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Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 9.3% in 2025

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Gartner forecasts worldwide IT spending to reach $5.74 trillion in 2025, growing 9.3% from 2024. Server sales are projected to nearly triple from $134 billion in 2023 to $332 billion by 2028, driven by GenAI investments. The forecast shows significant growth across sectors: data center systems (15.5%), devices (9.5%), software (14%), IT services (9.4%), and communications services (4.4%). CIOs are expected to increase GenAI spending beyond proof-of-concept work starting in 2025, though expectations for GenAI capabilities may decrease. The report predicts IT spending will surpass $7 trillion by 2028.

Gartner prevede che la spesa globale per IT raggiungerà $5,74 trilioni entro il 2025, con una crescita del 9,3% rispetto al 2024. Si prevede che le vendite di server aumentino quasi tre volte, passando da $134 miliardi nel 2023 a $332 miliardi entro il 2028, grazie agli investimenti in GenAI. Le previsioni mostrano una crescita significativa nei vari settori: sistemi di data center (15,5%), dispositivi (9,5%), software (14%), servizi IT (9,4%) e servizi di comunicazione (4,4%). Si prevede che i CIO aumenteranno la spesa per GenAI oltre il lavoro di prova-concetto a partire dal 2025, sebbene le aspettative sulle capacità di GenAI possano diminuire. Il rapporto prevede che la spesa IT supererà i $7 trilioni entro il 2028.

Gartner pronostica que el gasto mundial en IT alcanzará $5.74 billones en 2025, creciendo un 9.3% desde 2024. Se proyecta que las ventas de servidores casi se triplicarán, pasando de $134 mil millones en 2023 a $332 mil millones para 2028, impulsadas por inversiones en GenAI. El pronóstico muestra un crecimiento significativo en todos los sectores: sistemas de centros de datos (15.5%), dispositivos (9.5%), software (14%), servicios de IT (9.4%) y servicios de comunicación (4.4%). Se espera que los CIO aumenten el gasto en GenAI más allá del trabajo de prueba de concepto a partir de 2025, aunque las expectativas sobre las capacidades de GenAI pueden disminuir. El informe predice que el gasto en IT superará los $7 billones para 2028.

가트너는 전 세계 IT 지출이 2025년까지 5.74조 달러에 이를 것으로 예상하며, 2024년 대비 9.3% 성장할 것으로 보입니다. 서버 판매는 2023년 1,340억 달러에서 2028년까지 3,320억 달러로 거의 세 배 증가할 것으로 예상되며, 이는 GenAI 투자에 의해 추동됩니다. 예측 결과는 데이터 센터 시스템(15.5%), 장치(9.5%), 소프트웨어(14%), IT 서비스(9.4%), 통신 서비스(4.4%) 등에서의 상당한 성장을 보여줍니다. CIO들은 2025년부터 개념 증명 작업을 넘어 GenAI 지출을 증가시킬 것으로 예상되지만, GenAI 능력에 대한 기대치는 감소할 수 있습니다. 이 보고서는 IT 지출이 2028년까지 7조 달러를 초과할 것으로 예측합니다.

Gartner prévoit que les dépenses IT mondiales atteindront 5,74 billions de dollars d'ici 2025, avec une croissance de 9,3% par rapport à 2024. Les ventes de serveurs devraient presque tripler, passant de 134 milliards de dollars en 2023 à 332 milliards de dollars d'ici 2028, soutenues par des investissements dans le GenAI. Les prévisions montrent une croissance significative dans tous les secteurs : systèmes de centres de données (15,5%), appareils (9,5%), logiciels (14%), services IT (9,4%) et services de communication (4,4%). On s'attend à ce que les DSI augmentent les dépenses liées au GenAI au-delà des travaux de preuve de concept à partir de 2025, bien que les attentes concernant les capacités du GenAI puissent diminuer. Le rapport prévoit que les dépenses IT dépasseront 7 billions de dollars d'ici 2028.

