ADP Announces National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate Publicly Available on a Weekly Cadence

Rhea-AI Summary

ADP (NASDAQ:ADP) will publish a preliminary weekly ADP National Employment Report every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, beginning Oct 28, 2025, offering a four-week moving average of private-sector employment change.

The first preliminary U.S. estimate shows an average increase of 14,250 jobs in the four weeks ending Oct 11, 2025. ADP will continue to release its comprehensive monthly report on the first Wednesday of each month and monthly Pay Insights within the ADP National Employment Report.

Positive

• Weekly cadence begins on Oct 28, 2025, more timely data
• Preliminary four-week moving average: +14,250 jobs (ending Oct 11, 2025)
• Data covers anonymized payrolls of >26 million private-sector employees
• ADP Pay Insights continues monthly with ~15 million pay-change observations

Negative

• Weekly preliminary estimate is directional and not the final monthly figure
• Detailed industry and regional measures remain only in the monthly release

Insights

Labor Economics Analyst

ADP will publish a weekly preliminary four-week moving average of private payroll change; the first shows an average +14,250 jobs for the period ending October 11, 2025.

ADP expands its cadence by adding a Tuesday weekly preliminary estimate that reports a four-week moving average of private‑sector employment change, while keeping the existing comprehensive monthly National Employment Report and monthly Pay Insights. The release explicitly covers anonymized payrolls for more than 26 million private‑sector employees and nearly 15 million pay change observations, offering higher‑frequency visibility into job gains and losses.

The main dependencies and risks are data interpretation and calendar alignment: the weekly figure is a directional, four‑week moving average and the firm will continue to publish the final monthly estimate with full industry, firm‑size, and geographic splits. Concrete items to watch include the November monthly report on November 5, 2025 at 8:15 a.m. ET and the next weekly preliminary estimate on November 11, 2025 at 8:15 a.m. ET; these will show whether the preliminary cadence diverges from monthly results and provide the next observable updates to the +14,250 four‑week average.

Preliminary U.S.  Estimate of an Average Increase of 14,250 Jobs in the Four Weeks Ending on October 11, 2025

• Move supports ADP Research's mission to address changing landscape and make future of work more productive through data-driven discovery
• ADP will continue to report comprehensive jobs report and pay insights monthly

ROSELAND, N.J., Oct. 28, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- ADP announced it will release a preliminary U.S. estimate of the ADP National Employment Report weekly, each Tuesday starting today. This weekly report will provide the change in private sector employment, offering the most current view of the labor market based on ADP's fine-grained, high-frequency data. This timely and orderly weekly release of the preliminary U.S. estimate will be made available to all, simultaneously and will provide a directional indicator of the labor market.

On a monthly basis, during the first Wednesday of each month, ADP will also continue to release its comprehensive jobs report that serves as an independent measure of the labor market based on the anonymized weekly payroll data of more than 26 million private-sector employees in the United States. ADP Pay Insights, which captures nearly 15 million individual pay change observations, will continue to be issued each month within the ADP National Employment Report produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. Please see the schedule of these monthly release dates here under Calendar: https://adpemploymentreport.com/. The weekly release schedule is available below.

The preliminary U.S. estimate is an average increase of 14,250 jobs in the four weeks ending on October 11, 2025, according to the ADP National Employment Report produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.

The preliminary U.S. estimate will provide a four-week moving average of the latest total private employment change, offering the most current, representative picture of the private-sector labor market. Each month ADP will continue to publish the final monthly estimate. Detailed industry, firm-size and geographical employment measures, both seasonally and non-seasonally adjusted, will remain available with each monthly release.

"For nearly two decades we have provided our valuable labor market data to the public at no cost through the ADP National Employment Report. ADP's near real-time employment data, released weekly, will now provide an even clearer picture of the labor market at this critical time for the economy," said Dr. Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. "This high-frequency employment pulse, like the monthly National Employment Report, is based on ADP's anonymized and aggregated administrative data on private-sector payrolls, providing a dynamic view of job creation and loss at an unprecedented level of weekly detail."

The October 2025 ADP National Employment Report will be released on November 5, 2025, at 8:15 a.m. ET. The next weekly preliminary U.S. estimate of the private-sector employment number will be available on November 11, 2025, at 8:15am ET. See below for the weekly schedule through the remainder of the year.

Date	Published Report
10/28/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate
11/5/2025	Monthly Report
11/11/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate
11/18/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate
11/25/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate
12/3/2025	Monthly Report
12/9/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate
12/16/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate
12/23/2025	Weekly Preliminary Estimate

To access this weekly reporting, please visit the Main Street Macro weekly on Tuesdays at 8:15am ET. 

About ADP Research 
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.

To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.

About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com

ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright © 2025 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.

 

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SOURCE ADP, Inc.

FAQ

When will ADP (ADP) publish the new weekly preliminary employment estimate?

ADP will publish the weekly preliminary estimate every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, starting Oct 28, 2025.

What does the Oct 28, 2025 ADP preliminary estimate report for jobs?

The preliminary four-week moving average shows an average increase of 14,250 jobs for the four weeks ending Oct 11, 2025.

How does ADP's weekly preliminary estimate relate to the monthly ADP National Employment Report?

The weekly figure is a directional four-week moving average; the full monthly ADP National Employment Report remains the final comprehensive estimate.

When will ADP release the October 2025 comprehensive monthly report?

The October 2025 ADP National Employment Report will be released on Nov 5, 2025 at 8:15 a.m. ET.

What data scope underlies ADP's weekly and monthly reports?

Reports are based on ADP's anonymized payroll data covering more than 26 million private-sector employees and ~15 million pay-change observations.

Where can investors find the ADP weekly schedule and monthly calendar?

The release schedule and monthly calendar are available at the ADP National Employment Report website: adpemploymentreport.com.