Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) released the January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll (Jan 28-29, 2026) showing President Trump’s job approval at 45% (-2 pts). Immigration enforcement is a flashpoint: 57% say ICE and CBP have gone too far and 86% support body cameras for agents. The poll also shows Democrats leading the 2026 generic ballot by 8 points (registered) and a 4-point lead among likely voters.
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Positive
President approval remains measurable at 45% (-2 points)
Democrats lead generic ballot by 8 points (registered voters)
86% of voters support body cameras for ICE and CBP agents
63% of voters attribute the current economy to the Trump administration (+11)
Negative
57% of voters say ICE and CBP have gone too far
Congressional approval is low at 32% (-3)
54% plurality say Trump's policies have set America on a worse path or are making bad deals
Key Figures
Trump approval rating:45%Trump approval change:-2 pointsICE/CBP gone too far:57%+5 more
Trump approval change-2 pointsvs. December reading
ICE/CBP gone too far57%Voters saying ICE and CBP have gone too far
Economy credited to Trump63%Voters attributing current economy to Trump over Biden
Democrats midterm lead8 pointsGeneric 2026 Congressional ballot among registered voters
Poll sample size2,000 registered votersSurvey conducted January 28–29, 2026
Support body cameras86%Voters supporting body camera requirement for ICE/CBP agents
Support for regime change in Iran59%Voters saying U.S. should support regime change in Iran
Market Reality Check
Price:$6.07Vol:Volume 2,111,485 is sligh...
normal vol
$6.07Last Close
VolumeVolume 2,111,485 is slightly below the 20-day average of 2,217,280 (relative volume 0.95).normal
TechnicalShares at $6.01 trade 19.65% below the 52-week high of $7.48, above the $5.24 200-day MA and 49.13% above the 52-week low of $4.03.
Peers on Argus
STGW fell 0.99% while sector peers were mixed: IAS and QNST were up, ZD and CRTO...
1 Up
STGW fell 0.99% while sector peers were mixed: IAS and QNST were up, ZD and CRTO were down, and EEX rose 4.56%. Momentum scans only flagged CCO with a 7.89% move, supporting a stock-specific read on this headline.
Common CatalystZD had an earnings-date announcement, but no broader, shared news theme is evident among advertising peers.
Launch of Quarter Creek Ventures incubator fund for adtech and AI ideas.
Pattern Detected
Recent corporate and product announcements have more often led to positive price reactions, though two January news items saw negative divergence.
Recent Company History
Over the past weeks, STGW has released a series of growth- and innovation-focused updates. In January 2026, it launched Quarter Creek Ventures, the Harris QuestRQ platform, and a strategic partnership with Spotter, each coinciding with positive 24-hour moves between 1.37% and 2.5%. Two later news items about SPORT BEACH activations and the DonerColle Partners combination were followed by declines of 3.16% and 3.5%. Today’s Harvard CAPS / Harris poll release showcases the Harris Poll franchise and continues that theme of leveraging data and insight assets.
Market Pulse Summary
This announcement highlights the breadth of Stagwell’s Harris Poll franchise, with the January Harva...
Analysis
This announcement highlights the breadth of Stagwell’s Harris Poll franchise, with the January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll surveying 2,000 voters on approval ratings, immigration, the economy, and foreign policy. It underscores STGW’s positioning in data-rich, politically relevant research. Recent history shows multiple product launches and partnerships, some followed by gains and others by declines, suggesting investors may watch how consistently these high-visibility insights translate into revenue growth and client demand.
Key Terms
body cameras, nato, regime change
3 terms
body camerastechnical
"80% of voters say ICE and CBP should be required to identify themselves... and 86% say agents should wear body cameras"
Body cameras are small wearable video devices mounted on clothing or gear that record audio and video of interactions in the wearer’s field of view. Think of them as a dashcam for a person; they create an objective record that can reduce disputes, support compliance with rules, and produce data for training or evidence. For investors, demand, pricing, regulation, and legal exposure tied to these devices can affect sales, recurring services, and liability costs for companies that make or use them.
natoregulatory
"69% of voters say maintaining NATO is more important than acquiring Greenland"
A multinational defense and political alliance of member countries that coordinates military, diplomatic and security policies to deter threats and respond to crises. Investors watch it because its actions and tensions between members and rivals can change government spending, trade rules, sanctions and market confidence—like a neighborhood watch whose decisions can shift local safety, insurance costs and property values for everyone nearby.
