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Higher margins and trading lift Shell (NYSE: SHEL) Q1 2026 outlook

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Rhea-AI Filing Summary

Shell plc provides an updated outlook for first-quarter 2026, highlighting mixed trends across its businesses amid increased uncertainty from the Middle East conflict. In Integrated Gas, production is expected between 880 and 920 kboe/d versus 948 kboe/d in Q4 2025, reflecting Qatari volume impacts, while LNG liquefaction volumes are guided to 7.6–8.0 MT as LNG Canada ramps up.

Upstream production is forecast at 1,760–1,860 kboe/d, slightly below Q4 2025, partly due to the Adura joint venture. Marketing adjusted earnings are expected to be significantly higher than Q1 2025. In Chemicals and Products, indicative refining margin is guided up from $14/bbl to $17/bbl, with higher refinery and chemicals utilisation and significantly stronger Trading & Optimisation than Q4 2025.

Renewables and Energy Solutions adjusted earnings are expected between $0.2 and $0.7 billion, up from adjusted $0.1 billion in Q4 2025, while Corporate adjusted earnings remain negative at a projected $(1.0) to $(0.8) billion. At group level, Q1 2026 cash flow from operations tax paid is expected at $2.0–2.8 billion and working capital movements between $(15) and $(10) billion, with non-cash net debt expected to be affected by a $3–4 billion increase in variable components of long-term shipping leases.

Positive

  • None.

Negative

  • None.

Insights

Shell’s Q1 2026 outlook shows stronger margins and trading, partly offset by softer volumes and working capital outflows.

Shell guides to higher profitability drivers in several areas. Chemicals and Products’ indicative refining margin rises from $14/bbl to $17/bbl, with refinery utilisation moving to 95–99%. Marketing and Chemicals Trading & Optimisation are expected to be significantly higher than Q4 2025, and Renewables and Energy Solutions adjusted earnings are guided up to $0.2–0.7B from $0.1B adjusted.

Offsetting these positives, Integrated Gas and Upstream production are both expected to decline versus Q4 2025, reflecting conflict-related Qatari impacts and portfolio changes. Group working capital is projected at a $10–15B outflow and non-cash net debt is expected to increase by $3–4B from shipping lease remeasurements in the current macro environment.

Overall, the outlook balances higher margins and trading performance against lower volumes and less favourable cash and leverage metrics. Actual results, scheduled for May 7, 2026, will show how commodity price volatility, Middle East risks and trading performance translate into reported earnings and cash flow.

Integrated Gas production outlook 880–920 kboe/d Q1 2026 vs 948 kboe/d in Q4 2025
LNG liquefaction volumes outlook 7.6–8.0 MT Q1 2026 guidance; Q4 2025 was 7.8 MT
Indicative refining margin $17/bbl Q1 2026 updated outlook vs $14/bbl in Q4 2025
Renewables & Energy Solutions adjusted earnings outlook $0.2–0.7B Q1 2026 vs Q4 2025 adjusted $0.1B
Corporate adjusted earnings outlook $(1.0)–(0.8)B Q1 2026 guidance; Q4 2025 adjusted was $(0.6)B
CFFO tax paid $2.0–2.8B Q1 2026 Shell Group guidance vs $2.6B in Q4 2025
Working capital movement $(15)–(10)B Q1 2026 Shell Group guidance; Q4 2025 was $1.3B
Non-cash net-debt impact from shipping leases $3–4B increase Variable components of long-term shipping leases in current macro environment
Adjusted Earnings financial
"The “Adjusted Earnings” measure aims to facilitate a comparative understanding of Shell’s financial performance"
Adjusted earnings are a company’s profit figure that has been altered to remove one-time, unusual or non-operational items so it better reflects the business’s regular performance. Think of it like looking at a household budget but ignoring a big, unusual expense or windfall to see what normal monthly cash flow looks like; investors use adjusted earnings to compare companies and trends, but should watch what is excluded because choices can change the picture.
Underlying operating expenses financial
"Underlying operating expenses is a measure aimed at facilitating a comparative understanding of performance"
Indicative refining margin financial
"Indicative refining margin* | $14/bbl | $17/bbl"
An indicative refining margin is an estimated profit per barrel that a refinery could earn by turning crude oil into finished fuels and other products, calculated as the difference between the value of those products and the cost of the crude feedstock. It matters to investors because it provides a quick snapshot of refinery profitability—like a restaurant owner checking the markup on ingredients—helping gauge potential earnings, cash flow and sensitivity to fuel price swings.
Working capital financial
"Working capital movements are defined as the sum of the following items in the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows"
Working capital is the money a business has available to cover its daily expenses, like paying bills and buying supplies. It’s like the cash in your wallet that helps you handle everyday costs; having enough ensures the business can operate smoothly without running into money shortages.
net carbon intensity financial
"we may refer to Shell’s “net carbon intensity” (NCI), which includes Shell’s carbon emissions"
Net debt financial
"Net debt is defined as the sum of current and non-current debt, less cash and cash equivalents"
Net debt is the total amount a company owes after subtracting the cash and assets it has that can be used to pay off that debt. It shows how much debt is truly a burden, helping investors understand if a company is financially healthy or heavily borrowed. Think of it like calculating how much money you owe after using your savings to pay part of it.
 

