STOCK TITAN

Jet Fuel Remains Elevated at ~$4.18/Gallon, Highlights Cost Pressure Across Commercial Aviation

(Moderate)
(Neutral)
Tags

XCF Global (Nasdaq:SAFX) highlighted elevated jet fuel costs and its domestic SAF capacity as strategically important for aviation resilience. The Argus US Jet Fuel Index was $4.18/gal on May 5, 2026, with a year‑to‑date average of $2.97/gal (~33% higher YoY). XCF's New Rise Renewables Reno facility is designed for 38M gallons annual nameplate SAF capacity and is expected to return to operations in June 2026. The company emphasized sustainability certification and chain‑of‑custody systems to support customer reporting, including CORSIA‑eligible SAF documentation.

Loading...
Loading translation...

Positive

  • Designed SAF capacity of 38M gallons annually
  • Planned restart of Reno facility in June 2026
  • Sustainability certification and chain‑of‑custody for CORSIA reporting

Negative

  • Argus jet fuel index at $4.18/gal (May 5, 2026)
  • YTD jet fuel average $2.97/gal, up ~33% YoY
  • Reno facility currently offline while completing upgrades until June 2026

News Market Reaction – SAFX

-8.77%
18 alerts
-8.77% Session close to close
+11.3% Peak Tracked
-13.4% Trough Tracked
$154.32M Market Cap
0.6x Rel. Volume

In the May 7 session, SAFX declined 8.77%, reflecting a notable negative market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +11.3% during that session. Argus tracked a trough of -13.4% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 18 alerts that day, indicating notable trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The stock moved -8.8% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite the strategic ...
Analysis

The stock moved -8.8% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite the strategic framing of elevated jet fuel costs would fit a pattern where macro commentary did not always support SAFX’s share price. Previous macro-themed releases saw declines even as Reno’s restart and 40–43M gallon production targets were reiterated. Investors have also navigated financing and forbearance disclosures, so renewed concern around execution or dilution risk could have outweighed the perceived benefit of higher conventional jet fuel prices.

Key Figures

SAF capacity: 38M gallons/year Jet fuel price: $4.18 per gallon YTD jet fuel average: $2.97 per gallon +2 more
5 metrics
SAF capacity 38M gallons/year New Rise Reno nameplate sustainable aviation fuel capacity
Jet fuel price $4.18 per gallon Argus US Jet Fuel Index on May 5, 2026
YTD jet fuel average $2.97 per gallon Argus US Jet Fuel Index year-to-date through early April
Jet fuel increase 33% Increase vs same period last year for Argus jet fuel index
Restart timing June 2026 Expected return to operations for New Rise Renewables Reno

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: May 06 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
May 06 Jet fuel macro update Positive -3.5% Emphasized domestic SAF value as jet fuel hit $4.26 per gallon.
May 05 Oil risk commentary Positive -20.6% Linked Hormuz disruption and WTI >$105 to SAF expansion rationale.
May 04 Q1 update, 2027 targets Positive +17.4% Outlined 2027 revenue, EBITDA, and 40–43M gallon production goals.
May 01 Forbearance, upgrades Neutral +25.1% Forbearance through 2027 and progress on Reno upgrade toward June restart.
Apr 30 CORSIA certification Positive +8.3% Maintained CORSIA-ready status and documentation ahead of June restart.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent news has often been operationally positive, but price reactions have been mixed, with both sharp rallies and selloffs following updates.

Recent Company History

Over the last week, XCF issued multiple updates around its New Rise Renewables Reno facility, including forbearance arrangements, CORSIA-ready certification, and 2027 targets of $110–$120M net revenue and 40–43M gallons of renewable fuel production. Macro-focused releases on jet fuel and crude prices highlighted the strategic relevance of domestic SAF capacity. The current article continues this theme of elevated jet fuel costs and SAF positioning against a backdrop of volatile share-price responses.

Key Terms

sustainable aviation fuel, chain-of-custody, corsia-eligible saf
3 terms
sustainable aviation fuel technical
"an emerging renewable fuels player focused on lowering emissions... through sustainable aviation fuel"
Sustainable aviation fuel is a low‑carbon replacement for conventional jet fuel made from renewable sources (like plant residues, waste oils, or captured carbon) but refined to meet the same safety and performance rules as regular jet fuel. Investors care because SAF can lower airlines’ carbon footprints and exposure to tightening regulations, create new supply and cost dynamics in the fuel market, and drive long‑term demand shifts — like using cleaner fuel in the same airplane.
chain-of-custody technical
"sustainability certification and chain-of-custody systems are designed to support customer reporting"
A chain-of-custody is the documented trail showing who handled, transferred, stored and accessed an asset, sample or record from origin to its final destination. Think of it like a series of signed receipts that prove an item was tracked and not tampered with. Investors care because a clear chain-of-custody preserves evidence, regulatory compliance and product integrity, reducing legal, valuation and operational risks that can affect company value.
corsia-eligible saf regulatory
"including documentation associated with CORSIA-eligible SAF where applicable"
CORSIA-eligible SAF is sustainable aviation fuel that meets the international carbon-reduction criteria set by the CORSIA program, allowing airlines to count its use toward their emissions targets. For investors, it matters because qualifying fuel can lower compliance costs, unlock premium pricing or credits, and signal access to growing demand from airlines seeking to meet emissions rules—similar to a product that carries an official eco-label and therefore sells at a premium.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

