Warrior Reports First Quarter 2025 Results
Strong cost performance generated positive margins and positive operating cash flows despite weak steelmaking coal markets
Startup of Blue Creek longwall on track, on budget, and on schedule for completion no later than Q2 2026
Full year outlook unchanged at this time
Warrior reported a net loss for the first quarter of 2025 of
First Quarter Highlights
-
Reported a
10% increase in total production volumes, primarily attributable to the Blue Creek growth project, and a2% increase in sales volumes; -
Leveraged variable cost model to tightly manage costs in the current pricing environment, with cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton decreasing to
from$112.35 year-over-year;$133.48 - Produced 251 thousand short tons from continuous miner development on the first longwall panel at Blue Creek project;
- Continued to make significant progress on the development of Blue Creek, with the longwall startup expected no later than the second quarter of 2026; and
-
Recorded
of cash provided by operating activities despite an average Platts Premium Low Vol FOB Australian index price of$10.9 million per short ton during the quarter which represents a$167.90 9% and40% decrease, respectively, from the previous quarter and prior year comparable quarter.
“While weak market conditions continued as expected, we were able to leverage our operational strength and financial discipline to deliver an increase in volume and strong cost performance at our mines, enabling us to maintain positive cash margins. At the same time, we continued to make excellent progress at Blue Creek, as we move closer to the finish line of the world-class growth project,” commented Walt Scheller, CEO of Warrior. “I would like to thank our employees for their outstanding performance and hard work to accomplish these goals.”
“The combination of broad economic uncertainty around global trade, seasonal demand weakness, and ample spot supply is expected to result in continued pressure on steelmaking coal prices. In this environment, we are increasing our focus on what is within our control: protecting margins and cash flow. We are confident that our unique asset base, highly flexible cost structure, and high-performing workforce will allow us to navigate successfully through the remainder of the year and beyond.”
“Given the current lack of economic clarity, our 2025 guidance remains unchanged at this time and does not reflect any potential impact from the recent tariff announcements. Until there is more clarity on trade and tariff policy, including any retaliatory tariffs that may be implemented against the
Operating Results
Sales volumes in the first quarter of 2025 were 2.2 million short tons compared to 2.1 million short tons in the first quarter of 2024, representing a
The Company produced 2.3 million short tons of steelmaking coal in the first quarter of 2025, compared to 2.1 million short tons in the first quarter of 2023, representing a
Additional Financial Results
Total revenues were
Cost of sales for the first quarter of 2025 were
Selling, general and administrative expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were
Depreciation and depletion expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were
Income tax benefit was
Cash Flow and Liquidity
The Company generated positive cash flows from operations of
Net working capital, excluding cash, for the first quarter of 2025 increased by
Cash flows provided by financing activities for the first quarter of 2025 were
The Company’s total liquidity as of March 31, 2025 was
Capital Allocation
On April 23, 2025, our Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of
Company Outlook
The Company's guidance for the full year 2025 remains unchanged at this time and does not reflect any potential impact from the recent tariff announcements. This guidance is subject to many risks that may impact performance, such as recent tariff announcements, market conditions in the steel and steelmaking coal industries and overall global economic and competitive conditions, all as more fully described under Forward-Looking Statements. Warrior will continue to evaluate the impact of the tariff announcements on its business for the remainder of the fiscal year, with the goal of providing further updates to its financial outlook in connection with its second quarter earnings call to be held in early August 2025.
Coal sales |
8.2 - 9.0 million short tons |
Coal production |
7.8 - 8.6 million short tons |
Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) |
|
Capital expenditures for sustaining existing mines |
|
Capital expenditures for Blue Creek project |
|
Mine development costs for Blue Creek project |
|
Depreciation and depletion |
|
Selling, general and administrative expenses |
|
Interest expense |
|
Interest income |
|
Income tax expense rate |
|
Key factors that may affect outlook include:
- Three planned longwall moves (one in Q2 and two in Q3),
- HCC index pricing, geography of sales and freight rates,
- Trade and tariff policies,
- Exclusion of other non-recurring costs,
- New labor contract, and
- Inflationary pressures.
