Xcel Energy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report
-
Third quarter GAAP diluted earnings per share were
in 2025 compared with$0.88 in 2024.$1.21 -
Year-to-date GAAP diluted earnings per share were
in 2025 compared with$2.47 in 2024.$2.63 -
Third quarter ongoing diluted earnings per share were
in 2025 compared with$1.24 in 2024.$1.25 -
Year-to-date ongoing diluted earnings per share were
in 2025 compared with$2.84 in 2024.$2.69 -
Xcel Energy reaffirms its 2025 ongoing earnings per share guidance of
to$3.75 .$3.85 -
Xcel Energy initiates its 2026 ongoing earnings per share guidance of
to$4.04 .$4.16 -
Xcel Energy’s long-term annual growth objectives reflect earnings per share growth of 6-8+% and dividend growth of 4
-6% .
Third quarter ongoing earnings reflect higher depreciation, interest charges and O&M expenses partially offset by increased recovery of infrastructure investments.
“Today Xcel Energy unveiled our updated five-year infrastructure investment plan to serve increased energy demand from our communities, continue progress towards carbon reduction goals for our electric system and make needed investments to strengthen our transmission and distribution systems,” said Bob Frenzel, chairman, president and CEO of Xcel Energy.
“We will continue to strive to ensure we keep customer bills as low as possible as we modernize and expand our country’s energy infrastructure. By virtually all standards – share of wallet, national and state averages, or tracking at or below inflation rates - Xcel Energy customers have some of the country’s lowest energy bills. ”
At 9:00 a.m. CDT today, Xcel Energy will host a conference call to review financial results. To participate in the call, please dial in 5 to 10 minutes prior to the start and follow the operator’s instructions.
US Dial-In: |
1 (866) 580-3963 |
International Dial-In: |
(400) 120-0558 |
Conference ID: |
2604371 |
The conference call also will be simultaneously broadcast and archived on Xcel Energy’s website at www.xcelenergy.com. To access the presentation, click on Investors under Company. If you are unable to participate in the live event, the call will be available for replay from October 30 to November 4.
Replay Numbers |
|
US Dial-In: |
1 (866) 583-1035 |
Access Code: |
2604371# |
Except for the historical statements contained in this report, the matters discussed herein are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including those relating to 2025 and 2026 EPS guidance, long-term EPS and dividend growth rate objectives, future sales, future expenses, future tax rates, future operating performance, estimated base capital expenditures and financing plans, projected capital additions and forecasted annual revenue requirements with respect to rider filings, expected rate increases or refunds to customers, expectations and intentions regarding regulatory proceedings, expected pension contributions, and expected impact on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows of interest rate changes, increased credit exposure, and legal proceeding outcomes, as well as assumptions and other statements are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking information. The following factors, in addition to those discussed in Xcel Energy’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2024 and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, could cause actual results to differ materially from management expectations as suggested by such forward-looking information: operational safety, including our nuclear generation facilities and other utility operations; successful long-term operational planning; commodity risks associated with energy markets and production; rising energy prices and fuel costs; qualified employee workforce and third-party contractor factors; violations of our Codes of Conduct; our ability to recover costs and our subsidiaries’ ability to recover costs from customers; changes in regulation; reductions in our credit ratings and the cost of maintaining certain contractual relationships; general economic conditions, including recessionary conditions, inflation rates, monetary fluctuations, supply chain constraints and their impact on capital expenditures and/or the ability of Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries to obtain financing on favorable terms; availability or cost of capital; our customers’ and counterparties’ ability to pay their debts to us; assumptions and costs relating to funding our employee benefit plans and health care benefits; our subsidiaries’ ability to make dividend payments; tax laws; uncertainty regarding epidemics; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; cybersecurity threats and data security breaches; seasonal weather patterns; changes in environmental laws and regulations; climate change and other weather events; natural disaster and resource depletion, including compliance with any accompanying legislative and regulatory changes; costs of potential regulatory penalties and wildfire damages in excess of liability insurance coverage; regulatory changes and/or limitations related to the use of natural gas as an energy source; challenging labor market conditions and our ability to attract and retain a qualified workforce; and our ability to execute on our strategies or achieve expectations related to environmental, social and governance matters including as a result of evolving legal, regulatory and other standards, processes, and assumptions, the pace of scientific and technological developments, increased costs, the availability of requisite financing, and changes in carbon markets.
This information is not given in connection with any
sale, offer for sale or offer to buy any security.
