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Tvardi Therapeutics Announces Further Phase 2 REVERT IPF Data, Expanding Clinical Insights

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Tvardi Therapeutics (NASDAQ: TVRD) reported additional analyses from its Phase 2 REVERT IPF trial of TTI-101, focusing on 40 patients exposed to study drug for 12 weeks (16 pooled TTI-101, 24 placebo). Key findings: fibrosis score declined -9.4% with TTI-101 vs -2.4% for placebo (centrally read); greater IL-6 reductions observed with TTI-101, especially in patients with higher baseline IL-6; 63% of TTI-101 patients had FVC increases at 12 weeks vs 46% placebo, and mean FVC change was -15mL vs -22mL for REVERT placebo. The company noted the Phase 2 study overall did not meet its goals and is awaiting Phase 1 TTI-109 healthy volunteer topline data in H1 2026.

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Positive

  • Fibrosis score decline of -9.4% vs -2.4% placebo
  • Greater IL-6 reductions observed with TTI-101
  • 63% of TTI-101 patients showed FVC increase at 12 weeks
  • Mean FVC change -15mL vs REVERT placebo -22mL

Negative

  • Phase 2 study overall did not meet its goals (announced Oct 13, 2025)
  • Small evaluable cohort: 16 TTI-101 patients and 24 placebo patients
  • Four patients removed from 12-week analysis for dosing/PK/outlier reasons
  • Results are preliminary and limited to a 12-week exposure window

News Market Reaction

+8.74%
14 alerts
+8.74% News Effect
+12.5% Peak in 24 hr 24 min
+$4M Valuation Impact
$44M Market Cap
1.3x Rel. Volume

On the day this news was published, TVRD gained 8.74%, reflecting a notable positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +12.5% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 14 alerts that day, indicating notable trading interest and price volatility. This price movement added approximately $4M to the company's valuation, bringing the market cap to $44M at that time.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Key Figures

Fibrosis change TTI-101: -9.4% Fibrosis change placebo: -2.4% Analysis dataset size: 40 patients +5 more
8 metrics
Fibrosis change TTI-101 -9.4% Baseline-weighted HRCT lung fibrosis score at week 12 vs baseline
Fibrosis change placebo -2.4% Baseline-weighted HRCT lung fibrosis score at week 12 vs baseline
Analysis dataset size 40 patients REVERT IPF 12-week analysis population after exclusions
TTI-101 patients 16 patients Pooled TTI-101-treated group in 12-week REVERT analysis
Placebo patients 24 patients Placebo group in 12-week REVERT analysis
FVC increase TTI-101 63% Pooled TTI-101 patients with FVC increase at 12 weeks
FVC increase placebo 46% Placebo patients with FVC increase at 12 weeks
Mean FVC change TTI-101 -15 mL Mean FVC change at 12 weeks in TTI-101-treated patients

Market Reality Check

Price: $3.55 Vol: Volume 87,461 is below th...
low vol
$3.55 Last Close
Volume Volume 87,461 is below the 20-day average of 134,389 ahead of this update. low
Technical Shares at 3.89 trade well below the 200-day MA of 20.29 and sit 91.09% under the 52-week high of 43.65.

Peers on Argus

TVRD was down 1.02% pre-news while several biotech peers showed modest gains (e....
1 Down

TVRD was down 1.02% pre-news while several biotech peers showed modest gains (e.g., DSGN and LBRX up, CTMX up) and IMRX appeared in momentum scanners with a -23.17% move, indicating stock-specific dynamics rather than a coordinated sector move.

Common Catalyst Only one peer (CTMX) reported company milestone news, suggesting no broad IPF or STAT3-related sector catalyst.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Nov 18 (Neutral)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Nov 18 Conference participation Neutral +2.2% Participation in Piper Sandler healthcare conference with webcasted fireside chat.
Nov 13 Earnings update Negative -3.1% Q3 2025 loss, going-concern language, and reminder REVERT IPF missed goals.
Nov 04 Conference presentation Neutral -2.7% Jefferies conference presentation and investor meetings focusing on STAT3 programs.
Oct 13 Clinical trial update Negative -83.9% Preliminary REVERT IPF data showed study did not meet its goals.
Aug 21 Conference participation Neutral -0.9% Cantor conference participation and fireside chat on STAT3 pipeline.
Pattern Detected

Clinical trial setbacks for TTI-101 in IPF previously coincided with a sharp selloff, while conference and general news items have led to relatively modest single-digit moves.

Recent Company History

Over the last six months, Tvardi moved from completing REVERT IPF enrollment to reporting that the Phase 2 study did not meet its goals on Oct 13, 2025, which saw a -83.92% move. Subsequent Q3 2025 results highlighted ongoing losses and runway into Q4 2026. Later conference and investor events in Nov 2025 produced smaller price changes. Today’s announcement adds deeper 12‑week analyses and STAT3 pathway readouts on TTI‑101 and reiterates timelines for TTI‑109.

