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Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE) revises 2026 cost and production views

(Neutral)
(Neutral)
Form Type
6-K/A

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

Vale S.A. updated its 2026 operating estimates, raising expected C1 cash costs for iron ore to 22.5–23.5 US$/t from 20.0–21.5 US$/t and all-in iron ore costs to 58–62 US$/t from 52–56 US$/t. Guidance for all-in copper costs was reduced to 0–500 US$/t from 1,000–1,500 US$/t, while all-in nickel costs were lowered to 10,000–11,500 US$/t from 12,000–13,500 US$/t.

Estimated 2026 production volumes were modestly increased, with copper now guided to 360–380 kt versus 350–380 kt and nickel to 185–200 kt versus 175–200 kt. These estimates assume an average USD/BRL exchange rate of 5.13, Brent crude at US$86/bbl, and specified metals prices, and are characterized as forward-looking statements subject to market, macroeconomic, and operational risks.

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C1 iron ore cash cost 2026 (new) 22.5–23.5 US$/t 2026 C1 cash cost of iron ore guidance range
All-in iron ore cost 2026 (new) 58–62 US$/t 2026 all-in iron ore cost guidance range
All-in copper cost 2026 (new) 0–500 US$/t 2026 all-in copper cost guidance range
All-in nickel cost 2026 (new) 10,000–11,500 US$/t 2026 all-in nickel cost guidance range
Copper production 2026 (new) 360–380 kt Estimated 2026 copper production volume range
Nickel production 2026 (new) 185–200 kt Estimated 2026 nickel production volume range
FX assumption 2026 5.13 Average USD/BRL exchange rate assumption for 2026
Brent price assumption 2026 US$86/bbl Average Brent crude price assumption for 2026
C1 cash cost financial
"C1 cash cost of iron ore (1) (2) 22.5 - 23.5"
C1 cash cost is a per-unit measure of the direct cash outlay required to produce a commodity, covering day-to-day expenses like extraction, processing and on-site labor but typically excluding long-term investments such as major equipment replacement or development projects. Investors use it like a baker watching the cost of ingredients per loaf: it shows operating efficiency and helps compare producers’ short-term profitability and cash generation before bigger capital needs are considered.
All-in iron ore cost financial
"All-in iron ore cost (3) 58 - 62 52 – 56"
Reference Form regulatory
"All other estimates disclosed by the Company in Item 3 of its Reference Form remain unchanged."
CVM Resolution No. 80/2022 regulatory
"in accordance with the deadline set forth in CVM Resolution No. 80/2022."
forward-looking statements regulatory
"constitutes estimates and forward-looking statements prepared based on assumptions and hypothetical data"
Forward-looking statements are predictions or plans that companies share about what they expect to happen in the future, like estimating sales or profits. They matter because they help investors understand a company's outlook, but since they are based on guesses and assumptions, they can sometimes be wrong.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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FAQ

What 2026 cost estimates did Vale (VALE) change in this update?

Vale revised several 2026 cost estimates, including C1 iron ore cash costs to 22.5–23.5 US$/t, all-in iron ore to 58–62 US$/t, all-in copper to 0–500 US$/t, and all-in nickel to 10,000–11,500 US$/t.

How did Vale (VALE) adjust its 2026 iron ore cost guidance?

For 2026, Vale now guides C1 iron ore cash costs at 22.5–23.5 US$/t, up from 20.0–21.5 US$/t, and all-in iron ore costs at 58–62 US$/t, up from 52–56 US$/t, reflecting updated cost expectations across its iron ore operations.

What changes did Vale (VALE) make to 2026 copper and nickel cost estimates?

Vale lowered its 2026 all-in copper cost guidance to 0–500 US$/t from 1,000–1,500 US$/t and reduced all-in nickel cost guidance to 10,000–11,500 US$/t from 12,000–13,500 US$/t, based on updated commodity price and operating assumptions.

How were Vale (VALE) 2026 production volume estimates for copper and nickel updated?

Vale now estimates 2026 copper production at 360–380 kt, slightly above the prior 350–380 kt range, and nickel production at 185–200 kt, up from 175–200 kt, indicating modestly higher expected output for both metals.

