Further Announcement Regarding a Possible Combination of SEGRO and Prologis
Rhea-AI Summary
Prologis (NYSE:PLD) has issued a Rule 2.4 announcement regarding a possible all‑share combination with SEGRO, following meetings with SEGRO management in London. Prologis highlights SEGRO's 31 December 2025 property portfolio valuation of £19.0 billion, including £16.7 billion of completed assets at a 4.2% EPRA Net Initial Yield.
According to Prologis, its 20 July 2026 proposal implies see‑through consideration of 993 pence per SEGRO share, a 9.7% premium to SEGRO's latest pro forma adjusted NAV of 905 pence per share, which Prologis says would be among the highest UK real estate NAV premiums in the last decade. Prologis reiterates there is currently no firm intention to make an offer and that, under Rule 2.6(a) of the Code, it must by 5:00 pm (London time) on 22 July 2026 either announce a firm offer for SEGRO or state that it does not intend to bid.
Positive
- Implied 9.7% NAV premium in proposal at 993p vs 905p pro forma adjusted NAV per SEGRO share
- High relative takeover premium which Prologis states would be among the largest NAV premiums for a UK real estate company in 10 years
Negative
- No firm offer yet; no certainty any offer for SEGRO will be made
- Rule 2.6(a) deadline of 5:00 pm (London) on 22 July 2026 to announce a firm offer or walk away
- Prologis explicitly reserves the right to lower the offer value or offer less favourable terms in specified circumstances
News Explained
Prologis reports that its latest meeting with SEGRO management produced no meaningful clarity on a path to a recommendable transaction; the proposal remains possible rather than firm, so no combination or resulting ownership change is committed.
Key Figures
Historical Context
| Date | Event | Sentiment | 24h Move | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16 | Second-quarter earnings | Positive | +4.6% | Strong second-quarter results and raised full-year guidance |
| Jul 09 | Combination presentation | Positive | +0.3% | Investor presentation outlined rationale for potential SEGRO combination |
| Jul 01 | Board appointment | Positive | +1.0% | Alfred F. Kelly, Jr. joined the Prologis board |
| Jun 30 | Combination presentation | Positive | -2.5% | Possible all-share combination presentation cited shareholder value creation |
| Jun 24 | Indicative proposal | Positive | -3.0% | Indicative all-share proposal valued SEGRO at approximately £12.6 billion |
24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.
PLD's combination-related announcements were followed by declines of 2.46% and 3.02%, while its latest earnings release was followed by a 4.63% gain.
Key Terms
epra net initial yield financial
epra nta financial
opening position disclosure regulatory
dealing disclosure regulatory
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN WHOLE OR IN PART IN, INTO OR FROM ANY JURISDICTION WHERE TO DO SO WOULD CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF THE RELEVANT LAWS OR REGULATIONS OF THAT JURISDICTION.
THIS IS AN ANNOUNCEMENT FALLING UNDER RULE 2.4 OF THE CITY CODE ON TAKEOVERS AND MERGERS (THE "CODE") AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A FIRM INTENTION TO MAKE AN OFFER UNDER RULE 2.7 OF THE CODE. THERE CAN BE NO CERTAINTY THAT ANY FIRM OFFER WILL BE MADE.
Introduction
Following submission of our latest proposal, senior representatives of Prologis, Inc. ("Prologis") met with SEGRO plc ("SEGRO") management in
We were disappointed that the discussion did not provide meaningful clarity regarding the matters that would enable further progress.
SEGRO's aspirational valuation
Prologis is very active across the real estate markets in
In SEGRO's Trading Update published on 8 July 2026, it outlined that NAV had declined from 925 pence per share to
SEGRO has consistently traded at a significant discount to its EPRA NTA. As set out in our presentation published on 20 July 2026, Prologis believes this is not because of temporary market dislocation, the conflict in the
Based on the see-through value of the proposal announced on 20 July 2026 of
Prologis believes that the SEGRO defence relies on unrealistic risk assessments and assumptions to arrive at the various NAV uplifts and earnings projections. Even if we assume earnings of
Conclusions
The SEGRO Board rejected our March 2024 Proposal in 72 hours, saying "we see no merit in the proposed combination". Prologis believes that decision has left SEGRO shareholders 36.5 per cent worse off. We believe the SEGRO Board is repeating that mistake.
Prologis remains convinced that a combination would create substantial long-term value. However, highly disciplined capital allocation has always been fundamental to our strategy and our responsibility to Prologis shareholders.
