Kalshi Research Partners with ProCap Financial to Bring Prediction Market Data to Investment Research

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Key Terms

prediction markets financial

Prediction markets are exchanges where people buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the outcome of a future event, effectively turning collective beliefs into a price that reflects the market’s estimated probability. Like a sports betting line or a crowd-sourced weather forecast, they aggregate diverse information and sentiment into a single, continuously updated signal that investors can use to gauge market expectations, inform timing, assess risk, or construct hedges.

real-time prediction market data financial

Real-time prediction market data are live prices and trading activity from markets where people buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the occurrence of future events, such as earnings beats, regulatory decisions or economic figures. For investors this data acts like a continuously updated poll or weather radar, aggregating many participants’ expectations into a single signal that can reveal market sentiment, probabilities of outcomes and shifting risks faster than traditional reports.

AI agents technical

AI agents are computer programs designed to perform tasks or make decisions automatically, often by learning from data and adapting to new information. They act like virtual assistants or robots that can handle complex activities without human intervention, which can help businesses and individuals save time and improve efficiency. For investors, AI agents matter because they can enhance decision-making and automate processes that influence markets and financial outcomes.

wisdom-of-the-crowds technical

Wisdom-of-the-crowds is the idea that pooling many independent judgments often produces a more accurate estimate or prediction than most individual opinions, because individual errors tend to cancel out. For investors, it matters because aggregated signals — such as market prices, analyst consensus, or crowdsourced forecasts — can reveal collective expectations about a company, asset or event, serving like a thermostat that summarizes the market’s best guess.

inflation prints financial

Inflation prints are the published monthly or periodic numbers that show how fast prices for goods and services are rising in the economy, like a thermometer reading for how hot inflation is. Investors watch them because higher or lower readings can change interest rate expectations, affect company profits and consumer buying power, and often move stock and bond markets as traders reprice future growth and risk.

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04/21/2026 - 07:00 AM

Partnership creates a new category of institutional-grade investment research focused on real-time prediction market data
First time Kalshi provides its data to a financial research provider with paying subscribers

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- ProCap Financial (Nasdaq: BRR) (the “Company”), today announced a partnership with the research arm of Kalshi, the world’s largest prediction market, to create a new category of investment research focused entirely on real-time prediction market data. This is the first time Kalshi has provided its data to a financial research provider with paying subscribers.

The new prediction market research product will be available through ProCap Financial’s research offering, ProCap Insights, which deploys AI agents to analyze mountains of data, pressure test conclusions through agentic debate, and agentically write research reports. ProCap Insights will create reports on individual prediction markets, various platform trends, data-driven investment strategies, mispriced market contracts, and Kalshi-specific data reports.

Prediction markets work like the stock market, but for real-world outcomes. With Kalshi’s markets and data, investors can get direct exposure instead of indirect proxies like a company’s stock performance. Together, ProCap Insights and Kalshi data equip investors with real-time intelligence on the events shaping the markets, including economic releases, global elections, geopolitical shifts, and other catalysts shaping what comes next.

“Kalshi Research’s prediction market data paired with our AI agents is a powerful combination,” said Anthony Pompliano, Chairman and CEO of ProCap Financial. “Independent investors have never had access to a research engine like this. By combining real-time market signals with AI-driven analysis, we’ll deliver sharper insights to help investors make smarter decisions in the growing industry of prediction markets. Our goal has always been to help independent investors make money, and this partnership brings us one step closer to delivering on that.”

Kalshi’s crowdsourced, real-time probability data has demonstrated strong performance, with its prediction markets outperforming Wall Street consensus by 40% across time periods and market conditions and matching or exceeding forecasts on 85% of inflation prints one week in advance, according to a study performed by Kalshi Research.

“Prediction markets turn uncertainty about real-world events into actionable signals,” said Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi. “We’re partnering with ProCap Financial to bring wisdom-of-the-crowds intelligence directly to financial research, so both retail and institutional investors can benefit from this data and analysis.”

To access or subscribe to ProCap Insights reports, please visit www.procapinsights.com.

About ProCap Financial
ProCap Financial is the first publicly traded agentic finance firm. The Company’s mission is to help independent investors make money. Founded in 2025, the Company raised more than $750 million from leading investors and is traded on Nasdaq under the symbol BRR. Visit www.procapfinancial.com for more information.

About Kalshi
Founded in 2018, Kalshi is the largest prediction market in the world, offering financial markets on the outcome of real world events such as award shows and more. Kalshi is the industry leader and pioneer, widely credited with legalizing prediction markets and building a safe, legal, regulated platform for millions of traders in America. To learn more, visit www.kalshi.com.

Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on current expectations and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Such risks include those described under “Risk Factors” in most recent SEC filings. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect our views only as of the date of this release. We undertake no obligation to update such statements, except as required by law.