Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated Third Quarter 2025 Results, October 2025 Monthly Dividend and September 30, 2025 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics
Rhea-AI Summary
Orchid Island Capital (NYSE: ORC) announced an October 2025 monthly cash dividend of $0.12 per share payable November 26, 2025 to holders of record October 31, 2025. The company reported an estimated book value per share of $7.33 as of September 30, 2025 based on approximately $1,086.1 million in preliminary total stockholders' equity and 148,239,401 shares outstanding.
The company estimated GAAP net income of $0.53 per share for Q3 2025, including $0.37 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivatives, and an estimated total return on equity of 6.6% for the quarter. All figures are preliminary and subject to review.
Positive
- Monthly dividend declared of $0.12 per share
- Estimated book value per share of $7.33 as of Sep 30, 2025
- Estimated GAAP net income of $0.53 per share for Q3 2025
- Estimated net gains of $0.37 per share from RMBS and derivatives
- Estimated total ROE of 6.6% for the quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
Negative
- Shares outstanding increased to 148,239,401 from 126,566,926 on Jun 30, 2025 (+17.1%), indicating dilution
News Market Reaction 1 Alert
On the day this news was published, ORC gained 0.55%, reflecting a mild positive market reaction.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
- October 2025 Monthly Dividend of
$0.12 Per Share of Common Stock - Estimated Book Value Per Share as of September 30, 2025 of
$7.33 - Estimated GAAP net income of
$0.53 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, including an estimated$0.37 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments - Estimated
6.6% total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 - Estimated book value, net income and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm
- RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of September 30, 2025
- Next Dividend Announcement Expected November 12, 2025
VERO BEACH, Fla., Oct. 15, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of October 2025. The dividend of
The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to
As of October 15, 2025, the Company has 151,711,940 shares of common stock outstanding. As of September 30, 2025, the Company had 148,239,401 shares of common stock outstanding. As of June 30, 2025, the Company had 126,566,926 shares of common stock outstanding.
Estimated September 30, 2025 Book Value Per Share
The Company’s estimated book value per share as of September 30, 2025 was
Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains on RMBS and Derivative Instruments
The Company estimates it generated a net income per share of
Estimated Total Return on Equity
The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 was
RMBS Portfolio Characteristics
Details of the RMBS portfolio as of September 30, 2025 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm:
- RMBS Valuation Characteristics
- RMBS Assets by Agency
- Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results
- Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
- RMBS Risk Measures
About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.
| RMBS Valuation Characteristics | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Realized | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Realized | Jul-25 - | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sep-25 | Sep-25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net | Weighted | CPR | CPR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Weighted | Average | (1-Month) | (3-Month) | Modeled Interest | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Current | Fair | % of | Current | Average | Maturity | (Reported | (Reported | Rate Sensitivity (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Type | Face | Value | Portfolio | Price | Coupon | GWAC | Age | (Months) | in Oct) | in Oct) | (-50 BPS) | (+50 BPS) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed Rate RMBS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15yr 5.0 TBA | $ | 250,000 | $ | 252,715 | 2.94 | % | 101.09 | 5.00 | % | 5.84 | % | 5 | 173 | n/a | n/a | $ | 