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Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) sees $1.5B–$1.8B 2025 impact from tariffs

Filing Impact
(High)
Filing Sentiment
(Neutral)
Form Type
8-K

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

Caterpillar Inc. is updating its outlook to reflect a larger expected hit from 2025 tariffs on its profitability. The company now expects the net impact from incremental tariffs introduced in 2025 to be approximately $500–$600 million for the third quarter and approximately $1.5–$1.8 billion for the full year. Including these tariffs, Caterpillar now expects its full-year adjusted operating profit margin to be near the bottom of its target margin range. The company states that this revised tariff impact is not expected to change the sales and revenue outlook it shared on its August 5, 2025 earnings call, and it notes that it is taking initial mitigating actions while trade and tariff negotiations remain fluid.

Positive

  • None.

Negative

  • Tariff headwind to profits: Caterpillar now expects incremental 2025 tariffs to reduce results by about $500–$600 million in Q3 and $1.5–$1.8 billion for the year, pushing adjusted operating margin near the bottom of its target range.

Insights

Caterpillar warns of a sizable 2025 profit hit from new tariffs.

Caterpillar now estimates that incremental 2025 tariffs will reduce results by about $500–$600 million in the third quarter and about $1.5–$1.8 billion for full-year 2025. Management indicates that these higher costs will push adjusted operating profit margin toward the bottom of its existing target range, even as underlying demand and its sales and revenue outlook from the August 5, 2025 earnings call remain unchanged.

The company notes it is taking initial mitigating actions and that trade and tariff negotiations are still “fluid,” which introduces uncertainty around the ultimate impact. The explicit statement that sales and revenue expectations are intact suggests that the main effect is on profitability rather than volume. Further detail on margins, cost actions and any changes to targets is expected with the third-quarter earnings announcement and conference call on October 29, 2025.

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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 

 

FORM 8-K

 

Current Report

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 28, 2025

 

CATERPILLAR INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Delaware   1-768   37-0602744
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation)
  (Commission File Number)   (I.R.S Employer
Identification No.)

 

5205 N. O'Connor Blvd. Suite 100, Irving, Texas   75039
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (972) 891-7700

 

Former name or former address, if changed since last report: N/A

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: 

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
   
¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
   
¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
   
¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of each class Trading Symbol (s) Name of each exchange which registered
Common Stock ($1.00 par value) CAT The New York Stock Exchange
5.3% Debentures due September 15, 2035 CAT35 The New York Stock Exchange

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined by Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

 

Emerging growth company ¨

 

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

 

 

 

 

 

 

Item 8.01.Other Events.

 

Caterpillar Inc. (the “Company”) is providing an update relating to the estimated impact of tariffs on its financial results. Since the Company released its second quarter earnings on August 5, 2025, several additional clarifications and additional tariffs have been announced. These clarifications and additional tariffs will impact the Company’s financial results for the third quarter and the remainder of 2025. While the Company continues to take initial mitigating actions to reduce this impact, trade and tariff negotiations continue to be fluid. Based on the changes and clarifications announced since August 5, 2025 and expected to be in place as of August 31, 2025, the Company now expects the net impact from incremental tariffs introduced in 2025 will be between approximately $500 million to $600 million for the third quarter and approximately $1.5 to $1.8 billion for 2025. Including the net impact from incremental tariffs, the Company now expects its full year adjusted operating profit margin to be near the bottom of the target margin range. The revised estimated net impact from tariffs is not expected to affect the Company’s sales and revenue outlook provided during the second quarter earnings call on August 5, 2025.

 

Further updates will be provided in the Company’s third-quarter earnings announcement and conference call on October 29, 2025.

 

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

 

Certain statements in this report relate to future events and expectations and are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “will be,” “will,” “would,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “target,” “guide,” “project,” “intend,” “could,” “should” or other similar words or expressions often identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding (i) tariffs, (ii) the Company’s mitigating actions and cost controls, and (iii) the anticipated impact of the foregoing on the Company’s business, results of operations and financial condition. These statements do not guarantee future performance and speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.

 

The Company’s actual results may differ materially from those described or implied in our forward-looking statements based on a number of factors, including, but not limited to: (i) global and regional economic conditions and economic conditions in the industries we serve; (ii) commodity price changes, material price increases, fluctuations in demand for our products or significant shortages of material; (iii) government monetary or fiscal policies; (iv) political and economic risks, commercial instability and events beyond our control in the countries in which we operate; (v) international trade policies and their impact on demand for our products and our competitive position, including the imposition of new tariffs or changes in existing tariff rates; (vi) our ability to develop, produce and market quality products that meet our customers’ needs; (vii) the impact of the highly competitive environment in which we operate on our sales and pricing; (viii) information technology security threats and computer crime; (ix) inventory management decisions and sourcing practices of our dealers and our OEM customers; (x) a failure to realize, or a delay in realizing, all of the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions, joint ventures or divestitures; (xi) union disputes or other employee relations issues; (xii) adverse effects of unexpected events; (xiii) disruptions or volatility in global financial markets limiting our sources of liquidity or the liquidity of our customers, dealers and suppliers; (xiv) failure to maintain our credit ratings and potential resulting increases to our cost of borrowing and adverse effects on our cost of funds, liquidity, competitive position and access to capital markets; (xv) our Financial Products segment’s risks associated with the financial services industry; (xvi) changes in interest rates or market liquidity conditions; (xvii) an increase in delinquencies, repossessions or net losses of Cat Financial’s customers; (xviii) currency fluctuations; (xix) our or Cat Financial’s compliance with financial and other restrictive covenants in debt agreements; (xx) increased pension plan funding obligations; (xxi) alleged or actual violations of trade or anti-corruption laws and regulations; (xxii) additional tax expense or exposure, including the impact of U.S. tax reform; (xxiii) significant legal proceedings, claims, lawsuits or government investigations; (xxiv) new regulations or changes in financial services regulations; (xxv) compliance with environmental laws and regulations; (xxvi) catastrophic events, including global pandemics such as the COVID-19 pandemic; and (xxvii) other factors described in more detail in the Company’s Forms 10-Q, 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

 

 

 

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(d) Exhibits:

 

The following is furnished as an exhibit to this report:

 

104The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL.

 

 

 

 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

  CATERPILLAR INC.
   
   
August 28, 2025 By: /s/ Derek Owens
    Derek Owens
Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

 

 

 

FAQ

What tariff impact did Caterpillar (CAT) disclose for Q3 2025?

Caterpillar now expects the net impact from incremental tariffs introduced in 2025 to be approximately $500–$600 million for the third quarter of 2025.

What is Caterpillar’s estimated full-year 2025 tariff impact?

The company estimates the net impact from incremental 2025 tariffs will be approximately $1.5–$1.8 billion for full-year 2025 based on changes and clarifications announced through August 31, 2025.

How will tariffs affect Caterpillar’s 2025 profit margins?

Including the net impact from incremental tariffs, Caterpillar now expects its full-year adjusted operating profit margin to be near the bottom of its target margin range.

Did Caterpillar change its 2025 sales and revenue outlook due to tariffs?

No. Caterpillar states that the revised estimated net impact from tariffs is not expected to affect the sales and revenue outlook it provided on its August 5, 2025 second-quarter earnings call.

Is Caterpillar taking any actions to offset the tariff impact?

The company says it is taking initial mitigating actions to reduce the impact of tariffs, while noting that trade and tariff negotiations remain fluid.

When will Caterpillar provide more detail on the tariff impact?

Caterpillar plans to provide further updates in its third-quarter earnings announcement and conference call on October 29, 2025.
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