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
||||||||||||
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Operating revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric |
|
$ |
3,638 |
|
|
$ |
3,393 |
|
|
$ |
9,351 |
|
|
$ |
8,737 |
|
Natural gas |
|
|
264 |
|
|
|
239 |
|
|
|
1,715 |
|
|
|
1,535 |
|
Other |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
49 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,915 |
|
|
|
3,644 |
|
|
|
11,108 |
|
|
|
10,321 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
|
1,098 |
|
|
|
1,060 |
|
|
|
3,036 |
|
|
|
2,863 |
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
|
61 |
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
708 |
|
|
|
664 |
|
Cost of sales — other |
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
Operating and maintenance expenses |
|
|
692 |
|
|
|
655 |
|
|
|
2,053 |
|
|
|
1,922 |
|
Conservation and demand side management expenses |
|
|
101 |
|
|
|
112 |
|
|
|
299 |
|
|
|
295 |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
750 |
|
|
|
681 |
|
|
|
2,200 |
|
|
|
2,042 |
|
Taxes (other than income taxes) |
|
|
172 |
|
|
|
159 |
|
|
|
514 |
|
|
|
484 |
|
Marshall Wildfire litigation |
|
|
287 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
287 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Total operating expenses |
|
|
3,166 |
|
|
|
2,733 |
|
|
|
9,105 |
|
|
|
8,282 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating income |
|
|
749 |
|
|
|
911 |
|
|
|
2,003 |
|
|
|
2,039 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Other income, net |
|
|
46 |
|
|
|
39 |
|
|
|
121 |
|
|
|
75 |
|
Earnings (loss) from equity method investments |
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
19 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — equity |
|
|
79 |
|
|
|
44 |
|
|
|
196 |
|
|
|
119 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges — includes other financing costs |
|
|
384 |
|
|
|
326 |
|
|
|
1,065 |
|
|
|
936 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — debt |
|
|
(36 |
) |
|
|
(21 |
) |
|
|
(86 |
) |
|
|
(51 |
) |
Total interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
348 |
|
|
|
305 |
|
|
|
979 |
|
|
|
885 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income before income taxes |
|
|
532 |
|
|
|
692 |
|
|
|
1,338 |
|
|
|
1,367 |
|
Income tax expense (benefit) |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
(113 |
) |
|
|
(105 |
) |
Net income |
|
$ |
524 |
|
|
$ |
682 |
|
|
$ |
1,451 |
|
|
$ |
1,472 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
|
592 |
|
|
|
564 |
|
|
|
584 |
|
|
|
559 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
595 |
|
|
|
565 |
|
|
|
587 |
|
|
|
559 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Earnings per average common share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
$ |
1.21 |
|
|
$ |
2.48 |
|
|
$ |
2.63 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
0.88 |
|
|
|
1.21 |
|
|
|
2.47 |
|
|
|
2.63 |
|
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Notes to Investor Relations Earnings Release (Unaudited)
Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project annual results.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing return on equity (ROE), ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for Xcel Energy is calculated by dividing net income or loss, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss for such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted earnings per share, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
Note 1. Earnings Per Share Summary
Xcel Energy’s third quarter GAAP diluted earnings were
Summarized diluted EPS for Xcel Energy:
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
||||||||||||
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
$ |
0.53 |
|
|
$ |
0.45 |
|
|
$ |
1.17 |
|
|
$ |
1.06 |
|
PSCo |
|
|
0.08 |
|
|
|
0.45 |
|
|
|
0.79 |
|
|
|
1.06 |
|
SPS |
|
|
0.27 |
|
|
|
0.31 |
|
|
|
0.55 |
|
|
|
0.58 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
0.07 |
|
|
|
0.07 |
|
|
|
0.19 |
|
|
|
0.19 |
|
Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.02 |
|
|
|
0.02 |
|
Regulated utility |
|
|
0.96 |
|
|
|
1.29 |
|
|
|
2.72 |
|
|
|
2.91 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other |
|
|
(0.07 |
) |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
|
|
(0.24 |
) |
|
|
(0.28 |
) |
GAAP diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
$ |
1.21 |
|
|
$ |
2.47 |
|
|
$ |
2.63 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds (b) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.04 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.06 |
|
Marshall Wildfire settlement (b) |
|
|
0.36 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.36 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
1.24 |
|
|
$ |
1.25 |
|
|
$ |
2.84 |
|
|
$ |
2.69 |
|
| (a) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
|
| (b) | See Note 6. |
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP earnings increased
PSCo — GAAP earnings decreased
SPS — GAAP and ongoing earnings decreased
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings per share were flat for the third quarter of 2025 and year-to-date. The year-to-date change was driven by higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, which was offset by increased depreciation and O&M expenses.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from investment funds, which are accounted for as equity method investments. The change in earnings was largely due to gains on debt repurchases, partially offset by higher interest rates and debt levels and the performance of the equity method investments, which primarily invest in energy technology companies.
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2025 EPS compared to 2024:
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
||||
GAAP EPS — 2024 |
|
$ |
1.21 |
|
|
$ |
2.63 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of change - 2025 vs. 2024 |
|
|
|
|
||||
Higher electric revenues |
|
|
0.28 |
|
|
|
0.76 |
|
Higher natural gas revenues |
|
|
0.03 |
|
|
|
0.24 |
|
Higher AFUDC equity & debt |
|
|
0.08 |
|
|
|
0.18 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds (See Note 6) |
|
|
0.04 |
|
|
|
0.06 |
|
Marshall Wildfire settlement (See Note 6) |
|
|
(0.36 |
) |
|
|
(0.36 |
) |
Higher electric fuel and purchased power (a) |
|
|
(0.05 |
) |
|
|
(0.23 |
) |
Higher depreciation |
|
|
(0.09 |
) |
|
|
(0.21 |
) |
Higher O&M expenses |
|
|
(0.05 |
) |
|
|
(0.17 |
) |
Higher interest charges |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
|
|
(0.17 |
) |
Higher costs of natural gas sold and transported (a) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
Common stock equity dilution |
|
|
(0.07 |
) |
|
|
(0.14 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
GAAP EPS — 2025 |
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
$ |
2.47 |
|
Marshall Wildfire settlement (See Note 6) |
|
|
0.36 |
|
|
|
0.36 |
|
Ongoing EPS — 2025 (b) |
|
$ |
1.24 |
|
|
$ |
2.84 |
|
| (a) | Cost of electric fuel and purchased power and natural gas sold and transported are generally recovered through regulatory recovery mechanisms and offset in revenue. |
|
| (b) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
Note 2. Regulated Utility Results
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. Gas decoupling mechanisms (and electric sales true-up in 2024) in
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|||||||||||||||||||
|
2025 vs.
|
|
2024 vs.
|
|
2025 vs.
|
|
2025 vs.
|
|
2024 vs.