The Company's guidance for its capital expenditures consists of sustaining capital spending of approximately
The Company's 2025 production and sales guidance contains approximately 1.0 million short tons of High Vol A steelmaking coal from the Blue Creek continuous miner units, which are expected to be sold in the second half of 2025 when the preparation plant comes online.
The Company does not provide reconciliations of its outlook for cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) to cost of sales in reliance on the unreasonable efforts exception provided for under Item 10(e)(1)(i)(B) of Regulation S-K. The Company is unable, without unreasonable efforts, to forecast certain items required to develop the meaningful comparable Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") cost of sales. These items typically include non-cash asset retirement obligation accretion expenses and other non-recurring indirect mining expenses that are difficult to predict in advance in order to include in a GAAP estimate. The unavailable information could have a significant impact on the Company's reported financial results.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This release contains the use of certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures are provided as supplemental information for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide additional insights into the performance of the Company, and they reflect how management analyzes Company performance and compares that performance against other companies. These non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by other entities. The definition of these non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP financial measures is provided in the financial tables section of this release.
Conference Call
The Company will hold a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2025 results today, April 30, 2025, at 4:30 p.m. ET. To listen to the event, live or access an archived recording, please visit http://investors.warriormetcoal.com. Analysts and investors who would like to participate in the conference call should dial 1-844-340-9047 (domestic) or 1-412-858-5206 (international) 10 minutes prior to the start time and reference the Warrior Met Coal conference call. Telephone playback will also be available from 6:30 p.m. ET on April 30, 2025 until 6:30 p.m. ET on May 7, 2025. The replay will be available by calling: 1-877-344-7529 (domestic) or 1-412-317-0088 (international) and entering passcode 8536808.
About Warrior
Warrior is a
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains, and the Company’s officers and representatives may from time to time make, forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this press release that address activities, events or developments that the Company expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements, including statements regarding 2025 guidance, sales and production growth, ability to maintain cost structure, demand, pricing trends, management of liquidity, cash flows, expenses and expected capital expenditures, the Company's future ability to create value for stockholders, as well as statements regarding production, inflationary pressures, the development of the Blue Creek project, and the terms of any new labor contract. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “intend,” “estimate,” “project,” “target,” “foresee,” “should,” “would,” “could,” “potential,” “outlook,” “guidance” or other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. These forward-looking statements represent management’s good faith expectations, projections, guidance, or beliefs concerning future events, and it is possible that the results described in this press release will not be achieved. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside of the Company’s control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, fluctuations or changes in the pricing or demand for the Company’s coal (or met coal generally) by the global steel industry; the impacts of
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made, and, except as required by law, the Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict all such factors.
|
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. |
|
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS |
||
(in thousands, except per-share amounts) |
||
(Unaudited) |
|
