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CN Third Quarter Results: Capitalizing on Sequential Improvements in Key Markets

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CN (NYSE: CNI) reported third-quarter 2020 financial results, reflecting an 11% drop in revenues to C$3,409 million compared to the previous year. This decline was driven by lower volumes due to the COVID-19 pandemic, despite a rise in Canadian grain shipments. Diluted earnings per share fell by 17% to C$1.38, with operating income decreasing by 15% to C$1,366 million. However, operating expenses dropped by 8% to C$2,043 million, aided by lower fuel and labor costs. Free cash flow for the first nine months increased to C$2,087 million, showing some resilience amidst challenges.

Positive
  • Free cash flow increased to C$2,087 million, up C$588 million year-over-year.
  • Operating expenses decreased by 8% to C$2,043 million, reflecting lower fuel and labor costs.
Negative
  • Revenues fell by C$421 million or 11% due to reduced volumes linked to the pandemic.
  • Diluted earnings per share decreased by 17% to C$1.38.
  • Operating income declined by 15% to C$1,366 million.

Railroad Remains Nimble and Responsive to Market Demand

MONTREAL, Oct. 20, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CN (TSX: CNR) (NYSE: CNI) today reported its financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020.

"CN's people never stopped working since the beginning of the pandemic and I am proud of the essential transportation service they have provided. As we look at the fourth quarter and beyond, we continue to see sequential improvements and momentum leading us to have a cautious optimism about the future. We remain confident in our ability to continue delivering long-term shareholder value."
- JJ Ruest, President and Chief Executive Officer of CN

Financial results highlights
Third-quarter 2020 compared to third-quarter 2019

  • Volumes, in terms of revenue ton miles (RTMs), improved sequentially in each month of the third quarter of 2020 and September volumes increased on a year-over-year basis, reflecting demand for certain commodities in-line with 2019 levels.
  • Revenues of C$3,409 million, a decrease of C$421 million or 11 per cent.
  • Diluted earnings per share of C$1.38, a decrease of 17 per cent.
  • Operating ratio of 59.9 per cent, an increase of 2.0 points.
  • Operating income of C$1,366 million, a decrease of 15 per cent.
  • Free cash flow for the first nine months of 2020 was C$2,087 million, an increase of C$588 from the prior period.‌ ‌(1)

Third-quarter 2020 revenues, traffic volumes and expenses
Revenues for the third quarter of 2020 were C$3,409 million, a decrease of C$421 million or 11 per cent, when compared to the same period in 2019. The decrease in revenues was mainly due to lower volumes across most commodity groups caused by the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and lower applicable fuel surcharge rates, partly offset by freight rate increases as well as increased shipments of Canadian grain. RTMs, measuring the relative weight and distance of freight transported by CN, declined by seven per cent from the year-earlier period. Freight revenue per RTM decreased by three per cent over the year-earlier period.

Operating expenses for the third quarter decreased by eight per cent to C$2,043 million, mainly driven by lower fuel and labor costs, as well as decreased purchased services and material expense. The decrease in the first nine months was partly offset by a loss on assets held for sale in the second quarter, resulting from the Company's decision to market for sale for on-going rail operations, certain non-core lines.

(1) Non-GAAP Measures
CN reports its financial results in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). CN also uses non-GAAP measures in this news release that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP, such as adjusted performance measures. These non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. For further details of these non-GAAP measures, including a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, refer to the attached supplementary schedule, Non-GAAP Measures.

(2) Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements included in this news release constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and under Canadian securities laws. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. The Company cautions that its assumptions may not materialize and that current economic conditions render such assumptions, although reasonable at the time they were made, subject to greater uncertainty. Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain, such as statements about the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the business operations, financial results and financial position and on the global supply chain, and statements about the economic recovery and its future impact on CN. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of terminology such as "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "assumes," "outlook," "plans," "targets," or other similar words.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results or performance of the Company to be materially different from the outlook or any future results or performance implied by such statements. Accordingly, readers are advised not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Important risk factors that could affect the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the duration and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, general economic and business conditions, particularly in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic; industry competition; inflation, currency and interest rate fluctuations; changes in fuel prices; legislative and/or regulatory developments; compliance with environmental laws and regulations; actions by regulators; increases in maintenance and operating costs; security threats; reliance on technology and related cybersecurity risk; trade restrictions or other changes to international trade arrangements; transportation of hazardous materials; various events which could disrupt operations, including illegal blockades of rail networks, and natural events such as severe weather, droughts, fires, floods and earthquakes; climate change; labor negotiations and disruptions; environmental claims; uncertainties of investigations, proceedings or other types of claims and litigation; risks and liabilities arising from derailments; timing and completion of capital programs; and other risks detailed from time to time in reports filed by CN with securities regulators in Canada and the United States. Reference should be made to Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) in CN’s annual and interim reports, Annual Information Form and Form 40-F, filed with Canadian and U.S. securities regulators and available on CN’s website, for a description of major risk factors.