Gartner prognostiziert, dass die weltweiten IT-Ausgaben bis 2025 5,74 Billionen Dollar erreichen werden, was einem Wachstum von 9,3% im Vergleich zu 2024 entspricht. Es wird erwartet, dass die Serververkäufe von 134 Milliarden Dollar im Jahr 2023 bis 2028 auf 332 Milliarden Dollar nahezu dreimal ansteigen, was durch Investitionen in GenAI vorangetrieben wird. Die Prognose zeigt ein erhebliches Wachstum in allen Sektoren: Rechenzentrumssysteme (15,5%), Geräte (9,5%), Software (14%), IT-Dienste (9,4%) und Kommunikationsdienste (4,4%). Es wird erwartet, dass CIOs die Ausgaben für GenAI ab 2025 über den Konzeptnachweis hinaus erhöhen, obwohl die Erwartungen an die GenAI-Fähigkeiten zurückgehen könnten. Der Bericht sagt voraus, dass die IT-Ausgaben bis 2028 7 Billionen Dollar überschreiten werden.

Positive
  • Projected 9.3% growth in worldwide IT spending to $5.74 trillion in 2025
  • Server sales expected to triple from $134B (2023) to $332B (2028)
  • Strong software segment growth of 14% to $1.23B in 2025
  • IT services growth forecasted at 9.4% to $1.73B in 2025
  • Data center systems segment to grow by $50B in 2025
Negative
  • GenAI capabilities expected to fall short of current market expectations
  • Data center systems growth rate declining from 34.7% in 2024 to 15.5% in 2025

Insights

The projected $5.74 trillion IT spending forecast for 2025 represents a significant market expansion, with server sales expected to nearly triple from $134 billion to $332 billion by 2028. The 9.3% growth rate signals robust sector momentum, particularly in GenAI infrastructure.

Key growth drivers include:

  • Data center systems showing 15.5% growth
  • Software segment expanding by 14% to $1.23 billion
  • IT services increasing 9.4% to $1.73 billion
The forecast indicates a transformative shift in enterprise technology investment patterns, with GenAI catalyzing unprecedented server demand and reshaping traditional IT spending dynamics. This acceleration suggests a major technological infrastructure buildout phase beginning in 2025.

The forecast reveals a important inflection point in enterprise AI adoption. While current GenAI spending is dominated by infrastructure development, 2025 marks the transition to widespread enterprise implementation. However, the anticipated gap between expectations and practical capabilities suggests a potential market correction in AI-related valuations.

The projected 34.7% surge in data center systems spending for 2024 followed by 15.5% growth in 2025 indicates a sustained infrastructure expansion cycle. This unprecedented scale of server investment, reaching $257 billion by 2025, signals a fundamental restructuring of enterprise computing architecture to support AI workloads.

Forecast Highlights Server Sales Increasing Exponentially, Led by Spending in GenAI

ORLANDO, Fla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Worldwide IT spending is expected to total $5.74 trillion in 2025, an increase of 9.3% from 2024, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.

“Current spending on generative AI (GenAI) has been predominantly from technology companies building the supply-side infrastructure for GenAI,” said John-David Lovelock, Distinguished VP Analyst at Gartner. “CIOs will begin to spend on GenAI, beyond proof-of-concept work, starting in 2025. More money will be spent, but the expectations that CIOs have for the capabilities of GenAI will drop. The reality of what can be accomplished with current GenAI models, and the state of CIO’s data will not meet today’s lofty expectations.”

Gartner analysts are discussing the trends that are impacting the IT market during Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo, taking place here through Thursday.

Server Sales Continue to Drive the Data Center Systems Segment

Data center systems spending grew by nearly 35% in 2024. While the segment will not see a jump equal to that in 2025, it is still set to grow by almost $50 billion in 2025 (See Table 1). This is led by server sales, which are set to almost triple from more than $134 billion in 2023 to $332 billion by 2028, including more than $257 billion in 2025.

