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NOG Provides Post-Transaction Hedge Profile Update

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financial derivative instruments financial
Contracts whose value comes from an underlying asset or metric—such as a stock, bond, commodity, interest rate or index—used to transfer risk or take a position without owning the asset itself. Think of them like an insurance policy or a bet tied to the future price or performance of something else: they let investors hedge against losses, enhance returns with leverage, or speculate, and therefore can materially change a portfolio’s risk, potential return and liquidity.
swap financial
A swap is a private contract where two parties agree to exchange streams of payments over time, often tied to interest rates, currencies, or commodity prices. Investors and companies use swaps to change the type of risk they face—like switching a variable-rate loan into a fixed one—so they can stabilize cash flow or gain exposure without buying or selling the underlying asset; think of it as trading the terms of future bills with another party.
collar financial
A collar is a risk-management strategy that locks an investor’s stock between a floor and a ceiling by buying protection against big losses and selling the right to some gains. Think of it as buying an insurance policy to limit how much you can lose while giving someone else the chance to share in any big upside, often making the protection inexpensive or free. Investors use collars to protect gains or reduce portfolio volatility without fully selling the shares.
basis hedges financial
A basis hedge is a protection strategy that locks in the expected difference between two related prices — typically the local or physical market price and a reference price such as a futures contract or benchmark. Think of it like agreeing on the margin between what you sell in your local store and the price at the central market so you don’t get hurt if that gap widens or shrinks; for investors it reduces unpredictable profit swings from mismatches between the asset being hedged and the instrument used to hedge it.
MMBtu technical
A MMBtu is a unit of energy equal to one million British thermal units, commonly used to measure natural gas and other fuel quantities for trading and contracts. For investors, it translates raw energy into a standardized price metric—think of it like gallons for gasoline—so changes in the MMBtu price affect producer revenues, utility costs, commodity derivatives, and the profitability of energy-related investments.

MINNEAPOLIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NYSE: NOG) (the “Company” or “NOG”) today provided an update on the Company’s hedge profile after its recently announced Ohio Utica joint acquisition.

HEDGING UPDATE

The Company continues to execute its policy of protecting its capital program by periodically entering into financial derivative instruments with counterparties to lock in future commodity prices on a portion of its expected production. NOG has added substantial gas hedges since its recently announced Ohio Utica joint acquisition in early December. Currently NOG’s 2026 and 2027 natural gas hedge volumes represent ~60% and ~30%, respectively, of Q3 2025 annualized natural gas production pro forma for the Utica transaction. The Company has additional select natural gas hedges for 2028 and 2029. The Company has additionally added M2 and REX Z3 basis hedges. Since the end of the third quarter, the Company has made nominal incremental changes to its oil hedges.

As of the date of this release, the Company has over 35,400 Bbl per day of oil hedged with a swap price in excess of $68.70 and a weighted average collar floor of $63.84, and approximately 267,500 MMBtu per day of natural gas hedged for the full year of 2026 through a combination of swaps ($4.06) and collars ($3.43-$4.98). For 2027, the Company has an average of 124,315 MMBtu per day of natural gas hedges in place.

The following tables summarize NOG’s open oil, natural gas and natural gas basis commodity derivative contracts.

Crude Oil Commodity
Derivative Swaps

 

Crude Oil Commodity Derivative Collars

Contract
Period

Volume
(Bbls/Day)

Weighted
Average Price
($/Bbl)

 

Collar Call
Volume
(Bbls/Day)

Collar Put
Volume
(Bbls/Day)

Weighted
Average Ceiling
Price
($/Bbl)

Weighted
Average Floor
Price
($/Bbl)

2025:

Q4

32,933

$

71.35

24,766

19,473

$

77.55

$

69.15

2026:

Q1

21,465

$

69.88

34,680

27,187

$

72.98

$

62.94

Q2

19,219

 

67.11

24,680

17,187

 

71.35

 

63.55

Q3

16,245

 

68.93

19,680

12,187

 

72.33

 

65.01

Q4

16,245

 

68.91

19,680

12,187

 

72.33

 

65.01

Natural Gas Commodity
Derivative Swaps

 

Natural Gas Commodity Derivative Collars

Contract
Period

Volume
(MMBTU/Day)

Weighted
Average Price
($/Bbl)

 

Collar Call
Volume
(MMBTU/Day)

Collar Put
Volume
(MMBTU/Day)

Weighted
Average Ceiling
Price
($/Bbl)

Weighted
Average Floor
Price
($/Bbl)

2025:

Q4

134,927

$

4.03

118,157

118,157

$

4.83

$

3.24

2026:

Q1

123,667

$

4.08

135,592

135,592

$

4.93

$

3.39

Q2

126,374

 

3.97

142,030

142,030

 

4.96

 

3.42

Q3

125,000

 

4.02

140,486

140,486

 

4.92

 

3.45

Q4

139,946

 

4.16

136,735

136,735

 

5.11

 

3.47

2027:

Q1

74,222

$

4.01

67,500

67,500

$

4.85

$

3.45

Q2

75,824

 

4.00

55,604

55,604

 

4.44

 

3.44

Q3

75,000

 

4.00

55,000

55,000

 

4.44

 