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 6-K

REPORT OF FOREIGN ISSUER 
PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16 
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 

For the month of April 2026

Commission File Number: 1-32575 

Shell plc
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) 

England and Wales
(Jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) 

Shell Centre
London, SE1 7NA
United Kingdom
(Address of principal executive office)

________________________________

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F [ X ]      Form 40-F [   ]


Shell first quarter 2026 update note

 

 

The following is an update to the first quarter 2026 outlook and gives an overview of our current expectations for the first quarter. Outlooks presented may vary from the actual first quarter 2026 results and are subject to finalisation of those results, which are scheduled to be published on May 7, 2026. Unless otherwise indicated, all outlook statements exclude identified items. 

 

See appendix for the definition of the non-GAAP measure used and the most comparable GAAP measure.

 

In light of the ongoing situation in the Middle East, the outlook provided is subject to increased uncertainty. For details see the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on Shell’s activities on shell.com.

 

Integrated Gas

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
Production (kboe/d) 948 880 - 920 Reflects the impact of the Middle East conflict on Qatari volumes.
LNG liquefaction volumes (MT) 7.8 7.6 - 8.0 Reflects the ramp-up of LNG Canada, offset by Australia weather constraints and Qatar LNG outages.
Underlying opex 1.2 1.1 - 1.3  
Pre-tax depreciation 1.5 1.3 - 1.7  
Taxation charge 0.8 0.4 - 0.7  
Other Considerations:
Trading & Optimisation is expected to be in line with Q4’25.
Note: Long-term LNG contracts usually have a pricing lag (e.g. JCC-3).

 

Upstream

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
Production (kboe/d) 1,892 1,760 - 1,860 Includes reduced production following the Adura JV incorporation.
Underlying opex 2.4 2.0 - 2.4  
Pre-tax depreciation 2.7 2.4 - 3.0  
Taxation charge 1.7 1.6 - 2.4 Reflects the Nigeria onshore and UK portfolio changes since Q1’25.
Other Considerations:
-


Marketing

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
Sales volumes (kb/d) 2,701 2,550 - 2,650  
Underlying opex 2.6 2.2 - 2.6  
Pre-tax depreciation 0.6 0.5 - 0.7  
Taxation charge 0.4 0.4 - 0.7  
Other Considerations:
Marketing adjusted earnings are expected to be significantly higher than Q1’25.

 

Chemicals and Products

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
Indicative refining margin* $14/bbl $17/bbl  
Indicative chemicals margin* $140/tonne $139/tonne The Chemicals sub-segment adjusted earnings are expected to be at a similar level as Q1’25.
Refinery utilisation 95% 95% - 99%  
Chemicals utilisation 76% 81% - 85%  
Underlying opex 2.2 1.7 - 2.1  
Pre-tax depreciation 0.9 0.8 - 1.0  
Taxation charge / (credit) 0.2 0.3 - 0.7  
Other Considerations:
Trading & Optimisation is expected to be significantly higher than Q4’25. 

*See appendix

 

Renewables and Energy Solutions

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
Adjusted Earnings 0.1 0.2 - 0.7 Trading & Optimisation is expected to be significantly higher than Q4’25.

 

Corporate

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
Adjusted Earnings (0.6) (1.0) - (0.8)  

 

Shell Group

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q1’26 Outlook Comment
CFFO:
Tax paid 2.6 2.0 - 2.8  
Financial Derivative Instruments movements (0.1) (1) - 4  
Working capital 1.3 (15) - (10) Reflects impact of unprecedented volatility in commodity prices on inventory and receivables.
Other Shell Group Considerations:
Non-cash net-debt expected to be impacted by $3-4 billion increase in variable components of long-term shipping leases in the current macro environment.