Forward-looking statements reflect information as of the date on which they are made. CN assumes no obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect future events, changes in circumstances, or changes in beliefs, unless required by applicable securities laws. In the event CN does update any forward-looking statement, no inference should be made that CN will make additional updates with respect to that statement, related matters, or any other forward-looking statement.

This earnings news release, as well as additional information, including the Financial Statements, Notes thereto and MD&A, is contained in CN’s Quarterly Review available on the Company's website at www.cn.ca/financial-results and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com as well as on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's website at www.sec.gov through EDGAR.

About CN
CN is a world-class transportation leader and trade-enabler. Essential to the economy, to the customers, and to the communities it serves, CN safely transports more than 300 million tons of natural resources, manufactured products, and finished goods throughout North America every year. As the only railroad connecting Canada’s Eastern and Western coasts with the Southern tip of the U.S. through a 19,500-mile rail network, CN and its affiliates have been contributing to community prosperity and sustainable trade since 1919. CN is committed to programs supporting social responsibility and environmental stewardship.

Contacts: 
MediaInvestment Community
Jonathan AbecassisPaul Butcher
Senior ManagerVice-President
Media RelationsInvestor Relations
(514) 399-7956(514) 399-0052
media@cn.cainvestor.relations@cn.ca
  

Selected Railroad Statistics – unaudited

 Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30
 20202019 20202019
Financial measures     
      
Key financial performance indicators (1)     
Total revenues ($ millions)3,4093,830 10,16311,333
Freight revenues ($ millions)3,2493,618 9,71110,790
Operating income ($ millions)1,3661,613 3,3664,375
Adjusted operating income ($ millions) (2)1,3661,613 3,8524,459
Net income ($ millions)9851,195 2,5413,343
Adjusted net income ($ millions) (2)9851,195 2,7633,293
Diluted earnings per share ($)1.381.66 3.564.62
Adjusted diluted earnings per share ($) (2)1.381.66 3.874.56
Free cash flow ($ millions) (2)506700 2,0871,499
Gross property additions ($ millions)691961 2,0083,061
Share repurchases ($ millions)394 3791,271
Dividends per share ($)0.57500.5375 1.72501.6125
Financial position (1)     
Total assets ($ millions)45,15844,096 45,15844,096
Total liabilities ($ millions)25,84525,596 25,84525,596
Shareholders' equity ($ millions)19,31318,500 19,31318,500
Financial ratio     
Operating ratio (%)59.957.9 66.961.4
Adjusted operating ratio (%) (2)59.957.9 62.160.7
Operational measures (3)     
      
Statistical operating data     
Gross ton miles (GTMs) (millions)113,693124,410 330,058367,875
Revenue ton miles (RTMs) (millions)56,29660,849 167,183184,245
Carloads (thousands)1,4401,531 4,0694,487
Route miles (includes Canada and the U.S.)19,50019,500 19,50019,500
Employees (end of period)24,00827,290 24,00827,290
Employees (average for the period)23,17727,269 23,62426,803
Key operating measures     
Freight revenue per RTM (cents)5.775.95 5.815.86
Freight revenue per carload ($)2,2562,363 2,3872,405
GTMs per average number of employees (thousands)4,9054,562 13,97113,725
Operating expenses per GTM (cents)1.801.78 2.061.89
Labor and fringe benefits expense per GTM (cents)0.580.56 0.600.59
Diesel fuel consumed (US gallons in millions)97.2110.1 296.3342.5
Average fuel price ($ per US gallon)2.273.05 2.443.13
Fuel efficiency (US gallons of locomotive fuel consumed per 1,000 GTMs)0.850.88 0.900.93
Train weight (tons)9,6359,259 9,5439,088
Train length (feet)8,9878,462 8,5968,189
Car velocity (car miles per day)175209 184198
Through dwell (entire railroad, hours)9.67.7 8.87.9
Through network train speed (miles per hour)17.818.7 18.518.2
Locomotive utilization (trailing GTMs per total horsepower)199201 194200
Safety indicators (4)     
Injury frequency rate (per 200,000 person hours)1.702.09 1.822.03
Accident rate (per million train miles)1.572.01 1.782.22


