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JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) details 10-year risk and return for S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Index

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Rhea-AI Filing Summary

JPMorgan provides a July 2026 performance and risk update for the S&P 500® Daily Risk Control 5% Index, a volatility-target strategy that allocates between the S&P 500 and a cash component to target 5% volatility. Volatility is based on exponentially weighted historical returns, and the index is calculated on an excess return basis with a notional financing cost deduction.

From June 2016 through June 2026, the S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Excess Return Index shows a Sharpe Ratio of 0.81, 10-year annualized volatility of 5.06%, and 10-year annualized return of 4.08%. Over one year, its return is 4.77%. This compares with the Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER), which has a Sharpe Ratio of 0.46, 10-year volatility of 6.41% and 10-year annualized return of 2.94%, and the Global 30/70 Portfolio (ER), with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.21, 10-year volatility of 6.22% and 10-year annualized return of 1.33%.

The update highlights that all portfolio performance data is partly hypothetical and that past and backtested performance are not indicative of future results. Key risks include the possibility that the index may not meet its 5% volatility target, may be significantly uninvested, and reflects a notional financing cost, with a recently changed methodology for that cost.

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Insights

Risk-control index shows moderate risk-adjusted returns versus 30/70 benchmarks.

The S&P 500® Daily Risk Control 5% Index targets 5% volatility by dynamically shifting between S&P 500 exposure and cash, and is calculated on an excess return basis with a notional financing cost tied to the J.P. Morgan Cash Index USD 3 Month. Over the period from June 2016 to June 2026, it delivered a 4.08% 10-year annualized return with 5.06% volatility and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.81, higher than both the Domestic and Global 30/70 excess-return portfolios.

The comparison suggests relatively efficient risk-adjusted performance, but investors rely on partly hypothetical data and must accept that the methodology may cause the index to be significantly in cash or fail to match its 5% volatility target. The notional financing cost, whose calculation methodology was recently changed, directly reduces index levels and is an important driver of net performance over time.

Sharpe Ratio 0.81 S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Excess Return (USD) Index, Jun 2016–Jun 2026
10-year annualized return 4.08% S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Excess Return (USD) Index, Jun 2016–Jun 2026
10-year annualized volatility 5.06% S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Excess Return (USD) Index, Jun 2016–Jun 2026
Domestic 30/70 Sharpe Ratio 0.46 Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER), Jun 2016–Jun 2026
Domestic 30/70 10-year return 2.94% Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER), Jun 2016–Jun 2026
Global 30/70 Sharpe Ratio 0.21 Global 30/70 Portfolio (ER), Jun 2016–Jun 2026
Global 30/70 10-year return 1.33% Global 30/70 Portfolio (ER), Jun 2016–Jun 2026
excess return basis financial
"The Index is calculated on an excess return basis."
Sharpe Ratio financial
"The Sharpe Ratio on the previous page is a measure of risk-adjusted performance"
A measure that shows how much extra return an investment has delivered for each unit of risk taken, comparing its additional return above a safe, no‑risk asset to how bumpy its returns have been. Think of it as miles per gallon for investing: a higher Sharpe ratio means you are getting more reward for the same amount of ups and downs, which helps investors compare funds or strategies on a risk‑adjusted basis.
volatility target financial
"S&P Risk Control Indices use an overlay designed to maintain risk at a predefined level — in this case, up to 5% volatility."
notional financing cost financial
"The level of the Index reflects the deduction of a notional financing cost"
risk control framework financial
"The risk control framework is applied to the underlying index and helps to reduce portfolio volatility"
Offering Type shelf

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FAQ

What is the S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Index referenced by JPM (JPM)?

It is a volatility-target index combining the S&P 500 with a cash component to maintain about 5% volatility, reallocating daily between equity exposure and cash based on recent market volatility.

How did the S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Index perform from Jun 2016 to Jun 2026 for JPM-linked notes?

Over this period, it shows a 10-year annualized return of 4.08%, 10-year annualized volatility of 5.06%, and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.81, based on hypothetical and actual historical data.

How does the JPM S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Index compare to the Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER)?

The Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER) has a 10-year annualized return of 2.94%, 10-year volatility of 6.41%, and Sharpe Ratio of 0.46, lower risk-adjusted performance than the risk-control index over the same period.

What are key risks of the JPM S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Index for investors?

Risks include that the index may not achieve 5% volatility, can be significantly uninvested in cash, reflects a notional financing cost, and may not outperform or underperform the underlying S&P 500.

What does excess return basis mean for the JPM S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Index?

The index is calculated on an excess return basis, meaning its performance is net of a notional financing cost equal to the return of the J.P. Morgan Cash Index USD 3 Month.

Are the performance figures for the JPM Domestic and Global 30/70 Portfolios guaranteed?

No. The update states all Domestic and Global 30/70 Portfolio (ER) performance figures are hypothetical and historical, and that past and backtested performance are not indicative of future results.

Index supplement to the prospectus dated April 17, 2026, the prospectus supplement dated April 17, 2026, the product supplement no. 3 - I dated April 17, 2026 and the underlying supplement no. 2 - I dated April 17, 2026 Registration Statement Nos. 333 - 293684 and 333 - 293684 - 01 Dated July 9, 2026 Rule 424(b)(3) JULY 2026 S&P 500® Daily Risk Control 5% Index The “Domestic 30 / 70 Portfolio (ER)” is a notional portfolio providing a monthly - rebalancing 30 % / 70 % weighted exposure to the S&P 500 Total Return Index and the Bloomberg Barclays U . S . Aggregate Bond Total Return Index . The “Global 30 / 70 Portfolio (ER)” is a notional portfolio providing a monthly - rebalancing 30 % / 70 % weighted exposure to the MSCI ACWI Net Total Return Index and the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD (a global investment - grade bond index) . Each notional portfolio is calculated on an excess return basis, i . e . , net of a notional financing cost deduction equal to the return of the J . P . Morgan Cash Index USD 3 Month, which tracks the return of a notional 3 - month U . S . dollar time deposit . Weights within these notional portfolios are intended to approximate the average weights within the Index, but will not correspond to historical or future weights within the Index . The notional portfolios track assets that ditfer from those tracked by the Index and are not rebalanced on the same schedule as the Index . All performance data for the Domestic 30 / 70 Portfolio (ER) and the Global 30 / 70 Portfolio (ER) is hypothetical and there is no guarantee that the Index will outperform either one, or any other benchmark or index, in the future . PAST PERFORMANCE AND BACKTESTED PERFORMANCE ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS . Please see the Disclaimer on the following page . PERFORMANCE UPDATE The S&P 500 ® Daily Risk Control 5 % Index (the “Index”) represents a portfolio consisting of the S&P 500 and a cash component accruing interest that dynamically adjusts to target a 5 % level of volatility . Volatility is calculated as a function of historical returns that uses exponential weightings to give more significance to recent observations . S&P Risk Control Indices use an overlay designed to maintain risk at a predefined level — in this case, up to 5 % volatility . The risk control framework is applied to the underlying index and helps to reduce portfolio volatility to the 5 % target by moving a portion of the portfolio allocation from the underlying index to cash in volatile markets and from cash to the underlying index in less volatile markets . The Index is calculated on an excess return basis. The Index was established on September 10, 2009. Levels are published on Bloomberg using the ticker SPXT5UE. Hypothetical and actual historical performance: Jun 2016 through Jun 2026 S&P 500® Daily Risk Control 5% Index Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER) Global 30/70 Portfolio (ER) Actual Hypothetical and actual historical returns and volatilities: Jun 2016 through Jun 2026 Sharpe Ratio 10 Year Volatility (Annualized) 10 Year Return (Annualized) 5 Year Return (Annualized) 3 Year Return (Annualized) 1 Year Return 0.81 5.06% 4.08% 2.56% 3.56% 4.77% S&P 500 Daily Risk Control 5% Excess Return (USD) Index 0.46 6.41% 2.94% 0.31% 3.27% 4.11% Domestic 30/70 Portfolio (ER) (30% S&P 500, 70% Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate) 0.21 6.22% 1.33% - 1.53% 2.49% 2.18% Global 30/70 Portfolio (ER) (30% MSCI ACWI, 70% Bloomberg Barclays Global Agg Bond) Hypothetical and actual historical monthly weights: Jun 2016 through Jun 2026 Exposure Level Exposure Level Hypothetical and actual historical monthly and annual returns: Jan 2017 through Jun 2026 Year Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan 13.54% 0.81% 2.50% 1.68% 1.26% - 0.01% 1.24% 0.27% 0.70% 0.68% 0.07% 2.55% 1.05% 2017 - 1.26% - 2.37% 0.47% - 3.98% 0.28% 1.54% 1.45% 0.04% 0.63% 0.06% - 0.83% - 2.42% 4.10% 2018 7.39% 1.43% 1.45% 0.68% 0.39% - 1.19% 0.46% 2.55% - 2.69% 1.38% 0.56% 0.74% 1.50% 2019 1.56% 1.06% 2.43% - 0.72% - 0.90% 1.40% 0.82% 0.25% 0.53% 0.93% - 1.13% - 3.00% - 0.01% 2020 8.49% 1.38% - 0.48% 2.60% - 2.29% 1.41% 1.03% 0.94% 0.24% 1.71% 1.34% 0.76% - 0.37% 2021 - 5.37% - 1.22% 1.08% 1.61% - 2.04% - 0.99% 1.72% - 1.59% 0.00% - 2.15% 0.76% - 0.72% - 1.85% 2022 5.71% 1.71% 3.01% - 1.11% - 2.25% - 0.95% 1.15% 2.19% 0.04% 0.40% 0.90% - 0.74% 1.35% 2023 6.27% - 1.15% 2.20% - 0.57% 0.54% - 0.11% 0.28% 1.43% 1.73% - 2.06% 1.20% 2.15% 0.55% 2024 1.11% - 0.11% - 0.07% 0.71% 1.28% 0.55% 0.47% 0.99% 0.89% - 1.54% - 2.14% - 0.66% 0.80% 2025 1.86% - 0.52% 1.72% 2.82% - 2.19% - 0.38% 0.48% 2026