regime changeregulatory
"59% of voters say the U.S. should support Iran regime change"
A regime change is a shift in who makes the rules or how the rules are applied—most often a change in government, regulatory leadership, or the dominant policy approach. For investors it matters because a new regime can alter taxes, regulations, trade policy or enforcement, like swapping referees or rewriting parts of the rulebook; that can change company profits, risk levels and market confidence, often prompting portfolio reassessments and price swings.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
55% OF VOTERS DISAPPROVE OF HOW IMMIGRATION ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES ARE ENFORCING LAWS IN U.S. CITIES, WITH 40% STRONGLY DISAPPROVING
80% OF VOTERS WANT ICE AND CBP TO IDENTIFY THEMSELVES DURING ENFORCEMENT, AND 86% OF VOTERS SUPPORT BODY CAMERA REQUIREMENTS FOR AGENTS
67% WANT LOCAL OFFICIALS TO COOPERATE WITH FEDERAL AUTHORITIES TO DEPORT CRIMINAL ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS
63% OF VOTERS ATTRIBUTE THE ECONOMY TO TRUMP OVER BIDEN, AN 11-PT. INCREASE, WITH VIEWS OF THE ECONOMY SPLIT
55% OF VOTERS SAY TRUMP POLICIES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH CAMPAIGN PROMISES, AND 54% SAY TRUMP HAS ACCOMPLISHED A LOT IN HIS FIRST YEAR; 15 OF 22 KEY TRUMP POLICIES CONTINUE TO RECEIVE MAJORITY SUPPORT
DEMOCRATS HOLD AN 8-POINT LEAD IN THE 2026 MIDTERM GENERIC BALLOT AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS, AND 4-POINTS AMONG LIKELY VOTERS
64% OF VOTERS WANT DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION IN VENEZUELA TO BE A KEY PRIORITY FOR ADMINISTRATION
59% OF VOTERS SAY THE U.S. SHOULD SUPPORT IRAN REGIME CHANGE
69% OF VOTERS SAY MAINTAINING NATO IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN ACQUIRING GREENLAND
NEW YORK, NY AND CAMBRIDGE, MA / ACCESS Newswire / February 2, 2026 / Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) today released the results of the January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
President Donald Trump's approval rating is at 45%, down 2 points from December with a small decline across each policy area. Trump's job approval is highest on his response to anti-ICE protest in Minneapolis (51%) and fighting crime in America's cities (47%), and lowest on handling inflation (39%) and tariffs and trade policy (39%). This month's poll also covered public opinion on immigration policy, Minnesota, the economy, political factions, Venezuela, Greenland and NATO, the Israel-Hamas conflict, Iran, and the war in Ukraine. Download the key results here.
"President Trump's ratings are slowing declining with Americans seeing the economy sagging and inflation raging, even though economic statistics show the opposite," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. "On immigration, the public supports removing criminal aliens but believe that ICE has gone too far and is randomly picking up migrants, a policy they do not support. Given these two trends, Republicans are now facing a tough midterm election."
IMMIGRATION INCHES INTO VOTERS' TOP TWO CONCERNS ALONGSIDE THE ECONOMY
49% of voters say the U.S. economy is strong (+2, Dec. 2025).
The Republican Party approval rating is at 44% (-2), while the Democratic Party approval rating is at 44% (+3). Congressional approval is at 32% (-3).
Inflation and immigration are the nation's top two most important issues today, according to American voters. 33% of voters say inflation is the most important issue (-3, Dec. 2025), and 29% of voters say immigration (+3).
Among key American institutions and federal agencies, voters have the highest net favorable view of the U.S. Military (+58 net favorable) and the police (+35) and the least favorable view of ICE (-16).
DEMOCRATS HAVE EDGE IF CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY
74% of voters say they will definitely or probably vote in the 2026 Congressional midterm elections (Definitely: Democrats: 69%; Republicans: 66%; Independents: 43%).
54% of voters say they would vote for a Democrat if the congressional election was held today, an 8-pt. lead over Republicans. The lead narrows to 4 pts. among likely voters.
MOST TRUMP POLICIES CONTINUE TO BE POPULAR AS VOTERS CREDIT HIS ACCOMPLISHMENTS IN THE PAST YEAR
55% of voters say Trump's policies have been consistent with campaign promises, and 54% say he has accomplished a lot in his first year.
49% of voters, a plurality, say Trump's policies thus far have set America on a worse path. 49% say Trump is doing a better job than Biden (-4).