(1)Amounts expressed in Canadian dollars and prepared in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), unless otherwise noted.
(2)See supplementary schedule entitled Non-GAAP Measures for an explanation of these non-GAAP measures.
(3)Statistical operating data, key operating measures and safety indicators are unaudited and based on estimated data available at such time and are subject to change as more complete information becomes available. Definitions of gross ton miles, fuel efficiency, train weight, train length, car velocity, through dwell and through network train speed are included within the Company’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis. Definitions of all other indicators are provided on CN's website, www.cn.ca/glossary.
(4)  Based on Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) reporting criteria.

Supplementary Information – unaudited

 Three months ended September 30
 Nine months ended September 30
 


2020



2019


% Change
Fav (Unfav)
 % Change at
constant
currency
Fav (Unfav) (1)
  


2020



2019


% Change
Fav (Unfav)
 % Change at
constant
currency
Fav (Unfav) (1)
 
Revenues ($ millions) (2)             
Petroleum and chemicals591788(25%)(26%) 1,9672,298(14%)(15%)
Metals and minerals342425(20%)(20%) 1,0551,286(18%)(19%)
Forest products421450(6%)(7%) 1,2671,393(9%)(10%)
Coal118168(30%)(30%) 401508(21%)(21%)
Grain and fertilizers60855210%10% 1,8671,7705%5%
Intermodal9921,018(3%)(3%) 2,7152,860(5%)(6%)
Automotive177217(18%)(19%) 439675(35%)(36%)
Total freight revenues3,2493,618(10%)(11%) 9,71110,790(10%)(11%)
Other revenues160212(25%)(25%) 452543(17%)(18%)
Total revenues3,4093,830(11%)(11%) 10,16311,333(10%)(11%)
Revenue ton miles (RTMs) (millions) (3)             
Petroleum and chemicals9,39814,042(33%)(33%) 31,91841,148(22%)(22%)
Metals and minerals5,4196,458(16%)(16%) 15,77619,860(21%)(21%)
Forest products6,5526,813(4%)(4%) 18,90320,902(10%)(10%)
Coal3,6674,563(20%)(20%) 11,98713,556(12%)(12%)
Grain and fertilizers14,56512,72214%14% 43,82641,6345%5%
Intermodal15,91615,2944%4% 42,83544,176(3%)(3%)
Automotive779957(19%)(19%) 1,9382,969(35%)(35%)
Total RTMs56,29660,849(7%)(7%) 167,183184,245(9%)(9%)
Freight revenue / RTM (cents) (2) (3)             
Petroleum and chemicals6.295.6112%11% 6.165.5810%9%
Metals and minerals6.316.58(4%)(5%) 6.696.483%2%
Forest products6.436.61(3%)(3%) 6.706.661%(1%)
Coal3.223.68(13%)(13%) 3.353.75(11%)(11%)
Grain and fertilizers4.174.34(4%)(4%) 4.264.25%%
Intermodal6.236.66(6%)(7%) 6.346.47(2%)(3%)
Automotive22.7222.68%(1%) 22.6522.73%(1%)
Total freight revenue / RTM5.775.95(3%)(4%) 5.815.86(1%)(2%)
Carloads (thousands) (3)             
Petroleum and chemicals138177(22%)(22%) 442519(15%)(15%)
Metals and minerals236270(13%)(13%) 694774(10%)(10%)
Forest products8493(10%)(10%) 255289(12%)(12%)
Coal6886(21%)(21%) 216256(16%)(16%)
Grain and fertilizers16214512%12% 4744613%3%
Intermodal694693%% 1,8511,980(7%)(7%)
Automotive5867(13%)(13%) 137208(34%)(34%)
Total carloads1,4401,531(6%)(6%) 4,0694,487(9%)(9%)
Freight revenue / carload ($) (2) (3)             
Petroleum and chemicals4,2834,452(4%)(4%) 4,4504,428%(1%)
Metals and minerals1,4491,574(8%)(8%) 1,5201,661(8%)(10%)
Forest products5,0124,8394%3% 4,9694,8203%2%
Coal1,7351,953(11%)(11%) 1,8561,984(6%)(7%)
Grain and fertilizers3,7533,807(1%)(2%) 3,9393,8393%2%
Intermodal1,4291,469(3%)(3%) 1,4671,4442%1%
Automotive3,0523,239(6%)(7%) 3,2043,245(1%)(2%)
Total freight revenue / carload2,2562,363(5%)(5%) 2,3872,405(1%)(2%)