For the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
||||
Sales |
$ |
294,933 |
|
|
$ |
497,998 |
|
Other revenues |
|
5,010 |
|
|
|
5,514 |
|
Total revenues |
|
299,943 |
|
|
|
503,512 |
|
Costs and expenses: |
|
|
|
||||
Cost of sales (exclusive of items shown separately below) |
|
245,735 |
|
|
|
285,587 |
|
Cost of other revenues (exclusive of items shown separately below) |
|
7,873 |
|
|
|
9,965 |
|
Depreciation and depletion |
|
45,277 |
|
|
|
40,023 |
|
Selling, general and administrative |
|
18,442 |
|
|
|
18,859 |
|
Total costs and expenses |
|
317,327 |
|
|
|
354,434 |
|
Operating (loss) income |
|
(17,384 |
) |
|
|
149,078 |
|
Interest expense |
|
(2,107 |
) |
|
|
(1,121 |
) |
Interest income |
|
5,293 |
|
|
|
8,154 |
|
(Loss) income before income tax (benefit) expense |
|
(14,198 |
) |
|
|
156,111 |
|
Income tax (benefit) expense |
|
(6,030 |
) |
|
|
19,122 |
|
Net (loss) income |
$ |
(8,168 |
) |
|
$ |
136,989 |
|
Basic and diluted net (loss) income per share: |
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income per share—basic |
$ |
(0.16 |
) |
|
$ |
2.63 |
|
Net (loss) income per share—diluted |
$ |
(0.16 |
) |
|
$ |
2.62 |
|
Weighted average number of shares outstanding—basic |
|
52,464 |
|
|
|
52,163 |
|
Weighted average number of shares outstanding—diluted |
|
52,464 |
|
|
|
52,217 |
|
Dividends per share: |
$ |
0.08 |
|
|
$ |
0.58 |
|
|
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. |
|
QUARTERLY SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL DATA AND RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES |
||
(Unaudited) |
QUARTERLY SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL DATA: |
|||||||
(short tons in thousands)(1) |
For the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Tons sold |
|
2,172 |
|
|
|
2,129 |
|
Tons produced |
|
2,254 |
|
|
|
2,051 |
|
Average net selling price |
$ |
135.79 |
|
|
$ |
233.91 |
|
Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton(2) |
$ |
112.35 |
|
|
$ |
133.48 |
|
Cost of production % |
|
66 |
% |
|
|
61 |
% |
Transportation and royalties % |
|
34 |
% |
|
|
39 |
% |
Cash margin per ton(3) |
$ |
23.44 |
|
|
$ |
100.43 |
|
(1) |
1 short ton is equivalent to 0.907185 metric tons. |
RECONCILIATION OF CASH COST OF SALES (FREE-ON-BOARD PORT) TO COST OF SALES REPORTED UNDER |
|||||||
(in thousands) |
For the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Cost of sales |
$ |
245,735 |
|
|
$ |
285,587 |
|
Asset retirement obligation accretion |
|
(965 |
) |
|
|
(702 |
) |
Stock compensation expense |
|
(742 |
) |
|
|
(713 |
) |
Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port)(2) |
$ |
244,028 |
|
|
$ |
284,172 |
|
(2) |
Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) is based on reported cost of sales and includes items such as freight, royalties, labor, fuel and other similar production and sales cost items, and may be adjusted for other items that, pursuant to GAAP, are classified in the Condensed Statements of Operations as costs other than cost of sales, but relate directly to the costs incurred to produce met coal. Our cash cost of sales per short ton is calculated as cash cost of sales divided by the short tons sold. Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) is a non-GAAP financial measure which is not calculated in conformity with |
(3) |
Cash margin per ton is defined as average net selling price less cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton. |
|
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. |
|
QUARTERLY SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL DATA AND RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES (CONTINUED) |
||
(Unaudited) |
RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA TO AMOUNTS REPORTED UNDER |
|||||||
($ in thousands) |
For the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Net (loss) income |
$ |
(8,168 |
) |
|
$ |
136,989 |
|
Interest income, net |
|
(3,185 |
) |
|
|
(7,033 |
) |
Income tax (benefit) expense |
|
(6,030 |
) |
|
|
19,122 |
|
Depreciation and depletion |
|
45,277 |
|
|
|
40,023 |
|
Asset retirement obligation accretion |
|
1,331 |
|
|
|
1,297 |
|
Stock compensation expense |
|
8,053 |
|
|
|
9,147 |
|
Other non-cash accretion |
|
494 |
|
|
|
451 |
|
Non-cash mark-to-market loss on gas hedges |
|
1,718 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Business interruption |
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
201 |
|
Adjusted EBITDA(4) |
$ |