Market Pulse Summary

The stock moved +8.7% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with the...
Analysis

The stock moved +8.7% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with the stock’s history of large moves around REVERT IPF milestones, including the -83.92% drop on the October 2025 miss. Today’s deeper 12‑week data highlight fibrosis scoring, IL‑6 changes, and FVC trends plus a path forward for TTI‑109. However, prior volatility, going-concern language in recent filings, and the earlier failure to meet trial goals could all temper the durability of any sharp upside move.

Key Terms

idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, stat3, il-6, fvc, +2 more
6 terms
idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis medical
"Phase 2 REVERT IPF clinical trial of TTI-101 in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF)."
Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a chronic lung disease in which the air‑carrying tissue becomes progressively thickened and scarred for no identifiable reason, making the lungs stiff and less able to move oxygen—similar to a sponge that hardens and loses its pores. It matters to investors because it is life‑limiting with limited effective treatments, so clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, pricing and reimbursement decisions can strongly affect the commercial value of therapies and the financial prospects of companies developing treatments.
stat3 medical
"small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat fibrosis-driven diseases"
STAT3 is a protein inside cells that acts like a control knob for turning sets of genes on or off, influencing cell growth, survival and immune responses. For investors, STAT3 matters because drugs or tests that block or measure its activity can be used to treat or track cancers and inflammatory diseases, so progress on STAT3-targeted therapies or diagnostics can affect the value and prospects of biotech and pharmaceutical firms.
il-6 medical
"A greater IL-6 decline was observed among TTI-101-treated patients vs placebo."
Interleukin-6 (IL-6) is a small signaling protein the body releases as an alarm during infection, injury, or chronic inflammation; think of it as a smoke detector that calls immune cells to action. It matters to investors because IL-6 levels can serve as a biomarker for disease severity and a target for therapies—drugs that block or modulate IL-6 can change treatment outcomes, regulatory decisions, and commercial prospects in healthcare markets.
fvc medical
"63% of pooled patients treated with TTI-101 demonstrated an increase in FVC at 12 weeks"
Forced vital capacity (FVC) is a lung function measurement that records how much air a person can forcefully exhale after taking the deepest breath possible, similar to timing and measuring a strong, single blow to extinguish a candle. Investors care because FVC is a common clinical trial endpoint for respiratory drugs and devices; meaningful improvements or declines can influence trial success, regulatory approval odds, labeling, and ultimately commercial prospects.
pharmacokinetics medical
"Upon interrogation of pharmacokinetics and adverse events, one patient was removed"
Pharmacokinetics is the study of how a substance, such as a drug or chemical, moves through and is processed by the body over time. It tracks how it is absorbed, distributed, broken down, and eventually eliminated. For investors, understanding pharmacokinetics helps gauge the effectiveness, safety, and potential risks of new medications or treatments, which can influence a company’s success and valuation in the healthcare industry.
placebo-controlled medical
"randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of TTI-101"
"Placebo-controlled" describes a testing method where one group receives the actual treatment or intervention, while another group receives a harmless, inactive version called a placebo. This approach helps determine whether the real treatment has genuine effects beyond psychological expectations. For investors, understanding this ensures confidence that reported benefits are real and not influenced by bias or false perceptions.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Pooled patients treated with TTI-101 demonstrated a 9.4% decrease from baseline in fibrosis score at week 12, compared to a 2.4% decrease for the placebo group

Topline healthy volunteer data from Phase 1 study of next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, on track for H1 2026

HOUSTON, Jan. 08, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (“Tvardi”) (NASDAQ: TVRD), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, oral, small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat fibrosis-driven diseases, today provided further updates from its Phase 2 REVERT IPF clinical trial of TTI-101 in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Preliminary results were announced on October 13, 2025.

Additional analysis was conducted to interrogate the impact of STAT3 inhibition using TTI-101 on fibrosis, inflammatory markers and pulmonary function. In order to do so, the additional analysis was limited to patients who were exposed to study drug for 12 weeks. Upon interrogation of pharmacokinetics and adverse events, one patient was removed from the analysis due to receiving less than 60% of the expected dosing; two patients were removed due to no measurable TTI-101 observed in the blood as well as no reported adverse events; and one additional patient was removed as an outlier for the 12-week analysis as their pulmonary function initially improved on treatment, but was subsequently severely impacted by acute bronchitis deemed unrelated to study drug. This resulted in a dataset of 40 patients analyzed: 16 pooled patients treated with TTI-101, and 24 patients treated with placebo.

Data highlights:

  • Fibrosis: Fibrosis decline was greater in patients treated with TTI-101 compared to placebo, -9.4% vs -2.4%, respectively, in baseline-weighted high resolution CT lung fibrosis score (centrally read, blinded and independently assessed).
  • Inflammation: A greater IL-6 decline was observed among TTI-101-treated patients vs placebo. In addition, greater reduction in IL-6 was observed among patients with higher baseline IL-6 in the TTI-101-treated patients. IL-6 is a key pro-inflammatory cytokine that signals through STAT3. Inhibition of STAT3 is expected to reduce downstream inflammatory signaling associated with disease.
  • 63% of pooled patients treated with TTI-101 demonstrated an increase in FVC at 12 weeks, compared to 46% of the placebo group.
  • Mean FVC change in TTI-101-treated patients was -15mL; less of a decline when compared to the REVERT placebo (-22mL) and historical placebo groups from comparable IPF trials.

