Morgan Stanley FWP: 2025 Auto-Callable Worst-Of Note with 35% Buffer
Rhea-AI Filing Summary
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC is offering Market-Linked Securities that are Auto-Callable with 200% leveraged upside and contingent downside principal at risk. The notes are linked to the lowest performing of two underlying stocks – Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) and Target Corp. (TGT) – and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley.
- Face amount: $1,000 per security; denominations of $1,000 and integral multiples.
- Pricing date: July 18 2025 | Issue date: July 23 2025.
- Automatic call: If, on the July 23 2026 call date, the worst-performing stock closes at or above its starting price, the security is redeemed early for at least $1,495 (≈ 49.50% premium).
- Maturity: July 21 2028 (3-year final term if not called).
- Payout at maturity (if not called):
- Upside: $1,000 + (Stock Return × 200%).
- Sideways (≥ 65% and < 100% of start): return of principal.
- Downside (< 65% of start): principal loss equal to the full negative return of the worst stock.
- Threshold price: 65% of starting price (35% buffer).
- Estimated value: ≈ $938.90 (4–5% below face), reflecting issuance and hedging costs.
- Distribution fees: Wells Fargo Securities may receive up to $25.75 per note; other dealers up to $20.00; WFA distribution expense fee $0.75.
- CUSIP: 61778NJB8.
Key risks highlighted include: no periodic interest; principal at risk; exposure to worst-of two equities; limited secondary liquidity; issuer & guarantor credit risk; potential conflicts from affiliate hedging and calculation-agent roles; uncertain U.S. tax treatment.
Investors should review the preliminary pricing supplement, product supplement for principal-at-risk securities, and prospectus available on the SEC website before investing.
Positive
- High potential call premium: at least 49.5% payable after only one year if performance condition met.
- 200% participation rate on any positive return of the worst-performing stock at maturity provides leveraged upside.
- 35% downside buffer (threshold at 65% of start) before principal loss occurs if not called.
Negative
- Principal at risk: investors suffer full downside of the worst stock below the 35% buffer and could lose entire investment.
- Credit exposure: payments rely on Morgan Stanley; any deterioration in its credit spreads may affect market value.
- Limited liquidity: no exchange listing and secondary trading may be limited or at significant discount.
- Estimated fair value below par: initial value ≈ $938.90 versus $1,000 issue price due to fees and hedging costs.
- Upside may be capped: early automatic call limits gains to the fixed call premium.
Insights
TL;DR: Routine Morgan Stanley worst-of auto-call note: 49.5% one-year call premium, 200% upside thereafter, 35% buffer, full credit and equity risk.
Impact assessment: For Morgan Stanley (ticker MS) this is a standard medium-sized capital-markets issuance and is not material to earnings; for investors it offers attractive headline returns but embeds significant tail risk.
Positives for investors: a sizeable 49.5% call premium achievable after one year and 2× leveraged participation to the upside if held to maturity.
Negatives: principal is fully at risk below a 35% buffer on the worst performer, the note may be automatically called capping gains, secondary market liquidity is uncertain, and the estimated initial value is already about 6% below face. All cash flows depend on Morgan Stanley’s creditworthiness, and no interest coupons are paid.
Overall view: The structure suits investors seeking short-term high coupons and willing to bear dual-equity and credit risk. From an issuer perspective, it is a cost-effective funding mechanism leveraging retail distribution channels.