|
|
2025 vs.
|
|||||||||||
Retail electric |
$ |
0.006 |
|
$ |
0.038 |
|
|
$ |
(0.032 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.001 |
) |
|
$ |
0.015 |
|
|
$ |
(0.016 |
) |
Sales true-up (a) |
|
— |
|
|
(0.001 |
) |
|
|
0.001 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.040 |
|
|
|
(0.040 |
) |
Electric total |
$ |
0.006 |
|
$ |
0.037 |
|
|
$ |
(0.031 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.001 |
) |
|
$ |
0.055 |
|
|
$ |
(0.056 |
) |
Firm natural gas |
|
— |
|
|
(0.002 |
) |
|
|
0.002 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(0.040 |
) |
|
|
0.040 |
|
Decoupling |
|
0.001 |
|
|
(0.001 |
) |
|
|
0.002 |
|
|
|
0.003 |
|
|
|
0.017 |
|
|
|
(0.014 |
) |
Natural gas total |
$ |
0.001 |
|
$ |
(0.003 |
) |
|
$ |
0.004 |
|
|
$ |
0.003 |
|
|
$ |
(0.023 |
) |
|
$ |
0.026 |
|
Total |
$ |
0.007 |
|
$ |
0.034 |
|
|
$ |
(0.027 |
) |
|
$ |
0.002 |
|
|
$ |
0.032 |
|
|
$ |
(0.030 |
) |
| (a) |
The sales true-up mechanism in NSP-Minnesota expired in 2024 and is proposed in the pending |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales in 2025 compared to 2024:
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
6.4 |
% |
|
(0.1 |
)% |
|
(7.5 |
)% |
|
3.5 |
% |
|
1.6 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(0.8 |
) |
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
5.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
1.0 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.7 |
|
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
2.8 |
|
|
1.0 |
|
|
1.1 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
3.7 |
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(4.5 |
) |
|
4.0 |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.9 |
% |
|
5.2 |
% |
|
3.3 |
% |
|
1.9 |
% |
|
3.3 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(1.9 |
) |
|
1.5 |
|
|
6.5 |
|
|
(0.1 |
) |
|
1.9 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(0.6 |
) |
|
2.9 |
|
|
5.7 |
|
|
0.4 |
|
|
2.2 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
1.7 |
|
|
1.7 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(6.2 |
) |
|
1.2 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
6.0 |
% |
|
(0.9 |
)% |
|
(2.1 |
)% |
|
6.1 |
% |
|
2.2 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
0.1 |
|
|
(0.3 |
) |
|
6.3 |
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
2.0 |
|
|
(0.5 |
) |
|
4.7 |
|
|
1.8 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
15.0 |
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
18.5 |
|
|
7.0 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.2 |
% |
|
2.4 |
% |
|
4.4 |
% |
|
1.7 |
% |
|
2.2 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
1.2 |
|
|
7.0 |
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
2.2 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
1.6 |
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
0.3 |
|
|
2.1 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
— |
|
|
(2.0 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
(1.1 |
) |
|
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 (Leap Year Adjusted) |
|||||||||||||
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.6 |
% |
|
2.8 |
% |
|
4.8 |
% |
|
2.1 |
% |
|
2.5 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(0.5 |
) |
|
1.6 |
|
|
7.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
2.6 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
0.2 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
6.8 |
|
|
0.6 |
|
|
2.5 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
0.9 |
|
|
(1.2 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
(0.3 |
) |
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted electric sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
-
NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales increased due to customer growth (
1.1% ) and increase in use per customer (0.4% ). C&I sales decreased due to lower use per customer. -
PSCo — Residential sales increased due to increased use per customer (
1.6% ) and customer growth (1.2% ). C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer and customer growth, primarily in the information and energy sectors. -
SPS — Residential sales increased due to higher use per customer (
4.1% ) and customer growth (0.7% ). C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector. -
NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales increased due to both increased use per customer (
1.1% ) and customer growth (1.0% ).
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted natural gas sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
- Decrease in natural gas sales was driven primarily by decreased use per customer in PSCo residential, partially offset by growth in other jurisdictions.
Electric Revenues — Electric revenues are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium, regulatory outcomes, market prices and seasonality. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
||||
Recovery of higher cost of electric fuel and purchased power |
|
$ |
28 |
|
|
$ |
160 |
|
Non-fuel riders |
|
|
35 |
|
|
|
151 |
|
Regulatory rate outcomes (MN and ND) |
|
|
46 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
Sales and demand |
|
|
44 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
Transmission revenues |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
48 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds (see Note 6) |
|
|
35 |
|
|
|
46 |
|
PTCs flowed back to customers (offset in ETR) |
|
|
32 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
Estimated impact of weather |
|
|
(21 |
) |
|
|
(39 |
) |
Conservation and demand side management (offset in expense) |
|
|
(19 |
) |
|
|
(34 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
51 |
|
|
|
69 |
|
Total increase |
|
$ |
245 |
|
|
$ |
614 |
|
Natural Gas Revenues — Natural gas revenues vary with changing sales, the cost of natural gas and regulatory outcomes.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
||||
Regulatory rate outcomes (CO) |
|
$ |
10 |
|
|
$ |
82 |
|
Recovery of higher cost of natural gas |
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
53 |
|
Conservation revenue (offset in expense) |
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
34 |
|
Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling) |
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
Retail sales decline (net of decoupling) |
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(13 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
Total increase |
|
$ |
25 |
|
|
$ |
180 |
|
Electric Fuel and Purchased Power — Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are impacted by fluctuations in market prices of electricity, natural gas, coal and uranium, as well as seasonality. These incurred expenses are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Electric fuel and purchased power expenses increased
Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported — Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are impacted by market prices and seasonality. These costs are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Natural gas sold and transported decreased
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased
Other Income — Other income increased
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC increased
Income Taxes — Effective income tax rate:
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
||||||||||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2025 vs.