(1) See supplementary schedule entitled Non-GAAP Measures for an explanation of this non-GAAP measure.
(2) Amounts expressed in Canadian dollars.
(3)Statistical operating data and related key operating measures are unaudited and based on estimated data available at such time and are subject to change as more complete information becomes available.

Non-GAAP Measures – unaudited

In this supplementary schedule, the "Company" or "CN" refers to Canadian National Railway Company, together with its wholly-owned subsidiaries. Financial information included in this schedule is expressed in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise noted.

CN reports its financial results in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). The Company also uses non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP, including adjusted performance measures, constant currency, free cash flow and adjusted debt-to-adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) multiple. These non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. From management's perspective, these non-GAAP measures are useful measures of performance and provide investors with supplementary information to assess the Company's results of operations and liquidity. These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.

Adjusted performance measures

Management believes that adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share, adjusted operating income and adjusted operating ratio are useful measures of performance that can facilitate period-to-period comparisons, as they exclude items that do not necessarily arise as part of CN's normal day-to-day operations and could distort the analysis of trends in business performance. Management uses adjusted performance measures, which exclude certain income and expense items in its results that management believes are not reflective of CN's underlying business operations, to set performance goals and as a means to measure CN's performance. The exclusion of such income and expense items in these measures does not, however, imply that these items are necessarily non-recurring. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the Company's adjusted net income was $2,763 million, or $3.87 per diluted share, which excludes a loss of $486 million, or $363 million after-tax ($0.51 per diluted share) in the second quarter, resulting from the Company's decision to market for sale for on-going rail operations, certain non-core lines in Wisconsin, Michigan and Ontario, and a current income tax recovery of $141 million ($0.20 per diluted share) in the first quarter resulting from the enactment of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, a U.S. tax-and-spending package aimed at providing additional stimulus to address the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2019, the Company's adjusted net income was $3,293 million, or $4.56 per diluted share, which excludes a deferred income tax recovery of $112 million ($0.15 per diluted share or $0.16 per basic share) in the second quarter, resulting from the enactment of a lower provincial corporate income tax rate, and a depreciation and amortization expense of $84 million, or $62 million after-tax ($0.09 per diluted share) in the first quarter, related to costs previously capitalized for a Positive Train Control (PTC) back office system following the deployment of a replacement system.

The following table provides a reconciliation of net income and earnings per share, as reported for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019, to the adjusted performance measures presented herein:

 Three months ended September 30  Nine months ended September 30
In millions, except per share data2020
  2019  2020
  2019 
Net income$985  $1,195  $2,541  $3,343 
Adjustments:      
Depreciation expense      84 
Loss on assets held for sale    486   
Income tax recovery (1)    (264) (134)
Adjusted net income$985  $1,195  $2,763  $3,293 
Basic earnings per share$1.39  $1.66  $3.57  $4.63 
Impact of adjustments, per share    0.31  (0.07)
Adjusted basic earnings per share$1.39  $1.66  $3.88  $4.56 
Diluted earnings per share$1.38  $1.66  $3.56  $4.62 
Impact of adjustments, per share    0.31  (0.06)
Adjusted diluted earnings per share$1.38  $1.66  $3.87  $4.56 


(1) Includes the tax impact of: (i) adjustments based on the nature of the item for tax purposes and related tax rates in the applicable jurisdiction; or (ii) tax law changes and rate enactments.

