Rental affordability reaches four-year high
Rhea-AI Summary
Zillow (ZG) reports rental affordability at a four-year high: a typical rental now requires 28.4% of median household income, down from 28.8% a year ago and below the 30% burden threshold. National observed rent (ZORI) is $1,979 with 2.3% YoY growth; multifamily rent growth eased to 1.7% YoY and single-family rent growth hit a record-low 3.2% YoY.
Landlord concessions reached a record September high of 37.3% of listings. Several Sun Belt and Mountain West metros posted falling apartment rents, led by Austin (-3.3% ZORI) and Denver (-2.1% ZORI). Builders finished more multifamily units in 2024 than any year in a half-century.
Positive
- Concessions at a record 37.3% of listings
- National ZORI of $1,979 with 2.3% YoY
- Multifamily rent growth eased to 1.7% YoY
- Builders finished most multifamily units in 2024 in 50 years
- Affordability improved to 28.4% of median income
Negative
- Single-family rent growth slowed to a record-low 3.2% YoY
- Austin ZORI declined 3.3% YoY (multifamily -4.7%)
- Denver ZORI declined 2.1% YoY (multifamily -3.4%)
- High rent growth in some metros: Chicago 6.0% YoY, New York 5.2% YoY
- Some large metros require >40% of income (New York 40.6%)
News Market Reaction 1 Alert
On the day this news was published, ZG declined 1.12%, reflecting a mild negative market reaction.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
Rent growth cools and concessions from landlords rise to new record levels
- Rental affordability is better than it's been in four years, requiring
28.4% of median household income nationwide. - Landlords are offering concessions on
37.3% of rentals on Zillow, a record high for September. - Single-family rents are up
3.2% year over year, a record low in Zillow records.
Builders responded to a surge of demand for housing during the pandemic, finishing more multifamily units in 2024 than any year in a half-century. Builders in the South, where there are fewer zoning restrictions, reacted more quickly and efficiently to renters' needs, helping create pockets of affordability.
"Markets that built more — and faster — are seeing that investment pay off with more renters able to comfortably afford an apartment," said Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow. "It's a reminder that housing costs can be tamed when policy allows supply to keep up with demand."
National rent growth in multifamily units on Zillow eased to
Zillow's new rent market dashboard shows falling apartment rents are concentrated in the Sun Belt and the Mountain West regions.
Apartment rents are falling fastest year over year in
Even single-family rents – which have significantly outperformed apartments in recent years – are feeling headwinds. September's
Freebies for renters rise
In recent years rental managers have turned to concessions, such as free months of rent or free parking, instead of lowering rents. Now
Those concessions likely will continue to rise; they typically peak in winter or early spring. As concessions become the norm, property managers may need to consider price cuts, particularly as the year winds down. Competition among prospective renters tends to fall off over the cooler winter months.
Affordability improves nationwide as rents ease
Cooler growth and even declining rents in some rental markets are contributing to better nationwide affordability than renters have seen in four years. A typical rental now requires
Rent affordability improved over the past year in 38 of the 50 largest
|
Metro Area* |
Zillow |
ZORI |
ZORI as |
