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ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for May 2, 2026

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Rhea-AI Sentiment
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ADP (NASDAQ:ADP) reported that for the four weeks ending May 2, 2026, U.S. private employers added an average of 42,250 jobs per week, based on the seasonally adjusted NER Pulse four-week moving average. Hiring strengthened for the second consecutive week, though estimates remain preliminary and subject to revision.

The NER Pulse uses high-frequency ADP payroll data with a two-week lag and publishes Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET. The next release is scheduled for May 27, 2026.

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AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Positive

  • None.

Negative

  • None.

Key Figures

Average weekly jobs: 42,250 jobs Prior weekly jobs: 33,000 jobs Historical window: 12 weeks +5 more
8 metrics
Average weekly jobs 42,250 jobs Four weeks ending May 2, 2026 (NER Pulse, private employers)
Prior weekly jobs 33,000 jobs Four weeks ending April 25, 2026 (NER Pulse table)
Historical window 12 weeks NER Pulse includes 12 weeks of historical data
Release time 8:15 a.m. ET Weekly NER Pulse publication time on Tuesdays
Next release date May 27, 2026 Scheduled next NER Pulse publication
Current price $222.94 Pre-news market context for ADP
Daily move 3.94% ADP 24-hour price change before this release
52-week range position -32.43% vs high; 18.48% vs low Price relative to 52-week high/low before this news

Market Reality Check

Price: $222.94 Vol: Volume 2,987,896 is sligh...
normal vol
$222.94 Last Close
Volume Volume 2,987,896 is slightly below the 20-day average of 3,119,476 (relative volume 0.96x). normal
Technical Price $222.94 is trading below the 200-day MA $251.64, after a 3.94% daily gain.

Peers on Argus

ADP gained 3.94% while key software peers were mixed: ADBE up 3.37%, INTU up 2.8...
3 Up

ADP gained 3.94% while key software peers were mixed: ADBE up 3.37%, INTU up 2.89%, NOW up 4.61%, but CDNS and MSTR were down. Momentum scanner also flagged NOW, INTU, and SNOW moving up, suggesting selective strength rather than a uniform sector move.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: May 12 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
May 12 Employment pulse update Positive +1.0% Preliminary NER Pulse showed private employers adding 33,000 jobs per week.
May 07 Investor conferences Positive +3.3% Management announced participation in two major May 2026 investor conferences.
May 06 Monthly jobs report Positive -1.6% April NER showed 109,000 private‑sector jobs added and 4.4% pay growth.
May 04 Debt financing Neutral -0.3% Priced $1.0B of 5.000% senior notes due 2036 for general corporate purposes.
May 04 Governance agreement Positive -1.4% WEX and Impactive Capital cooperation agreement; ADP mentioned only indirectly.
Pattern Detected

Recent ADP macro and corporate updates often saw modest single‑day price moves, with both positive and negative reactions regardless of generally constructive fundamentals.

Recent Company History

Over the past month, ADP has combined solid fundamentals with active capital markets activity. The Apr 30 10‑Q and related 8‑K highlighted revenue of $5.94B and net earnings of $1.36B, both up year over year, and an improved outlook. ADP also issued $1.0B of 5.000% senior notes due 2036 for general corporate purposes including buybacks. Regular employment reports, including the preliminary NER updates on Apr 25 and now May 2, provide ongoing labor‑market visibility that complements these financial developments.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement provides a preliminary NER Pulse estimate showing U.S. private employers added an ...
Analysis

This announcement provides a preliminary NER Pulse estimate showing U.S. private employers added an average of 42,250 jobs per week over the four weeks ending May 2, 2026, based on a seasonally adjusted four‑week moving average. It extends a 12‑week history of high‑frequency employment data that publishes Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET. Investors may track subsequent updates, revisions, and the scheduled May 27, 2026 release to monitor whether this strengthening trend persists.