See more from StockTitan in Google Search and AI answers. Adds StockTitan as a preferred source · opens Google
Add on Google

XCF Global's New Rise Reno Facility Is Designed for 38M Gallons of Annual Nameplate SAF Capacity

HOUSTON, TX / ACCESS Newswire / May 7, 2026 / XCF Global, Inc. ("XCF") (Nasdaq:SAFX), an emerging renewable fuels player focused on lowering emissions and strengthening the resilience of the aviation fuel supply chain through sustainable aviation fuel ("SAF"), today highlighted how elevated jet fuel prices continue to pressure the commercial aviation sector and reinforce the strategic importance of expanding domestic aviation fuel alternatives.

The Argus US Jet Fuel Index, published by Airlines for America, was $4.18 per gallon on May 5, 2026. Argus has also reported that the index averaged approximately $2.97 per gallon year to date through early April, up about 33% from the same period last year. Fuel remains one of the airline industry's largest and most volatile operating inputs, and sustained increases in conventional jet fuel can affect pricing, route economics, network planning, and margins across the sector.

As airlines and fuel purchasers navigate a market shaped by elevated fuel costs and supply uncertainty, XCF believes the current environment reinforces the value of building domestic, waste-based SAF production capacity. Over time, a broader aviation fuel supply base may help support greater resilience, supply visibility, and diversification for the sector.

For XCF, the opportunity is not only about fuel cost, but also about fuel resilience. The company believes domestic SAF capacity can become increasingly relevant as airlines and other market participants seek lower-emission fuel options supported by U.S. production, domestic feedstock sourcing, and stronger supply-chain visibility.

"For airlines, fuel remains one of the largest variable costs," said Chris Cooper, Chief Executive Officer of XCF Global. "When conventional jet fuel prices remain elevated, the effects can move quickly through airline planning, economics, and procurement. We believe domestic SAF capacity can become increasingly important as the industry looks to broaden its fuel supply base while advancing lower-emission alternatives."

XCF's New Rise Renewables Reno facility is currently completing planned upgrades and is expected to return to operations in June 2026. XCF believes restoring domestic SAF production capacity into this market environment is strategically important as the aviation industry continues to evaluate long-term fuel supply diversification.

As commercial airlines continue to evaluate pathways for incorporating SAF into their fuel strategies, documentation and traceability remain important operational considerations. XCF's sustainability certification and chain-of-custody systems are designed to support customer reporting requirements, including documentation associated with CORSIA-eligible SAF where applicable, which the company believes can enhance commercial readiness as production resumes.

About XCF Global, Inc.

XCF Global, Inc. ("XCF") is an emerging sustainable aviation fuel company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions. Our flagship facility, New Rise Renewables Reno, has a permitted nameplate production capacity of 38 million gallons per year, positioning XCF as an early mover among large-scale SAF producers in North America. XCF is working to advance a pipeline of potential expansion opportunities in Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida, and to build partnerships across the energy and transportation sectors to scale SAF globally. XCF is listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market and trades under the ticker, SAFX.

To learn more, visit www.xcf.global

Contacts

XCF Global:
Corporate Comms
media@xcf.global

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that involve substantial risks and uncertainties, including statements regarding the potential of sustainable aviation fuel to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and the prospectus of XCF's commercial operations and growth strategy. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts and are sometimes identified by the words "aim," "may," "will," "should," "potential," "intend," "expect," "endeavor," "seek," "anticipate," "estimate," "overestimate," "underestimate," "believe," "plan," "could," "would," "project," "predict," "continue," "target," "objective," "goal," "designed," or the negatives of these words or other similar terms or expressions that concern XCF's expectations, strategy, priorities, plans, or intentions. Forward-looking statements are based upon current plans, estimates, expectations, and assumptions that are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