39,488 |
|
|
$ |
200,197 |
|
Adjusted EBITDA margin(5) |
|
13.2 |
% |
|
|
39.8 |
% |
Adjusted EBITDA per short ton(6) |
$ |
18.18 |
|
|
$ |
94.03 |
|
(4) |
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net (loss) income before net interest income, net, income tax (benefit) expense, depreciation and depletion, non-cash asset retirement obligation accretion, non-cash stock compensation expense, other non-cash accretion, non-cash mark-to-market loss on gas hedges and business interruption expenses. Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance in accordance with GAAP, and we believe items excluded from Adjusted EBITDA are significant to a reader in understanding and assessing our financial condition. Therefore, Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered in isolation, nor as an alternative to net (loss) income, income from operations, cash flows from operations or as a measure of our profitability, liquidity or performance under GAAP. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA presents a useful measure of our ability to incur and service debt based on ongoing operations. Furthermore, analogous measures are used by industry analysts to evaluate our operating performance. Investors should be aware that our presentation of Adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. |
(5) |
Adjusted EBITDA margin is defined as Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues. |
(6) |
Adjusted EBITDA per ton is defined as Adjusted EBITDA divided by short tons sold. |
RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED NET INCOME TO AMOUNTS REPORTED UNDER |
||||||
(in thousands, except per share amounts) |
For the three months ended March 31, |
|||||
|
2025 |
|
2024 |
|||
Net (loss) income |
$ |
(8,168 |
) |
|
$ |
136,989 |
Business interruption, net of tax |
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
176 |
Adjusted net (loss) income(7) |
$ |
(8,169 |
) |
|
$ |
137,165 |
|
|
|
|
|||
Weighted average number of shares outstanding—basic |
|
52,464 |
|
|
|
52,163 |
Weighted average number of shares outstanding—diluted |
|
52,464 |
|
|
|
52,217 |
|
|
|
|
|||
Adjusted net (loss) income per share—basic |
$ |
(0.16 |
) |
|
$ |
2.63 |
Adjusted net (loss) income per share—diluted |
$ |
(0.16 |
) |
|
$ |
2.63 |
(7) |
Adjusted net (loss) income is defined as net (loss) income net of business interruption expenses, net of tax (based on each respective period's effective tax rate). Adjusted net (loss) income is not a measure of financial performance in accordance with GAAP, and we believe items excluded from adjusted net (loss) income are significant to the reader in understanding and assessing our results of operations. Therefore, adjusted net (loss) income should not be considered in isolation, nor as an alternative to net (loss) income under GAAP. We believe adjusted net (loss) income is a useful measure of performance and we believe it aids some investors and analysts in comparing us against other companies to help analyze our current and future potential performance. Adjusted net (loss) income may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. |
|
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. |
|
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS |
||
(in thousands) |
||
(Unaudited) |
|
For the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
OPERATING ACTIVITIES: |
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income |
$ |
(8,168 |
) |
|
$ |
136,989 |
|
Non-cash adjustments to reconcile net (loss) income to net cash provided by operating activities |
|
50,245 |
|
|
|
53,774 |
|
Changes in operating assets and liabilities: |
|
|
|
||||
Trade accounts receivable |
|
(30,593 |
) |
|
|
(115,175 |
) |
Income tax receivable |
|
— |
|
|
|
7,833 |
|
Inventories |
|
7,721 |
|
|
|
16,162 |
|
Prepaid expenses and other receivables |
|
(5,965 |
) |
|
|
(5,267 |
) |
Accounts payable |
|
15,438 |
|
|
|
5,631 |
|
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities |
|
(18,435 |
) |
|
|
5,046 |
|
Other |
|
674 |
|
|
|
(935 |
) |
Net cash provided by operating activities |
|
10,917 |
|
|
|
104,058 |
|
INVESTING ACTIVITIES: |
|
|
|
||||
Purchases of property, plant and equipment |
|
(68,510 |
) |
|
|
(99,703 |
) |
Mine development costs |
|
(10,837 |
) |
|
|
(1,987 |
) |
Proceeds from sale short-term investments |
|
1,582 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Net cash used in investing activities |