Key Terms

seasonally adjusted, four-week moving average, high-frequency data
3 terms
seasonally adjusted financial
"The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow..."
Seasonally adjusted means that figures have been modified to remove the effects of regular and predictable changes that happen at specific times of the year, such as holidays or weather patterns. This adjustment helps reveal the true underlying trend by making comparisons across different periods more accurate. For investors, it provides a clearer picture of whether economic activity is genuinely improving or declining, without the noise of seasonal fluctuations.
four-week moving average technical
"The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average."
A four-week moving average takes the most recent four weekly values of a data series (like price, sales, or trading volume), averages them, and updates that average each week by dropping the oldest week and adding the newest. It smooths out short-term ups and downs—like looking at a smoothed path instead of every single bump—so investors can more easily see underlying trends, spot momentum changes, and avoid reacting to temporary noise.
high-frequency data technical
"These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data."
High-frequency data are streams of very frequent, time-stamped information about market activity — for example prices, trade sizes, and order flow updated many times per second. Investors use it like a high-speed camera to see short-lived patterns and reactions that slower reports miss, helping with rapid trading decisions, measuring market liquidity, and detecting unusual activity that can affect short-term risk and execution costs.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

ROSELAND, N.J., May 19, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- For the four weeks ending May 2, 2026, U.S. private employers added an average of 42,250 jobs per week, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report (NER). 

Hiring strengthened for the second week in a row. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.

Week ending

Change

(Four-week moving
average, seasonally
adjusted)

5/2/2026

42,250

4/25/2026

33,000

4/18/2026

30,250

4/11/2026

39,250

4/4/2026

40,250

3/28/2026

40,250

3/21/2026

26,000

3/14/2026

15,250

3/7/2026

10,000

2/28/2026

9,000

2/21/2026

14,750

2/14/2026

15,500

The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-time employment trends.

The NER Pulse, including 12 weeks of historical data, publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except weeks when ADP Research publishes the monthly National Employment Report which is built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month. The press release is available Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET in the ADP Media Center. The NER Pulse is also available shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and in Main Street Macro.

The next NER Pulse will be released May 27, 2026. For upcoming release dates please refer to the calendar on the NER website.

The ADP National Employment Report and the NER Pulse are produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.

About ADP Research 
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.

To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.

About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com.

ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright © 2026 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.

(PRNewsfoto/ADP, LLC)

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/adp-national-employment-report-preliminary-estimate-for-may-2-2026-302775407.html

SOURCE ADP, Inc.

FAQ

What is the ADP (ADP) NER Pulse preliminary jobs estimate for May 2, 2026?

The NER Pulse shows U.S. private employers added an average of 42,250 jobs per week for the four weeks ending May 2, 2026. According to ADP, this figure is seasonally adjusted, based on a four-week moving average, and remains preliminary.

How did U.S. private-sector hiring trend in the latest ADP (ADP) NER Pulse data?

Hiring strengthened for the second consecutive week in the latest NER Pulse release. According to ADP, the four-week moving average of U.S. private employment gains reached 42,250 jobs per week for the period ending May 2, 2026, using seasonally adjusted, high-frequency payroll data.

How is the ADP (ADP) NER Pulse employment estimate calculated?

The NER Pulse estimate is based on a seasonally adjusted four-week moving average of week-over-week employment changes. According to ADP, it uses finely tuned, high-frequency payroll data with a two-week lag to improve completeness and accuracy when tracking near real-time U.S. private employment trends.

When is the next ADP (ADP) NER Pulse release after May 2, 2026 data?

The next NER Pulse release is scheduled for May 27, 2026. According to ADP, the NER Pulse is typically published every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except in weeks when the monthly National Employment Report is released.

Where can investors find the latest ADP (ADP) NER Pulse employment data?

Investors can access the NER Pulse shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and Main Street Macro. According to ADP, related press releases are also posted in the ADP Media Center each Tuesday the report is issued.