15 of 22 key Trump policies continue to see majority support. His most popular policies are lowering prescription drug prices (83% support), deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (73%), eliminating fraud in government expenditures (70%), and capping credit card interest rates at 10% for one year (69%).
Trump's least popular policies include hiring an additional 20,000 border patrol and ICE agents to conduct immigration raids (43%), Medicaid cost cuts (44%), and withdrawing from international organizations (46%).
55% of voters say Trump is making bad deals on behalf of the country (+4).
VOTERS BELIEVE ICE AND CBP SHOULD FOCUS ON IMMIGRANTS WHO HAVE COMMITTED CRIMES
55% of voters disapprove of how immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and Border Patrol (CBP) are enforcing laws in U.S. cities, with 40% strongly disapproving. 57% say ICE and CBP have gone too far.
67% of voters say local officials should cooperate with federal immigration authorities on deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes.
60% of voters believe Democratic officials have been encouraging resistance to ICE, with 57% opposing elected officials who do so.
The majority of voters say ICE should not be allowed to conduct raids at schools or daycare (72%), on the street without a warrant (68%), and at workplaces (56%). 56% of voters believe ICE has been taking people randomly off the street (Democrats: 76%; Republicans: 37%; Independents: 57%).
44% of voters, a plurality, say ICE officers should only go after individuals who have committed crimes rather than performing sweeps of places with many illegal immigrants (Democrats: 58%; Republicans: 26%; Independents: 50%).
Voters across political parties strongly support deporting illegal and legal immigrants who have committed a serious crime but are split on deporting other undocumented immigrants who do not have criminal records and generally do not support deportations of those who have lived in the U.S. for years, arrived as a child, or committed a minor infraction.
MAJORITY BELIEVE ICE AND CBP HAVE GONE TOO FAR IN MINNEAPOLIS; WANT AGENTS TO WEAR BODY CAMERAS AND IDENTIFY THEMSELVES
58% of voters say ICE and CBP have been using too much force in Minneapolis.
56% say ICE is not justified in arresting U.S. citizens it believes are interfering with enforcement efforts. 62% say it is violating American civil liberties.
62% of voters believe ICE was too quick to escalate situations leading to the shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti.
59% of voters, including a majority across political parties, believe the Trump administration is doubling down on its actions in Minneapolis rather than de-escalating and changing course.
55% of voters support Congressional Republicans withholding funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) in the upcoming government funding bill, but 53% do not support Democrats withholding votes and triggering another government shutdown.
80% of voters say ICE and CBP should be required to identify themselves when conducting enforcement activities, and 86% say agents should wear body cameras, including a strong majority across political parties.
55% of voters say ICE incidents should be investigated by federal agencies like the FBI and DHS rather than local authorities.
MORE VOTERS ATTRIBUTE ECONOMY TO TRUMP OVER BIDEN
63% of voters say the current state of the economy is mostly due to the Trump administration rather than Biden (+11). 53% say it is worse than it was when Biden was president.
56% of voters say the economy is shrinking, and 66% say inflation is above 3% (-5), including a majority across political parties.
52% of voters, a strong plurality across political parties, say the economy was last "good" in 2020 before the pandemic (+3).
60% of voters favor economic policies of reduced government spending, lower taxes, tougher trade deals, lower prescription drug costs, and a closed border (Democrats: 50%; Republicans: 68%; Independents: 62%).
VOTERS WANT NEXT PRESIDENT TO GOVERN FROM THE CENTER RIGHT
58% of voters say the Republican Party is run by far-right politicians, while 52% say the Democratic Party is run by moderates.
55% of voters say Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mayor Zohran Mamdani would be a danger to the country if elected to higher office. 62% say the same about Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens.
44%, a plurality, believe Trump governs from the far right. 44% want their next president to govern from the center right.
Democrats favor Kamala Harris (39%) followed by Gavin Newsom (30%) as their next candidate for President, while Republicans overwhelmingly favor J.D. Vance (53%) as their next presidential candidate.
DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION IN VENEZUELA SHOULD BE KEY PRIORITY FOR TRUMP ADMINISTRATION
54% of voters approve of the arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro (Democrats: 40%; Republicans: 75%; Independents: 46%), with 72% believing he led a dictatorship.
59% of voters say it was in the national interest of the U.S. to remove Maduro from office (-7), but voters are split on whether it violated the U.S. Constitution and international law.
64% of voters believe pushing Venezuela towards a democratic transition should be a key priority for the Trump administration, including a majority across political parties.