Table 1. Worldwide IT Spending Forecast (Millions of U.S. Dollars)

 

 

2024 Spending

 

2024 Growth (%)

 

2025 Spending

 

2025 Growth (%)

Data Center Systems

318,008

34.7

367,171

15.5

Devices

735,764

6.2

805,722

9.5

Software

1,087,800

11.7

1,239,779

14.0

IT Services

1,587,913

5.6

1,737,754

9.4

Communications Services

 

1,530,299

 

2.0

 

1,596,890

 

4.4

Overall IT

5,259,784

7.2

5,747,317

9.3

Source: Gartner (October 2024)

"GenAI will easily eclipse the effects that cloud and outsourcing vendors had on previous years regarding data center systems," said Lovelock. “It took 20 years for the cloud and outsourcing vendors to build up spending to $67 billion a year on servers. The demand of GenAI will help nearly triple server sales from 2023 to 2028.”

Software and IT Services Drive Growth

Spending on software is expected to increase 14% to $1.23 billion in 2025, up from 11.7% growth in 2024. Meanwhile, IT services is expected to grow 9.4% to $1.73 billion in 2025, up from 5.6% in 2024.

“Software and IT services are a large driver of IT growth,” said Lovelock. “Spending on these segments is expected to be on AI-related projects, including email and authoring. This was a market that, despite its age and having been consolidated down to a small number of players, will add $6.6 billion to global spending in 2024 and $7.4 billion 2025 due in part to GenAI products and services.

“Our forecast projects that $500 billion will be added in spending every year in terms of growth rates. With this in mind, IT spending should cross the $7 trillion mark in 2028.”

Gartner’s IT spending forecast methodology relies heavily on rigorous analysis of the sales by over a thousand vendors across the entire range of IT products and services. Gartner uses primary research techniques, complemented by secondary research sources, to build a comprehensive database of market size data on which to base its forecast.

The Gartner quarterly IT spending forecast delivers a unique perspective on IT spending across the hardware, software, IT services and telecommunications segments. These reports help Gartner clients understand market opportunities and challenges. The most recent IT spending forecast research is available to Gartner clients in Gartner Market Databook, 3Q24 Update.”

Learn more in the complimentary Gartner webinar IT Spending Forecast, 3Q24 Update: 2025, The Trough is Coming.

About Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo

Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo is the world's most important gathering for CIOs and other IT executives. IT executives rely on these conferences to learn how to amplify the impact of the technology, insights and trends shaping the future of IT and business. Follow news and updates from the conferences on X using #GartnerSYM, and on the Gartner Newsroom.

Upcoming dates and locations for Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo include:
October 28-30 2024 | Tokyo, Japan
November 4-7 2024 | Barcelona, Spain
November 11-13 2024 | Kochi, India

About Gartner for High Tech

Gartner for High Tech equips tech leaders and their teams with role-based best practices, industry insights and strategic views into emerging trends and market changes to achieve their mission-critical priorities and build the successful organizations of tomorrow. Additional information is available at www.gartner.com/en/industries/high-tech.

Follow news and updates from Gartner for High Tech on X and LinkedIn using #GartnerHT.

About Gartner

Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT) delivers actionable, objective insight to executives and their teams. Our expert guidance and tools enable faster, smarter decisions and stronger performance on an organization’s mission-critical priorities. To learn more, visit gartner.com.

Matt LoDolce

Gartner

matt.lodolce@gartner.com



Catherine Howley

Gartner

catherine.howley@gartner.com

Source: Gartner, Inc.

FAQ

What is Gartner's worldwide IT spending forecast for 2025?

Gartner forecasts worldwide IT spending to reach $5.74 trillion in 2025, representing a 9.3% increase from 2024.

How much will server sales grow according to Gartner's latest forecast?

Server sales are projected to nearly triple from $134 billion in 2023 to $332 billion by 2028, with over $257 billion expected in 2025.

What is the expected growth rate for software spending in 2025?

Software spending is expected to grow by 14% to $1.23 billion in 2025, up from 11.7% growth in 2024.

When will CIOs begin significant GenAI investments according to Gartner?

According to Gartner, CIOs will begin to spend on GenAI beyond proof-of-concept work starting in 2025.

Gartner, Inc.

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