ZORI as |
Share of |
ZORI |
ZORI |
|
|
|
2.3 % |
28.4 % |
28.8 % |
37.3 % |
1.7 % |
3.2 % |
|
|
|
5.2 % |
40.6 % |
40.0 % |
18.2 % |
5.3 % |
4.1 % |
|
|
|
2.4 % |
35.5 % |
35.9 % |
27.6 % |
1.6 % |
3.9 % |
|
|
|
6.0 % |
26.8 % |
26.2 % |
22.6 % |
6.0 % |
5.5 % |
|
|
|
0.1 % |
21.8 % |
22.5 % |
58.9 % |
-0.6 % |
0.9 % |
|
|
|
0.5 % |
23.4 % |
24.2 % |
47.9 % |
-0.1 % |
1.4 % |
|
|
|
1.4 % |
22.0 % |
22.5 % |
53.4 % |
0.3 % |
3.6 % |
|
|
|
3.7 % |
24.2 % |
24.2 % |
30.4 % |
3.1 % |
4.2 % |
|
|
|
0.8 % |
38.6 % |
39.7 % |
25.3 % |
1.5 % |
1.0 % |
|
|
|
2.5 % |
24.1 % |
24.3 % |
55.9 % |
1.4 % |
3.8 % |
|
|
|
2.9 % |
29.7 % |
29.9 % |
31.0 % |
2.7 % |
4.1 % |
|
|
|
-0.8 % |
23.0 % |
24.1 % |
55.6 % |
-2.2 % |
1.1 % |
|
|
|
5.6 % |
27.4 % |
26.9 % |
33.9 % |
5.6 % |
3.6 % |
|
|
|
2.0 % |
31.7 % |
32.2 % |
28.5 % |
1.5 % |
2.0 % |
|
|
|
3.0 % |
23.3 % |
23.4 % |
24.1 % |
2.3 % |
3.2 % |
|
|
|
2.6 % |
22.6 % |
22.7 % |
51.1 % |
2.0 % |
3.3 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
19.9 % |
19.9 % |
41.3 % |
3.3 % |
4.5 % |
|
|
|
1.9 % |
32.0 % |
32.6 % |
37.6 % |
1.3 % |
2.7 % |
|
|
|
1.8 % |
31.2 % |
31.7 % |
46.3 % |
1.4 % |
2.4 % |
|
|
|
-2.1 % |
20.9 % |
22.2 % |
64.8 % |
-3.4 % |
1.2 % |
|
|
|
3.0 % |
22.9 % |
23.0 % |
38.9 % |
1.9 % |
4.1 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
20.1 % |
20.0 % |
20.0 % |
3.0 % |
5.5 % |
|
|
|
0.3 % |
28.2 % |
29.1 % |
50.3 % |
-0.8 % |
1.8 % |
|
|
|
1.2 % |
24.0 % |
24.6 % |
62.7 % |
-0.6 % |
3.7 % |
|
|
|
-1.1 % |
22.2 % |
23.2 % |
52.8 % |
-2.3 % |
0.9 % |
|
|
|
1.2 % |
21.7 % |
22.2 % |
45.8 % |
0.4 % |
2.7 % |
|
|
|
2.0 % |
26.6 % |
27.1 % |
31.0 % |
1.6 % |
2.1 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
22.5 % |
22.4 % |
24.4 % |
3.0 % |
5.4 % |
|
|
|
3.4 % |
21.9 % |
22.0 % |
19.2 % |
2.6 % |
4.8 % |
|
|
|
-3.3 % |
18.2 % |
19.4 % |
60.4 % |
-4.7 % |
0.0 % |
|
|
|
0.2 % |
25.5 % |
26.4 % |
48.3 % |
0.0 % |
0.6 % |
|
|
|
4.5 % |
21.1 % |
20.9 % |
32.7 % |
3.7 % |
5.3 % |
|
|
|
2.7 % |
22.4 % |
22.7 % |
42.7 % |
2.2 % |
3.9 % |
|
|
|
3.5 % |
21.4 % |
21.5 % |
41.8 % |
2.2 % |
5.6 % |
|
|
|
4.9 % |
23.2 % |
22.9 % |
24.4 % |
4.2 % |
5.4 % |
|
|
|
3.7 % |
25.3 % |
25.4 % |
42.7 % |
3.3 % |
3.8 % |
|
|
|
0.6 % |
23.5 % |
24.3 % |
61.7 % |
-0.6 % |
2.8 % |
|
|
|
4.2 % |
25.3 % |
25.2 % |
29.8 % |
4.0 % |
4.0 % |
|
|
|
4.6 % |
28.8 % |
28.5 % |
12.8 % |
4.8 % |
4.5 % |
|
|
|
1.1 % |
24.8 % |
25.5 % |
46.9 % |
0.0 % |
2.4 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
20.8 % |
20.8 % |
30.0 % |
3.7 % |
5.9 % |
|
|
|
3.1 % |
21.8 % |
21.9 % |
28.6 % |
2.3 % |
3.5 % |
|
|
|
0.7 % |
19.7 % |
20.2 % |
61.5 % |
-0.7 % |
2.1 % |
|
|
|
1.9 % |
25.7 % |
26.2 % |
37.6 % |
-0.2 % |
3.2 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
22.2 % |
22.2 % |
47.0 % |
3.2 % |
4.8 % |
|
|
|
2.9 % |
21.9 % |
22.1 % |
39.1 % |
1.6 % |
4.9 % |
|
|
|
0.6 % |
29.3 % |
30.3 % |
18.1 % |
-0.4 % |
2.3 % |
|
|
|
0.1 % |
19.5 % |
20.2 % |
59.2 % |
-0.6 % |
1.3 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
23.2 % |
23.2 % |
24.5 % |
3.6 % |
3.8 % |
|
|
|
3.0 % |
21.9 % |
22.1 % |
6.2 % |
3.1 % |
3.7 % |
|
|
|
2.7 % |
22.4 % |
22.6 % |
34.0 % |
0.0 % |
5.2 % |
|
|
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|
*Table ordered by market size |
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About Zillow Group:
Zillow Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: Z and ZG) is reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people. As the most visited real estate app and website in
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SOURCE Zillow