 

Guidance

 

The ‘Quarterly Databook’ contains guidance on Indicative Refining Margin, Indicative Chemicals Margin and full-year price and margin sensitivities.

 

Consensus

 

The company compiled consensus, managed by Vara Research, is expected to be published on April 29, 2026. 

 

Appendix

 

Indicative Margins

 

Chemicals & Products Q4’25 Q1’26 Updated Outlook
Indicative refining margin $14/bbl $17/bbl
Indicative chemicals margin $140/tonne $139/tonne

 

Volume Data

 

Operational Metrics Q4’25 Q1’26 QPR Outlook Q1’26 Updated Outlook
Integrated Gas      
Production (kboe/d) 948 920 - 980 880 - 920
LNG liquefaction volumes (MT) 7.8 7.4 - 8.0 7.6 - 8.0
Upstream      
Production (kboe/d) 1,892 1,700 - 1.900 1,760 - 1,860
Marketing      
Sales volumes (kb/d) 2,701 2,550 - 2,750 2,550 - 2,650
Chemicals & Products      
Refinery utilisation 95% 90% - 98% 95% - 99%
Chemicals utilisation 76% 79% - 87% 81% - 85%

 

Underlying Opex

 

Underlying operating expenses is a measure aimed at facilitating a comparative understanding of performance from period to period by removing the effects of identified items, which, either individually or collectively, can cause volatility, in some cases driven by external factors. For further details see the 4th Quarter 2025 and full year unaudited results.

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q4’25 Adjusted Q1’26 Updated Outlook
Production and manufacturing expenses 5.8    
Selling, distribution and administrative expenses 3.4    
Research and development 0.3    
Operating Expenses (Opex) 9.6 9.6  
Less: Identified Items   0.1  
Underlying Opex   9.4  
    of which:      
    Integrated Gas 1.2 1.2 1.1 - 1.3
    Upstream 2.5 2.4 2.0 - 2.4
    Marketing 2.7 2.6 2.2 - 2.6
    Chemicals and Products 2.2 2.2 1.7 - 2.1
    Renewables and Energy Solutions 0.6 0.6  

 

Depreciation, depletion and amortisation

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q4’25 Adjusted Q1’26 Updated Outlook
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortisation 6.6 6.6  
Less: Identified Items   0.8  
Pre-tax depreciation (as Adjusted)   5.8  
    of which:      
    Integrated Gas 1.5 1.5 1.3 - 1.7
    Upstream 2.9 2.7 2.4 - 3.0
    Marketing 0.9 0.6 0.5 - 0.7
    Chemicals and Products 1.1 0.9 0.8 - 1.0
    Renewables and Energy Solutions 0.3 0.1  

 

Taxation Charge

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q4’25 Adjusted Q1’26 Updated Outlook

 

Taxation Charge

2.7 2.7  
Less: Identified Items and Cost of supplies adjustment   (0.2)  
Taxation Charge (as Adjusted)   2.9  
    of which:      
    Integrated Gas 0.9 0.8 0.4 - 0.7
    Upstream 1.7 1.7 1.6 - 2.4
    Marketing 0.3 0.4 0.4 - 0.7
    Chemicals and Products 0.2 0.3 - 0.7
    Renewables and Energy Solutions 0.1 0.1  

 

Adjusted Earnings

 

The “Adjusted Earnings” measure aims to facilitate a comparative understanding of Shell’s financial performance from period to period by removing the effects of oil price changes on inventory carrying amounts and removing the effects of identified items. These items are in some cases driven by external factors and may, either individually or collectively, hinder the comparative understanding of Shell’s financial results from period to period. This measure excludes earnings attributable to non-controlling interest. For further details see the 4th Quarter 2025 and full year unaudited results.

 

$ billions Q4’25 Q4’25 Adjusted Q1’26 Updated Outlook
Income/(loss) attributable to Shell plc shareholders 4.1 4.1  
Add: Current cost of supplies adjustment attributable to Shell plc shareholders   0.3  
Less: Identified items attributable to Shell plc shareholders   1.2  
Adjusted Earnings   3.3  
    of which:      
    Renewables and Energy Solutions (0.1) 0.1 0.2 - 0.7
    Corporate (0.6) (0.6) (1.0) - (0.8)

 

Working Capital

 

Working capital movements are defined as the sum of the following items in the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows: (i) (increase)/decrease in inventories, (ii) (increase)/decrease in current receivables, and (iii) increase/(decrease) in current payables.