57% of voters say the U.S. should try to fix the Venezuelan oil industry so that it is profitable for the Venezuelan people. 53% say the U.S. is not entitled to any oil proceeds.
61% of voters say the U.S. should take a more aggressive stand against narco trafficking dictators around the world. 56% are not worried about the U.S. being drawn into a war with Venezuelan troops.
VOTERS PRIORITIZE NATO OVER ACQUIRING GREENLAND BUT SUPPORT TRUMP'S SENTIMENT OF RESETTING U.S.-EUROPEAN RELATIONSHIPS
60% of voters say the U.S. should not try to obtain Greenland (Democrats: 78%; Republicans: 39%; Independents: 65%).
62% of voters believe the U.S. should demand a vote for Greenland residents to decide if they want to remain part of Denmark or become a U.S. territory.
53% of voters say Trump's statements on Greenland are an unnecessary escalation with allies and risk unraveling NATO. 69% say maintaining NATO is more important for U.S. security than acquiring strategic territory.
62% of voters support Trump resetting U.S.-European relationships, with 56% believing European nations are failing to spend adequately on their defense.
59% of voters interpret "America First" as limiting foreign interventions, including a majority across political parties. 53% support pulling back from international organizations and focusing on national interests.
BOARD OF PEACE SEES SUPPORT; VOTERS WANT PALESTINIAN INVOLVEMENT IN RECONSTRUCTION OF GAZA
72% of voters continue to support Israel over Hamas.
67% of voters support Trump's deal to secure the safe return of Israeli hostages and end hostilities in Gaza.
55% of voters support Trump launching the Board of Peace to fundraise for and oversee the reconstruction of Gaza. Voters are split on whether successful reconstruction requires Israel's involvement, while 58% of voters say it requires Palestinian involvement.
57% of voters see Israel's criticism of the Board of Peace as a symptom of politics rather than a serious rift between Trump and Israel.
65% of voters believe Hamas is rearming, including a majority across political parties (-3), despite 77% saying Hamas disarming should be a deal requirement. 48% of voters, a plurality, say Arab government should be responsible for ensuring Hamas disarms.
BROAD SUPPORT FOR REGIME CHANGE IN IRAN
59% of voters say the US should support regime change in Iran, including a majority across political parties. But 71% do not support a U.S. air strike in response to the regime killing protestors.
67% of voters believe the Iranian people do not support the Iranian regime run by the Ayatollah.
53% of voters say taking down the Iranian regime would more likely open the door to peace in the Middle East (Democrats: 42%; Republicans: 65%; Independents: 50%).
70% of voters believe Iran is rebuilding its nuclear capability.
CONTINUED MAJORITY SUPPORT FOR U.S. PROVIDING WEAPONS TO UKRAINE
67% of voters say the Trump administration should continue to provide weapons to Ukraine and impose further economic sanctions on Russia, including a majority across political parties (+2).
66% of voters say Ukraine should receive direct security guarantees from the U.S. if it makes concessions to end the war with Russia (+2).
54% of voters say Ukraine making territorial concessions to Russia will allow the country and the world to move forward in peace (-2), while others believe it will create a bad precedent.
The January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on January 28-29, 2026, among 2,000 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.
About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.
HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics. Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.
What did the January 2026 Harvard CAPS / Harris poll (STGW) find about Trump's approval rating?
President Trump’s job approval was reported at 45%, a 2-point decline from December. According to Stagwell, approval fell modestly across policy areas, with lowest marks on inflation and trade.
How do voters view ICE and CBP in the January 2026 Harvard CAPS / Harris poll (STGW)?
A majority say ICE and CBP have gone too far, with 57% agreeing and 86% supporting body cameras. According to Stagwell, voters also want agents to identify themselves and favor limiting raids at schools and daycares.
What does the January 2026 poll (STGW) say about the 2026 midterm generic ballot?
The poll shows Democrats leading by 8 points among registered voters and by 4 points among likely voters. According to Stagwell, turnout intent was high, with 74% saying they will definitely or probably vote.
How did respondents attribute responsibility for the economy in the January 2026 poll (STGW)?
Respondents more often blamed the Trump administration, with 63% saying the economy is mostly due to Trump. According to Stagwell, this was an 11-point increase versus prior measures in the series.
What immigration enforcement reforms did voters support in the January 2026 poll (STGW)?
Voters strongly supported oversight measures: 86% favor body cameras and 80% want agents to identify themselves during enforcement. According to Stagwell, majorities also oppose raids at schools and unwarranted street arrests.