2,828 | $ | (3,460 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15yr Total | 250,000 | 252,715 | 2.94 | % | 101.09 | 5.00 | % | 5.84 | % | 5 | 173 | n/a | n/a | 2,828 | (3,460 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 3.0 | $ | 834,430 | $ | 748,807 | 8.70 | % | 89.74 | 3.00 | % | 3.48 | % | 55 | 297 | 7.2 | % | 7.3 | % | $ | 21,717 | $ | (21,982 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 3.5 | 162,600 | 151,190 | 1.76 | % | 92.98 | 3.50 | % | 4.04 | % | 67 | 279 | 4.9 | % | 8.4 | % | 4,077 | (4,125 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 4.0 | 156,219 | 148,920 | 1.73 | % | 95.33 | 4.00 | % | 4.70 | % | 53 | 302 | 9.5 | % | 8.4 | % | 3,745 | (3,920 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 4.5 | 278,735 | 272,292 | 3.16 | % | 97.69 | 4.50 | % | 5.44 | % | 39 | 317 | 8.6 | % | 11.1 | % | 5,499 | (6,127 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 5.0 | 447,224 | 446,473 | 5.19 | % | 99.83 | 5.00 | % | 5.93 | % | 32 | 323 | 6.2 | % | 8.2 | % | 8,557 | (9,859 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 5.5 | 1,835,701 | 1,870,044 | 21.72 | % | 101.87 | 5.50 | % | 6.45 | % | 11 | 345 | 6.3 | % | 6.1 | % | 28,021 | (35,803 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 6.0 | 2,804,917 | 2,892,624 | 33.60 | % | 103.13 | 6.00 | % | 6.94 | % | 12 | 344 | 9.7 | % | 10.0 | % | 28,122 | (40,190 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 6.5 | 1,488,120 | 1,553,110 | 18.04 | % | 104.37 | 6.50 | % | 7.39 | % | 15 | 340 | 13.9 | % | 13.5 | % | 9,806 | (15,382 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr 7.0 | 245,769 | 258,440 | 3.00 | % | 105.16 | 7.00 | % | 7.94 | % | 23 | 328 | 28.2 | % | 24.3 | % | 1,782 | (2,261 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30yr Total | 8,253,715 | 8,341,900 | 96.90 | % | 101.07 | 5.51 | % | 6.39 | % | 21 | 334 | 9.7 | % | 10.1 | % | 111,326 | (139,649 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Pass-Through RMBS | 8,503,715 | 8,594,615 | 99.84 | % | 101.07 | 5.50 | % | 6.37 | % | 20 | 329 | 9.7 | % | 10.1 | % | 114,154 | (143,109 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Structured RMBS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO 20yr 4.0 | 5,743 | 473 | 0.01 | % | 8.23 | 4.00 | % | 4.57 | % | 164 | 70 | 11.6 | % | 12.5 | % | 2 | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO 30yr 3.0 | 2,391 | 318 | 0.00 | % | 13.28 | 3.00 | % | 3.64 | % | 128 | 222 | 1.5 | % | 10.6 | % | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO 30yr 4.0 | 65,885 | 12,316 | 0.14 | % | 18.70 | 4.00 | % | 4.60 | % | 133 | 218 | 9.9 | % | 7.7 | % | (286 | ) | 181 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO 30yr 4.5 | 2,862 | 553 | 0.01 | % | 19.31 | 4.50 | % | 4.99 | % | 183 | 164 | 9.1 | % | 7.2 | % | (7 | ) | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO 30yr 5.0 | 1,503 | 314 | 0.00 | % | 20.87 | 5.00 | % | 5.37 | % | 183 | 164 | 19.0 | % | 12.2 | % | (6 | ) | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO Total | 78,384 | 13,974 | 0.16 | % | 17.83 | 4.01 | % | 4.59 | % | 138 | 204 | 10.0 | % | 8.2 | % | (298 | ) | 184 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IIO 30yr 4.0 | 18,392 | 206 | 0.00 | % | 1.12 | 0.00 | % | 4.40 | % | 96 | 252 | 0.6 | % | 7.7 | % | 115 | (81 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Structured RMBS | 96,776 | 14,180 | 0.16 | % | 14.65 | 3.25 | % | 4.56 | % | 130 | 213 | 8.2 | % | 8.1 | % | (183 | ) | 103 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 8,600,491 | $ | 8,608,795 | 100.00 | % | 5.47 | % | 6.35 | % | 22 | 328 | 9.7 | % | 10.1 | % | $ | 113,971 | $ | (143,006 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hedge | Modeled Interest | ||||||||||||
| Notional | Period | Rate Sensitivity (1) | |||||||||||
| Hedge | Balance | End | (-50 BPS) | (+50 BPS) | |||||||||
| 3-Month SOFR Futures | $ | (390,000 | ) | Sep-26 | $ | (3,413 | ) | $ | 3,413 | ||||
| 5-Year Treasury Future(2) | (562,500 | ) | Dec-25 | (11,785 | ) | 11,521 | |||||||
| 10-Year Treasury Future(3) | (228,500 | ) | Dec-25 | (7,529 | ) | 7,351 | |||||||
| 10-Year Ultra Treasury Future(4) | (197,500 | ) | Dec-25 | (8,938 | ) | 8,507 | |||||||
| 5-Year ERIS SOFR Swap Futures | (10,000 | ) | Dec-25 | (234 | ) | 226 | |||||||