|
(77,765 |
) |
|
|
(101,690 |
) |
FINANCING ACTIVITIES: |
|
|
|
||||
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities |
|
30,309 |
|
|
|
(46,707 |
) |
Net decrease in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash |
|
(36,539 |
) |
|
|
(44,339 |
) |
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at beginning of period |
|
499,132 |
|
|
|
738,197 |
|
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at end of period |
$ |
462,593 |
|
|
$ |
693,858 |
|
RECONCILIATION OF FREE CASH FLOW TO AMOUNTS REPORTED UNDER |
|||||||
(in thousands) |
For the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Net cash provided by operating activities |
$ |
10,917 |
|
|
$ |
104,058 |
|
Purchases of property, plant and equipment and mine development costs |
|
(79,347 |
) |
|
|
(101,690 |
) |
Free cash flow(8) |
$ |
(68,430 |
) |
|
$ |
2,368 |
|
Free cash flow conversion(9) |
|
(173.3 |
)% |
|
|
1.2 |
% |
(8) |
Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less purchases of property, plant and equipment and mine development costs. Free cash flow is not a measure of financial performance in accordance with GAAP, and we believe items excluded from net cash provided by operating activities are significant to the reader in understanding and assessing our results of operations. Therefore, free cash flow should not be considered in isolation, nor as an alternative to net cash provided by operating activities under GAAP. We believe free cash flow is a useful measure of performance and we believe it aids some investors and analysts in comparing us against other companies to help analyze our current and future potential performance. Free cash flow may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. |
(9) |
Free cash flow conversion is defined as free cash flow divided by Adjusted EBITDA. |
|
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. |
|
CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS |
||
(in thousands, except share and per-share data) |
||
|
|
March 31, 2025 |
|
December 31, 2024 |
||||
|
(Unaudited) |
|
|
||||
ASSETS |
|
|
|
||||
Current assets: |
|
|
|
||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ |
454,933 |
|
|
$ |
491,547 |
|
Short-term investments |
|
33,105 |
|
|
|
14,622 |
|
Trade accounts receivable |
|
171,460 |
|
|
|
140,867 |
|
Inventories, net |
|
197,645 |
|
|
|
207,590 |
|
Prepaid expenses and other receivables |
|
38,400 |
|
|
|
32,436 |
|
Total current assets |
|
895,543 |
|
|
|
887,062 |
|
Restricted cash |
|
7,660 |
|
|
|
7,585 |
|
Mineral interests, net |
|
70,501 |
|
|
|
72,245 |
|
Property, plant and equipment, net |
|
1,595,347 |
|
|
|
1,549,470 |
|
Deferred income taxes |
|
3,363 |
|
|
|
3,210 |
|
Long-term investments |
|
24,641 |
|
|
|
44,604 |
|
Other long-term assets |
|
26,839 |
|
|
|
27,340 |
|
Total assets |
$ |
2,623,894 |
|
|
$ |
2,591,516 |
|
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY |
|
|
|
||||
Current liabilities: |
|
|
|
||||
Accounts payable |
$ |
57,250 |
|
|
$ |
40,178 |
|
Accrued expenses |
|
71,756 |
|
|
|
85,369 |
|
Short-term financing lease liabilities |
|
12,939 |
|
|
|
13,208 |
|
Other current liabilities |
|
32,407 |
|
|
|
31,675 |
|
Total current liabilities |
|
174,352 |
|
|
|
170,430 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
153,767 |
|
|
|
153,612 |
|
Asset retirement obligations |
|
72,673 |
|
|
|
72,138 |
|
Long-term financing lease liabilities |
|
5,586 |
|
|
|
6,217 |
|
Deferred income taxes |
|
57,449 |
|
|
|
63,835 |
|
Other long-term liabilities |
|
83,301 |
|
|
|
34,467 |
|
Total liabilities |
|
547,128 |
|
|
|
500,699 |
|
Stockholders’ Equity: |
|
|
|
||||
Common stock, |
|
548 |
|
|
|
545 |
|
Preferred stock, |
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
Treasury stock, at cost (2,221,841 shares as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024) |
|
(50,576 |
) |
|
|
(50,576 |
) |
Additional paid in capital |
|
288,540 |
|
|
|
289,808 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
1,838,254 |
|
|
|
1,851,040 |
|
Total stockholders’ equity |
|
2,076,766 |
|
|
|
2,090,817 |
|
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity |
$ |
2,623,894 |
|
|
$ |
2,591,516 |
|
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250430226246/en/
For Investors:
Dale W. Boyles, 205-554-6129
dale.boyles@warriormetcoal.com
For Media:
D'Andre Wright, 205-554-6131
dandre.wright@warriormetcoal.com
Source: Warrior Met Coal, Inc.