The following table provides a reconciliation of operating income and operating ratio, as reported for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019, to the adjusted performance measures presented herein:

 Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30
In millions, except percentage2020  2019  2020  2019 
Operating income$1,366  $1,613  $3,366  $4,375 
Adjustments:       
Depreciation expense      84 
Loss on assets held for sale    486   
Adjusted operating income$1,366  $1,613  $3,852  $4,459 
Operating ratio (1)59.9% 57.9% 66.9% 61.4%
Impact of adjustment    (4.8
)-pts (0.7)-pts
Adjusted operating ratio59.9% 57.9% 62.1% 60.7%


(1) Operating ratio is defined as operating expenses as a percentage of revenues.

Constant currency

Financial results at constant currency allow results to be viewed without the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, thereby facilitating period-to-period comparisons in the analysis of trends in business performance. Measures at constant currency are considered non-GAAP measures and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Financial results at constant currency are obtained by translating the current period results denominated in US dollars at the foreign exchange rates of the comparable period in the prior year. The average foreign exchange rates were $1.33 and $1.35 per US$1.00 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020, respectively, and $1.32 and $1.33 per US$1.00 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019, respectively.

On a constant currency basis, the Company's net income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 would have been lower by $7 million ($0.01 per diluted share) and $20 million ($0.03 per diluted share), respectively.

Free cash flow

Management believes that free cash flow is a useful measure of liquidity as it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate cash for debt obligations and for discretionary uses such as payment of dividends, share repurchases, and strategic opportunities. The Company defines its free cash flow measure as the difference between net cash provided by operating activities and net cash used in investing activities, adjusted for the impact of business acquisitions, if any. Free cash flow does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.

The following table provides a reconciliation of net cash provided by operating activities as reported for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019, to free cash flow:

 Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30
In millions2020
  2019  2020
  2019 
Net cash provided by operating activities$1,220  $1,692  $4,157  $4,405 
Net cash used in investing activities(722) (992) (2,078) (3,073)
Net cash provided before financing activities498  700  2,079  1,332 
Adjustment: Acquisition, net of cash acquired (1)8    8  167 
Free cash flow$506  $700  $2,087  $1,499 


(1)Relates to the acquisitions of H&R Transport Limited ("H&R") and the TransX Group of Companies ("TransX"). See Note 3 - Business combinations to CN's unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple

Management believes that the adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple is a useful credit measure because it reflects the Company's ability to service its debt and other long-term obligations. The Company calculates the adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple as adjusted debt divided by adjusted EBITDA. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.

The following table provides a reconciliation of debt and net income to the adjusted measures presented below, which have been used to calculate the adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple:

In millions, unless otherwise indicatedAs at and for the twelve months ended September 30,2020
  2019 
Debt$13,786  $13,768 
Adjustments:   
Operating lease liabilities, including current portion434  536 
Pension plans in deficiency521  476 
Adjusted debt$14,741  $14,780 
Net income$3,414  $4,486 
Interest expense556  524 
Income tax expense936  1,278 
Depreciation and amortization1,574  1,521 
Loss on assets held for sale486   
EBITDA6,966  7,809 
Adjustments:   
Other income(8) (144)
Other components of net periodic benefit income(314) (317)
Operating lease cost152  190 
Adjusted EBITDA$6,796  $7,538 
Adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple (times)2.17  1.96 

FAQ

What were CN's third quarter revenue results for 2020?

CN reported third-quarter revenues of C$3,409 million, an 11% decrease compared to the same quarter in 2019.

How did CN's earnings per share perform in the third quarter of 2020?

Diluted earnings per share for CN in Q3 2020 were C$1.38, down 17% from the previous year.

What is CN's current operating ratio?

CN's operating ratio for the third quarter of 2020 was 59.9%, an increase of 2.0 points compared to the same period in 2019.

How much did CN's free cash flow increase in the first nine months of 2020?

CN's free cash flow increased to C$2,087 million, up C$588 million from the prior year.

What factors contributed to the decline in CN's revenues in Q3 2020?

The decline in revenues was primarily due to lower volumes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, alongside lower applicable fuel surcharge rates.

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