 
 

JULY 2026 | S&P 500® Daily Risk Control 5% Index Selected Risks  JPMorgan Chase & Co. is currently one of the companies that make up the underlying index  The Index may not be successful and may not outperform or underperform the underlying index  The Index may not approximate its target volatility of 5%  The daily adjustment of the exposure of the Index to the underlying index may cause the Index not to reflect fully any appreciation of the underlying index or to magnify any depreciation of the underlying index  The Index may be significantly uninvested, which will result in a portion of the Index reflecting no return  The level of the Index reflects the deduction of a notional financing cost  The Index’s methodology for calculating the notional financing cost was recently changed The risks identified above are not exhaustive. You should also review carefully the related “Risk Factors” section in the prospectus supplement and the relevant product supplement and underlying supplement and the “Selected Risk Considerations” in the relevant pricing supplement. Disclaimer The information contained in this document is for discussion purposes only . Any information relating to performance contained in these materials is illustrative and no assurance is given that any indicative returns, performance or results, whether historical or hypothetical, will be achieved . These terms are subject to change, and J . P . Morgan undertakes no duty to update this information . This document shall be amended, superseded and replaced in its entirety by a subsequent term sheet and/or pricing supplement, and the documents referred to therein . In the event any inconsistency between the information presented herein and any such term sheet and/or pricing supplement, such term sheet and/or pricing supplement shall govern . The Sharpe Ratio on the previous page is a measure of risk - adjusted performance, calculated as the 10 Year Return (Annualized) divided by the 10 Year Volatility (Annualized) . Investment suitability must be determined individually for each investor, and notes linked to the Index may not be suitable for all investors . This material is not a product of J . P . Morgan Research Departments . Copyright © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co . All rights reserved . For additional regulatory disclosures, please consult : www . jpmorgan . com/disclosures . Information contained on this website is not incorporated by reference in, and should not be considered part of, this document . This monthly update document replaces and supersedes all prior written materials of this type previously provided with respect to the Index .