Allegiant Travel Company (SNCY) supplements proxy, updates forecasts amid two lawsuits
Allegiant Travel Company filed a Current Report on Form 8-K supplementing the Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus for its proposed merger with Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. The companies disclosed supplemental background information, updated management financial forecasts and valuation analyses, and noted two shareholder lawsuits and demand letters alleging disclosure deficiencies.
The supplement includes updated Allegiant forecasts (e.g., Net Income $137M 2026E, Operating Revenue $2,664M 2026E) and Sun Country forecasts (e.g., Operating Revenue $1,178M 2026E, Adjusted EBITDAR $209M 2026E), plus illustrative valuation ranges by Goldman Sachs for Sun Country and the pro forma combined company. The companies state they deny the claims but are providing supplemental disclosures to moot challenges.
Positive
- None.
Negative
- None.
Insights
Supplemental disclosures respond to litigation and update merger materials without admitting liability.
The companies appended clarifying background and forecast tables to the Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus and described receipt of two lawsuits and demand letters alleging disclosure deficiencies. They state they deny the allegations but are voluntarily supplementing disclosures "without admitting any culpability, liability or wrongdoing."
The immediate effect is procedural: the supplemental disclosure may reduce near-term procedural obstacles to stockholder action. Subsequent filings or court papers could change the record; timing of the May 8, 2026 stockholder meetings is the milestone to watch.
Updated management forecasts and Goldman Sachs illustrative analyses present explicit valuation ranges.
Goldman Sachs’ DCF and present-value analyses produced illustrative Sun Country equity value ranges (e.g., $18.70 to $22.90 per share standalone; $21.70 to $30.75 pro forma consideration). Premium analyses produced ranges up to $30.45.
These ranges reflect disclosed inputs: discount rates, EV/EBITDAR multiples, Sun Country net debt ~$579M, cash ~$199M, and fully diluted share counts (~58.9M Sun Country, ~27.4M pro forma). Investors should compare these disclosed ranges to the merger consideration described in the prospectus.
Key Figures
Key Terms
Adjusted EBITDAR financial
Unlevered Free Cash Flow financial
EV/NTM EBITDAR financial
NOL forecasts regulatory
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
FAQ
What did Allegiant (SNCY) disclose about lawsuits challenging the merger?
What updated financial forecasts did Allegiant provide in the supplement?
What Sun Country forecasts and metrics are included in the supplement?
What valuation ranges did Goldman Sachs produce for Sun Country and the pro forma company?
Will the supplemental disclosures delay the scheduled stockholder meetings?
Where can investors obtain the Registration Statement and proxy materials?
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Nevada
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001-33166
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20-4745737
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(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
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(Commission File Number)
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(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
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1201 North Town Center Drive
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||
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Las Vegas, NV
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89144 |
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(Address of principal executive offices)
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(Zip Code)
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| ☒ |
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
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| ☐ |
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
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| ☐ |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
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| ☐ |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
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Title of each class
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Trading Symbol(s)
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Name of each exchange on which registered
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||||||
| Common stock, par value $0.001 |
ALGT |
NASDAQ Stock Market
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Emerging growth company
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☐ |
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If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting
standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
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☐
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| Item 8.01. |
Other Events.