3.44

Q4

54,728

 

3.96

39,837

39,837

 

4.41

 

3.44

2028:

Q1

11,593

$

3.64

9,890

9,890

$

4.17

$

3.50

Q2

10,110

 

3.76

10,110

10,110

 

4.17

 

3.50

Q3

10,000

 

3.76

10,000

10,000

 

4.17

 

3.50

Q4

6,630

 

3.76

10,000

10,000

 

4.07

 

3.50

2029:

Q1

9,889

9,889

$

3.88

$

3.50

Q2

10,110

10,110

 

3.88

 

3.50

Q3

10,000

10,000

 

3.88

 

3.50

Q4

6,630

6,630

 

3.88

 

3.50

Natural Gas M2 Basis
Derivative Swaps
Natural Gas REX Z3 Basis
Derivative Swaps
Contract
Period
Volume
(MMBTU/Day)
Weighted
Average Price
($/Bbl)
Contract
Period
Volume
(MMBTU/Day)
Weighted
Average Price
($/Bbl)
2025: 2025:

Q4

60,000

$

(1.14

)

Q4

-

$

-

 

2026: 2026:

Q1

78,278

$

(0.72

)

Q1

35,000

$

(0.28

)

Q2

80,000

 

(0.94

)

Q2

35,000

 

(0.28

)

Q3

80,000

 

(1.12

)

Q3

45,000

 

(0.26

)

Q4

80,000

 

(1.09

)

Q4

45,000

 

(0.26

)

2027: 2027:

Q1

45,167

$

(0.93

)

Q1

35,000

$

(0.19

)

Q2

40,000

 

(0.93

)

Q2

35,000

 

(0.19

)

Q3

40,000

 

(0.93

)

Q3

35,000

 

(0.19

)

Q4

40,000

 

(0.93

)

Q4

35,000

 

(0.19

)

2028: 2028:

Q1

33,626

$

(0.89

)

Q1

20,000

$

(0.18

)

Q2

20,000

 

(0.86

)

Q2

20,000

 

(0.18

)

Q3

20,000

 

(0.86

)

Q3

20,000

 

(0.18

)

Q4

20,000

 

(0.86

)

Q4

20,000

 

(0.18

)

2029: 2029:

Q1

20,000

$

(0.75

)

Q1

10,000

$

(0.16

)

Q2

20,000

 

(0.75

)

Q2

10,000

 

(0.16

)

Q3

20,000

 

(0.75

)

Q3

10,000

 

(0.16

)

Q4

20,000

 

(0.75

)

Q4

10,000

 

(0.16

)

ABOUT NOG

NOG is a real asset company with a primary strategy of acquiring and investing in non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the premier hydrocarbon producing basins within the contiguous United States. More information about NOG can be found at www.noginc.com.

SAFE HARBOR

This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future results that are subject to the safe harbors created under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). All statements other than statements of historical facts included or referenced in this press release regarding NOG’s dividend plans and practices (including timing, amounts and relative performance), financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives for future operations, industry conditions, cash flow, and borrowings are forward-looking statements. When used in this presentation, forward-looking statements are generally accompanied by terms or phrases such as “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “believe,” “expect,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “target,” “could,” “plan,” “intend,” “seek,” “goal,” “will,” “should,” “may” or other words and similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes. Items contemplating or making assumptions about actual or potential future sales, market size, collaborations, and trends or operating results also constitute such forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and important factors (many of which are beyond NOG’s control) that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements, including the following: changes in NOG’s capitalization, changes in crude oil and natural gas prices; the pace of drilling and completions activity on NOG’s properties and properties pending acquisition; NOG’s ability to acquire additional development opportunities; the projected capital efficiency savings and other operating efficiencies and synergies resulting from NOG’s acquisition transactions; integration and benefits of property acquisitions, or the effects of such acquisitions on NOG’s cash position and levels of indebtedness; changes in NOG’s reserves estimates or the value thereof; general economic or industry conditions, nationally and/or in the communities in which NOG conducts business; changes in the interest rate environment or market dividend practices, legislation or regulatory requirements; conditions of the securities markets; NOG's ability to consummate any pending acquisition transactions; other risks and uncertainties related to the closing of pending acquisition transactions; NOG’s ability to raise or access capital; changes in accounting principles, policies or guidelines; and financial or political instability, acts of war or terrorism, and other economic, competitive, governmental, regulatory and technical factors affecting NOG’s operations, products, services and prices. Additional information concerning potential factors that could affect future plans and results is included in the section entitled “Item 1A. Risk Factors” and other sections of NOG’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, as updated from time to time in amendments and subsequent reports filed with the SEC, which describe factors that could cause NOG’s actual results to differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.

NOG has based these forward-looking statements on its current expectations and assumptions about future events. While management considers these expectations and assumptions to be reasonable, they are inherently subject to significant business, economic, competitive, regulatory, and other risks, contingencies, and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond NOG’s control. You are urged not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. Except as may be required by applicable law or regulation, NOG does not undertake, and specifically disclaims, any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of such statements.

Evelyn Leon Infurna

Vice President of Investor Relations

(952) 476-9800

ir@noginc.com

Source: Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.

Northern O & G

NYSE:NOG

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