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S&P Global Market Intelligence's 2026 Private Equity Survey Shows Fundraising Confidence Rising as Managers Pivot to Operational Value

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S&P Global Market Intelligence (NYSE:SPGI) released its 2026 Private Equity and Venture Capital Outlook on April 13, 2026, showing GPs shifting to operational value creation amid cautious macro conditions.

Key metrics: 72% cite operational improvements as the top value lever, 59% are optimistic on 2026 fundraising, and 53% flag private credit deterioration as the biggest risk.

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Positive

  • 72% of GPs prioritize operational improvements as top value‑creation lever
  • 59% of GPs are highly or cautiously optimistic about 2026 fundraising
  • 38% expect deal volumes to increase and 40% expect volumes to remain steady

Negative

  • Only 20% of GPs expect improved valuations in 2026
  • 53% cite deteriorating private credit quality and rising defaults as top risk
  • 60% dissatisfied with LP allocation data and broad data quality gaps
  • Majorities rate AI as ineffective for deal sourcing (64%) and portfolio monitoring (75%)

News Market Reaction – SPGI

+3.53%
+3.53% Session close to close

In the Apr 13 session, SPGI gained 3.53%, reflecting a moderate positive market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

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GPs optimistic about 2026 capital raising despite valuation pressures, with 71% prioritizing operational improvements over financial engineering

NEW YORK, April 13, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Global Market Intelligence today released its 2026 Private Equity and Venture Capital Outlook, revealing that private equity fund managers are doubling down on value creation through operational improvements as they navigate economic uncertainty.

The report shows that while the macroeconomic outlook remains cautious, most GPs expect deal volumes to hold steady or improve in 2026, and fundraising conditions are brightening for many managers.

"The private equity industry is at an inflection point," said Kevin Zacharuk, Head of Private Equity, Data & Research at S&P Global Market Intelligence. "GPs are shifting their approach to value creation, with operational improvements now ranking as the top priority. However, our research reveals that many firms are constrained by fragmented data and limited visibility into the metrics that matter most for driving portfolio company performance."

Key findings include:

  • Operational focus intensifies: 60% of General Partners (GPs) agree that higher capital costs are forcing greater focus on portfolio company operational performance, with operational improvements (72%) ranking as the top value creation lever.
  • Fundraising optimism: 59% of GPs are either highly (21%) or cautiously (38%) optimistic about achieving their 2026 fundraising targets, though shifting investor priorities (47%) remain the top challenge.
  • Deal activity stabilizing: 38% of GPs expect deal volumes to increase in 2026, while 40% expect volumes to remain steady. However, only 20% expect improved valuations, with 28% anticipating deterioration.
  • Macroeconomic caution: Nearly half of GPs (48%) expect GDP growth to remain unchanged, while close to the same portion (47%) anticipate worsening inflation. GPs predicting improved capital availability (39%) slightly outnumber those expecting tightening conditions.
  • Investment strategy: Traditional buyouts remain the core strategy (45%), followed by growth equity (38%) and venture capital (26%).
  • Private credit concerns: 53% of respondents cite deteriorating credit quality and rising defaults as the greatest risk to private credit markets in 2026.
  • Data quality gaps: GPs expressed significant dissatisfaction with the quality and availability of non-public operational metrics (37% dissatisfied), detailed debt data (38%), and third-party consensus estimates (39%). Additionally, 60% are dissatisfied with Limited Partner (LP) allocation data, and fragmented or unstructured data was cited as a key barrier.
  • Limited AI adoption: AI integration remains in early stages, with due diligence showing the highest adoption (31% somewhat or fully integrated). However, majorities rated AI as ineffective for deal sourcing (64%) and portfolio monitoring (75%). Barriers include lack of expertise (49%), data privacy concerns (43%), and model accuracy concerns (38%).
  • Mid-tier consolidation expected: Nearly half of GPs (46%) anticipate a "shake-out" of mid-tier peers in 2026, as managers unable to generate distributions struggle to raise capital.

The S&P Global Market Intelligence Private Equity and Venture Capital Outlook surveyed global private equity, venture capital, and limited partner respondents in February 2026, covering questions on deal activity, fundraising, technology adoption, value creation strategies, and portfolio operations.

To request a copy of the 2026 Private Equity and Venture Capital Outlook, please contact press.mi@spglobal.com. 

About S&P Global Market Intelligence

At S&P Global Market Intelligence, we understand the importance of accurate, deep and insightful information. Our team of experts delivers unrivaled insights and leading data and technology solutions, partnering with customers to expand their perspective, operate with confidence, and make decisions with conviction.

S&P Global Market Intelligence is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI). S&P Global enables businesses, governments, and individuals with trusted data, expertise, and technology to make decisions with conviction. We are Advancing Essential Intelligence through world-leading benchmarks, data, and insights that customers need in order to plan confidently, act decisively, and thrive economically in a rapidly changing global landscape. Learn more at www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence 

Contacts:

Florence Bogitsh
S&P Global Market Intelligence
+1 646 460-7204
florence.bogitsh@spglobal.com
press.mi@spglobal.com

 

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SOURCE S&P Global Market Intelligence

FAQ

What did S&P Global Market Intelligence report about SPGI on April 13, 2026 regarding private equity focus?

Most GPs are shifting toward operational value creation rather than financial engineering. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, 72% of GPs ranked operational improvements as the top value‑creation lever, citing data fragmentation as a barrier to execution.

How optimistic are private equity managers about SPGI fundraising prospects for 2026?

A majority of managers are optimistic about 2026 fundraising prospects. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, 59% of GPs are highly or cautiously optimistic, though 47% cite shifting investor priorities as a top challenge.

What did the SPGI outlook say about deal volume and valuations for 2026?

Deal activity is expected to stabilize but valuations remain under pressure. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, 38% expect deal volume increases, 40% expect steady volumes, and only 20% expect improved valuations.

What private credit risks did S&P Global Market Intelligence highlight for 2026 (SPGI)?

Private credit deterioration is the leading concern for managers next year. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, 53% of respondents cited worsening credit quality and rising defaults as the greatest private credit risk in 2026.

How significant are data quality issues for GPs in the SPGI 2026 survey?

Data quality and availability are major constraints for portfolio management and reporting. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, between 37% and 60% of GPs reported dissatisfaction with various non‑public metrics and LP allocation data.

What does the SPGI outlook report about AI adoption in private equity for 2026?

AI adoption remains limited, with higher use in due diligence than sourcing or monitoring. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, 31% reported some AI integration in due diligence, while majorities find AI ineffective for sourcing and monitoring.