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SunCar Technology Forecasting Its Third Consecutive Quarter of Profitability in Q1 2026 and Year-over-Year Revenue Growth of 25%

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Rhea-AI Sentiment
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SunCar Technology (NASDAQ:SDA) released preliminary unaudited estimates for Q1 2026, projecting its third consecutive profitable quarter. Estimated net income is $1 million, improving from a $3.6 million loss in Q1 2025, on forecast revenue of $128 million, about 25% year-over-year growth.

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AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Positive

  • Q1 2026 net income estimated at $1 million vs. $3.6 million loss in Q1 2025
  • Third consecutive profitable quarter projected for Q1 2026
  • Q1 2026 revenue forecast at $128 million, about 25% year-over-year growth

Negative

  • Figures are preliminary and unaudited, so actual Q1 2026 results may differ from estimates

News Market Reaction – SDAWW

-14.33%
1 alert
-14.33% News Effect

On the day this news was published, SDAWW declined 14.33%, reflecting a significant negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Key Figures

Q1 2026 net income (est.): $1 million Q1 2025 net loss: $3.6 million Q1 2026 revenue (est.): $128 million +5 more
8 metrics
Q1 2026 net income (est.) $1 million Preliminary unaudited forecast for Q1 2026
Q1 2025 net loss $3.6 million Reported loss in Q1 2025
Q1 2026 revenue (est.) $128 million Preliminary unaudited Q1 2026, ~25% YoY growth vs. Q1 2025
2025 revenue $489.3 million Record full-year 2025 revenue
2026 revenue forecast $600 million Management revenue forecast for 2026
Q4 2025 revenue $151.2 million Q4 2025 revenue, 17% year-over-year growth
2025 adjusted EBITDA $11.0 million Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA
Year-end 2025 cash $46.6 million Cash and short-term investments at end of 2025

Market Reality Check

Price: $0.0500 Vol: Volume 2,600 is at 0.25x ...
low vol
$0.0500 Last Close
Volume Volume 2,600 is at 0.25x the 20-day average 10,554, indicating muted trading interest pre-news. low
Technical Price 0.09 is trading above the 200-day MA at 0.08 despite the recent pullback.

Peers on Argus

No peers in the provided universe show momentum flags or same-day headlines, poi...

No peers in the provided universe show momentum flags or same-day headlines, pointing to a stock-specific move rather than a sector rotation.

Previous Earnings Reports

4 past events · Latest: Apr 28 (Positive)
Same Type Pattern 4 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Apr 28 Full-year 2025 results Positive -13.3% Record 2025 revenue, profitability, and strong AI-driven growth indicators.
Mar 06 2025 outlook update Positive +0.0% Preliminary 2025 revenue and 2026 growth guidance with H2 2025 profitability.
Dec 18 Q3 2025 results Positive +0.3% Return to profitability with higher revenue and improved adjusted EBITDA.
Oct 27 H1 2025 results Positive +4.0% Revenue growth and sharply reduced net loss with strong EV insurance gains.
Pattern Detected

Earnings and guidance updates have generally been positive, yet reactions have ranged from a sharp -13.35% selloff to modest gains, with the average move slightly negative.

Recent Company History

Over the past few quarters, SunCar has shifted from losses to profitability while growing revenue. In H1 2025, losses narrowed sharply as EV insurance revenue expanded. By Q3 2025, the company reported net income of $1.4M, followed by record 2025 revenue of $489.3M and quarterly profits of $1.4M and $1.7M in Q3–Q4. Management maintained a $600M 2026 revenue forecast. Today’s Q1 2026 profitability forecast continues that trajectory of improving earnings and growth.

Historical Comparison

-2.3% avg move · Across four prior earnings-related headlines, average 24-hour moves were -2.27%, showing that even p...
earnings
-2.3%
Average Historical Move earnings

Across four prior earnings-related headlines, average 24-hour moves were -2.27%, showing that even positive financial updates often met with cautious trading.

Earnings releases show a progression from large losses in early 2025 to sustained profitability in H2 2025, record full-year revenue, and reiterated growth targets into 2026.