|
|
2025 |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2025 vs.
|
||
Federal statutory rate |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
State income tax on pretax income, net of federal tax effect |
|
5.2 |
|
|
4.7 |
|
|
0.5 |
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
(Decreases) increases in tax from: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
PTCs (a) |
|
(17.0 |
) |
|
(16.0 |
) |
|
(1.0 |
) |
|
(27.0 |
) |
|
(26.2 |
) |
|
(0.8 |
) |
Plant regulatory differences (b) |
|
(8.2 |
) |
|
(5.7 |
) |
|
(2.5 |
) |
|
(7.2 |
) |
|
(5.9 |
) |
|
(1.3 |
) |
Other tax credits, net NOL & tax credit allowances |
|
(0.4 |
) |
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
1.1 |
|
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
(1.1 |
) |
|
0.2 |
|
Other, net |
|
0.9 |
|
|
(1.1 |
) |
|
2.0 |
|
|
0.8 |
|
|
(0.3 |
) |
|
1.1 |
|
Effective income tax rate |
|
1.5 |
% |
|
1.4 |
% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
(8.4 |
)% |
|
(7.7 |
)% |
|
(0.7 |
)% |
| (a) | Wind and solar PTCs (net of estimated transfer discounts) are generally credited to customers (reduction to revenue) and do not materially impact earnings. |
|
| (b) | Plant regulatory differences primarily relate to the credit of excess deferred taxes to customers. Income tax benefits associated with the credit are offset by corresponding revenue reductions. |
Note 3. Capital Structure, Liquidity, Financing and Credit Ratings
Xcel Energy’s capital structure:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Sept. 30, 2025 |
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization |
|
Dec. 31, 2024 |
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization |
||||
Current portion of long-term debt |
|
$ |
1 |
|
— |
% |
|
$ |
1,103 |
|
2 |
% |
Short-term debt |
|
|
1,330 |
|
2 |
|
|
|
695 |
|
2 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
32,034 |
|
59 |
|
|
|
27,316 |
|
56 |
|
Total debt |
|
|
33,365 |
|
61 |
|
|
|
29,114 |
|
60 |
|
Common equity |
|
|
21,181 |
|
39 |
|
|
|
19,522 |
|
40 |
|
Total capitalization |
|
$ |
54,546 |
|
100 |
% |
|
$ |
48,636 |
|
100 |
% |
Liquidity — As of Oct. 27, 2025, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Credit Facility (a) |
|
Drawn (b) |
|
Available |
|
Cash |
|
Liquidity |
|||||
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
$ |
2,000 |
|
$ |
620 |
|
$ |
1,380 |
|
$ |
16 |
|
$ |
1,396 |
PSCo |
|
|
1,200 |
|
|
48 |
|
|
1,152 |
|
|
65 |
|
|
1,217 |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
|
800 |
|
|
44 |
|
|
756 |
|
|
13 |
|
|
769 |
SPS |
|
|
600 |
|
|
— |
|
|
600 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
602 |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
150 |
|
|
— |
|
|
150 |
|
|
113 |
|
|
263 |
Total |
|
$ |
4,750 |
|
$ |
712 |
|
$ |
4,038 |
|
$ |
209 |
|
$ |
4,247 |
(a) |
Expires December 2029. |
|
(b) |
Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit. |
Credit Ratings — Access to the capital markets at reasonable terms is partially dependent on credit ratings. The following ratings reflect the views of Moody’s, S&P Global Ratings and Fitch. The highest credit rating for debt is Aaa/AAA and the lowest investment grade rating is Baa3/BBB-. The highest rating for commercial paper is P-1/A-1/F-1 and the lowest rating is P-3/A-3/F-3. A security rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the credit rating agency and each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating.