We remain ready to engage constructively at any time in the interests of all shareholders.
There can be no certainty that an offer for SEGRO will be made. A further announcement will be made as appropriate.
Important Code Notes
In accordance with Rule 2.6(a) of the Code, Prologis is required, by not later than 5:00 pm (
In accordance with Rule 2.5(a) of the Code, Prologis reserves the right to vary the form and/or mix of consideration as set out in this announcement and/or introduce other forms of consideration. Prologis reserves the right to make an offer for SEGRO at a lower value and/or on less favourable terms than those described in this announcement: (a) with the agreement or recommendation of the Board of SEGRO; (b) if a third party announces a possible or a firm intention to make an offer for SEGRO which, at that date, is of a value less than the value implied by the its proposal; or (c) following the announcement by SEGRO of a Rule 9 waiver transaction pursuant to Appendix 1 of the Code or a reverse takeover (as defined in the Code). If after the date of this announcement SEGRO declares, makes or pays any dividend or distribution or other return of capital to its shareholders, Prologis reserves the right to make an equivalent reduction to terms of the proposal or an equalisation dividend to a common date.
Linklaters LLP is retained as legal adviser to Prologis.
Further information
N.M. Rothschild & Sons Limited ("Rothschild & Co"), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (the "FCA") in the
The release, publication or distribution of this announcement in jurisdictions outside the
Disclosure requirements of the Code
Under Rule 8.3(a) of the Code, any person who is interested in
Under Rule 8.3(b) of the Code, any person who is, or becomes, interested in
If two or more persons act together pursuant to an agreement or understanding, whether formal or informal, to acquire or control an interest in relevant securities of an offeree company or a securities exchange offeror, they will be deemed to be a single person for the purpose of Rule 8.3.
Opening Position Disclosures must also be made by the offeree company and by any offeror and Dealing Disclosures must also be made by the offeree company, by any offeror and by any persons acting in concert with any of them (see Rules 8.1, 8.2 and 8.4).
Details of the offeree and offeror companies in respect of whose relevant securities Opening Position Disclosures and Dealing Disclosures must be made can be found in the Disclosure Table on the Panel's website at www.thetakeoverpanel.org.uk, including details of the number of relevant securities in issue, when the offer period commenced and when any offeror was first identified. You should contact the Panel's Market Surveillance Unit on +44 (0)20 7638 0129 if you are in any doubt as to whether you are required to make an Opening Position Disclosure or a Dealing Disclosure.
Publication on Website
In accordance with Rule 26.1 of the Code, a copy of this announcement will be available subject to certain restrictions relating to persons resident in restricted jurisdictions on Prologis' website at https://ir.prologis.com/ promptly and in any event by no later than 12 noon (
Forward-Looking Statements
The statements in this announcement that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and markets in which Prologis and SEGRO operate as well as management's beliefs and assumptions. Such statements involve uncertainties that could significantly impact Prologis' or SEGRO's financial results. Words such as "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "believes," "would," "could," "should" and "estimates," including variations of such words and similar expressions, are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, which generally are not historical in nature. All statements that address operating performance, events or developments that Prologis expects or anticipates will occur in the future – including statements relating to any possible transaction between Prologis and SEGRO , rent and occupancy growth, acquisition and development activity, including data center developments and power procurement related thereto, contribution and disposition activity, general conditions in the geographic areas where Prologis and SEGRO operate, expectations regarding new lines of business, Prologis' and SEGRO's respective debt, capital structure and financial position, Prologis' ability to earn revenues from co-investment ventures or form new co-investment ventures and the availability of capital in existing or new co-investment ventures – are forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Although Prologis believes the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, Prologis can give no assurance that its expectations will be attained, and therefore actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements. Some of the factors that may affect outcomes and results include, but are not limited to: (i) the ultimate outcome of any possible transaction between Prologis and SEGRO, including the possibility that SEGRO will continue to reject any proposed transaction with Prologis; (ii) uncertainties as to whether SEGRO will cooperate with Prologis regarding any proposed transaction; (iii) the effect of the announcement of any proposed transaction on the ability of Prologis and SEGRO to operate their respective businesses and retain and hire key personnel and to maintain favourable business relationships; (iv) the timing of any proposed transaction; (v) the ability to satisfy closing conditions to the completion of any proposed transaction (including shareholder approvals); (vi) other risks related to the completion of any proposed transaction and actions related thereto; (vii) international, national, regional and local economic and political climates and conditions; (viii) changes in global financial markets, interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates; (ix) increased or unanticipated competition for Prologis' or SEGRO's properties; (x) risks associated with acquisitions, dispositions and development of properties, including those specific to data center development and the integration of the operations of significant real estate portfolios; (xi) maintenance of Real Estate Investment Trust ("REIT") status, tax structuring and changes in income tax laws and rates; (xii) availability of financing and capital, the levels of debt that Prologis and SEGRO maintain and their credit ratings; (xiii) risks related to Prologis' investments in and management of its co-investment ventures, including the ability to establish new co-investment ventures; (xiv) risks of doing business internationally, including currency risks; (xv) environmental uncertainties, including risks of natural disasters; (xvi) risks related to global pandemics; and (xvii) those additional factors discussed under Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors in Prologis' Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. Prologis undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statements appearing in this announcement except as may be required by law.