|
|
($ in millions)
|
Q4
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
2030E
|
|
||||||||||||
|
Net Income
|
$
|
38
|
$
|
137
|
$
|
258
|
$
|
305
|
$
|
323
|
$
|
339
|
||||||||||||
|
Operating Revenue
|
$
|
650
|
$
|
2,664
|
$
|
2,987
|
$
|
3,275
|
$
|
3,527
|
$
|
3,736
|
||||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDAR(1)
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
550
|
$
|
700
|
$
|
806
|
$
|
871
|
$
|
925
|
||||||||||||
|
Rent Expenses
|
$ |
(8
|
)
|
$
|
(22
|
)
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
$
|
(9
|
)
|
$
|
(9
|
)
|
$
|
(9
|
)
|
||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
(61
|
)
|
$
|
(249
|
)
|
$
|
(257
|
)
|
$
|
(281
|
)
|
$
|
(311
|
)
|
$
|
(344
|
)
|
||||||
|
Adjusted EBIT(2)
|
$
|
73
|
$
|
279
|
$
|
426
|
$
|
516
|
$
|
551
|
$
|
572
|
||||||||||||
|
Unlevered Cash Taxes at 23.0%
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
$
|
(64
|
)
|
$
|
(98
|
)
|
$
|
(119
|
)
|
$
|
(127
|
)
|
$
|
(132
|
)
|
||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
61
|
$
|
249
|
$
|
257
|
$
|
281
|
$
|
311
|
$
|
344
|
||||||||||||
|
Deferred Heavy Maintenance
|
$
|
(8
|
)
|
$
|
(77
|
)
|
$
|
(189
|
)
|
$
|
(271
|
)
|
$
|
(255
|
)
|
$
|
(334
|
)
|
||||||
|
Capital Expenditures
|
$
|
(59
|
)
|
$
|
(656
|
)
|
$
|
(683
|
)
|
$
|
(548
|
)
|
$
|
(527
|
)
|
$
|
(515
|
)
|
||||||
|
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital(3)
|
$
|
(26
|
)
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
(293
|
)
|
$
|
9
|
$
|
49
|
$
|
79
|
||||||||||
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow(
|
$
|
25
|
$
|
(126
|
)
|
$
|
(580
|
)
|
$
|
(132
|
)
|
$
|
2
|
$
|
15
|
| (1) |
Adjusted EBITDAR means earnings before interest expenses, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and aircraft rent expenses.
|
| (2) |
Adjusted EBIT means Adjusted EBITDAR but including aircraft rent expense, depreciation and amortization, excluding the impact of accelerated amortization and disposal of software identified for redevelopment and the accelerated
depreciation of certain aircraft.
|
| (3) |
Excludes Deferred Heavy Maintenance.
|
|
Q4
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Millions, for the periods ended
|
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Operating Revenue
|
$
|
279
|
$
|
1,178
|
$
|
1,352
|
$
|
1,412
|
$
|
1,458
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDAR(1)
|
$
|
48
|
$
|
209
|
$
|
276
|
$
|
294
|
$
|
300
|
||||||||||
|
Rent Expenses
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
(25
|
)
|
$
|
(106
|
)
|
$
|
(113
|
)
|
$
|
(111
|
)
|
$
|
(114
|
)
|
|||||
|
Adjusted EBIT(2)
|
$
|
23
|
$
|
103
|
$
|
163
|
$
|
183
|
$
|
186
|
||||||||||
|
Cash Taxes(3)
|
$
|
(5
|
)
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
$
|
(33
|
)
|
$
|
(38
|
)
|
$
|
(40
|
)
|
|||||
|
Net Interest Expense
|
NA(4)
|
$
|
(28
|
)
|
$
|
(21
|
)
|
$
|
(16
|
)
|
$
|
(10
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Adjusted NOPAT(
|
$
|
18
|
$
|
80
|
$
|
126
|
$
|
141
|
$
|
143
|
||||||||||
|
Capital Expenditures
|
$
|
22
|
$
|
81
|
$
|
57
|
$
|
69
|
$
|
76
|
||||||||||
|
(Increase) / Decrease in Net Working Capital
|
$
|
(3
|
)
|
$
|
(6
|
)
|
$
|
(31
|
)
|
$
|
(15
|
)
|
$
|
(13
|
)
|
|||||
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow(
|
$
|
24
|
$
|
110
|
$
|
213
|
$
|
198
|
$
|
195
|
||||||||||
|
(1)
|
Adjusted EBITDAR is defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, other income (expense), and aircraft rent expense, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with
Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(2)
|
Adjusted EBIT is defined as earnings before interest and taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based
compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(3)
|
Cash Taxes are based on Sun Country management’s best estimate of the effective tax rate.
|
|
(4)
|
“NA” refers to not available.
|
|
(
|
Adjusted NOPAT is defined as Adjusted EBIT multiplied by one minus the applicable tax rate.
|
|
(
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow is defined as Adjusted NOPAT, plus depreciation and amortization, less capital expenditures and increases in net working capital.
|
|
Millions (other than Adjusted EPS), for the years ended
|
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBT(1)
|
$
|
67
|
$
|
75
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
167
|
$
|
176
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted Net Income(2)
|
$
|
48
|
$
|
58
|
$
|
110
|
$
|
129
|
$
|
136
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EPS
|
$
|
0.95
|
$
|
1.13
|
$
|
2.08
|
$
|
2.43
|
$
|
2.55
|
|
(1)
|
Adjusted EBT is defined as earnings before taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation
expense was not excluded).
|
|
(2)
|
Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation
expense was not excluded).
