GS Issues High-Yield Autocallable Notes Tied to Rivian Stock Performance
Rhea-AI Filing Summary
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), through issuer GS Finance Corp. and with a full and unconditional guarantee from the parent, has filed a Free Writing Prospectus for Market-Linked Securities — Autocallable with Contingent Coupon and Contingent Downside that reference the Class A common stock of Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN). The notes are part of the Medium-Term Notes, Series F program.
Key economic terms: investors purchase $1,000 face-value notes that may pay a monthly contingent coupon of at least $18.00 (≥21.60% p.a.) whenever RIVN closes on the relevant calculation day at or above the Coupon Threshold Price (60 % of the starting price). Starting in December 2025, the notes are subject to automatic call if RIVN closes at or above the starting price, in which case investors receive par plus the final coupon and forego further payments.
At maturity on 29 June 2026, if not previously called, investors receive: (i) par if RIVN’s Ending Price is ≥ the Downside Threshold (50 % of the starting price); or (ii) par × Performance Factor if the Ending Price is below that threshold, exposing holders to the full downside of RIVN beyond a 50 % drawdown, up to a total loss of principal.
Risk / valuation: Estimated value on the pricing date is expected between $925 – $955 per $1,000, implying 4.5 %-7.5 % issuance premium. Investors face the credit risk of both GS Finance Corp. and The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. The product’s high headline coupon is directly linked to RIVN’s elevated volatility and limited trading history; coupons are not guaranteed, and missed coupons do not accrue. Underwriting discount is up to 1.575 %, with additional 0.20 % selling concessions possible.
Bottom line: The structure offers attractive current income potential and early-call probability if RIVN remains flat or appreciates. However, upside is capped at coupons, while downside is significant once the stock falls more than 50 %, making the risk-reward profile suitable only for investors comfortable with single-stock volatility, product complexity, and GS credit exposure.
Positive
- High contingent coupon rate ≥21.60% p.a. offers attractive income potential if Rivian stock remains above the 60 % threshold.
- Automatic call feature could return principal early with full coupon if RIVN is flat or higher, shortening duration and credit exposure.
Negative
- Full downside exposure below 50 % barrier can lead to significant or total loss of principal at maturity.
- Estimated fair value ($925–$955) is materially below the $1,000 issue price, indicating an immediate mark-to-model discount.
- No participation in stock appreciation; upside is capped at coupons, while downside is uncapped past the threshold.
- Credit risk of GS Finance Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group adds issuer-level risk beyond market performance.
Insights
TL;DR: ≥21% contingent coupon lures yield seekers, but capped upside and 50% buffer leave investors exposed to Rivian volatility and GS credit risk.
The notes monetize Rivian’s high implied volatility: investors receive double-digit coupons provided RIVN stays ≥60 % of spot, while Goldman benefits from issuing debt below par economics. Automatic call beginning December 2025 means most returns are front-loaded if the stock holds ground; if rallies, investors are called out and lose further upside. The $925–$955 fair-value range indicates a 45–75 bp margin capture for GS after underwriting, typical but non-trivial. Credit-spread compensation is embedded, yet noteholders rank as GS senior unsecured creditors. Given Rivian’s limited history and EV industry cyclicality, breaching the 50 % barrier is plausible; beyond that, losses are linear. Overall, impact is neutral for GS shareholders (routine funding) and mixed for buyers, skewing negative if RIVN underperforms.

