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ArcelorMittal announces the publication of its first quarter 2026 sell-side analyst consensus figures

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ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) published sell-side analyst consensus for 1Q 2026: EBITDA $1,655m, Net income $498m, EPS $0.65. Consensus draws on Visible Alpha aggregation of estimates from sell-side analysts, with 13 brokers contributing updated estimates as of 21 April 2026.

ArcelorMittal states these forecasts are third‑party estimates and not prepared or verified by the company.

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Positive

  • 1Q'26 consensus EBITDA $1,655m
  • 1Q'26 consensus Net income $498m
  • 1Q'26 consensus EPS $0.65
  • Sell‑side participation: 13 brokers contributed updated estimates

Negative

  • Consensus figures are third‑party estimates not verified or prepared by ArcelorMittal

News Market Reaction – MT

-2.46%
-2.46% Session close to close

In the Apr 23 session, MT declined 2.46%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

This announcement details 1Q’26 sell-side consensus for key metrics, including EBITDA of $1,655m, ne...
Analysis

This announcement details 1Q’26 sell-side consensus for key metrics, including EBITDA of $1,655m, net income of $498m and EPS of $0.65, compiled independently via Visible Alpha. It provides a snapshot of external expectations rather than new company guidance. In context of 2025 revenue of $61.4 billion and ongoing strategic investments, investors may track how eventual reported results compare to these figures and to prior disclosures such as the 2025 Annual Report and decarbonisation projects.

Key Figures

1Q’26 EBITDA consensus: $1,655m 1Q’26 net income consensus: $498m 1Q’26 EPS consensus: $0.65 +5 more
8 metrics
1Q’26 EBITDA consensus $1,655m Sell-side analyst consensus for 1Q’26 EBITDA
1Q’26 net income consensus $498m Sell-side analyst consensus for 1Q’26 net income
1Q’26 EPS consensus $0.65 Sell-side analyst consensus for 1Q’26 earnings per share
2025 revenue $61.4 billion Full-year 2025 revenue disclosed in company description
2025 crude steel output 55.6 million tonnes Crude steel production in 2025
2025 iron ore output 48.8 million tonnes Iron ore production in 2025
Analyst group size approximately 15 brokers Brokers covering ArcelorMittal on a continuous basis
Consensus contributors 13 brokers Sell-side analysts with updated estimates in Visible Alpha for 1Q’26

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Mar 27 (Neutral)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Mar 27 Statutory results filing Neutral -2.7% Publication of 2025 parent-company statutory financial statements and key volume metrics.
Mar 17 Insider transactions notice Neutral +1.2% Disclosure of management share transactions under Market Abuse Regulation requirements.
Mar 06 Annual report & dividend Positive +0.8% Filing of 2025 Annual Report with capex, shareholder returns and proposed dividend policy.
Feb 11 Insider transaction update Neutral +5.6% Designated person notification about a director or executive share transaction.
Feb 10 Decarbonisation investment Positive +1.6% Confirmation of €1.3bn Dunkirk electric arc furnace investment to cut steelmaking emissions.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent news has mostly seen price moves consistent with the informational or positive nature of the announcements, with one outsized move on a routine management trading disclosure.

Recent Company History

Over the last few months, ArcelorMittal has reported several corporate and disclosure updates. On Mar 27 2026, it published 2025 statutory financial statements with revenue of $61.4 billion, and earlier, on Mar 6 2026, it filed its 2025 Annual Report highlighting $1.1bn strategic capex, $0.7bn shareholder returns and a proposed $0.60/share dividend. Designated person notifications on Feb 10 and Feb 11 2026 triggered modest to strong moves despite neutral content. Today’s consensus publication fits into this stream of structured financial disclosure rather than a new operational inflection point.