Sources and Bases
- Share price and volume weighted average share price data is derived from FactSet
- GBP:USD exchange rate of 1.3445 at market close on 17 July 2026 per FactSet
- UK 10-year Gilt based on market close on 20 July 2026 per FT markets
- See-through value of the offer calculated as the Prologis share price of
$149.76 divided by the GBP:USD exchange rate of 1.3445 and multiplied by 0.0712x (being the exchange ratio multiplied by 80 per cent per the basic entitlement outlined below) and plus 200 pence (being the cash basic entitlement) - Basic entitlements under the partial cash alternative calculated as (i) exchange ratio of 0.0890 multiplied by
80% ; and (ii) the fixed cash amount per share of 1,000 pence multiplied by20% - Premium to EPRA NTA is calculated as the see-through value of the proposal announced on 20 July 2026 at an exchange ratio of 0.0890 new Prologis shares for each SEGRO share divided by the SEGRO pro forma adjusted 30 June 2026 NAV of 905 per the SEGRO Trading Update dated 8 July 2026
- 4.7 per cent per annum growth in earnings calculated based on the SEGRO consensus EPS for the year ended 31 December 2028 of 42.0 pence, compared to the last reported adjusted EPS figure of 36.6 pence as of 31 December 2025
- 6.4 per cent per annum growth in earnings calculated based on the SEGRO FY30 EPS of 50 pence as per the SEGRO management presentation on 8 July 2026, compared to the last reported adjusted EPS figure of 36.6 pence as of 31 December 2025
- Price to earnings multiple of 19.3x calculated as SEGRO share price of 742 pence as of 23 June 2026, being the undisturbed date, divided by SEGRO consensus EPS for FY26 of 38.5 pence
- Share price of 964 pence calculated as 19.3x multiplied by SEGRO FY30 EPS of 50 pence as per the SEGRO management presentation on 8 July 2026
- 36.5 per cent loss of value on Prologis' share price converted to pence using the exchange rate as of 23/06/2026 and multiplied by the exchange ratio of 0.092x relating to the proposal made to SEGRO by Prologis in March 2024
- SEGRO's total property portfolio of
£19 billion , completed assets of£16.7 billion and EPRA Net Initial Yield of4.2% based on SEGRO's 2025 annual report
SEGRO Earnings per share consensus forecast
Analyst | Date | Dec-26E | Dec-27E | Dec-28E |
Societe Generale | 25-Jun-26 | 38p | 40p | 42p |
Berenberg | 31-Mar-26 | 39p | 40p | 42p |
Barclays | 30-Mar-26 | 38p | 39p | 39p |
Deutsche | 20-Mar-26 | 38p | 40p | 42p |
Peel Hunt | 05-Mar-26 | 39p | 41p | 44p |
Kepler Cheuvreux | 02-Mar-26 | 39p | 39p | 40p |
Panmure Liberum | 02-Mar-26 | 39p | 40p | 42p |
Shore Capital | 26-Feb-26 | 39p | 42p | 45p |
Jefferies | 20-Feb-26 | 38p | 39p | 41p |
Mean | 38p | 40p | 42p | |
High | 39.0p | 42.0p | 45.3p | |
Low | 37.8p | 38.8p | 39.4p | |
Connected Advisors | ||||
Bank of America | 25-Jun-26 | 38p | 38p | 39p |
Goldman Sachs | 25-Jun-26 | 39p | 41p | 43p |
UBS | 27-Apr-26 | 39p | 41p | 43p |
JP Morgan | 04-Mar-26 | 39p | 41p | n.a. |
Note: Mean excludes research from connected advisers. Forecast compiled without the agreement or approval of SEGRO
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SOURCE Prologis, Inc.