • Met multiple secondary endpoints indicative of disease-modifying activity
  • Showed improvements on the exploratory endpoint of forced vital capacity (FVC), with twice as many GRI-0621-treated subjects experiencing no decline in FVC at 12 weeks compared to standard of care alone

About GRI Bio, Inc.

GRI Bio is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on fundamentally changing the way inflammatory, fibrotic and autoimmune diseases are treated. GRI Bio’s therapies are designed to target the activity of Natural Killer T (“NKT”) cells, which are key regulators earlier in the inflammatory cascade, to interrupt disease progression and restore the immune system to homeostasis. NKT cells are innate-like T cells that share properties of both NK and T cells and are a functional link between the innate and adaptive immune responses. Type I invariant NKT (“iNKT”) cells play a critical role in propagating the injury, inflammatory response, and fibrosis observed in inflammatory and fibrotic indications. GRI Bio’s lead program, GRI-0621, is an RARβγ agonist shown to inhibit the activity of key immune cells, like iNKT cell activity, and is being developed as a novel oral therapeutic for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a serious disease with significant unmet need. The Company is also developing a pipeline of novel type 2 diverse NKT (“dNKT”) agonists for the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus. Additionally, with a library of over 500 proprietary compounds, GRI Bio has the ability to fuel a growing pipeline.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “contemplate,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “seek,” “may,” “might,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “target,” “aim,” “should,” “will,” “would,” or the negative of these words or other similar expressions. These forward-looking statements are based on the Company’s current beliefs and expectations. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding: the Company’s expectations with respect to development and commercialization of the Company’s product candidates, the timing of initiation or completion of clinical trials and availability of resulting data, the potential benefits and impact of the Company’s clinical trials and product candidates and any implication that the data or results observed in preclinical trials or earlier studies, topline or interim data or trials will be indicative of results of later studies or clinical trials or final data, that final data will be indicative of a proof-of-concept, the Company’s beliefs and expectations regarding potential shareholder value and future financial performance, the Company’s beliefs about the timing and outcome of regulatory approvals and potential regulatory approval pathways and the Company’s expected future milestones. Actual results may differ from the forward-looking statements expressed by the Company in this press release and consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. These forward-looking statements are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and assumptions that are difficult to predict, including, without limitation: (1) the inability to maintain the listing of the Company’s common stock on The Nasdaq Capital Market and to comply with applicable listing requirements; (2) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (3) the inability of the Company to raise financing in the future; (4) the success, cost and timing of the Company’s product development activities; (5) the inability of the Company to obtain and maintain regulatory clearance or approval for its respective products, and any related restrictions and limitations of any cleared or approved product; (6) the inability of the Company to identify, in-license or acquire additional technology; (7) the inability of the Company to compete with other companies currently marketing or engaged in the development of products and services that the Company is currently developing; (8) the size and growth potential of the markets for the Company’s products and services, and their respective ability to serve those markets, either alone or in partnership with others; (9) that later data or clinical trials may be inconsistent with or contrary to data and observations to date, including that later data may not indicate a proof-of-concept or patient benefit; (10) inaccuracy in the Company’s estimates regarding expenses, future revenue, capital requirements and needs for and the ability to obtain additional financing; (11) the Company’s ability to protect and enforce its intellectual property portfolio, including any newly issued patents and its ability to obtain any expected patent term extensions, adjustments, exclusivities or disclaimers; and (12) other risks and uncertainties indicated from time to time in the Company’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), including the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 14, 2025 and subsequently filed reports. Forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are made as of this date, and the Company undertakes no duty to update such information except as required under applicable law.

Investor Contact:
JTC Team, LLC
Jenene Thomas
(908) 824-0775
GRI@jtcir.com


FAQ

What did GRI Bio announce about GRI-0621 Phase 2a gene expression data on January 28, 2026?

The company reported significant gene expression changes affecting fibrosis and lung repair pathways compared with placebo. According to the company, RNA‑sequencing showed modulation of genes linked to injury, myofibroblast activation, ECM deposition, and alveolar repair, reinforcing prior biomarker and immune phenotype signals.

How did GRI-0621 affect markers of lung architecture and alveolar repair in the Phase 2a study?

GRI-0621 treatment showed signals consistent with basement membrane repair and AT2‑to‑AT1 transition versus placebo. According to the company, gene expression changes complemented earlier type IV collagen biomarker shifts suggestive of alveolar structure regeneration.

What clinical benefits did the Phase 2a IPF study report for GRI-0621 (GRI)?

The study met its primary safety endpoint and showed secondary signs of disease modification. According to the company, exploratory data showed twice as many GRI-0621–treated subjects had no FVC decline at 12 weeks versus standard of care alone.

Do the new gene expression findings change the mechanism-of-action view for GRI-0621 (NASDAQ: GRI)?

Yes—findings support a mechanism toward fibrosis resolution and active tissue repair rather than symptom management. According to the company, convergence of gene expression, biomarkers, and immune phenotypes indicates direct targeting of fibrotic biology and repair pathways.

Will GRI Bio present the Phase 2a gene expression results publicly and when?

The company plans to submit the gene expression data for presentation at a major medical conference. According to the company, these new findings are being prepared for conference submission, with timing subject to conference acceptance and scheduling.
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