Credit ratings and long-term outlook assigned to Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries as of Oct. 27, 2025:
|
|
|
|
Moody’s |
|
S&P Global Ratings |
|
Fitch |
||||||
Company |
|
Credit Type |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Unsecured |
|
Baa1 |
|
Stable |
|
BBB |
|
Stable |
|
BBB+ |
|
Stable |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Secured |
|
Aa3 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Stable |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Secured |
|
A1 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Stable |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
PSCo |
|
Secured |
|
A1 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
SPS |
|
Secured |
|
A3 |
|
Stable |
|
A- |
|
Stable |
|
A- |
|
Stable |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-1 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
PSCo |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
SPS |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures for Xcel Energy for 2026 through 2030:
|
|
Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) |
|||||||||||||||||||||
By Regulated Utility |
|
|
2026 |
|
|
2027 |
|
|
|
2028 |
|
|
|
2029 |
|
|
|
2030 |
|
|
Total |
||
NSP-Minnesota |
|
$ |
3,740 |
|
$ |
4,870 |
|
|
$ |
4,210 |
|
|
$ |
3,660 |
|
|
$ |
3,650 |
|
|
$ |
20,130 |
|
SPS |
|
|
3,050 |
|
|
5,120 |
|
|
|
5,350 |
|
|
|
3,240 |
|
|
|
2,270 |
|
|
|
19,030 |
|
PSCo |
|
|
5,980 |
|
|
3,940 |
|
|
|
2,960 |
|
|
|
1,760 |
|
|
|
2,960 |
|
|
|
17,600 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
910 |
|
|
1,210 |
|
|
|
760 |
|
|
|
570 |
|
|
|
580 |
|
|
|
4,030 |
|
Other (a) |
|
|
110 |
|
|
(10 |
) |
|
|
(630 |
) |
|
|
(210 |
) |
|
|
(50 |
) |
|
|
(790 |
) |
Total base capital expenditures |
|
$ |
13,790 |
|
$ |
15,130 |
|
|
$ |
12,650 |
|
|
$ |
9,020 |
|
|
$ |
9,410 |
|
|
$ |
60,000 |
|
(a) |
Other category includes intercompany transfers for equipment with long lead times. |
|
Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) |
|||||||||||||||||
By Function |
|
|
2026 |
|
|
2027 |
|
|
2028 |
|
|
2029 |
|
|
2030 |
|
Total |
|
Electric transmission |
|
$ |
3,060 |
|
$ |
2,930 |
|
$ |
2,890 |
|
$ |
3,190 |
|
$ |
3,370 |
|
$ |
15,440 |
Renewables |
|
|
3,560 |
|
|
4,620 |
|
|
3,380 |
|
|
1,150 |
|
|
1,210 |
|
|
13,920 |
Electric distribution |
|
|
2,920 |
|
|
3,250 |
|
|
2,930 |
|
|
1,680 |
|
|
2,930 |
|
|
13,710 |
Electric generation |
|
|
2,220 |
|
|
2,420 |
|
|
2,500 |
|
|
1,810 |
|
|
590 |
|
|
9,540 |
Natural gas |
|
|
860 |
|
|
830 |
|
|
700 |
|
|
650 |
|
|
680 |
|
|
3,720 |
Other |
|
|
1,170 |
|
|
1,080 |
|
|
250 |
|
|
540 |
|
|
630 |
|
|
3,670 |
Total base capital expenditures |
|
$ |
13,790 |
|
$ |
15,130 |
|
$ |
12,650 |
|
$ |
9,020 |
|
$ |
9,410 |
|
$ |
60,000 |
The plan does not include any potential incremental generation from the current Colorado Near-Term Procurement and Resource Plan, additional future generation RFPs across jurisdictions to fund growth, or additional transmission investments that may come from future planning processes including MISO and SPP. Xcel Energy expects to fund additional capital investment with approximately
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives, tax policy, reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2030 — Xcel Energy issues debt and equity securities to refinance retiring debt maturities, reduce short-term debt, fund capital programs, infuse equity in subsidiaries, fund asset acquisitions and for general corporate purposes. Current estimated financing plans of Xcel Energy for 2026-2030 (includes the impact of tax credit transferability):
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
|
|
Funding Capital Expenditures |
|
|
|
Cash from operations (a) |
|
$ |
30,180 |
New debt (b) |
|
|
22,820 |
Equity issuances (c) |
|
|
7,000 |
Base capital expenditures 2026-2030 |
|
$ |
60,000 |
|
|
|
|
Maturing debt |
|
$ |
3,580 |
| (a) | Net of dividends and pension funding. |
|
| (b) | Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing. |
|
| (c) | Amount could include other financing instruments that receive equity credit from the credit rating agencies. |
2025 Financing Activity — During 2025, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries issued the following long-term debt. No further debt issuances are planned for 2025.
Issuer |
|
Security |
|
Amount (in millions) |
|
Tenor |
|
Coupon |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Senior Unsecured Notes |
|
|
|
3 Year & 10 Year |
|
|
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
1,000 |
|
9 Year & 30 Year |
|
|
SPS |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
500 |
|
10 Year |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
1,100 |
|
10 Year & 30 Year |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
250 |
|
29 Year |
|
|
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
1,000 |
|
10 Year & 30 Year |
|
|
Xcel Energy Inc. (a) |
|
Junior Subordinated Debt |
|
900 |
|
60 Year |
|
|
(a) |
Junior subordinated debt was issued on Oct. 7, 2025. |
Xcel Energy issued 16.4 million shares (
Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
Note 4. Rates, Regulation and Other
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 Electric Rate Case — In November 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed an electric rate case in
In August 2025, eight parties filed testimony. The Minnesota Department of Commerce (DOC), Office of Attorney General (OAG), Xcel Large Industrial Customers (XLI), the Citizens Utility Board of
Proposed DOC modifications to NSP-Minnesota’s request are summarized below:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2026 |
|
NSP-Minnesota’s filed base revenue request |
|
$ |
344 |
|
|
$ |
473 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Recommended adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Rate of return |
|
|
(101 |
) |
|
|
(107 |
) |
O&M expenses |
|
|
(62 |
) |
|
|
(56 |
) |
Generation capacity revenue (a) |
|
|
(39 |
) |
|
|
(40 |
) |
Depreciation |
|
|
(29 |
) |
|
|
(32 |
) |
Federal production tax credits (a) |
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
(10 |
) |
Riverside Generating Plant outage (b) |
|
|
(18 |
) |
|
|
(13 |
) |
Prepaid pension assets and liability |
|
|
(11 |
) |
|
|
(11 |
) |
Property tax (a) |
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
|
(12 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
(9 |
) |
|
|
(25 |
) |
Total adjustments |
|
|
(295 |
) |
|
|
(306 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total proposed revenue change |
|
$ |
49 |
|
|
$ |
167 |
|
| (a) | Adjustments largely offset in trackers. |
|
| (b) | Riverside Generating Plant experienced a mechanical failure in April 2025 that resulted in an extended outage. |
Positions on NSP-Minnesota’s filed rate request:
Recommended Position |
|
DOC |
|
XLI |
|
CUB |
|
Walmart |
ROE |
|
9.25 % |
|
8.96 % |
|
9.00 % |
|
9.25 % |
Equity |
|
52.50 % |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
In October 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed rebuttal testimony, updating its total revenue request to
An Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) report is expected in April 2026, with a MPUC decision expected in the third quarter of 2026.