| Swaps | (3,943,300 | ) | Feb-31 | (97,663 | ) | 94,426 | |||||||
| TBA Short | (282,000 | ) | Oct-25 | (3,295 | ) | 4,628 | |||||||
| Hedge Total | $ | (5,613,800 | ) | $ | (132,857 | ) | $ | 130,072 | |||||
| Rate Shock Grand Total | $ | (18,886 | ) | $ | (12,934 | ) | |||||||
| (1) | Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially. |
| (2) | Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of |
| (3) | Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of |
| (4) | Ten-year Ultra futures contracts were valued at prices of |
| RMBS Assets by Agency | |||||||
| ($ in thousands) | |||||||
| Percentage | |||||||
| Fair | of | ||||||
| Asset Category | Value | Portfolio | |||||
| As of September 30, 2025 | |||||||
| Fannie Mae | $ | 4,741,968 | 56.7 | % | |||
| Freddie Mac | 3,614,112 | 43.3 | % | ||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 8,356,080 | 100.0 | % | |||
| Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test | |||||||
| ($ in thousands) | |||||||
| Percentage | |||||||
| Fair | of | ||||||
| Asset Category | Value | Portfolio | |||||
| As of September 30, 2025 | |||||||
| Non-Whole Pool Assets | $ | 654,750 | 7.8 | % | |||
| Whole Pool Assets | 7,701,330 | 92.2 | % | ||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 8,356,080 | 100.0 | % | |||
| Borrowings By Counterparty | |||||||||||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||
| Weighted | Weighted | ||||||||||||||||
| % of | Average | Average | |||||||||||||||
| Total | Total | Repo | Maturity | Longest | |||||||||||||
| As of September 30, 2025 | Borrowings | Debt | Rate | in Days | Maturity | ||||||||||||
| J.P. Morgan Securities LLC | $ | 511,662 | 6.4 | % | 4.34 | % | 20 | 10/23/2025 | |||||||||
| Citigroup Global Markets Inc | 437,979 | 5.5 | % | 4.42 | % | 34 | 12/1/2025 | ||||||||||
| DV Securities, LLC Repo | 389,984 | 4.9 | % | 4.37 | % | 36 | 11/25/2025 | ||||||||||
| ABN AMRO Bank N.V. | 377,931 | 4.7 | % | 4.25 | % | 42 | 12/15/2025 | ||||||||||
| Wells Fargo Securities, LLC | 371,202 | 4.6 | % | 4.45 | % | 14 | 10/28/2025 | ||||||||||
| The Bank of Nova Scotia | 369,533 | 4.6 | % | 4.39 | % | 20 | 10/23/2025 | ||||||||||
| Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith | 362,023 | 4.5 | % | 4.34 | % | 70 | 2/13/2026 | ||||||||||
| ASL Capital Markets Inc. | 359,654 | 4.5 | % | 4.16 | % | 126 | 9/21/2026 | ||||||||||
| Bank of Montreal | 358,926 | 4.5 | % | 4.38 | % | 30 | 11/28/2025 | ||||||||||
| South Street Securities, LLC | 344,604 | 4.3 | % | 4.31 | % | 81 | 8/27/2026 | ||||||||||
| Goldman, Sachs & Co | 337,376 | 4.2 | % | 4.34 | % | 27 | 10/29/2025 | ||||||||||
| StoneX Financial Inc. | 332,143 | 4.1 | % | 4.30 | % | 20 | 10/20/2025 | ||||||||||
| Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc. | 331,786 | 4.1 | % | 4.29 | % | 35 | 11/13/2025 | ||||||||||
| Daiwa Securities America Inc. | 329,915 | 4.1 | % | 4.17 | % | 135 | 3/23/2026 | ||||||||||
| Cantor Fitzgerald & Co | 319,230 | 4.0 | % | 4.34 | % | 25 | 10/27/2025 | ||||||||||
| Clear Street LLC | 307,707 | 3.8 | % | 4.35 | % | 20 | 10/31/2025 | ||||||||||
| Marex Capital Markets Inc. | 302,480 | 3.8 | % | 4.32 | % | 31 | 12/11/2025 | ||||||||||
| RBC Capital Markets, LLC | 298,220 | 3.7 | % | 4.27 | % | 56 | 11/25/2025 | ||||||||||
| ING Financial Markets LLC | 291,011 | 3.6 | % | 4.32 | % | 17 | 10/17/2025 | ||||||||||
| Banco Santander SA | 265,981 | 3.3 | % | 4.38 | % | 16 | 10/16/2025 | ||||||||||
| MUFG Securities Canada, Ltd. | 255,958 | 3.2 | % | 4.38 | % | 8 | 10/8/2025 | ||||||||||
| Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc. | 246,210 | 3.1 | % | 4.44 | % | 16 | 10/20/2025 | ||||||||||
| Mizuho Securities USA LLC | 207,561 | 2.6 | % | 4.34 | % | 23 | 10/27/2025 | ||||||||||
| Nomura Securities International, Inc. | 158,100 | 2.0 | % | 4.41 | % | 14 | 10/14/2025 | ||||||||||
| Natixis, New York Branch | 104,895 | 1.3 | % | 4.34 | % | 29 | 10/29/2025 | ||||||||||
| Lucid Prime Fund, LLC | 34,907 | 0.4 | % | 4.34 | % | 16 | 10/16/2025 | ||||||||||
| Total Borrowings | $ | 8,006,978 | 100.0 | % | 4.33 | % | 39 | 9/21/2026 | |||||||||

Contact: Orchid Island Capital, Inc. Robert E. Cauley 3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963 Telephone: (772) 231-1400