Key Terms

ebitda, earnings per share, sell-side analyst consensus, visible alpha, +2 more
6 terms
ebitda financial
"1Q’26 consensus estimates: EBITDA ($m) | $1,655"
EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It measures a company's profitability by focusing on the money it makes from its core operations, ignoring expenses like taxes and accounting adjustments. Investors use EBITDA to compare how well different companies are performing financially, as it provides a clearer picture of operational success without the influence of financial structure or accounting choices.
View in glossary
earnings per share financial
"Earnings per share ($) | $0.65"
Earnings per share represent the amount of profit a company makes for each share of its stock, similar to how a pie’s total size can be divided into slices for each person. It helps investors understand how profitable the company is on a per-share basis, making it easier to compare its performance over time or against other companies. Higher earnings per share generally indicate better profitability and can influence a company's stock value.
View in glossary
sell-side analyst consensus financial
"announces the publication of its first quarter 2026 sell-side analyst consensus figures."
The sell-side analyst consensus is the average view formed from forecasts, ratings and price targets published by professional analysts at brokerage firms who cover a particular company; it combines multiple analysts’ estimates into a single summary. Investors watch this consensus because it signals collective expectations about a company’s future performance and often influences trading and valuation — similar to how a shared weather forecast helps people plan by showing the most likely outcome.
visible alpha financial
"recorded on an external web-based tool provided and managed by an independent company, Visible Alpha."
Visible alpha is the portion of a stock’s expected outperformance that you can see in public information — for example analyst forecasts, consensus models, research notes and disclosed assumptions. Think of it like seeing the ingredients on a recipe: if the market’s potential gains are spelled out in public estimates, they are already known to many investors and are more likely priced into the stock. It matters because distinguishing what is 'visible' versus truly hidden helps investors judge whether a potential return is realistic or already captured by the market.
form 20 f regulatory
"filed its Annual Report 2025 on Form 20-F and published its 2025 annual report"
An annual report filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by companies incorporated outside the United States, providing a comprehensive overview of their business, financial results, risks, and governance. Investors use it like a detailed report card and handbook—helping them judge a company’s health, compare performance across years, and spot potential risks before deciding to buy or hold shares.
market abuse regulation regulatory
"The notice cites Article 19(3) of the Market Abuse Regulation and provides links"
Market abuse regulation consists of laws and rules designed to prevent dishonest or manipulative practices in financial markets. It aims to ensure fair and transparent trading, so investors can trust that markets operate honestly, much like rules that keep a game fair. By reducing unfair advantages, it helps protect investor confidence and promotes healthy, efficient markets.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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23 April 2026, 15:00 CET

ArcelorMittal today announces the publication of its first quarter 2026 sell-side analyst consensus figures.

The consensus figures are based on analysts’ estimates recorded on an external web-based tool provided and managed by an independent company, Visible Alpha.

To arrive at the consensus figures below, Visible Alpha has aggregated the expectations of sell-side analysts who, to the best of our knowledge, cover ArcelorMittal on a continuous basis. This is currently a group of approximately 15 brokers. The listed sell-side analysts follow ArcelorMittal on their own initiative and ArcelorMittal is not responsible for their views. ArcelorMittal is neither involved in the collection of the information nor in the compilation of the estimates.

1Q’26 consensus estimates:

 1Q'26
  •  EBITDA ($m)
 $1,655
  •  Net income ($m)
 $498
  •  Earnings per share ($)
 $0.65


Equity analyst contributing to consensus: 

Sell-side analyst participation stands at 13 brokers (i.e., those with updated estimates in Visible Alpha). The sell-side analysts who cover ArcelorMittal and whose estimates are included in the 1Q’26 consensus outlined above are the following:

  1. Bank of America – Reinhardt Van Der Walt
  2. CITI – Ephrem Ravi, Krishan Agarwal
  3. Deutsche Bank – Bastian Synagowitz
  4. Goldman Sachs – Matt Greene
  5. Groupo Santander – Robert Jackson
  6. ING – Stijn Demesster
  7. Jefferies – Cole Hathorn
  8. Kepler – Boris Bourdet
  9. Keybanc – Samuel Mckinney
  10. Morgan Stanley – Alain Gabriel
  11. Oddo – Maxime Kogge
  12. UBS – Andrew Jones
  13. Wells Fargo – Timna Tanners

Disclaimer

Estimates based on Visible Alpha consensus dated 21.4.26. The disclaimer is:

The information provided by Visible Alpha cited herein is provided “as is” and “as available” without warranty of any kind. Use of any Visible Alpha data is at a user’s own risk and Visible Alpha disclaims any liability for use of the Visible Alpha data. Although the information is obtained or compiled from reliable sources Visible Alpha neither can nor does guarantee or make any representation or warranty, either express or implied, as to the accuracy, validity, sequence, timeliness, completeness or continued availability of any information or data, including third-party content, made available herein. In no event shall Visible Alpha be liable for any decision made or action or inaction taken in reliance on any information or data, including third-party content. Visible Alpha further explicitly disclaims, to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, any warranty of any kind, whether express or implied, including warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and non-infringement.