NSP-Minnesota — 2025 South Dakota Electric Rate Case — In June 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the South Dakota Public Utilities Commission (SDPUC) for a net annual electric rate increase of
The procedural schedule is as follows:
- Intervenor direct testimony: March 20, 2026
- Rebuttal testimony: April 14, 2026
- Evidentiary Hearing: April 28-30, 2026
A SDPUC decision is expected in the second quarter of 2026.
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 North Dakota Electric Rate Case — In December 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the North Dakota Public Service Commission (NDPSC) for an annual electric rate increase of approximately
On July 8, 2025, two intervenors filed testimony with a range of recommendations. NDPSC Staff recommended an increase of approximately
NSP-Minnesota — Prairie Island Outage Prudency Review — In March 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed its annual fuel clause adjustment true-up petition to the MPUC. In a response to that petition, intervenors recommended refunds for replacement power costs related to an outage at the Prairie Island generating station (October 2023 through February 2024).
In a September 2024 decision, the MPUC ruled NSP-Minnesota was imprudent in the operation of the Prairie Island nuclear plant based on an incident that resulted in the extended outage. The MPUC did not quantify the refund and referred the determination of the refund amount to the Office of Administrative Hearings. NSP-Minnesota recorded an estimated liability for a customer refund in 2024.
In May 2025, in the resulting case currently before an ALJ to determine the refund amount, NSP-Minnesota submitted direct testimony asserting that no more than
In July 2025, intervenor direct testimony was filed by the DOC, OAG, and XLI. These parties, together with the CUB, also filed a joint motion requesting the ALJ rule that customer refunds cannot be adjusted as proposed by NSP-Minnesota, including certain reductions for avoided future outages. If NSP-Minnesota’s proposed adjustments were rejected, and other DOC and OAG direct testimony recommendations were applied to both 2023 and 2024, NSP-Minnesota estimates that the customer refunds would be approximately
Rebuttal and surrebuttal testimony were filed in August and September 2025. An ALJ report is expected in March 2026, with a MPUC decision expected in the second quarter of 2026.
NSP-Minnesota — 2025 Natural Gas Rate Case — On Oct. 31, 2025, NSP-Minnesota plans to file a natural gas rate case in
NSP-Wisconsin — Wisconsin Electric and Natural Gas Rate Case – In March 2025, NSP-Wisconsin filed a request with the Public Service Commission of
For the electric utility, NSP-Wisconsin is seeking a total electric revenue increase of
On August 8, 2025, the PSCW Staff and intervenors filed their direct testimony. The PSCW Staff recommended an electric base rate increase of
Intervenors mainly limited their comments on revenue requirements to ROE focusing the majority of their testimony on cost of service, rate design and other policy issues. The major components of the PSCW Staff recommendation are summarized below:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Electric |
|
Natural Gas |
||||
NSP-Wisconsin’s filed two-year rate request |
|
$ |
151 |
|
|
$ |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
PSCW Staff recommended adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Capital investments (a) |
|
|
(15 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
ROE adjustment |
|
|
(7 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
O&M expenses |
|
|
(6 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
Nuclear decommissioning accrual update (b) |
|
|
(6 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
Other, net |
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
Proposed revenue change |
|
$ |
115 |
|
|
$ |
21 |
|
| (a) |
Capital investment adjustment includes |
|
| (b) | Since filing the case, the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission authorized a reduction to the annual nuclear decommissioning accrual. This reduction, which flows to NSP-Wisconsin through the interchange agreement, reduced the NSP-Wisconsin rate request and is earnings neutral. |
A PSCW decision is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025.
PSCo — 2024 Colorado Electric Resource Plan — In October 2024, PSCo filed its electric resource plan with the CPUC. The filing reflects the expected growth on the system, the generation resources needed to meet the projected growth and the future evaluation of competitive bids for new generation resources.
-
The plan reflects a base sales forecast with
7% compound annual sales growth through 2031. -
The plan also presents a low sales forecast with a
3% compound annual sales growth through 2031. - The resource plan includes forecasted need of 5-14 GW of new generation capacity through 2031, including renewables and firm dispatchable resources to meet the two different scenarios. The acquisitions of generation resources will be determined through a competitive solicitation after the CPUC determines the portfolio. The table below summarizes two of the proposed portfolios based on the different sales scenarios:
(Megawatts) |
|
Base Plan |
|
Low Load |
Wind |
|
7,250 |
|
2,800 |
Solar |
|
3,077 |
|
1,200 |
Natural gas combustion turbine |
|
1,575 |
|
1,400 |
Storage (long duration) |
|
1,600 |
|
— |
Other storage |
|
450 |
|
— |
Total |
|
13,952 |
|
5,400 |
A hearing was held in June 2025 and a CPUC decision on the resource need is expected in the fourth quarter of 2025 with the competitive solicitation for resource additions expected in early 2026.
PSCo — Near-Term Procurement — In August 2025, PSCo filed a joint motion with state agencies to initiate a “fast-tracked” solution for tax-advantaged new generation resources. The CPUC approved the request in September 2025 with bids submitted in October 2025. The procurement seeks to accelerate development of up to 4,000 MW of clean energy resources, 200 MW of firm, dispatchable resources, and up to 300 MW of other dispatchable resources. A recommended portfolio of resources will be filed December 2025 and a decision is expected in February 2026.