|
|
Q4
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Millions, for the periods ended
|
2025E(1)
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Operating Revenue
|
$
|
277
|
$
|
1,170
|
$
|
1,352
|
$
|
1,412
|
$
|
1,458
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDAR(2)(3)
|
$
|
41
|
$
|
211
|
$
|
276
|
$
|
294
|
$
|
300
|
||||||||||
|
Rent Expenses
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||||||||||
|
Depreciation & Amortization
|
$
|
(25
|
)
|
$
|
(106
|
)
|
$
|
(113
|
)
|
$
|
(111
|
)
|
$
|
(114
|
)
|
|||||
|
Adjusted EBIT (4)(5)
|
$
|
16
|
$
|
105
|
$
|
163
|
$
|
183
|
$
|
186
|
||||||||||
|
Cash Taxes(6)
|
$
|
(4
|
)
|
$
|
(19
|
)
|
$
|
(33
|
)
|
$
|
(38
|
)
|
$
|
(40
|
)
|
|||||
|
Net Interest Expense
|
NA(7)
|
$
|
(27
|
)
|
$
|
(21
|
)
|
$
|
(16
|
)
|
$
|
(10
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Adjusted NOPAT(
|
$
|
12
|
$
|
81
|
$
|
126
|
$
|
141
|
$
|
143
|
||||||||||
|
Capital Expenditures
|
$
|
50
|
$
|
81
|
$
|
57
|
$
|
69
|
$
|
76
|
||||||||||
|
(Increase) / Decrease in Net Working Capital
|
$
|
(43
|
)
|
$
|
(29
|
)
|
$
|
(18
|
)
|
-
|
$
|
(47
|
)
|
|||||||
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow(
|
$
|
31
|
$
|
134
|
$
|
200
|
$
|
183
|
$
|
228
|
||||||||||
|
(1)
|
The December Sun Country management forecasts provided to Allegiant and Barclays included estimates of Operating Revenue, Adjusted EBITDAR and Adjusted EBIT for fiscal year 2025 of $1,121 million, $204
million and $105 million, respectively.
|
|
(2)
|
Adjusted EBITDAR is defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, other income (expense), and aircraft rent expense, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with
Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(3)
|
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted EBITDAR which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $217 million, $283 million,
$301 million and $307 million for the years ended December 31, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
|
(4)
|
Adjusted EBIT is defined as earnings before interest and taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based
compensation expense was not excluded).
|
|
(5)
|
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted EBIT which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $111 million, $170 million, $190
million and $193 million for the years ended December 31, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
|
(6)
|
Cash Taxes are based on Sun Country management’s best estimate of the effective tax rate.
|
|
(7)
|
“NA” refers to not available.
|
|
(
|
Adjusted NOPAT is defined as Adjusted EBIT multiplied by one minus the applicable tax rate.
|
|
(
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flow is defined as Adjusted NOPAT, plus depreciation and amortization, less capital expenditures and increases in net working capital.
|
|
Millions (other than Adjusted EPS), for the years ended
|
2025E
|
|
2026E
|
|
2027E
|
|
2028E
|
|
2029E
|
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EBT(1)(2)
|
$
|
69
|
$
|
77
|
$
|
143
|
$
|
167
|
$
|
176
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted Net Income(3)(4)
|
$
|
53
|
$
|
58
|
$
|
110
|
$
|
129
|
$
|
136
|
||||||||||
|
Adjusted EPS
|
$
|
0.95
|
$
|
1.05
|
$
|
1.99
|
$
|
2.34
|
$
|
2.46
|
|
(1)
|
Adjusted EBT is defined as earnings before taxes, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation
expense was not excluded).
|
|
(2)
|
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted EBT which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $76 million, $84 million, $149
million, $174 million and $182 million for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
|
(3)
|
Adjusted Net Income is defined as net income, as adjusted for certain special items in accordance with Sun Country management’s non-GAAP policies (except that the impact of stock-based compensation
expense was not excluded).
|
|
(4)
|
Sun Country management also provided Allegiant and Barclays with the following estimates of Adjusted Net Income which excluded the impact of stock-based compensation expense: $58 million, $63 million,
$115 million, $134 million and $140 million for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029 respectively.
|
|
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COMPANY
|
|||
|
Date:
|
April 28, 2026
|
By:
|
/s/ Robert J. Neal
|
|
Robert J. Neal
|
|||
| President, Chief Financial Officer | |||