What key assumptions underpin Vale (VALE) 2026 cost estimates?

The 2026 estimates assume an average USD/BRL exchange rate of 5.13, Brent crude at US$86/bbl, gold at US$4,390 per troy ounce, and specific prices for copper, cobalt, platinum, and palladium, which influence projected cash and all-in costs.

How does Vale (VALE) describe the nature of these updated 2026 estimates?

Vale characterizes the updated 2026 figures as estimates and forward-looking statements based on assumptions and hypothetical data, emphasizing they are not promises or guarantees and may differ materially due to market, macroeconomic, operational, and other disclosed risk factors.

 

 

 

United States

Securities and Exchange Commission

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 6-K/A

 

Report of Foreign Private Issuer

Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16

of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

For the month of

 

August 2026

 

Vale S.A.

 

Praia de Botafogo nº 186, 18º andar, Botafogo
22250-145 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil

(Address of principal executive office)

 

(Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.)

 

(Check One) Form 20-F x Form 40-F ¨

 

 

 

 
 

 Vale informs on estimates update Rio de Janeiro, July 30, 2026 – Vale S.A. (“Vale” or the “Company”) informs that it has updated the estimates described below, which should be considered as follows: Costs components (US$/t), in nominal terms 2026 new 2026 previous C1 cash cost of iron ore (1) (2) 22.5 - 23.5 20.0 – 21.5 All-in iron ore cost (3) 58 - 62 52 – 56 All-in copper cost (1) (4) 0 – 500 1,000 – 1,500 All-in nickel cost (1) (5) 10,000 - 11,500 12,000 – 13,500 (1) Assumes an average USD/BRL exchange rate of 5.13 and an average Brent price of US$86/bbl for the year. (2) Includes the main direct production costs, such as mining, processing, railroad, and port costs. Does not include third-party purchases. (3) Includes the main direct production costs, such as mining, processing, railroad, and port costs, as well as freight, expenses, iron ore all-in premium, and others. (4) Assumes an average gold price of US$4,390 per troy ounce for 2026. (5) Assumes the following average prices for the year: US$13,236/t for copper, US$56,334/t for cobalt, US$1,824 per troy oz of platinum, and US$1,394 per troy oz of palladium. Estimated production volumes (kt) 2026 new 2026 previous Copper 360-380 350-380 Nickel 185-200 175-200 All other estimates disclosed by the Company in Item 3 of its Reference Form remain unchanged. The aforementioned item of the Reference Form will be refiled in due course to reflect the updates described above, in accordance with the deadline set forth in CVM Resolution No. 80/2022. Vale clarifies that the information disclosed in this Press Release constitutes estimates and forward-looking statements prepared based on assumptions and hypothetical data and does not represent promise, guarantee, or commitment of performance by the Company or its management. Actual results may differ materially due to market conditions, macroeconomic factors, operational performance, and other risks described in the Company’s periodic filings with the CVM and the SEC. Marcelo Feriozzi Bacci Executive Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations For further information, please contact: Vale.RI@vale.com Thiago Lofiego: thiago.lofiego@vale.com Luciana Oliveti: luciana.oliveti@vale.com Pedro Terra: pedro.terra@vale.com Patricia Tinoco: patricia.tinoco@vale.com This press release may include statements that present Vale’s expectations about future events or results. All statements, when based upon expectations about the future, involve various risks and uncertainties. Vale cannot guarantee that such statements will prove correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors related to the following: (a) the countries where we operate, especially Brazil and Canada; (b) the global economy; (c) the capital markets; (d) the mining and metals prices and their dependence on global industrial production, which is cyclical by nature; and (e) global competition in the markets in which Vale operates. To obtain further information on factors that may lead to results different from those forecast by Vale, please consult the reports Vale files with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM) and in particular the factors discussed under “Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in Vale’s annual report on Form 20-F. Press Release  

 

 

 

 
 

Signatures

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

  Vale S.A.
(Registrant)  
   
  By: /s/ Thiago Lofiego
Date: August 6, 2026   Director of Investor Relations