Market Pulse Summary

The stock dropped -14.3% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite guidance fo...
Analysis

The stock dropped -14.3% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite guidance for Q1 2026 net income of $1 million and revenue of $128 million would fit a history where upbeat earnings news sometimes preceded downside, such as the -13.35% move after record 2025 results. With an average earnings-day move of -2.27%, a -5.16% drop could reflect ongoing skepticism about guidance durability, execution on growth plans, or sensitivity to any perceived risk in preliminary figures.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Third Consecutive Quarter of Profitability

Estimated Net Income of $1 million in the First Quarter of 2026

Estimated Q1 Revenue Increase of 25% Year-Over-Year to $128 million

NEW YORK, May 18, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SunCar Technology Group Inc. (the "Company" or "SunCar") (NASDAQ: SDA), an innovative leader in AI-powered auto insurance and auto services, is releasing its preliminary unaudited revenue and net income estimates for the first quarter of 2026.

For the first quarter of 2026, SunCar is forecasting preliminary unaudited net income of $1 million. This marks the Company’s third consecutive profitable quarter and is a significant improvement from a loss of $3.6 million in the first quarter of 2025. The Company is forecasting Q1 2026 unaudited revenue of $128 million, a nearly 25% year-over-year increase from the first quarter of 2025.

"SunCar had an excellent first quarter of the year with strong year-over-year growth and increased profitability. I’m particularly pleased with the Company achieving its third consecutive profitable quarter and the dramatic improvement in profitability from the first quarter of last year," said Zaichang Ye, Chairman and CEO of SunCar.

About SunCar Technology Group Inc.

Founded in 2007, SunCar is leveraging AI to transform the customer journey for auto insurance and services in China, the largest vehicle market in the world. SunCar develops and operates an AI cloud platform that seamlessly connects drivers with a wide range of auto services and insurance options offered by a nationwide network of sales partners. The Company's intelligent B2B cloud platform empowers its enterprise customers to access, manage, and optimize their auto eInsurance and auto service offerings. For more information, please visit: https://ir.suncartech.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains information about the Company’s view of its future expectations, plans, and prospects that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from historical results or those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors including, but not limited to, risks and uncertainties associated with its ability to raise additional funding, its ability to maintain and grow its business, variability of operating results, its ability to maintain and enhance its brand, its development and introduction of new products and services, the successful integration of acquired companies, technologies and assets into its portfolio of products and services, marketing and other business development initiatives, competition in the industry, general government regulation, economic conditions, dependence on key personnel, the ability to attract, hire and retain personnel who possess the technical skills and experience necessary to meet the requirements of its clients, and its ability to protect its intellectual property. Forward-looking statements in this release include statements regarding the planned launch of AI-powered services, expected improvements in customer experience, potential cost reductions, and the development of SaaS solutions. These statements involve risks, including technology development challenges, market acceptance, regulatory approval requirements, and the ability to scale AI implementations. For a detailed discussion of these risks, please refer to the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, except as required by law.

Contact Information:

SunCar:

Investor Relations: Mr. Breaux Walker
Email: IR@suncartech.com

Legal: Ms. Li Chen
Email: chenli@suncartech.com

SOURCE: SunCar Technology Group Inc.


FAQ

What Q1 2026 net income is SunCar Technology (NASDAQ:SDA) forecasting?

SunCar Technology is forecasting preliminary unaudited Q1 2026 net income of $1 million. According to SunCar, this compares with a $3.6 million net loss in Q1 2025, reflecting a notable turnaround to profitability year over year.

How much revenue is SunCar Technology (SDA) projecting for Q1 2026?

SunCar Technology is projecting preliminary unaudited Q1 2026 revenue of $128 million. According to SunCar, this represents about 25% year-over-year revenue growth compared with the first quarter of 2025, driven by its AI-powered auto insurance and auto services business.

Is SunCar Technology expecting its third consecutive profitable quarter in Q1 2026?

Yes, SunCar Technology expects Q1 2026 to be its third consecutive profitable quarter. According to SunCar, the company forecasts $1 million in net income, following two prior profitable quarters, indicating continued improvement in its financial performance.

How does SunCar Technology's Q1 2026 outlook compare with Q1 2025 results?

SunCar Technology expects a shift from a $3.6 million net loss in Q1 2025 to $1 million net income in Q1 2026. According to SunCar, revenue is also forecast to rise to $128 million, about 25% higher year over year.

Are SunCar Technology's Q1 2026 financial figures final or preliminary?

SunCar Technology’s Q1 2026 financial figures are preliminary and unaudited. According to SunCar, the estimates for $1 million net income and $128 million revenue may change once the company completes its normal financial closing and audit procedures.

What did SunCar Technology’s CEO say about Q1 2026 performance and SDA stock prospects?

SunCar’s CEO described Q1 2026 as an excellent first quarter with strong year-over-year growth and increased profitability. According to SunCar, leadership highlighted achieving a third consecutive profitable quarter and a substantial improvement from the Q1 2025 net loss.