Imran Alibhai, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tvardi, stated, “Our subsequent analyses of the REVERT IPF clinical trial data set revealed deeper insights into the impact of TTI-101 on the inhibition of STAT3 in fibrosis and inflammation. Notably, treatment with TTI-101 was associated with improvement in blinded fibrosis scores vs placebo and reductions in IL-6 levels consistent with STAT3 pathway inhibition. Further interrogation into FVC after 12 weeks of TTI-101 was encouraging despite the placebo-treated patients’ FVC decline being lower than expected compared to historical controls.

“With these data in-hand, we eagerly await results from the ongoing healthy volunteer study of our next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109. TTI-109 is designed to enhance TTI-101’s ability to target STAT3 as a more efficient delivery vehicle with the potential to improve tolerability. If successful, we will move quickly to identify next steps for this promising, potentially disease modifying therapy across a range of fibrosis-driven diseases where STAT3 activation is implicated.”

The REVERT IPF Phase 2 clinical trial was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of TTI-101 alone or in addition to nintedanib (OFEV®) in patients with IPF. The study was designed to assess safety, pharmacokinetics, and exploratory outcomes related to lung function. Tvardi announced on October 13, 2025 that the study did not meet its goals after reviewing preliminary safety data and efficacy results.

About Tvardi Therapeutics

Tvardi is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, oral small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat fibrosis-driven diseases with significant unmet need. STAT3 is a central mediator across critical fibrotic signaling pathways that drive uncontrolled deposition, proliferation, survival and immune suppression. STAT3 is also positioned at the intersection of many signaling pathways integral to the survival and immune evasion of cancer cells. The company is conducting clinical trials with TTI-101 in hepatocellular carcinoma (NCT05440708) and TTI-109 in healthy volunteers. To learn more, please visit tvardi.com or follow us on LinkedIn and X (Twitter).

Contacts:

For Tvardi:
Tvardi Investor Relations
ir@tvardi.com

PJ Kelleher
LifeSci Advisors
617-430-7579
pkelleher@lifesciadvisors.com

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-looking Statements

Statements contained in this press release regarding matters that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Examples of these forward-looking statements include statements concerning the anticipated benefits of Tvardi’s product candidates; its ongoing clinical trials and anticipated timing of reporting data from such trials; potential indications for its product candidates; and other statements regarding management’s intentions, plans, beliefs, expectations or forecasts for the future, and, therefore, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on them.

Because such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, including, among other things: the uncertainties associated with Tvardi’s product candidates, as well as risks associated with the clinical development and regulatory approval of product candidates, including potential delays in the completion of clinical trials; the significant net losses Tvardi has incurred since inception; Tvardi’s ability to initiate and complete ongoing and planned preclinical studies and clinical trials and advance its product candidates through clinical development; the timing of the availability of data from Tvardi’s clinical trials; the outcome of preclinical testing and clinical trials of the Tvardi’s product candidates, including the ability of those trials to satisfy relevant governmental or regulatory requirements; Tvardi’s plans to research, develop and commercialize its current and future product candidates; the clinical utility, potential benefits and market acceptance of Tvardi’s product candidates; the requirement for additional capital to continue to advance these product candidates, which may not be available on favorable terms or at all; Tvardi’s anticipated cash runway; Tvardi’s ability to attract, hire, and retain skilled executive officers and employees; Tvardi’s ability to protect its intellectual property and proprietary technologies; Tvardi’s reliance on third parties, contract manufacturers, and contract research organizations; the possibility that Tvardi may be adversely affected by other economic, business, or competitive factors; risks associated with changes in applicable laws or regulations; those factors discussed in Tvardi’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the “Risk Factors” section of the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, and Tvardi’s other documents subsequently filed with or furnished to the SEC, all of which are available on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. All forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak only as of the date on which they were made. The company undertakes no obligation to update such statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that exist after the date on which they were made, except as required by law.


FAQ

What did Tvardi (TVRD) report from the Phase 2 REVERT IPF trial on January 8, 2026?

Tvardi reported additional 12-week analyses showing a -9.4% fibrosis score with TTI-101 vs -2.4% placebo, IL-6 reductions, and FVC signals, while noting the study overall did not meet its goals.

How many patients were included in the 12-week TTI-101 analysis in REVERT IPF?

The 12-week dataset included 40 patients: 16 pooled TTI-101-treated and 24 placebo-treated patients.

What lung function changes did Tvardi report for TTI-101 at 12 weeks?

Tvardi reported 63% of TTI-101 patients had FVC increases at 12 weeks versus 46% placebo; mean FVC change was -15mL for TTI-101 versus -22mL for REVERT placebo.

What biomarker effect did TTI-101 show in the REVERT IPF analysis?

TTI-101-treated patients showed greater declines in the pro-inflammatory cytokine IL-6, especially in patients with higher baseline IL-6.

When will Tvardi report topline data for the next-generation STAT3 inhibitor TTI-109?

Topline healthy volunteer data for TTI-109 are on track for H1 2026.
Tvardi Therapeutics Inc

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