STR to Go Private via Viper All-Equity Deal; J.P. Morgan Valuation Disclosed
Rhea-AI Filing Summary
Sitio Royalties agreed to be acquired by Viper in an all-equity combination that will leave Sitio as a wholly owned subsidiary of the combined parent and result in Sitio ceasing to be a publicly traded company. The company has supplemented its proxy statement to provide additional disclosures after purported holders of Sitio Class A common stock filed lawsuits seeking injunctions to block the Mergers unless more information is disclosed; Sitio denies the claims but voluntarily provided supplemental disclosures.
J.P. Morgan performed valuation work using Sitio management projections under two pricing scenarios and discount rates of 8.00%–10.00% for Sitio and 7.50%–9.00% for Viper. The advisor used fully diluted share counts of approximately 154 million for Sitio and 299 million for Viper, compared implied values to closing prices of $17.07 (Sitio) and $39.69 (Viper), and estimated pro forma ownership of ~20% for Sitio stockholders and ~80% for Viper stockholders. J.P. Morgan’s illustrative analysis implied value creation for Sitio stockholders of ~10.5% under Strip Pricing and ~3.6% under Consensus Pricing. The proxy supplement discloses prior commercial relationships and fees between J.P. Morgan (and affiliates) and related parties and lists publicly reported analyst price target ranges for Sitio ($21–$29) and Viper ($47–$61).
Positive
- All-equity agreement provides a clear transaction path where Sitio stockholders receive pro forma ownership (~20%) in the combined company
- Valuation work by J.P. Morgan indicates potential value creation for Sitio stockholders (~10.5% under Strip Pricing; ~3.6% under Consensus Pricing)
- Analyst price target ranges cited for context show Sitio targets of $21–$29 and Viper targets of $47–$61, above Sitio’s closing price referenced
Negative
- Shareholder litigation seeks injunctive relief to block the Mergers unless additional disclosures are made, creating execution risk
- Potential conflicts disclosed: J.P. Morgan and affiliates have commercial relationships and received material fees from related parties, which may raise governance concerns
- Transaction eliminates public liquidity for Sitio holders because Sitio will cease to be a publicly traded company
Insights
TL;DR: Proposed all-stock merger would take STR private; supplemental proxy addresses disclosure claims while J.P. Morgan valuation shows limited upside and potential conflicts.
J.P. Morgan’s net asset value and illustrative pro forma analyses are central to the transaction narrative: using Sitio management projections and stated discount-rate ranges, the advisor estimates modest accretion for Sitio holders (about 10.5% under one pricing assumption, 3.6% under another). The structure leaves Sitio public holders with ~20% of the pro forma equity, which is meaningful dilution relative to standalone ownership and may explain shareholder scrutiny. The supplemental disclosures and the disclosed J.P. Morgan relationships and fee history aim to neutralize disclosure-litigation risk but also highlight potential conflicts that investors will evaluate when voting.
TL;DR: Transaction is material to STR holders: an all-equity merger removing public liquidity, with valuation sensitivity to price scenarios and pending litigation risk.
Key quantifiable inputs—~154 million fully diluted Sitio shares, discount rates of 8.00%–10.00% (Sitio) and 7.50%–9.00% (Viper), and analyst target ranges—allow comparability to market prices ($17.07 Sitio close; $39.69 Viper close). J.P. Morgan’s disclosure of fees and prior engagements (including material fees for related parties) is relevant to governance assessment. The lawsuits seek injunctive relief for additional disclosure and could delay or complicate closing; Sitio’s voluntary proxy supplement addresses those assertions but is not an admission of materiality.