PSCo — Wildfire Mitigation Plan — In June 2024, PSCo filed an Updated Wildfire Mitigation Plan (the WMP) and request for recovery of costs covering the years 2025 to 2027 with the CPUC. The estimated total cost for this plan is approximately
The WMP integrates industry experience; incorporates evolving risk assessment methodologies; adds new technology; and expands the scope, pace and scale of our work to reduce wildfire risk in a comprehensive and efficient manner.
In April 2025, PSCo filed with the CPUC a comprehensive and unanimous settlement. Key terms include:
- Approval of the updated WMP, including scope of mitigation activities and the Public Safety Power Shutoffs plan, with certain modifications.
- Cost recovery of proposed investments through a Wildfire Mitigation Adjustment rider and recovery of transmission investments through the Transmission Cost Adjustment rider.
-
PSCo agrees to request approval to pursue securitization of an estimated
of proposed WMP investments, with a target to complete the transaction by Jan. 1, 2029.$1.2 billion -
Extension of the excess liability insurance deferral, with a cap of
after PSCo’s current policy year, which ends October 2025.$50 million
In August 2025, the CPUC issued a written approval of the settlement agreement.
SPS — SPS Resource Plan (IRP) — In October 2023, SPS filed its IRP with the NMPRC, which supports projected load growth and increasing reliability requirements, and secures replacement energy and capacity for retiring resources. SPS’ projected resource needs range from approximately 5,300 MW to 10,200 MW of nameplate capacity by 2030. In February 2024, the NMPRC accepted the IRP.
In July 2024, SPS issued a RFP, seeking approximately 3,200 MW of accredited capacity by 2030. The total capacity to be added to the system is expected to align with the range identified in the SPS IRP, depending on the types of resources proposed in the RFP and their accredited capacity factors.
In July 2025, the portfolio selection report was publicly filed with the NMPRC with 3,121 MW of accredited capacity resources, including the following:
Generation Resource Nameplate Capacity (in Megawatts) |
Company
|
|
Power Purchase
|
|
Total |
Wind Resources |
1,273 |
|
— |
|
1,273 |
Solar |
695 |
|
— |
|
695 |
Storage |
472 |
|
640 |
|
1,112 |
Natural Gas |
2,088 |
|
— |
|
2,088 |
Total |
4,528 |
|
640 |
|
5,168 |
SPS filed or expects to file Certificate of Convenience and Necessity filings for the specific assets with the PUCT and NMPRC in 2025, with approvals expected in 2026.
In October 2025, SPS issued a second RFP to solicit 870 MW of accredited capacity (approximately 1,500 MW to 3,000 MW nameplate capacity) through 2032. Additional resources will be evaluated to meet the New Mexico Renewable Portfolio Standard compliance need. Bids are due in January 2026, and the portfolio is expected to be filed in the second half of 2026.
SPS — Excess Liability Insurance Deferral — In March 2025, SPS filed a request with the PUCT and in April 2025, SPS filed a request with the NMPRC for deferred accounting treatment for incremental excess liability insurance expense incurred as a result of the October 2024 policy renewal, estimated at approximately
Note 5. Wildfire Litigation
Marshall Wildfire Litigation —In December 2021, a wildfire ignited in
On June 8, 2023, the Boulder County Sheriff’s Office released its
PSCo is aware of 307 complaints, most of which have also named Xcel Energy Inc. and Xcel Energy Services Inc. as additional defendants, relating to the
An initial trial on liability issues was scheduled to start in September 2025. Prior to trial, in September 2025, Xcel Energy, Qwest Corporation and Teleport Communications America, LLC reached settlement agreements in principle that resolve all claims asserted by the subrogation insurers, the public entity plaintiffs and individual plaintiffs. PSCo did not admit any fault, wrongdoing or negligence in connection with these settlement agreements.
PSCo expects to pay approximately
A remaining estimated liability of
The agreements in principle remain subject to final documentation and individual plaintiffs opting in to the agreements negotiated and recommended by their counsel. The trial that was scheduled to begin in September 2025 has been vacated to allow the parties time to execute definitive settlement agreements. To the extent any individual plaintiffs choose to opt out of the agreements negotiated and recommended by their counsel and such cases are not otherwise resolved, they will be subject to further litigation.
2024 Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex — On February 26, 2024, multiple wildfires began in the Texas Panhandle, including the Smokehouse Creek Fire and the 687 Reamer Fire, which burned into the perimeter of the Smokehouse Creek Fire (together, referred to herein as the “Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex”). The Texas A&M Forest Service issued incident reports that determined that the Smokehouse Creek Fire and the 687 Reamer Fire were caused by power lines owned by SPS after wooden poles near each fire origin failed. According to the Texas A&M Forest Service’s Incident Viewer and news reports, the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex burned approximately 1,055,000 acres. In August 2025, the
SPS is aware of approximately 34 complaints, most of which have also named Xcel Energy Services Inc. as an additional defendant, relating to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex. The complaints, which assert claims on behalf of one or more plaintiffs, generally allege that SPS’ equipment ignited the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and seek compensation for losses resulting from the fire, asserting various causes of action under
SPS has received 254 claims through its claims process and has reached final settlements on 212 of those claims as of the date of this filing. In addition to filed complaints and claims made through SPS’ claims process, SPS has also received information from attorneys for approximately 83 claims which have not been submitted through the claims process and have also not been filed as lawsuits, and has reached settlement of 71 of those claims through mediation.