We can give no assurance that such plans, estimates, or expectations will be achieved, and therefore, actual results may differ materially from any plans, estimates, or expectations in such forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, assumptions and projections and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results, developments or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results, developments or outcomes to differ materially include, among others: (1) changes in domestic and foreign business, market, financial, political, and legal conditions; (2) unexpected increases in XCF Global's expenses, including manufacturing and operating expenses and interest expenses, as a result of potential inflationary pressures, changes in interest rates and other factors; (3) the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of negotiations and any agreements with regard to XCF Global's business combination agreement with DevvStream Corp. and Southern Energy Renewables Inc. (the "Business Combination") and/or its offtake arrangements; (4) the outcome of any legal proceedings that may be instituted against the parties to the Business Combination or others; (5) XCF Global's ability to regain compliance with Nasdaq's continued listing standards and thereafter continue to meet Nasdaq's continued listing standards; (6) XCF Global's ability to integrate the operations of New Rise and implement its business plan on its anticipated timeline; (7) XCF Global's ability to raise financing to fund its operations and business plan and the terms of any such financing; (8) the New Rise Reno production facility's ability to produce the anticipated quantities of SAF without interruption or material changes to the SAF production process; (9) the New Rise Reno production facility's ability to produce renewable diesel in commercial quantities without interruption during the ongoing SAF ramp-up process; (10) XCF Global's ability to resolve current disputes between its New Rise subsidiary and its landlord with respect to the ground lease for the New Rise Reno facility; (11) XCF Global's ability to resolve current disputes between its New Rise subsidiary and its primary lender with respect to loans outstanding that were used in the development of the New Rise Reno facility; (12) payment of fees, expenses and other costs related to the completion of the Business Combination and the New Rise acquisitions; (13) the risk of disruption to the current plans and operations of XCF Global as a result of the consummation of the Business Combination; (14) XCF Global's ability to recognize the anticipated benefits of the Business Combination and the New Rise acquisitions, which may be affected by, among other things, competition, the ability of XCF Global to grow and manage growth profitably, maintain relationships with customers and suppliers and retain its management and key employees; (15) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (16) risks related to extensive regulation, compliance obligations and rigorous enforcement by federal, state, and non-U.S. governmental authorities; (17) the possibility that XCF Global may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors; (18) the availability of tax credits and other federal, state or local government support; (19) risks relating to XCF Global's and New Rise's key intellectual property rights, including the possible infringement of their intellectual property rights by third parties; (20) the risk that XCF Global's reporting and compliance obligations as a publicly-traded company divert management resources from business operations; (21) LOIs and MOUs may not advance to definitive agreements or commercial deployment; (22) the effects of increased costs associated with operating as a public company; and (23) various factors beyond management's control, including general economic conditions and other risks, uncertainties and factors set forth in XCF Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including its most recent Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on March 31, 2026, this Press Release and other filings XCF Global made or will make with the SEC in the future. If any of the risks actually occur, either alone or in combination with other events or circumstances, or XCF Global's assumptions prove incorrect, actual results could differ materially from the results implied by these forward-looking statements. There may be additional risks that XCF Global does not presently know or that it currently believes are not material that could also cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements reflect XCF Global's expectations, plans or forecasts of future events and views as of the date of this Press Release. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as representing XCF Global's assessments as of any date subsequent to the date of this Press Release. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed upon the forward-looking statements. While XCF Global may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, XCF Global specifically disclaims any obligation to do so.

Although the business combination agreement is binding on the parties, it does not obligate the parties to consummate the proposed transaction. The consummation of the proposed transaction remains subject to the satisfaction or waiver of applicable closing conditions, and the business combination agreement may be terminated in accordance with its terms. There can be no assurance that the proposed transaction will be consummated on the terms described herein or at all. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof and are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes.

Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release. XCF undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or developments, future events, or otherwise, except as required by law. Neither future distribution of this press release nor the continued availability of this press release in archive form on XCF's website at www.xcf.global/investor-relations should be deemed to constitute an update or re-affirmation of these statements as of any future date.

SOURCE: XCF Global, Inc.



View the original press release on ACCESS Newswire

FAQ

What jet fuel price did XCF Global cite on May 5, 2026 for SAFX investors?

The Argus US Jet Fuel Index was $4.18 per gallon on May 5, 2026. According to the company, the index averaged $2.97/gal year to date through early April, roughly 33% higher versus the prior year period.

How much annual SAF capacity does XCF's New Rise Renewables Reno facility have for SAFX?

The Reno facility is designed for 38 million gallons of annual nameplate SAF capacity. According to the company, that design capacity reflects its target output once planned upgrades and commissioning are complete.

When will XCF Global's Reno facility resume operations for SAFX shareholders?

XCF expects the Reno facility to return to operations in June 2026. According to the company, the restart follows planned upgrades currently underway to restore domestic SAF production capacity.

How does XCF say SAF production affects airline fuel resilience for SAFX investors?

XCF says domestic SAF production can support greater resilience and supply visibility for airlines. According to the company, domestic feedstock sourcing and chain‑of‑custody systems may aid procurement and reporting as production resumes.

What documentation does XCF provide to customers buying SAF from SAFX?

XCF provides sustainability certification and chain‑of‑custody systems to support customer reporting requirements. According to the company, this includes documentation associated with CORSIA‑eligible SAF where applicable to enhance commercial readiness.