UBS posts Q3 growth; CET1 14.8% and cost saves $10B
UBS Group AG reported stronger Q3 2025 results. Total revenues were USD 12,760m and net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 2,481m, with diluted EPS of USD 0.76. Return on equity was 11.1% and the cost/income ratio improved to 77.0%. On an underlying basis, return on tangible equity reached 14.6% as integration benefits flowed through.
Balance sheet and capital stayed solid. The CET1 capital ratio rose to 14.8% on CET1 capital of USD 74.7bn, while risk‑weighted assets were USD 504.9bn. Invested assets climbed to USD 6.91trn. UBS realized an additional USD 0.9bn of gross cost savings in the quarter, taking cumulative gross savings to USD 10bn toward a ~USD 13bn 2026 target, and reduced Non‑core & Legacy RWA by 64% since Q2 2023.
Regulatory and legal updates featured prominently. Swiss proposals would, if implemented as outlined, imply around USD 24bn additional CET1 at UBS AG on a pro‑forma basis, with UBS indicating a consolidated CET1 ratio around 19% before further proposed deductions that would reduce it to around 17%. UBS resolved legacy items, including a USD 300m DOJ payment (RMBS) and French penalties of EUR 730m plus EUR 105m, supported by provision releases. The Fed cut the SCB for UBS Americas Holding LLC to 5.2%, for a total CET1 requirement of 9.7%.
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Insights
Core profitability improved; capital debate intensifies.
UBS delivered higher fees and healthier operating leverage: revenues reached USD 12,760m, net profit USD 2,481m, and the cost/income ratio declined to 77.0%. Underlying RoTE of 14.6% signals traction from the Credit Suisse integration while invested assets grew to USD 6.91trn.
Capital remains a focal point. The CET1 ratio rose to 14.8%; however, Swiss proposals would, if enacted as described, add around USD 24bn CET1 at UBS AG and translate to about ~19% consolidated CET1 before other proposed deductions that would lower it to about ~17%. Outcomes depend on final rules and phase‑ins.
Legacy matters saw cash outflows and provision releases (e.g., DOJ USD 300m, France fines) that aided near‑term P&L clarity. Watch for Q4 seasonality, indicated integration costs (~USD 1.1bn) and acquisition‑related revenues (~USD 0.5bn) disclosed for year‑end dynamics.
Proposed Swiss rules could lift CET1 needs materially.
The Swiss consultation outlines CET1 deductions for foreign subsidiaries and other items (capitalized software, DTAs on temporary differences, PVAs). UBS estimates around USD 24bn additional CET1 at UBS AG if measures proceed as proposed, alongside previously identified increments tied to the Credit Suisse acquisition.
UBS indicates that, on a pro‑forma basis, consolidated CET1 would be around ~19% before the further proposed deductions, and around ~17% after them. The timeline includes staged phase‑ins, with legislative outcomes pending. Meanwhile, the Fed’s SCB for UBS Americas Holding LLC falls to 5.2%, with a total CET1 requirement of 9.7%, easing US capital buffers.