The consensus estimate is based on estimates, forecasts and predictions made by third party financial analysts, as described above. It is not prepared based on information provided or checked by ArcelorMittal and can only be seen as a consensus view on ArcelorMittal's results from an outside perspective. ArcelorMittal has not provided input on these forecasts, except by referring to past publicly disclosed information. ArcelorMittal does not accept any responsibility for the quality or accuracy of any individual forecast or estimate. This web page may contain forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by ArcelorMittal or third parties. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between ArcelorMittal's actual future results, financial situation, development or performance, and the estimates given here. These factors include those discussed in ArcelorMittal's periodic reports available on http://corporate.arcelormittal.com/.

ENDS

About ArcelorMittal

ArcelorMittal is one of the world’s leading integrated steel and mining companies with a presence in 60 countries and primary steelmaking operations in 14 countries. It is the largest steel producer in Europe, among the largest in the Americas, and has a growing presence in Asia through its joint venture AM/NS India. ArcelorMittal sells its products to a diverse range of customers including the automotive, engineering, construction and machinery industries, and in 2025 generated revenues of $61.4 billion, produced 55.6 million metric tonnes of crude steel and 48.8 million tonnes of iron ore. Our purpose is to produce smarter steels for people and planet. Steels made using innovative processes which use less energy, emit significantly less carbon and reduce costs. Steels that are cleaner, stronger and reusable. Steels for the renewable energy infrastructure that will support societies as they transform through this century. With steel at our core, our inventive people and an entrepreneurial culture at heart, we will support the world in making that change.

ArcelorMittal is listed on the stock exchanges of New York (MT), Amsterdam (MT), Paris (MT), Luxembourg (MT) and on the Spanish stock exchanges of Barcelona, Bilbao, Madrid and Valencia (MTS).
   
http://corporate.arcelormittal.com/  

ArcelorMittal Investor Relations contact information
General +44 20 7543 1128 
Retail +44 20 3214 2893 
Bonds/Credit +33 171 921 026 
Bonds/Credit +33 171 921 026 


ArcelorMittal Corporate Communications contact information
Paul Weigh  
Tel: +44 20 3214 2419 
E-mailpress@arcelormittal.com 



FAQ

What are ArcelorMittal (MT) sell-side consensus figures for 1Q 2026?

The consensus for 1Q 2026 is EBITDA $1,655m, Net income $498m, EPS $0.65. According to the company, these figures are an aggregation of Visible Alpha sell‑side estimates updated as of 21 April 2026.

How many analysts contributed to ArcelorMittal's 1Q 2026 Visible Alpha consensus?

Sell‑side participation for the consensus stands at 13 brokers with updated estimates. According to the company, the broader coverage group is approximately 15 brokers, with 13 providing Visible Alpha updates.

Are ArcelorMittal's 1Q 2026 consensus estimates audited or company‑verified?

No—these are third‑party analyst estimates and are not verified by ArcelorMittal. According to the company, the consensus is compiled by Visible Alpha and ArcelorMittal did not prepare or check the forecasts.

What date are the ArcelorMittal (MT) Visible Alpha consensus figures based on?

The consensus figures reflect Visible Alpha estimates dated 21 April 2026. According to the company, the aggregation uses analysts' estimates recorded on the Visible Alpha platform as of that date.

Which brokers contributed estimates to ArcelorMittal's 1Q 2026 consensus (MT)?

Contributors include Bank of America, CITI, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS and others totaling 13 brokers. According to the company, these sell‑side analysts provided the updated estimates in Visible Alpha.