SPS has settled claims related to both of the fatalities believed to be associated with the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex. Settlements have also been reached with the subrogated insurer plaintiffs as well as the three largest claims that have been asserted from the fire, as measured by fire-impacted acreage. Settlements reached as of the date of this filing total
Based on the current state of the law and the facts and circumstances available as of the date of this filing, Xcel Energy has recorded
The cumulative estimated probable losses of
Xcel Energy remains unable to reasonably estimate any additional loss or the upper end of the range because there are a number of unknown facts and legal considerations that may impact the amount of any potential liability, including whether additional complaints and demands may be made. In the event that SPS or Xcel Energy Services Inc. was found liable related to the litigation related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and was required to pay damages, such amounts could exceed our insurance coverage of approximately
The process for estimating losses associated with potential claims related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex requires management to exercise significant judgment based on a number of assumptions and subjective factors, including the factors identified above and estimates based on currently available information and prior experience with wildfires. As more information becomes available, management estimates and assumptions regarding the potential financial impact of the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex may change.
Potential liabilities related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex depend on various factors, including the cause of the equipment failure and the extent and magnitude of potential damages, including damages to residential and commercial structures, personal property, vegetation, livestock and livestock feed (including replacement feed), personal injuries and any other damages, penalties, fines or restitution that may be imposed by courts or other governmental entities if SPS is found to have been negligent.
SPS records insurance recoveries when it is deemed probable that recovery will occur, and SPS can reasonably estimate the amount or range. Insurance receivables of
Note 6. Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Xcel Energy’s reported earnings are prepared in accordance with GAAP. Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings, or GAAP earnings adjusted for certain items, reflect management’s performance in operating the company and provides a meaningful representation of the underlying performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. This non-GAAP financial measure should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings)
The following table provides a reconciliation of GAAP earnings (net income) to ongoing earnings:
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
||||||||||||
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
GAAP net income |
|
$ |
524 |
|
|
$ |
682 |
|
|
$ |
1,451 |
|
|
$ |
1,472 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
35 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
46 |
|
Marshall Wildfire litigation |
|
|
287 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
287 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Tax effect |
|
|
(74 |
) |
|
|
(10 |
) |
|
|
(74 |
) |
|
|
(13 |
) |
Ongoing earnings |
|
$ |
737 |
|
|
$ |
707 |
|
|
$ |
1,664 |
|
|
$ |
1,505 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 Outage Refunds — NSP-Minnesota’s Sherco Unit 3 experienced an extended outage following a 2011 incident which damaged its turbine. In October 2024 following contested case procedures, the MPUC ordered a customer refund of
Marshall Wildfire Litigation — In the third quarter of 2025, PSCo recognized a non-recurring
Note 7. Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2025 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2025 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of
Key assumptions as compared with 2024 actual levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings, including requests for deferral of incremental insurance costs associated with wildfire risk and recovery of O&M costs associated with wildfire mitigation plans.
- Normal weather patterns for the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~
3% . - Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to be flat.
-
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$255 million (net of PTCs).$265 million -
O&M expenses are projected to increase ~
5% . The increase from prior guidance is primarily due to increasing benefit costs in the third quarter of 2025. -
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$220 million . The increase from prior guidance is largely earnings neutral and is offset by changes in electric fuel and purchased power.$230 million -
Property taxes are projected to increase
to$45 million .$55 million -
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$180 million , net of interest income. The increase from prior guidance is largely earnings neutral and is offset by changes in electric fuel and purchased power.$190 million -
AFUDC - equity is projected to increase
to$110 million .$120 million
Xcel Energy 2026 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2026 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of
Key assumptions as compared with 2025 actual levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings.
- Normal weather patterns for the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~
3% . -
Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to increase ~
1% . -
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$550 million .$560 million -
O&M expenses are projected to increase ~
3% . -
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$370 million .$380 million -
Property taxes are projected to increase
to$30 million .$40 million -
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$290 million , net of interest income.$300 million -
AFUDC - equity is projected to increase
to$140 million .$150 million
| (a) | Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. As Xcel Energy is unable to quantify the financial impacts of any additional adjustments that may occur for the year, we are unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS. |
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
-
Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of
6% to 8+% based off of per share (the mid-point of 2025 original ongoing earnings guidance of$3.80 to$3.75 per share).$3.85 -
Deliver annual dividend increases of
4% to6% . -
Target a dividend payout ratio of
45% to55% . - Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES EARNINGS RELEASE SUMMARY (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended Sept. 30 |
||||||
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
3,902 |
|
|
$ |
3,632 |
|
Other |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,915 |
|
|
|
3,644 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
524 |
|
|
$ |
682 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
595 |
|
|
|
565 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
0.96 |
|
|
$ |
1.29 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs |
|
|
(0.07 |
) |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
GAAP diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
$ |
1.21 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds (See Note 6) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.04 |
|
Marshall Wildfire litigation (See Note 6) |
|
|
0.36 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
1.24 |
|
|
$ |
1.25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
35.59 |
|
|
$ |
34.28 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
0.57 |
|
|
|
0.5475 |
|
| (a) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
|
|
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30 |
||||||
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
11,066 |
|
|
$ |
10,272 |
|
Other |
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
49 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
11,108 |
|
|
|
10,321 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
1,451 |
|
|
$ |
1,472 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
587 |
|
|
|
559 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
2.72 |
|
|
$ |
2.91 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs |
|
|
(0.24 |
) |
|
|
(0.28 |
) |
GAAP diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
2.47 |
|
|
$ |
2.63 |
|
Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds (See Note 6) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.06 |
|
Marshall Wildfire litigation (See Note 6) |
|
|
0.36 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
2.84 |
|
|
$ |
2.69 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
36.11 |
|
|
$ |
34.61 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
1.71 |
|
|
|
1.6425 |
|
| (a) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251030667602/en/
For more information, contact:
Roopesh Aggarwal, Vice President - Investor Relations, (612) 215-4535
Xcel Energy website address: www.xcelenergy.com
Source: Xcel Energy