STOCK TITAN

Exagen Announces Publication of Systematic Review Confirming Robust Real-World Performance of AVISE Lupus

(Moderate)
(Positive)
Tags

Exagen (Nasdaq:XGN) announced a systematic review showing the AVISE Lupus algorithm delivers higher diagnostic accuracy than conventional serologic tests for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

The analysis pooled 3,132 individuals from 14 academic centers (2011–2025), reported AUC up to 0.90, specificity above 98%, and uniquely identified about 25% of SLE patients missed by traditional markers.

Loading...
Loading translation...

Positive

  • Systematic review consolidated biomarker data from 3,132 individuals at 14 academic centers
  • AVISE Lupus uniquely identified about 25% of SLE patients missed by conventional serologies
  • Reported AUC for AVISE Lupus up to 0.90 with specificity above 98%
  • More than 1 million patients tested with AVISE Lupus since its 2012 launch
  • Real-world evidence supports Exagen’s reimbursement strategy and broader AVISE Lupus adoption

Negative

  • None.

News Market Reaction – XGN

+7.43%
16 alerts
+7.43% Session close to close
+7.1% Peak Tracked
-6.9% Trough Tracked
$134.09M Market Cap
0.8x Rel. Volume

In the Jun 1 session, XGN gained 7.43%, reflecting a notable positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +7.1% during that session. Argus tracked a trough of -6.9% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 16 alerts that day, indicating notable trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The stock moved +7.4% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with Exa...
Analysis

The stock moved +7.4% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with Exagen’s strategy of differentiating AVISE Lupus through extensive real-world validation. The systematic review spans 3,132 individuals and more than 1,200 SLE patients, showing AUC up to 0.90 and specificity above 98%. Investors may weigh this against existing dilution capacity from 1,150,000 warrant shares and a $75 million high-cost term loan, which could temper longer-term enthusiasm.

Key Figures

Patients uniquely identified: 25% of SLE patients Original validation size: More than 1,200 SLE patients Total individuals analyzed: 3,132 individuals +5 more
8 metrics
Patients uniquely identified 25% of SLE patients Identified by AVISE Lupus but missed by conventional markers
Original validation size More than 1,200 SLE patients Evidence base across leading academic medical centers
Total individuals analyzed 3,132 individuals Biomarker data from 14 academic medical centers, 2011–2025
Medical centers 14 medical centers Sites contributing data to the systematic evaluation
Patients tested since launch More than 1 million patients AVISE Lupus testing volume since 2012 launch
AUC AUC up to 0.90 Diagnostic accuracy metric for AVISE Lupus algorithm
Specificity Specificity above 98% Real-world performance of AVISE Lupus vs. conventional tests
Study period 2011 to 2025 Timeframe of studies included in systematic evaluation

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: May 11 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
May 11 Q1 2026 earnings Positive +34.9% Record Q1 revenue growth and higher AVISE CTD pricing and volumes.
Apr 27 Earnings date notice Neutral +1.5% Announcement of timing and access details for Q1 2026 results call.
Mar 10 FY 2025 earnings Positive -3.9% Record 2025 revenue and growth in AVISE CTD volumes and ASP.
Mar 03 Investor conferences Neutral -3.4% Participation in March 2026 investor conferences and meetings.
Feb 24 Earnings date notice Neutral -0.3% Scheduling announcement for Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings release.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent history shows strong positive reactions to earnings beats, but at least one instance where record results coincided with a selloff, indicating inconsistent follow-through on good fundamentals.

Recent Company History

Over the last few months, Exagen has highlighted record growth and improving fundamentals. Q4 2025 and full-year results on Mar 10, 2026 showed $66.6M revenue and higher AVISE CTD volumes, yet the stock fell 3.85%. In contrast, Q1 2026 earnings on May 11, 2026 with $17.3M revenue drove a 34.92% gain. Today’s AVISE Lupus evidence update builds on this diagnostics-focused trajectory rather than shifting the financial outlook disclosed in prior filings.