  

Enquiries

 

Media International: +44 (0) 207 934 5550

 

Media U.S. and Canada: Contact form

 

Cautionary Note

 

The companies in which Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this announcement “Shell”, “Shell Group” and “Group” are sometimes used for convenience to reference Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These terms are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular entity or entities. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this announcement refer to entities over which Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. The terms “joint venture”, “joint operations”, “joint arrangements”, and “associates” may also be used to refer to a commercial arrangement in which Shell has a direct or indirect ownership interest with one or more parties.  The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in an entity or unincorporated joint arrangement, after exclusion of all third-party interest.

 

The numbers presented in this announcement may not sum precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures due to rounding.


Forward-Looking statements
This announcement contains forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “aim”; “ambition”; ‘‘anticipate’’; “aspire”; “aspiration”; ‘‘believe’’; “commit”; “commitment”; ‘‘could’’; “desire”; ‘‘estimate’’; ‘‘expect’’; ‘‘goals’’; ‘‘intend’’; ‘‘may’’; “milestones”; ‘‘objectives’’; ‘‘outlook’’; ‘‘plan’’; ‘‘probably’’; ‘‘project’’; ‘‘risks’’; “schedule”; ‘‘seek’’; ‘‘should’’; ‘‘target’’; “vision”; ‘‘will’’; “would” and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this announcement, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks, including climate change; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, judicial, fiscal and regulatory developments including tariffs and regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; (m) risks associated with the impact of pandemics, regional conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and the conflict in the Middle East, and a significant cyber security, data privacy or IT incident; (n) the pace of the energy transition; and (o) changes in trading conditions. No assurance is provided that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Shell plc’s Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2025 (available at www.shell.com/investors/news-and-filings/sec-filings.html and www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward-looking statements contained in this announcement and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this announcement, April 8, 2026. Neither Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this announcement.

 

Shell’s net carbon intensity
Also, in this announcement we may refer to Shell’s “net carbon intensity” (NCI), which includes Shell’s carbon emissions from the production of our energy products, our suppliers’ carbon emissions in supplying energy for that production and our customers’ carbon emissions associated with their use of the energy products we sell. Shell’s NCI also includes the emissions associated with the production and use of energy products produced by others which Shell purchases for resale. Shell only controls its own emissions. The use of the terms Shell’s “net carbon intensity” or NCI is for convenience only and not intended to suggest these emissions are those of Shell plc or its subsidiaries.

 

Shell’s net-zero emissions target
Shell’s operating plan and outlook are forecasted for a three-year period and ten-year period, respectively, and are updated every year. They reflect the current economic environment and what we can reasonably expect to see over the next three and ten years. Accordingly, the outlook reflects our combined Scope 1 and 2 target, NCI targets and our oil products ambition over the next ten years. However, Shell’s operating plan and outlook cannot reflect our 2050 net-zero emissions target, as this target is outside our planning period. Such future operating plans and outlooks could include changes to our portfolio, efficiency improvements and the use of carbon capture and storage and carbon credits. In the future, as society moves towards net-zero emissions, we expect Shell’s operating plans and outlooks to reflect this movement. However, if society is not net zero in 2050, as of today, there would be significant risk that Shell may not meet this target.

 

Forward-Looking Non-GAAP measures

This announcement may contain certain forward-looking non-GAAP measures such as Adjusted Earnings, Cash flow from operating activities excluding working capital movements, Cash capital expenditure, Net debt and Underlying operating expense.

 

Adjusted Earnings are measures used to evaluate Shell’s performance in the period and over time.
The “Adjusted Earnings” are measures which aim to facilitate a comparative understanding of Shell’s financial performance from period to period by removing the effects of oil price changes on inventory carrying amounts and removing the effects of identified items.
Adjusted Earnings is defined as income/(loss) attributable to shareholders adjusted for the current cost of supplies and excluding identified items. All items include the non-controlling interest component.
Cash flow from operating activities excluding working capital movements is a measure used by Shell to analyse its operating cash generation over time excluding the timing effects of changes in inventories and operating receivables and payables from period to period. Working capital movements are defined as the sum of the following items in the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows: (i) (increase)/decrease in inventories, (ii) (increase)/decrease in current receivables, and (iii) increase/(decrease) in current payables. Cash capital expenditure is the sum of the following lines from the Consolidated Statement of Cash flows: Capital expenditure, Investments in joint ventures and associates and Investments in equity securities. Net debt is defined as the sum of current and non-current debt, less cash and cash equivalents, adjusted for the fair value of derivative financial instruments used to hedge foreign exchange and interest rate risks relating to debt, and associated collateral balances. Underlying operating expenses is a measure of Shell’s cost management performance and aimed at facilitating a comparative understanding of performance from period to period by removing the effects of identified items, which, either individually or collectively, can cause volatility, in some cases driven by external factors. Underlying operating expenses comprises the following items from the Consolidated statement of Income: production and manufacturing expenses; selling, distribution and administrative expenses; and research and development expenses and removes the effects of identified items such as redundancy and restructuring charges or reversals, provisions or reversals and others.