Key Terms

systemic lupus erythematosus, serologic tests, anti-dsDNA, complements c3 and c4, +3 more
7 terms
systemic lupus erythematosus medical
"supporting an earlier, more definitive Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis"
Systemic lupus erythematosus is a chronic autoimmune disease in which the body's immune system mistakenly attacks healthy tissue, causing inflammation that can affect skin, joints, kidneys, heart, lungs and other organs. It matters to investors because disease severity, prevalence, and gaps in effective treatments drive demand for new drugs and diagnostics—think of it as a large, persistent market need where a successful therapy can change patient outcomes and create significant commercial value.
serologic tests medical
"compared with conventional serologic tests alone"
Serologic tests are blood tests that look for antibodies—proteins your immune system makes after exposure to an infection or a vaccine—so they show whether someone has had past exposure rather than an active infection. For investors, results and demand for these tests affect markets for diagnostics, public health planning, and company revenues in healthcare and biotech, much like a weather report guiding farmers on what seeds or equipment to buy next.
anti-dsDNA medical
"missed by conventional serologies, including anti-dsDNA, anti-Smith, and complements C3 and C4"
Anti-dsDNA are antibodies the immune system makes that mistakenly target the body's own double-stranded DNA; they are a blood marker commonly used to diagnose and monitor autoimmune conditions like lupus. For investors, levels of these antibodies matter because they drive demand for diagnostic tests, influence clinical trial design and approval of targeted therapies, and can affect market value of companies developing treatments or lab tests—think of them as a measurable signal investors watch to judge disease activity and commercial opportunity.
complements c3 and c4 medical
"missed by conventional serologies, including anti-dsDNA, anti-Smith, and complements C3 and C4"
Complements C3 and C4 are proteins in the immune system’s complement cascade that act like sensors and amplifiers in the body’s defense network; when triggered they help flag and clear infections or damaged cells, and they coordinate inflammation. For investors, drugs that raise, block, or measure C3/C4 can indicate treatments or diagnostics for immune and inflammatory diseases, affecting market value much like improvements to a critical component of a widely used machine.
cell-bound complement activation products medical
"Incorporating Cell-Bound Complement Activation Products: A Systematic Evaluation"
Cell-bound complement activation products are pieces of the immune system’s complement proteins that become permanently attached to the surface of blood cells after the immune system is triggered. They act like footprints showing that immune activity has occurred, and matter to investors because tests or therapies that measure or target these markers can improve diagnosis, patient monitoring, and treatment decisions in autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, creating clinical and commercial opportunities.
auc technical
"the study demonstrated an AUC up to 0.90, specificity above 98%"
Area under the curve (AUC) measures the total exposure of the body to a drug over time by calculating the area beneath a plot of drug concentration versus time. For investors, AUC indicates how much of a medicine reaches and stays in the bloodstream, which affects dosing, safety and effectiveness—similar to measuring how much water flows through a pipe over a day rather than just its peak pressure.
likelihood ratios technical
"specificity above 98% and unprecedented likelihood ratios"
Likelihood ratios quantify how much a particular test result changes the odds that a condition is present by comparing how often that result appears in people with the condition versus those without it. For investors, they act like a strength-of-evidence score: a high likelihood ratio makes a positive test or trial finding much more convincing for regulatory approval, market adoption or commercial value, while a ratio near one means the result provides little new information.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

See more from StockTitan in Google Search and AI answers. Adds StockTitan as a preferred source · opens Google
Add on Google

Uniquely identified ~25% of the SLE patients who would otherwise be missed by conventional markers

Demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy compared with conventional testing, supporting earlier, more definitive diagnosis

Performed consistently across more than 1,200 SLE patients and 14 medical centers, expanding on the original clinical validation

CARLSBAD, Calif., June 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Exagen Inc. (Nasdaq: XGN), a leading provider of autoimmune testing solutions, today announced the publication of a new systematic review demonstrating that the AVISE Lupus algorithm delivers markedly superior diagnostic accuracy and consistency across patient populations compared with conventional serologic tests alone. AVISE Lupus’ enhanced sensitivity and specificity address key diagnostic gaps, supporting an earlier, more definitive Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis, with the potential for earlier intervention, prevention of organ damage and improved long-term outcomes.

“This publication reinforces Exagen’s powerful and durable competitive moat – AVISE Lupus routinely demonstrates leading SLE diagnostic performance,” said John Aballi, President and CEO. “Built on more than a decade of evidence and over 1,200 SLE patients across leading academic medical centers, the study represents one of the most extensive evidence-generation efforts behind any lupus diagnostic and sets a new standard for rigor in the category. With more than 1 million patients tested since AVISE Lupus launched in 2012, this publication further strengthens our real-world evidence base, supporting our premium market position, reimbursement strategy and broader adoption. Exagen has built a platform that consistently outperforms the standard of care, positioning us to expand our leadership in autoimmune diagnostics.”

The paper, titled “Clinical Utility of a Multianalyte Lupus Risk Score Incorporating Cell-Bound Complement Activation Products: A Systematic Evaluation,” was published in Lupus Science & Medicine. The analysis consolidated biomarker data for 3,132 individuals from 14 academic medical centers in studies conducted between 2011 and 2025 and found that AVISE Lupus performed strongly across patient populations and uniquely identified 25% of patients otherwise missed by conventional serologies, including anti-dsDNA, anti-Smith, and complements C3 and C4.

“Our findings show that AVISE fills a critical diagnostic gap in lupus diagnosis,” said Daniel Wallace, M.D., FACP, MACR, co-author of the evaluation, co-director of the Lupus and Sjogren’s Clinic at Kao Autoimmunity Institute at Cedars-Sinai and board-certified rheumatologist at Beverly Hills Rheumatology in Los Angeles, Calif. “The AVISE Lupus algorithm demonstrated consistently robust diagnostic accuracy and outperformed the standard of care. For my patients, earlier and more definitive answers can make a real difference, and AVISE Lupus enhances my confidence in making that diagnosis.”

Tyler O’Malley, Exagen Vice President of Clinical Affairs, Bioinformatics and Market Access, added, “This systematic evaluation provides meaningful real-world validation, expanding our evidence base with more comprehensive and current data. Building on the original AVISE Lupus clinical validation, the study demonstrated an AUC up to 0.90, specificity above 98% and unprecedented likelihood ratios. These results reinforce the durability and robustness of our proprietary algorithm, and strength of Exagen’s intellectual property, and the high barriers to replicating our technology.”

About Exagen

Exagen Inc. (Nasdaq: XGN) is a leading provider of autoimmune diagnostics, committed to transforming care for patients with chronic and debilitating autoimmune conditions. Based in San Diego County, California, Exagen’s mission is to provide clarity in autoimmune disease decision-making and improve clinical outcomes through its innovative testing portfolio. The company’s flagship product, AVISE® CTD, which incorporates the AVISE® Lupus algorithm, enables clinicians to more effectively diagnose complex autoimmune conditions such as lupus, rheumatoid arthritis, and Sjögren’s disease earlier and with greater accuracy. Exagen’s CLIA-certified, CAP-accredited laboratory specializes in the testing of rheumatic diseases, delivering precise and timely results, supported by a suite of AVISE-branded tests for disease diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring. With a focus on research, innovation, education, and patient-centered care, Exagen is dedicated to addressing the ongoing challenges of autoimmune disease management.

For more information, visit Exagen.com or follow Exagen on LinkedIn.

Risk Factors

Exagen cautions you that statements contained in this press release regarding matters that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on Exagen’s current beliefs and expectations. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding: Exagen’s goals, strategies and ambitions; the potential utility and effectiveness of Exagen’s services and testing solutions and regarding Exagen’s interpretation of clinical study results and management’s views and evaluations of the same. The inclusion of forward-looking statements should not be regarded as a representation by Exagen that any of its plans will be achieved. Actual results may differ from those set forth in this press release due to the risks and uncertainties inherent in Exagen’s business, including, without limitation: delays in reimbursement and coverage decisions from Medicare and third-party payors and in interactions with regulatory authorities, and delays in ongoing and planned clinical trials involving its tests; Exagen’s commercial success depends upon attaining and maintaining significant market acceptance of its testing products among rheumatologists, patients, third-party payors and others in the medical community; Exagen’s ability to successfully execute on its business strategies; third-party payors not providing coverage and adequate reimbursement for Exagen’s testing products, including Exagen’s ability to collect on funds due; Exagen’s ability to obtain and maintain intellectual property protection for its testing products; regulatory developments affecting Exagen’s business; and other risks described in Exagen’s prior press releases and Exagen’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including under the heading “Risk Factors” in Exagen’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, filed with the SEC on March 10, 2026 and any subsequent filings with the SEC. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof, and Exagen undertakes no obligation to update such statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that exist after the date hereof. All forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement, which is made under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Investors:

Tina Jacobsen, CFA
Exagen Inc.
ir@exagen.com


FAQ

What did Exagen (Nasdaq:XGN) announce about AVISE Lupus on June 1, 2026?

Exagen announced publication of a systematic review confirming strong real-world performance of its AVISE Lupus diagnostic algorithm. According to Exagen, AVISE Lupus showed superior diagnostic accuracy versus conventional serologic tests, supporting earlier, more definitive systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis and potential for improved long-term patient outcomes.

How does AVISE Lupus diagnostic accuracy compare with conventional lupus tests for XGN investors?

AVISE Lupus showed higher diagnostic accuracy than conventional serologic markers like anti-dsDNA, anti-Smith, C3 and C4. According to Exagen, the algorithm achieved area under the curve (AUC) values up to 0.90 and specificity above 98%, indicating strong differentiation from standard-of-care testing.

What real-world data support AVISE Lupus performance according to Exagen (XGN)?

The systematic evaluation pooled biomarker data from 3,132 individuals across 14 academic medical centers. According to Exagen, this analysis, combined with over 1,200 SLE patients from prior validation and more than 1 million tested patients since 2012, reinforces AVISE Lupus’ durable real-world performance.

How many SLE patients can AVISE Lupus identify that conventional markers miss?

AVISE Lupus uniquely identified about 25% of SLE patients who would be missed by conventional serologies. According to Exagen, this includes patients negative for standard markers such as anti-dsDNA, anti-Smith, and complement components C3 and C4, helping close critical diagnostic gaps.

What key performance metrics were reported for AVISE Lupus in Lupus Science & Medicine?

The publication reported AVISE Lupus achieved an AUC up to 0.90 and specificity above 98%. According to Exagen, the study also showed unprecedented likelihood ratios, supporting the robustness of its proprietary multianalyte algorithm and the high barriers to replicating this diagnostic technology.

Why is the AVISE Lupus systematic review important for Exagen (XGN) shareholders?

The review strengthens clinical evidence backing AVISE Lupus, Exagen’s flagship autoimmune diagnostic test. According to Exagen, expanded real-world validation supports its premium market position, reimbursement strategy, and broader adoption, potentially reinforcing the company’s competitive moat in autoimmune diagnostics over time.