 

We are unable to provide a reconciliation of these forward-looking non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures because certain information needed to reconcile those non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is dependent on future events some of which are outside the control of Shell, such as oil and gas prices, interest rates and exchange rates. Moreover, estimating such GAAP measures with the required precision necessary to provide a meaningful reconciliation is extremely difficult and could not be accomplished without unreasonable effort. Non-GAAP measures in respect of future periods which cannot be reconciled to the most comparable GAAP financial measure are calculated in a manner which is consistent with the accounting policies applied in Shell plc’s consolidated financial statements.
The contents of websites referred to in this announcement do not form part of this announcement.

 

We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this announcement that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.


This Report on Form 6-K is incorporated by reference into:

 

 (a)the Registration Statement on Form F-3 of Shell plc, Shell Finance US Inc. and Shell International Finance B.V. (Registration Numbers 333-276068, 333-276068-01 and 333-276068-02); and

 

 (b)the Registration Statements on Form S-8 of Shell plc (Registration Numbers 333-262396, 333-272192 and 333-292109).

 


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

      Shell plc    
  (Registrant)
   
  
Date: April 8, 2026     /s/ SEAN ASHLEY    
  Sean Ashley
  Company Secretary
  

FAQ

How does Shell (SHEL) expect Integrated Gas to perform in Q1 2026?

Shell expects Integrated Gas production between 880 and 920 kboe/d in Q1 2026, down from 948 kboe/d in Q4 2025. LNG liquefaction volumes are guided to 7.6–8.0 MT as LNG Canada ramps up, partly offset by Australia weather constraints and Qatar outages.

What margins is Shell (SHEL) guiding for its Chemicals and Products segment in Q1 2026?

Shell guides its indicative refining margin to rise from $14/bbl in Q4 2025 to $17/bbl in Q1 2026. Indicative chemicals margin is expected around $139/tonne, near Q4 levels, with higher refinery and chemicals utilisation supporting segment performance versus the prior outlook.

How are Shell (SHEL) Marketing and trading activities expected to trend in Q1 2026?

Shell expects Marketing adjusted earnings to be significantly higher than Q1 2025, supported by stable sales volumes guidance. Trading & Optimisation is expected to be in line with Q4 2025 for Integrated Gas and significantly higher than Q4 2025 in Chemicals and Products and Renewables and Energy Solutions.

What guidance does Shell (SHEL) give on Renewables and Energy Solutions earnings for Q1 2026?

Renewables and Energy Solutions adjusted earnings are guided between $0.2 and $0.7 billion in Q1 2026, versus adjusted $0.1 billion in Q4 2025. Management notes Trading & Optimisation in this segment is expected to be significantly higher than in Q4 2025, supporting that earnings range.

What working capital and tax cash flow does Shell (SHEL) forecast for Q1 2026?

Shell expects Q1 2026 cash flow from operations tax paid of $2.0–2.8 billion. Working capital movements are guided between negative $15 billion and negative $10 billion, largely reflecting the impact of unprecedented commodity price volatility on inventories and receivables across the Group.

How will long-term shipping leases affect Shell (SHEL) net debt in Q1 2026?

Shell expects a non-cash impact on net debt in Q1 2026 from long-term shipping leases. Management guides to a $3–4 billion increase in the variable components of these leases in the current macro environment, which will raise reported net debt without an immediate cash outflow.

What non-GAAP measures does Shell (SHEL) emphasize in its Q1 2026 outlook?

Shell emphasizes Adjusted Earnings, Underlying operating expenses, Cash flow from operating activities excluding working capital, Cash capital expenditure, Net debt and Underlying operating expenses. These non-GAAP measures strip out identified items and inventory effects to better compare performance across periods, though reconciliations depend on future market conditions.